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CARVER BANCORP INC (CARV)·Q2 2017 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • CARVER BANCORP reported a Q2 FY2017 net loss of $0.252M ($0.07/share) vs. a loss of $0.156M ($0.04/share) in Q2 FY2016 and vs. Q1 FY2017 net income of $0.408M ($0.04/share); net interest margin compressed to 2.89% and the efficiency ratio deteriorated to 106.7% on higher legal/audit and compliance staffing costs .
  • Asset quality improved: non-performing assets fell to 1.55% of assets (from 2.36% in Q1), non-performing loans declined to $8.6M, and the bank sold $4.6M of held-for-sale loans at par during the quarter; management also reduced non-owner occupied CRE concentration from 494% (3/31/16) to 449% (9/30/16) .
  • Interest expense rose partly due to a discrete $0.183M charge to bring deferred debenture dividends current, while net interest income declined on lower loan yields; non-interest expense increased on legal/audit and regulatory compliance investments tied to prior restatement and going concern matters (since eliminated) .
  • No formal guidance or earnings call transcript was available in filings; near-term stock narrative likely centers on ongoing compliance execution, CRE de-risking, and sustaining deposit momentum from community initiatives (e.g., IDNYC outreach) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Asset quality strengthened: NPAs fell to $10.9M (1.55% of assets) and NPLs declined to $8.6M; the bank sold $4.6M of HFS loans at par in Q2, improving credit metrics .
    • Strategic de-risking: management reduced non-owner occupied CRE concentration to 449% (from 494% at 3/31/16) as part of a portfolio diversification plan and transferred $15.0M to HFS for sale to further lower CRE exposure .
    • Community engagement supported franchise health: IDNYC initiatives helped open ~100 accounts; earlier, Carver saw ~1,200 new accounts and ~$4.0M in July 2016 deposits, highlighting brand momentum in core communities .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Margin and earnings pressure: Net interest margin fell to 2.89% (vs. 3.17% in Q1 and 3.37% YoY), while efficiency ratio worsened to 106.69%, driving a net loss in Q2 .
    • Elevated operating costs: Non-interest expense rose to $6.57M (+6.0% YoY) driven by legal/audit tied to the FY2015 restatement and upgraded compliance infrastructure; data processing and other line items also increased .
    • Higher interest expense: Q2 included $0.183M of additional interest to settle 19 quarters of deferred debenture dividends; deposit mix (more CDs) also lifted funding costs .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 FY2016 (3 months to 9/30/2015)Q1 FY2017 (3 months to 6/30/2016)Q2 FY2017 (3 months to 9/30/2016)
Net Interest Income ($USD Millions)$5.637 $5.665 $4.883
Non-Interest Income ($USD Millions)$1.131 $1.163 $1.278
Total Net Revenue ($USD Millions) = NII + Non-Interest Income$6.768 $6.828 $6.161
Provision for (Recovery of) Loan Losses ($USD Millions)$0.643 $(0.204) $(0.160)
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(0.156) $0.408 $(0.252)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.04) $0.04 $(0.07)
Net Interest Margin (%)3.37% 3.17% 2.89%
Efficiency Ratio (%)91.64% 96.47% 106.69%

KPIs and Balance Sheet/Capital

KPIQ2 FY2016Q1 FY2017Q2 FY2017
Non-Performing Loans ($USD Millions)$6.484 (Sep-2015) $9.505 (Jun-2016) $8.561 (Sep-2016)
NPL / Total Loans (%)1.15% (Sep-2015) 1.69% (Jun-2016) 1.62% (Sep-2016)
Non-Performing Assets / Total Assets (%)1.74% (Sep-2015) 2.36% (Jun-2016) 1.55% (Sep-2016)
Tier 1 Leverage Ratio (%)10.14% (Sep-2015) 9.18% (Jun-2016) 9.48% (Sep-2016)
CET1 Capital Ratio (%)13.15% (Sep-2015) 13.03% (Jun-2016) 13.38% (Sep-2016)
Total Risk-Based Capital Ratio (%)14.64% (Sep-2015) 14.43% (Jun-2016) 14.73% (Sep-2016)
Deposits ($USD Millions, period-end)$579.9 (Jun-2016) $583.6 (Sep-2016)
Gross Loans ($USD Millions, period-end)$561.7 (Jun-2016) $529.1 (Sep-2016)
Loans Transferred to HFS in Period ($USD Millions)$3.4 sold at par in July; HFS $5.8 (Jun-2016) $15.0 transferred to HFS (Sep-2016)

Notes: “Total Net Revenue” shown for comparability equals net interest income + total non-interest income (bank convention).

