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CI

Cardlytics, Inc. (CDLX)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 revenue was $52.0M, down 22% YoY and slightly below the prior guidance low-end ($52.2–$58.2M), while Adjusted EBITDA of $3.2M was above the high end of guidance, reflecting a leaner cost base and improved partner mix .
  • The company executed a 30% workforce reduction in October, targeting at least $26M in annualized cash savings and guiding Q4 Operating Expenses to $27–$28M (ex-SBC/severance), supporting positive Adjusted EBITDA expectation for Q4 and FY25 .
  • Content restrictions at the largest FI partner pressured billings and U.S. revenue; mitigation includes shifting volume to other FI partners, expanding CRP non-FI supply (e.g., OpenTable), and deeper engagement initiatives (category-level offers, “Double Days”) .
  • KPIs mixed: MQUs rose 21% YoY to 230.3M, but ACPU fell to $0.11 from $0.16; Adjusted Contribution margin hit a record 57.7% of revenue on improved bank economics; UK revenue grew 22% YoY .
  • Near-term stock catalysts: Q4 guide implies positive EBITDA despite top-line pressure; rapid progress shifting to a high-margin FI mix and CRP partner launches; execution on supply diversification and engagement could drive estimate revisions and sentiment .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record Adjusted Contribution margin as % of revenue (57.7%) driven by improved bank mix; Adjusted EBITDA of $3.2M beat the prior guidance range high and turned positive YoY .
  • MQUs rose 21% YoY to 230.3M, reflecting full ramp of new FI partners; UK revenue grew 22% YoY with new logos and larger budgets from top accounts .
  • Strategic reset and cost actions: 30% workforce reduction and other spend cuts expected to deliver at least $26M annualized savings; CEO: “reset our business…set ourselves on a viable path to return to growth” .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue declined 22% YoY to $52.0M; ACPU compressed to $0.11 from $0.16 YoY as largest FI partner blocked advertiser content, driving billings declines and margin choppiness early in the quarter .
  • U.S. revenue (ex-Bridg) fell 28%; Bridg revenue declined 15% due to a lost major account in prior quarters, highlighting ongoing category and account concentration risks .
  • GAAP results burdened by a $58.8M impairment of goodwill and intangibles, contributing to a GAAP net loss of $(72.7)M and GAAP diluted EPS of $(1.36) .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$61.898 $63.249 $52.031
Adjusted Contribution ($USD Millions)$32.448$36.146 $30.030
Adjusted Contribution Margin (% of Revenue)52.4% 57.1% 57.7%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(4.384) $2.703 $3.204
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(13.282) $(9.283) $(72.673)
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.26) $(0.18) $(1.36)
Adjusted Net Loss per Share (Diluted) ($USD)$(0.21) $(0.13) $(0.07)
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$(10.809) $(3.431) $(2.703)

Segment breakdown (platform):

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Cardlytics Platform Revenue ($USD Millions)$56.435 $58.041 $46.962
Bridg Platform Revenue ($USD Millions)$5.463 $5.208 $5.069

KPIs:

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
MQUs (Millions)214.9 224.5 230.3
ACPU ($ per user)$0.13 $0.14 $0.11

Guidance Changes

Q4 2025 Guidance:

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Billings ($USD Millions)Q4 2025N/A$86.0–$96.0 Initiated
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q4 2025N/A$51.1–$59.1 Initiated
Adjusted Contribution ($USD Millions)Q4 2025N/A$29.0–$35.0 Initiated
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)Q4 2025N/A$0.9–$7.9 Initiated
Revenue/Billings Margin (%)Q4 2025N/ALow 60% Initiated
Adjusted Contribution Margin (% of Revenue)Q4 2025Mid-50% (Q2 guide) Mid–High 50% Raised/maintained high end
Operating Expenses excl. SBC & severance ($USD Millions)Q4 2025N/A$27–$28 Initiated

Q3 2025 Actual vs Prior Guidance (set on Aug 6):

MetricPeriodPrior Guidance (Aug 6)ActualOutcome
Billings ($USD Millions)Q3 2025$87.0–$95.0 $89.193 In-line
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q3 2025$52.2–$58.2 $52.031 Slight miss vs low-end
Adjusted Contribution ($USD Millions)Q3 2025$30.3–$34.3 $30.030 In-line at low-end
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)Q3 2025$(2.3)–$2.7 $3.204 Beat; above high-end

