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CI

CBIZ, Inc. (CBZ)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered mixed results: Adjusted EPS of $1.01 rose 8.5% YoY and beat S&P Global consensus, while revenue of $693.8M grew 58.1% YoY but came in modestly below consensus; management maintained full-year revenue, adjusted EPS, and adjusted EBITDA guidance .
  • EPS beat drivers included lower incentive compensation, stronger scale benefits, and tax planning; interest expense rose sharply YoY on higher debt from the Marcum acquisition .
  • Revenue softness versus consensus was concentrated in Benefits & Insurance amid a soft P&C market; advisory demand improved versus the first half and core accounting/tax remained resilient .
  • Catalysts into Q4/FY: synergy target raised to $50M+, operational excellence initiative to improve utilization, and improved market conditions supporting discretionary advisory; integration costs for 2025 increased to $89M to accelerate streamlining .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Adjusted EPS of $1.01 (+8.5% YoY) beat Wall Street consensus; adjusted EBITDA rose 57.4% YoY to $120.0M as scale benefits and lower incentive comp supported margins .
  • Financial Services segment revenue rose ~80% YoY to $579M; pricing exhibited mid-single-digit rate increases exceeding inflation, with improved advisory demand versus H1 .
  • Management highlighted stronger-than-expected synergy capture and strategic progress: “We have updated our synergy goal from the acquisition to a total of $50 million or more…expect to realize $35 million in synergies this year” .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP EPS of $0.48 declined 31.4% YoY, reflecting materially higher interest expense ($28M vs. $5M YoY) on acquisition financing and integration-related adjustments .
  • Benefits & Insurance segment was soft, tied to a weak P&C market and discretionary project softness, partially offsetting strength in core accounting/tax .
  • 2025 integration costs were lifted by $14M to $89M, largely severance-related; real estate consolidation work (a key synergy lever) remains ahead, delaying some cost take-out to 2026 .

Financial Results

Consolidated trends: Q1 → Q2 → Q3 2025

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$838.0 $683.5 $693.8
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$1.91 $0.66 $0.48
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$2.29 $0.95 $1.01
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$237.6 $117.2 $120.0
Gross Margin %27.2% 12.9% 13.0%
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$200.0 $60.3 $58.9
Operating Margin %23.9% 8.9% 8.5%
Interest Expense ($USD Millions)$25.2 $27.9 $28.0
Net Income ($USD Millions)$122.8 $41.9 $30.1

Year-over-year: Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024

MetricQ3 2024Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$438.9 $693.8
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.70 $0.48
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.93 $1.01
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$76.3 $120.0
Gross Margin %16.6% 13.0%
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$49.7 $58.9

Segment breakdown (Q3)

SegmentRevenue Q3 2024 ($M)Revenue Q3 2025 ($M)Gross Margin Q3 2024 ($M)Gross Margin Q3 2025 ($M)
Financial Services$322.3 $578.5 $61.7 $94.7
Benefits & Insurance Services$104.0 $103.4 $21.1 $19.3
National Practices$12.5 $11.9 $1.45 $1.22
Total$438.9 $693.8 $72.9 $90.1

KPIs and Balance Metrics (quarter-end)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
DSO (days)96 87 94
Shares Outstanding (millions)54.089 54.024 54.104
Total Long-term Debt, net ($M)$1,462.5 $1,488.2 $1,502.6
Total Short-term Debt, net ($M)$66.2 $66.3 $66.3
Cash and Cash Equivalents ($M)$8.85 $39.82 $16.97
Funds Held for Clients ($M)$140.93 $118.88 $127.78
Debt-to-Equity (%)79.8% 82.2% 83.8%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total Revenue ($B)FY 2025$2.8–$2.95 $2.8–$2.95 Maintained
Effective Tax Rate (%)FY 2025~29% ~29% Maintained
Weighted Avg Fully Diluted Shares (M)FY 202564.5–65.0 64.5–65.0 Maintained
GAAP Fully Diluted EPS ($)FY 2025$1.97–$2.02 $1.97–$2.02 Maintained
Adjusted Fully Diluted EPS ($)FY 2025$3.60–$3.65 $3.60–$3.65 Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY 2025$450–$456 $450–$456 Maintained
Integration Costs ($M)FY 2025$75 (prior modeling) $89 (updated) Raised
Synergy Target ($M)FY 2025–2026$25 (original) $50+ total; $35 in 2025 realized Raised