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
No formal guidance provided in the Q2 FY2017 earnings press release .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2)Previous Mentions (Q-1 FY2017)Current Period (Q2 FY2017)Trend
Regulatory/complianceOCC Formal Agreement (May 24, 2016) set requirements for strategic plan, capital, CRE concentration, and BSA remediation .Higher legal/audit and staffing costs to strengthen regulatory and compliance infrastructure .Board and management “continue to emphasize compliance with regulatory standards and guidelines” .Sustained investment and oversight.
CRE concentrationBegan targeted reduction in non-owner occupied CRE; loans moved to HFS .Non-owner occupied CRE concentration lowered from 494% to 449% (3/31 to 9/30) .De-risking continues.
Asset qualityNPLs decreased 31.9% to $9.5M; HFS sale at par in July .NPAs down to 1.55% of assets; NPLs to $8.6M; $4.6M HFS sale at par in Q2 .Improving.
Margin/fundingNIM 3.17%; deposit mix shifting (more CDs) .NIM 2.89%; interest expense included $0.183M catch-up on trust debentures .Margin pressure near term.
Community/deposits~1,200 new accounts and ~$4.0M deposits in July 2016 .IDNYC outreach/pop-up led to ~100 accounts opened; mission focus reiterated .Continued community engagement.

Management Commentary

  • “Strengthening our asset quality by reducing non-performing loans and other assets is a key element of our plan… non-performing loans to total loans declined to 1.62%… non-performing assets to total assets declined to 1.55%” — Michael T. Pugh, President & CEO .
  • “We have sought to diversify our loan portfolio and to reduce our concentrations in commercial real estate… non-owner occupied CRE loan concentration declined from 494% at March 31, 2016 to 449% at September 30, 2016” .
  • “We are pleased to report that approximately 100 bank accounts have been opened at Carver branches using IDNYC” .
  • Prior quarter context: “We are pleased with the first quarter… results were driven by… grow[ing] interest income through loans, while… mindful of asset quality” .
  • Prior quarter community momentum: “For the month of July 2016, Carver opened approximately 1,200 new accounts and took in approximately $4.0 million in new deposits” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Not included; the Q2 FY2017 filing set contains the earnings press release but does not include an earnings call transcript .

Estimates Context

  • We were unable to retrieve S&P Global consensus estimates for CARV’s Q2 FY2017 EPS and revenue; as such, no beat/miss analysis versus Wall Street is included.
  • Given micro-cap coverage and bank-specific reporting (NII/non-interest income vs. “revenue”), sell-side coverage may be limited, and estimate revisions will likely focus on margin trajectory, credit costs, and compliance-related expense run-rate .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Asset quality inflected positively (NPA and NPL down; HFS sales at par), which should lower loss content and support capital over time if sustained .
  • Earnings pressure near term stems from lower loan yields, NIM compression (2.89%), and elevated compliance/legal costs (efficiency ratio 106.7%); watch for normalization of one-time trust debenture interest and progress on cost control .
  • Strategic CRE de-risking (449% N-O-O CRE concentration vs. 494% at FY start) reduces concentration risk but weighs on loan balances near term; monitor loan growth resumption post-optimization .
  • Capital remains adequate (CET1 13.38%; Total RBC 14.73%); improved asset quality and lower NPAs enhance flexibility, though deposit mix and funding costs bear watching .
  • Community initiatives (IDNYC, prior account/deposit inflows) reinforce franchise relevance and could support low-cost deposit growth, aiding NIM stabilization longer term .
  • With limited or no published guidance, focus on sequential NIM, efficiency, and credit metrics as the key drivers for estimate recalibration and potential stock catalysts .

Citations:

  • Q2 FY2017 earnings press release and financial tables
  • Q1 FY2017 earnings press release and financial tables
  • OCC Formal Agreement summary (regulatory backdrop)