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Avid Bioservices, Inc. (CDMO)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 FY2025 revenue was $33.5M (+32% YoY), backlog rose to $220M, but gross loss of $2.0M and higher SG&A drove a wider net loss of $17.4M (–$0.27 EPS) .
  • Management suspended earnings calls and financial guidance due to the pending all-cash acquisition by GHO/Ampersand at $12.50 per share (~$1.1B EV; 13.8% premium to the prior close; ~6.3x consensus FY2025E revenue) .
  • Operational momentum persisted in backlog and customer mix (manufacturing and process development revenue growth), but cost inflation and legal fees pressured margins .
  • Near-term stock catalyst is the transaction closing (shareholder approval obtained; closing expected in coming days) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Backlog increased 11% YoY to $220M with recognition over the next five fiscal quarters; revenue up 32% YoY on manufacturing and process development strength .
    • Management noted “solid results in a competitive environment,” with increased revenues and backlog; transaction partners expected to “drive growth beyond the Company’s standalone plan” .
    • Prior quarter momentum: record net new orders ($66M) and backlog ($219M), with PPQ campaigns including one Phase III and one commercial product, strengthening late-stage exposure .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Gross loss of $2.0M in Q2 despite higher revenue; cost pressures (compensation/benefits, facility/manufacturing, depreciation) offset topline growth .
    • SG&A escalated to $10.6M (+61% YoY) largely due to compensation/benefits and legal fees, contributing to the widened net loss (–$17.4M, –$0.27 EPS) .
    • Revolving line of credit expired during Q2; coupled with suspended guidance and no earnings call due to the pending merger, near-term transparency reduced .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$43.0 $40.2 $33.5
Gross Profit (Loss) ($USD Millions)$5.5 $5.7 $(2.0)
Gross Margin %13% 14% –6.0% (derived from revenue and gross loss)
SG&A ($USD Millions)$6.8 $8.2 $10.6
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(123.1) $(5.5) $(17.4)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(1.94) $(0.09) $(0.27)

Notes:

  • Q4 loss was driven by a $118.5M valuation allowance on deferred tax assets recorded in the quarter .
  • Q2 YoY comparisons: revenue +32%; gross loss improved versus prior year gross loss of $4.7M; SG&A +61%; net loss from $(9.5)M to $(17.4)M .

KPIs and Liquidity

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Backlog ($USD Millions)$193 $219 $220
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$38.1 $33.4 $33.4

Additional context:

  • Q1 Adjusted EBITDA was $3.033M; Q4 Adjusted EBITDA was $3.885M; Q2 adjusted metrics were not disclosed in the press release .

Revenue composition (qualitative): Q2 revenue growth attributed to increases in manufacturing and process development revenues; no formal segment reporting provided .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2025$160–$168M Guidance suspended Suspended

Management noted suspension of guidance and no earnings conference call in light of the proposed transaction .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024 and Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Capacity utilization & marginsGross margin roughly doubled in Q4 vs Q3, driven by onboarding in new facilities; PPQ campaigns expected to support future margins . Q1: “expect revenues and capacity utilization to increase… generating stronger margins” .Gross loss persisted as costs rose despite revenue growth; no call held; margin commentary limited .Improving utilization but margin pressure in Q2; near-term view muted by no call.
Backlog & bookingsQ4: $193M backlog; $30M net new orders . Q1: $219M backlog; $66M net new orders; record high .Backlog reached $220M; significant recognition over next five fiscal quarters .Stable to modestly increasing backlog; conversion expected over ~5 quarters.
Large pharma customer penetrationQ4/Q1: addition of another large pharma; long, involved sales cycles; audits/quality visits increasing .No update beyond backlog growth; transaction focus .Continuing strategic priority; cadence steady.
Onshoring/Biosecure Act tailwindsQ4: rising onshoring interest; pipeline behind backlog growing . Q1: ~half of China-sourced opportunities had Biosecure associations; tailwind for U.S. CDMOs .No call; policy tailwinds likely intact .Supportive macro narrative; remains a tailwind.
Cell & Gene Therapy (CGT) demandQ4: CGT capacity ~$80M of ~$400M; lagging mammalian demand by ~4–5 months . Q1: CGT demand still lagging; conversations ongoing .No update; CGT commentary absent .Lagging vs mammalian; gradual recovery expected.

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered solid results in a competitive environment, with increased revenues and backlog offset by increased costs.” — Nick Green, President & CEO .
  • “The [GHO/Ampersand] transaction… will provide our stockholders with significant, immediate and certain cash value… partners… to drive growth beyond the Company’s standalone plan.” — Nick Green .
  • Prior quarter tone: “We are encouraged by the strong revenues and new business signings, which continue to build our backlog and improve margins… our primary focus is on filling our remaining capacity.” — Q1 prepared remarks .

Q&A Highlights

  • Bookings/backlog conversion: Mix slightly more accelerating due to higher proportion of early-phase signings; conversion expected to modestly improve .
  • PPQ campaigns: One Phase III advancing to commercialization; one commercial product outsourced from internal manufacturing; attractive pre-commercialization drivers .
  • Large pharma strategy: Progress broadly in line with expectations; long sales cycles; audits/reputation-building activities ongoing .
  • Biosecure Act/onshoring: Increasing number of discussions tied to Biosecure; later-phase candidates more sensitive; supportive for U.S.-based capacity .
  • Margins outlook: Drop-through of 40–60% on incremental revenue remains a framework; depreciation increases could temper EBITDA .

Note: Avid did not host a Q2 FY2025 earnings call; highlights above reflect Q1 FY2025 Q&A .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus (Revenue/EPS) for Q2 FY2025 was unavailable due to a CIQ mapping issue; comparisons to Street estimates could not be made at this time (Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable).
  • Company-disclosed transaction metrics referenced “~6.3x multiple to consensus FY2025E revenue” for the $1.1B EV deal, implying Street expectations were embedded in the valuation discussion .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term trading is dominated by the pending $12.50/share all-cash takeout; shareholder approval secured and closing expected imminently .
  • Operationally, backlog remains strong ($220M) with anticipated recognition over the next five fiscal quarters, supporting multi-quarter revenue visibility even without formal guidance .
  • Margin rebuild is contingent on capacity utilization and execution; Q2 showed cost pressure despite topline growth, and SG&A elevation (legal fees) is likely transaction-related .
  • Strategic mix continues to skew toward later-stage programs (PPQ/commercial), which should aid utilization and margins in future periods as campaigns convert .
  • Macro tailwinds (onshoring/Biosecure Act) appear supportive for U.S. CDMOs; Avid’s mammalian demand remains ahead of CGT, which is lagging but with improving dialogues .
  • Liquidity is steady but watch the expiration of the revolving line of credit; cash held at $33.4M at Q2 end .
  • Post-close, public-market catalysts will give way to private ownership dynamics; the operational thesis centers on backlog conversion, late-stage program execution, and margin normalization .

Other Relevant Q2 Materials

  • Acquisition announcement and merger agreement details (Nov 6, 2024); transaction not subject to financing condition; standard HSR/approval processes described .
  • Special meeting results and closing timing update (Jan 30, 2025) .