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CROWN CASTLE INC. (CCI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Beat-and-raise quarter: Q3 revenue ($1.072B) and diluted EPS ($0.74) exceeded S&P Global consensus of $1.05B* and $0.53*, respectively; management raised FY25 midpoints for Site Rental Revenues (+$10M), Adjusted EBITDA (+$30M), and AFFO (+$40M) .
  • Organic growth remained healthy at 5.2% ex-Sprint cancellations, offset by headwinds from lower straight-lined revenues (-$39M) and lower amortization of prepaid rent (-$17M) versus prior year .
  • Balance sheet steady: ~84% fixed-rate debt, ~6-year weighted average debt maturity, ~$4.2B revolver availability vs. ~$2.7B maturities over next 12 months, supporting liquidity and capital allocation priorities .
  • Capital return: Board declared $1.0625 dividend (payable Dec 31, 2025); payout cadence and AFFO-based policy remain intact as CCI transitions to a pure-play U.S. tower model post Fiber sale (expected 1H26) .
  • Potential stock catalysts: beat/raise, improving service margins and operating efficiency, and reiterated contract confidence with EchoStar/DISH amid spectrum redeployments (management: “we expect to be paid per the terms of the agreement”) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Solid organic growth: “5.2% organic growth… excluding the impact of Sprint Cancellations,” with core leasing and escalators contributing positively (Q3) .
  • Outlook raised: FY25 midpoints increased for Site Rental Revenues (+$10M), Adjusted EBITDA (+$30M), AFFO (+$40M), citing stronger demand and cost efficiencies .
  • Strategic clarity: New CEO emphasized U.S.-only tower focus and operating improvements: “investing in our systems… streamlining processes… drive efficiencies,” positioning for attractive risk-adjusted returns .

What Went Wrong

  • YoY pressure from revenue recognition and churn: site rental revenues fell 5.1% YoY on -$39M straight-lined revenue and -$17M amortized prepaid rent; Sprint cancellations (-$51M) also weighed on GAAP site rental revenues .
  • Profitability compression vs. prior year: Adjusted EBITDA ($718M) and AFFO/share ($1.12) declined 8% and 7% YoY, respectively, despite organic growth ex-Sprint cancellations .
  • Ongoing Sprint headwind: Non-renewals tied to T-Mobile/Sprint consolidation continue through FY25, with management highlighting organic growth ex-Sprint in both results and guidance .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025Q3 2025 Consensus
Net Revenues ($B)$1.120 $1.060 $1.072 $1.0529*
Site Rental Revenues ($B)$1.066 $1.008 $1.012
Diluted EPS ($)$0.70 $0.67 $0.74 $0.53*
Adjusted EBITDA ($B)$0.777 $0.705 $0.718 EBITDA $0.6935* (SPGI est.)
AFFO ($B)$0.525 $0.444 $0.490
AFFO per Share ($)$1.20 $1.02 $1.12 FFO/share $0.918*
EBITDA Margin %69.4%*64.4%*64.9%*
Net Income Margin %27.1%*27.5%*30.1%*
  • Notes: consensus values marked with * come from S&P Global; margins marked with * from S&P Global. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment/KPI detail – Site Rental Drivers (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024)

Component ($M)Q3 2025Q3 2024
Prior year site rental billings995 952
Core leasing activity33 27
Escalators24 23
Non-renewals(7) (8)
Other billings2
Organic Contribution (Adj. for Sprint)52 43
Sprint cancellations(51)
Straight-lined revenues(11) 28
Amortization of prepaid rent23 39
Other revenues4 4
Total Site Rental Revenues1,012 1,066

Additional KPIs

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Organic Contribution to Site Rental Billings (Adj. for Sprint), $M49 45 52
Capital Expenditures ($M)40 40 42
Common Dividend per Share ($)1.565 1.0625 1.0625
Debt Mix / Maturities~84% fixed, ~6-yr WAM; ~$4.2B revolver availability vs. ~$2.7B 12-mo maturities

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (mid)Current Guidance (mid)Change
Site Rental Revenues ($M)FY254,020 4,030 Raised $10M
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY252,805 2,835 Raised $30M
AFFO ($M)FY251,830 1,870 Raised $40M
AFFO per Share ($)FY254.20 4.29 Raised $0.09
Interest Expense, net ($M)FY25972–1,017 957–1,002 Lowered ~$15M (mid)
Site Rental Costs of Ops ($M)FY25972–1,017 967–1,012 Improved ~$5M (mid)
Services & Other Gross Margin ($M)FY2575–105 80–110 Raised ~$5M (mid)
SG&AFY25-$10M vs prev. outlookLowered
Discretionary Capex ($M)FY25185 155 Lowered $30M