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025)Previous Mentions (Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Supply diversification (FI and non-FI)Launched CRP with first non-FI partner; newest large FI and neobank ramping; faster integrations (SDK/APIs) Scaling local offers and Rippl network; traction with retailers (Hy-Vee, Wegmans, Giant Eagle) Mitigating largest FI content restrictions by shifting volume to other banks; signed three new CRP partners incl. OpenTable Accelerating diversification
Advertiser demand and pricing74% on engagement-based pricing; targeting omnichannel behavior; Insights portal adoption Growing local offers and geo-targeting capabilities; multi-location performance reporting Strategic pricing to drive ROAS; most advertisers retained despite supply changes; pilots with athletic apparel and global hotel brands Stable to improving mix; competitive pricing
Technology/measurementModernizing tech; delivery issues largely resolved; geo-targeting enhancements MMM integrations and data feeds; expanding local/regional offers Models stabilized after July aberrations; integrating with partners’ dashboards; October billing margin improved Improving stability and measurement
Macro/tariffsConsumers front-running purchases ahead of tariffs; category softness (travel) Advertiser caution persists; everyday spend resilient Top-line pressured by FI content restrictions; holiday promotions starting earlier; U.K. strength Mixed macro; operational headwinds
Regional trends (U.K.)U.K. growth noted; new brands signed Strength across categories; expanding grocers 22% U.K. revenue growth; working with top five U.K. grocers Improving
Bridg/Rippl (identity/retail media)Bridg pipeline; SKU-level pilot with CPG offers on bank partner Rippl demand growth; retailer adds; DSP engagement Bridg wins and two-year renewal; Rippl supply and demand added; second consecutive quarter of doubling revenue Strengthening momentum

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “In Q3, we've taken decisive action that we believe will reset our business, improve our financial health, and set ourselves on a viable path to return to growth…prioritizing initiatives that build on our fundamental strengths and where we believe we can win” .
  • CFO: “We surpassed the high end of our guidance for adjusted EBITDA…adjusted contribution as a percentage of revenue to 57.7%, the highest we have experienced to date, driven primarily by growth of our newest FI partners” .
  • CEO: “Approximately one-third of our total billings were set to be blocked…but we were able to mitigate a significant portion of the drop because the rest of our network is more than 2.5x larger than our largest FI partner alone” .
  • CFO on cost base: “For the fourth quarter, we expect operating expenses to be at or below $28 million, excluding stock-based compensation and severance…a $3–$4 million sequential improvement quarter over quarter” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margins: Management attributed Q3 billings-to-revenue margin weakness largely to July’s abrupt supply changes; margins normalized by quarter-end, with October run-rate higher; Adjusted Contribution margin at ~58% expected to be stable/high-50s given favorable bank mix .
  • Guidance puts/takes: The $7M Adjusted EBITDA range is driven by top-line and margin variability; OpEx guided $27–$28M, with limited variance, implying flow-through sensitivity to revenue/contribution .
  • Mitigation progress: Nearly 3x advertisers activated on the newest large FI partner vs Q1; October billings ~50% higher than Q3; activation rate is 2x network average .

Estimates Context

MetricQ3 2025 ConsensusQ3 2025 ActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD)$54.54M*$52.03M Miss*
Primary EPS ($USD)$(0.15)*$(0.07) Beat*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Note: Company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was $3.2M , while consensus often tracks EPS and revenue. Where non-GAAP (Adjusted) metrics are central to the narrative, we anchor to company disclosures and reconciliations.

Where estimates may adjust:

  • Potential upward bias to EBITDA/Adjusted Contribution assumptions given high margin retention and cost base reset; downward bias to U.S. revenue/ACPU near-term reflecting FI content restrictions and strategic pricing .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution beat on profitability: Adjusted EBITDA above guidance high despite revenue headwinds; cost actions and bank mix support continued EBITDA positivity into Q4 and FY25 .
  • Supply shift is working: Rapid advertiser activation and higher October billings at the newest large FI partner underpin mitigation of the largest FI restriction; watch pacing into Q4/Q1 .
  • Pricing and engagement: Strategic pricing funded by higher-margin bank mix is driving ROAS and retention; category-level offers and “Double Days” lift engagement (e.g., ~15% engagement uptick) .
  • UK resilience: 22% YoY revenue growth with all top five grocers on platform provides diversification and a bright spot amidst U.S. headwinds .
  • Non-FI expansion: CRP (e.g., OpenTable) broadens supply and could unlock new advertiser categories in 2026; 2025 financial impact minimal but strategically important .
  • Watch impairments vs adjusted metrics: Large non-cash impairment weighed on GAAP results; focus on Adjusted Contribution, margin, and cash metrics for operating trajectory .
  • Near-term trading lens: Stock likely sensitive to execution on Q4 guide (revenue/billings margin in low 60s; Adjusted Contribution margin mid–high 50s), evidence of continued advertiser retention and CRP launches, and any updates on FI partner restrictions easing .