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CalciMedica, Inc. (CALC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- CalciMedica reported FY 2024 results alongside Q4 2024 updates: net loss improved to $13.7M vs $34.4M in FY 2023, driven by lower G&A and non-cash gains from fair value adjustments; cash and short-term investments were $18.7M at December 31, 2024 .
- The company extended its cash runway into mid-2026 via a $32.5M credit facility ($10M funded at close) and expects KOURAGE Phase 2 AKI data around end-2025; AP Phase 3 initiation targeted around end-2025 pending funding .
- FY 2024 EPS of -$1.22 modestly beat Wall Street consensus of -$1.26; Q4 EPS was not disclosed separately; CALC remains pre-revenue with consensus revenue at $0.00 for Q4 and FY 2024. Bolded beat below; values from S&P Global* .
- Near-term catalysts include: KOURAGE enrollment progress, an end-of-Phase 2 FDA meeting for CARPO (AP) mid-2025, and potential additional credit facility tranches upon milestones—key stock reaction drivers into 2025-2026 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Extended runway into mid-2026 via Avenue Capital credit facility; initial $10M tranche closed, with up to $22.5M available subject to milestones .
- Clinical momentum and encouraging readthrough: post-hoc CARDEA AKI subset showed 62.7% relative and 29.3% absolute mortality reduction at day 30 (persisting to day 60) for Auxora vs placebo in patients with AKI and respiratory failure, aligning with KOURAGE’s target population .
- Cost discipline: G&A fell to $9.7M in FY 2024 (vs $22.2M in FY 2023) as merger-related one-time charges rolled off, improving operating loss and net loss trajectory .
What Went Wrong
- No quarterly Q4 disclosure or earnings call transcript available, limiting quarter-specific visibility; company reported FY-only figures for 2024 .
- The improvement in net loss was meaningfully aided by non-cash fair value adjustments ($9.49M), highlighting dependence on financial instruments rather than underlying operating cash generation .
- Continued need for additional funding to commence AP Phase 3 by end-2025; timing still contingent on financing despite positive CARPO data .
Financial Results
Annual comparison
Quarterly snapshots (trend analysis)
Actual vs consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global*
KPIs (clinical and financing)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was available. Themes are synthesized from company press releases.
Management Commentary
- “Enrollment in our Phase 2 KOURAGE trial is on track to deliver data around the end of 2025… we are further encouraged by the promising readthrough… 62.7% relative reduction in mortality in CARDEA patients with both kidney failure and respiratory failure…” — CEO Rachel Leheny, Ph.D. .
- “With the proceeds from our recent credit facility… we have ample runway to get through our KOURAGE data readout… and engage with the FDA on the design of a Phase 3 program in acute pancreatitis with SIRS in the next few months.” — CEO Rachel Leheny, Ph.D. .
- “Auxora… promising candidate for… AP… and AKI… we continue to make progress in KOURAGE… topline data expected in 2025.” — CEO Rachel Leheny, Ph.D. .
Q&A Highlights
No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was found for CALC; therefore, Q&A highlights and any guidance clarifications from a call are unavailable [ListDocuments: earnings-call-transcript returned 0].
Estimates Context
- FY 2024 EPS came in at -$1.22 vs consensus -$1.2575, a modest beat; Revenue remains at $0.00 as a clinical-stage company. Bolded below; values from S&P Global*.
- Q4 2024 EPS was not disclosed separately by the company; consensus for Q4 2024 EPS is -$0.3525; consensus revenue $0.00*.
- Target Price Consensus Mean is $16.25; consensus recommendation text was unavailable*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Liquidity improved and runway extended into mid-2026 via a $32.5M credit facility ($10M funded), reducing near-term financing overhang and supporting upcoming data and regulatory milestones .
- Clinical narrative strengthened: CARPO full data (win ratio, respiratory failure reductions) and CARDEA AKI post-hoc mortality benefit build cross-indication confidence for Auxora ahead of KOURAGE readout .
- AP Phase 3 path is clearer with EOP2 mid-2025 and year-end initiation targeted (funding dependent); monitor financing cadence and any partnership updates .
- Operating discipline: sharp G&A reduction post-merger and improved net loss driven by non-cash fair value adjustments; investors should normalize for instrument-driven other income in assessing core cash burn .
- Near-term trading catalysts: KOURAGE enrollment updates, EOP2 scheduling/feedback, potential draw of additional credit tranches, and additional AP/AKI data disclosures .
- Consensus EPS beat for FY 2024 is modest; with no product revenue, stock reaction remains tied to clinical/regulatory milestones and financing signals rather than quarterly P&L variance .
- Leadership upgrade (CFO) supports capital markets execution ahead of pivotal work; watch for structured financing/partnering that could de-risk AP Phase 3 initiation .