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
AI/Technology initiativesEmphasis on technology investments; deepened Suralink relationship (efficiency/collaboration) Launched “CBIZ Vertical Vector AI” platform; 60+ Transformation & Innovation team; tech/offshoring scale-up Improving
Pricing and rate realizationHistorically mid-single-digit; resilience noted Mid-single-digit increases exceeding inflation; competing favorably Stable to Improving
Advisory demand/M&A-sensitive projectsQ1: uncertainty expected to impact non-recurring services Advisory demand improved vs H1; expecting continued Q4 strength Improving
Insurance/P&C marketB&I grew modestly in H1 B&I revenues soft due to P&C market and discretionary project softness Softening
Regulatory/tax environmentOngoing risk disclosures; tax rate ~29% OV(B)PA driving client engagement and some revenue lift Improving
Synergies & integration costsInitial $25M synergy target; ongoing integration costs Synergy target raised to $50M+; 2025 integration costs increased to $89M; real estate actions ahead Improving synergies; near-term cost uptick
Capital allocation/leverageMaintain investment, deleveraging, opportunistic buybacks $56M Q3 buybacks; $128M YTD; delever to 2–2.5x now targeted by 2027 due to buybacks Balanced; delever timeline extended

Management Commentary

  • “We are seeing strong validation of the Marcum acquisition, including better than expected synergies…well positioned to drive sustainable long-term growth” .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA margin increased approximately 325 bps YoY…lower incentive compensation expense representing ~250 bps of the improvement” .
  • “We have updated our synergy goal…to $50 million or more. We expect to realize $35 million in synergies this year…majority of the balance in 2026” .
  • “Pricing…mid-single digits…above what we’re hearing some competitors…reflects strong client relationships” .
  • “Benefits & Insurance revenues were a little soft…tied to soft P&C market and discretionary project softness” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Pricing durability: Management expects mid-single-digit rate realization to persist into 2026 and beyond, exceeding inflation and reflecting service value .
  • Client/partner retention: No notable loss of rainmaking partners; client retention tracking ahead of modeled conflicts from the acquisition .
  • Integration cost mix: 2025 integration costs ($89M) skewed to severance; 2026 expected to shift more to facilities/real estate actions .
  • Macro influences: Rate cuts viewed as supportive to discretionary projects; limited shutdown impact except timing delays in government healthcare consulting .
  • Pro forma Q4 trajectory: Management suggested ~6–8% YoY pro forma revenue growth adjusting for conflicts and SEC/capital markets bleed-off .

Estimates Context

MetricConsensus (Q3 2025)Actual (Q3 2025)Surprise
Primary EPS ($)0.897*1.01 +$0.11 (Beat)*
Revenue ($USD Millions)709.18*693.82 -$15.36 (Miss)*

Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global. EBITDA consensus mean was 115.02* vs S&P’s EBITDA actual 102.996*, which may not be directly comparable to company-reported adjusted EBITDA of $120.0M ; definition differences should be considered.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • EPS beat with revenue slightly below consensus; strength in core accounting/tax and improved advisory offset a soft P&C insurance backdrop. Focus near term on discretionary advisory momentum into Q4 .
  • Margins benefited from lower incentive comp and scale; watch normalization of incentive comp in 2026 and incremental synergies/real estate actions for margin trajectory .
  • Interest expense remains elevated due to acquisition financing; deleveraging to 2–2.5x now expected by 2027 given opportunistic buybacks .
  • Synergy target raised to $50M+ (with $35M realized in 2025), a medium-term margin and cash flow lever; execution on real estate consolidation is the next catalyst .
  • Benefits & Insurance softness tied to P&C market conditions; stabilization or improvement would be upside to revenue mix .
  • Technology/AI initiatives (Vertical Vector AI, offshoring scale-up) support efficiency and differentiation; monitor adoption and client wins as a secular tailwind .
  • Near-term trading lens: EPS beat vs revenue miss and maintained FY guidance likely anchor sentiment; estimate revisions should bias toward EPS/margin resilience while revenue expectations may ease given B&I headwinds.*

Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.