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Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. (CCAP)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 results were steady on earnings but softer on revenue: Net investment income (NII) per share was $0.46, flat QoQ and down YoY, while investment income fell to $41.4M; EPS was $0.19 and NAV/share declined to $19.28 on realized/unrealized losses tied to tariff-impacted portfolio names . Versus consensus, EPS was essentially in-line and revenue was a modest miss (about $1.0M) as fee income softened QoQ .
- Dividend support remains solid: management highlighted 110% base dividend coverage and declared a Q4 2025 base dividend of $0.42 per share; leverage remained at 1.23x with improved cost of debt, preserving flexibility .
- NAV fell QoQ to $19.28 from $19.55, primarily due to losses in certain portfolio companies with weakened outlooks from tariff headwinds; management expects a more accommodative rate backdrop to support origination going forward .
- Watch items into Q4: revenue sensitivity to lower base rates, fee income variability, and any incremental non-accruals; management indicated no material non-recurring items this quarter and emphasized disciplined underwriting and robust origination pipeline .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Stable earnings power and dividend coverage: NII/share of $0.46 covered the $0.42 base dividend; management stated coverage was 110% and reiterated confidence in dividend sustainability despite rate cuts .
- Balance sheet flexibility improved marginally: weighted avg cost of debt declined to 5.99% from 6.09% QoQ; undrawn revolver capacity rose to $239.8M; leverage at 1.23x remained below the 1.30x upper target range noted on the call .
- Portfolio composition stable with high floating-rate exposure: 97.4% of debt investments are floating rate; unitranche first lien remains the core at ~66% of portfolio fair value .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue softness and slight miss vs Street: investment income declined to $41.4M from $43.0M QoQ and $51.6M YoY; consensus was ~$42.35M, implying a ~$1.0M miss as fee income moderated .
- NAV decline driven by portfolio marks: NAV/share fell to $19.28 from $19.55 QoQ, with realized/unrealized losses tied to tariff-impacted companies; management cited tariff-related headwinds on certain borrowers’ outlooks .
- Credit watch items: third-party call coverage highlighted two new non-accruals and cautioned base rate declines could pressure NII; fee income was below historical run rate (management said no material non-recurring items) .
Financial Results
Core P&L and NAV
Estimates vs Actuals (S&P Global consensus)
Portfolio Asset Mix
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Note: CCAP does not issue formal financial guidance; dividend declarations serve as the clearest forward indicator .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Earnings continue to remain in excess of our dividend, 110% base dividend coverage for the quarter.” — Jason Breaux, CEO .
- “Net asset value was $19.28 per share as of September 30th, compared to $19.55 per share as of June 30th. The quarter-over-quarter decline was primarily due to unrealized and realized losses stemming from certain portfolio companies that have demonstrated weakened operating outlooks due to tariffs.” — Management remarks .
- “We ended the quarter with net debt to equity of 1.20x, below the upper end of our 1.30x target range… a more accommodative rate environment should serve as a tailwind for new deal activity.” — Management .
- “Origination spreads around 500 bps over the baseline… fee income was lower than the historical run rate; no material non-recurring items this quarter.” — Henry Chung (spreads) and Gerhard Lombard (fees/non-recurring) .
Q&A Highlights
- Dividend coverage and spillover: Analysts probed coverage durability; management reiterated 110% coverage and confidence in sustainability amid lower base rates .
- Tariff impacts and credit: Questions centered on the tariff-driven marks and any spread compression; management emphasized disciplined underwriting and stable spreads (~500 bps over base) .
- Supplemental dividend framework: Management indicated no Q4 supplemental under the variable framework given the cap mechanics this quarter .
- Balance sheet & pipeline: Discussion highlighted leverage below the 1.30x upper bound and a robust origination pipeline supported by Crescent’s platform .
Estimates Context
- EPS came essentially in-line with consensus for Q3 ($0.46 vs $0.462*), while revenue modestly missed ($41.35M vs $42.35M*), mainly on lighter fee income QoQ; prior quarters show similar near-in-line EPS with more variability on revenue .
- Given lower base rates and fee-income variability, Street models may edge down near-term revenue while holding NII relatively stable if origination volumes and spreads remain supportive .
* Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Earnings resilient: NII/share held at $0.46 with strong dividend coverage, despite modest top-line softness; focus on the durability of coverage as base rates drift lower .
- NAV watch: Tariff-driven realized/unrealized losses lowered NAV/share to $19.28; monitor credit migration and any further macro-sensitive names .
- Balance sheet optionality: Lower cost of debt and ample undrawn capacity ($239.8M) support selective growth; leverage at 1.23x affords room vs 1.30x upper bound .
- Pipeline and spreads supportive: Origination spreads ~500 bps over base and a robust Crescent platform pipeline should help offset some rate headwinds .
- Revenue variability: Fee income was below historical run rate, contributing to the revenue miss; near-term revenue could remain choppy even if core interest income stays consistent .
- Dividend signaling: Q4 base dividend maintained at $0.42; no Q4 supplemental under the framework this quarter, an incremental negative vs prior special payments, but coverage remains healthy .
- Trading setup: The narrative hinges on credit marks (tariffs), revenue normalization (fees), and sustained dividend coverage; any signs of additional non-accruals or further tariff fallout are potential downside catalysts, while stronger origination volume and stable spreads could be upside drivers .
Sources: Q3 2025 8-K and press release , Q3 press release –, Q2 2025 8-K/press release – –, Q1 2025 press release –, and earnings call coverage .