CF
CAL-MAINE FOODS INC (CALM)·Q2 2021 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue increased to $347.3M (+11.5% YoY) with a return to profitability at $0.25 diluted EPS vs ($0.21) YoY as retail demand stayed strong, while foodservice remained below pre-pandemic levels .
- Dozens sold hit a second-quarter record at 273.7M (+4.8% YoY) and production-to-sales ratio reached a quarterly high of 92.1%, supporting improved operating leverage despite holiday pricing lacking a typical spike .
- Specialty eggs revenue rose to $134.1M (39.7% of egg sales), driven by a 17.7% increase in specialty dozens; cage-free investments continue with $405M deployed and $57.8M committed (including a $40.1M KY conversion) .
- No dividend under the variable policy given cumulative losses to recover of $8.6M; management flagged rising feed costs from mid-quarter and ongoing volatility risk into 2H FY21 .
- S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable; therefore, beat/miss vs Street cannot be assessed this quarter (consensus data not retrieved from S&P Global).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record Q2 volume: “highest total dozens sold of any second quarter” at 273.7M (+4.8% YoY); production-to-sales ratio a quarterly high at 92.1% .
- Mix and specialty momentum: Specialty revenue $134.1M (39.7% of egg sales); specialty dozens +17.7%; demand benefitted from higher conventional prices .
- Profitability inflection: Operating income of $14.5M vs ($16.6M) YoY, aided by a 2.6% decrease in farm production cost per dozen ($0.019) and better feed conversion .
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What Went Wrong
- Holiday pricing: No typical Thanksgiving seasonal spike; UB Southeastern Large peaked at $1.30 (Oct 8) then ended at $1.20, pressuring late-quarter price realization .
- Foodservice still weak: Demand “well below pre-pandemic levels,” limiting pricing power even as retail remained strong .
- Feed cost headwinds emerging: Feed costs started trending higher mid-quarter; volatility expected due to export demand (corn/soy), COVID-19 supply chain issues, weather, and trade/tariff uncertainties .
Financial Results
Multi-period comparison (oldest → newest)
YoY snapshot for the current quarter
Segment/Mix and Pricing
KPIs and Cost Drivers
Notes: Gross/operating/net margin percentages are calculated by us from company-reported net sales and profit measures; inputs cited in each cell.
Guidance Changes
CALM does not issue formal quantitative guidance; management provided qualitative commentary as above.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
No Q2 FY2021 earnings call transcript was available in our source set; themes below are synthesized from management’s press releases for the current and prior two quarters.
Management Commentary
- “Our results… reflect favorable demand trends for shell eggs, primarily at the retail level… For the second quarter, total dozens sold were up 4.8%… highest total dozens sold of any second quarter… our ratio of total dozens produced to total dozens sold was the highest of any quarterly period at 92.1%.” — Dolph Baker, Chairman & CEO .
- “Sales of specialty eggs totaled $134.1 million, accounting for 39.7% of our egg sales revenue… 17.7% increase in specialty dozens sold.” .
- “We have invested approximately $405 million… and committed another $57.8 million… including the latest $40.1 million conversion project… in Guthrie, Kentucky.” .
- “Farm production costs per dozen… decreased 2.6%… primarily due to slightly lower feed costs and more favorable feed conversion. However, feed costs started trending higher midway through the second quarter… increased export demand for both soybeans and corn is placing pressure on domestic supplies.” .
- “We… will not pay a dividend with respect to the second quarter… As of November 28, 2020, the amount of cumulative losses to be recovered before payment of a dividend was $8.6 million.” .
Q&A Highlights
No earnings call transcript for Q2 FY2021 was available in our document set; therefore, Q&A themes and management responses could not be reviewed.
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates (revenue and EPS) for Q2 FY2021 were unavailable; as a result, we cannot assess beat/miss vs Street or estimate dispersion this quarter (consensus data not retrieved from S&P Global).
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Retail demand remained robust, driving an 11.5% YoY sales increase and a return to positive EPS; however, lack of a holiday price spike and weaker foodservice tempered margins .
- Specialty egg momentum and mix shift are clear positives (39.7% of egg sales; specialty dozens +17.7%), supporting structural margin resilience over time .
- Volume execution was strong (record Q2 dozens sold; high production-to-sales ratio), aiding operating leverage even with pricing headwinds .
- Feed cost inflation risk is rising into 2H FY2021 given grain export demand and supply chain uncertainties; margin volatility likely increases near term .
- Cage-free capex commitment continues, positioning CALM for regulatory and customer mandates and potential share gains as demand migrates to cage-free .
- Dividend remains on hold until cumulative losses are recovered ($8.6M at Q2-end), a near-term investor yield headwind but reflective of the variable policy discipline .
- With no formal guidance and unavailable Street consensus, near-term stock moves will likely hinge on spot egg pricing, grain cost trends, and pace of foodservice recovery, with upside leverage to seasonal and mix improvements .