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 2025 (prior two quarters)Q2 2025 (prior quarter)Q3 2025 (current)Trend
Fiber sale timeline & separationSale announced; targeting 1H26; early regulatory steps “On track” 1H26; DOJ second request progress Reiterated 1H26 close expectation Steady progress
Operating efficiency & systemsCost control; beginning systems/process upgrades Shorter cycle times; SG&A down $10M YoY; services margin improved CEO priority: invest in systems, streamline processes, drive efficiencies Improving
Organic growth & leasing5.1% organic (ex-Sprint); activity consistent 4.7% organic (ex-Sprint); activity broad-based 5.2% organic (ex-Sprint); one-time ~$5M uplift; 4Q expected to normalize Healthy
Sprint cancellationsHeadwind highlighted; 2025 focus on ex-Sprint -$51M quarterly headwind continues -$51M again in Q3; FY guide shows 4.7% organic ex-Sprint Ongoing headwind
EchoStar/DISH exposureDISH ~5% tower revenues; contract through 2036; confident in payment Reiterated confidence: “expect to be paid per the terms” De-risked by contract
Capital allocationDividend reset to $4.25 annualized from Q2; IG leverage target 6–6.5x; buybacks post-close Reinforced framework; debt reduction then buybacks Reiterated; dividend paid Q3 and declared post-Q3 Stable
AI/technology demandDiscussed potential AI-driven traffic over time; too early to quantify CEO cites rising data demand and spectrum pipeline as long-term driver Long-term tailwind

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered strong operational and financial results in the third quarter and are increasing full year 2025 Outlook as we continue to find opportunities to operate more efficiently.” – CEO Chris Hillabrant .
  • “Our third quarter results… demonstrated the solid performance of our tower business… we are well to meet our updated full year 2025 Outlook… [with] approximately 84% fixed rate debt, [~6-year] weighted average debt maturity, and approximately $4.2 billion of availability under our revolving credit facility” – CFO Sunit Patel .
  • “To maximize organic growth while enhancing profitability as a standalone tower company, we are investing in our systems… streamlining processes… and continuing to drive efficiencies across the business.” – CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • EchoStar/DISH payments: Management reiterated confidence in the master lease agreement through 2036 and “expect to be paid per the terms” .
  • Spectrum redeployment impact: More spectrum bands and growing data demand generally favor towers over time; near-term effects depend on carrier deployment choices .
  • Efficiency progress: Some third-quarter leasing uplift (~$5M) was timing-related; expect 4Q leasing to align with 1H levels; multi-year runway for systems/process automation and ground lease buys .
  • M&A/market dynamics: Minimal exposure to U.S. Cellular; private market tower multiples remain elevated vs. public; focus remains U.S. tower-only, high bar for M&A .
  • Capex pacing: FY discretionary capex lowered due to timing; expect continued investments ($150–$250M annually post-close) in tower mods, land, and technology .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 revenue beat: $1.072B actual vs $1.0529B consensus*; Q3 diluted EPS beat: $0.74 vs $0.53 consensus* .
  • EBITDA context: SPGI EBITDA actual of ~$696M vs ~$693.5M consensus*, while company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was $718M (definitions differ; company Adjusted EBITDA excludes additional items) .
  • FFO/share beat: Q3 FFO/share $1.01 vs $0.918 consensus* .
  • Outlook: FY25 midpoints raised for Site Rental Revenues, Adjusted EBITDA, AFFO, and AFFO/share (see Guidance Changes) .
  • Estimates marked with * come from S&P Global. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Beat/raise quarter strengthens near-term narrative; consensus likely moves higher on EPS/FFO and EBITDA given the guidance lift and demonstrated operating leverage .
  • Underlying demand robust: 5.2% organic growth (ex-Sprint), improving services gross margin, and a constructive multi-year spectrum pipeline support medium-term growth .
  • Headwinds mostly non-cash and transitory: Lower straight-lined revenues and amortization of prepaid rent are depressing GAAP comparisons; ex-Sprint, organic trends remain solid .
  • Capital allocation visibility: Dividend maintained at $1.0625 quarterly; post-sale framework targets 75–80% payout of AFFO (ex-prepaid rent), with debt reduction and buybacks enhancing per-share growth .
  • Balance sheet resilience: High fixed-rate mix and ample revolver capacity reduce rate/refinancing risk through the sale close and beyond .
  • Watch items: Timing of Fiber sale approvals (1H26 goal), pace of efficiency realization, trajectory of Sprint churn abatement, and EchoStar/DISH developments .
  • Trading lens: Positive setup on improved FY25 outlook and beats; definitional EBITDA differences vs. SPGI should be communicated when benchmarking to street models .

Appendix: Additional Data Tables

Components of Changes in Site Rental Revenues (FY25 Outlook)

Component ($M)FY25 Current OutlookFY25 Previous Outlook
Site rental revenues4,007–4,052 3,997–4,042
Core leasing activity110–120 110–120
Escalators90–100 90–100
Non-renewals(25)–(35) (25)–(35)
Other billings5 5
Sprint cancellations(205) (205)
Straight-lined revenues(5) to 25 (15) to 15
Amortization of prepaid rent80–110 80–110

Dividend Declaration (Post-Q3)

ItemDetail
Dividend per common share$1.0625; payable Dec 31, 2025 (record date Dec 15)

Non-GAAP notes: Company highlights Adjusted EBITDA, AFFO, FFO (including per share) as performance measures and discloses reconciliations; AFFO excludes straight-lined revenues/expenses and sustaining capex; Adjusted EBITDA excludes D&A, interest, taxes, stock-based comp, discontinued ops, and other items .