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Avid Bioservices, Inc. (CDMO)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY2025 revenue was $33.5M (+32% YoY), backlog rose to $220M, but gross loss of $2.0M and higher SG&A drove a wider net loss of $17.4M (–$0.27 EPS) .
- Management suspended earnings calls and financial guidance due to the pending all-cash acquisition by GHO/Ampersand at $12.50 per share (~$1.1B EV; 13.8% premium to the prior close; ~6.3x consensus FY2025E revenue) .
- Operational momentum persisted in backlog and customer mix (manufacturing and process development revenue growth), but cost inflation and legal fees pressured margins .
- Near-term stock catalyst is the transaction closing (shareholder approval obtained; closing expected in coming days) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Backlog increased 11% YoY to $220M with recognition over the next five fiscal quarters; revenue up 32% YoY on manufacturing and process development strength .
- Management noted “solid results in a competitive environment,” with increased revenues and backlog; transaction partners expected to “drive growth beyond the Company’s standalone plan” .
- Prior quarter momentum: record net new orders ($66M) and backlog ($219M), with PPQ campaigns including one Phase III and one commercial product, strengthening late-stage exposure .
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What Went Wrong
- Gross loss of $2.0M in Q2 despite higher revenue; cost pressures (compensation/benefits, facility/manufacturing, depreciation) offset topline growth .
- SG&A escalated to $10.6M (+61% YoY) largely due to compensation/benefits and legal fees, contributing to the widened net loss (–$17.4M, –$0.27 EPS) .
- Revolving line of credit expired during Q2; coupled with suspended guidance and no earnings call due to the pending merger, near-term transparency reduced .
Financial Results
Notes:
- Q4 loss was driven by a $118.5M valuation allowance on deferred tax assets recorded in the quarter .
- Q2 YoY comparisons: revenue +32%; gross loss improved versus prior year gross loss of $4.7M; SG&A +61%; net loss from $(9.5)M to $(17.4)M .
KPIs and Liquidity
Additional context:
- Q1 Adjusted EBITDA was $3.033M; Q4 Adjusted EBITDA was $3.885M; Q2 adjusted metrics were not disclosed in the press release .
Revenue composition (qualitative): Q2 revenue growth attributed to increases in manufacturing and process development revenues; no formal segment reporting provided .
Guidance Changes
Management noted suspension of guidance and no earnings conference call in light of the proposed transaction .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered solid results in a competitive environment, with increased revenues and backlog offset by increased costs.” — Nick Green, President & CEO .
- “The [GHO/Ampersand] transaction… will provide our stockholders with significant, immediate and certain cash value… partners… to drive growth beyond the Company’s standalone plan.” — Nick Green .
- Prior quarter tone: “We are encouraged by the strong revenues and new business signings, which continue to build our backlog and improve margins… our primary focus is on filling our remaining capacity.” — Q1 prepared remarks .
Q&A Highlights
- Bookings/backlog conversion: Mix slightly more accelerating due to higher proportion of early-phase signings; conversion expected to modestly improve .
- PPQ campaigns: One Phase III advancing to commercialization; one commercial product outsourced from internal manufacturing; attractive pre-commercialization drivers .
- Large pharma strategy: Progress broadly in line with expectations; long sales cycles; audits/reputation-building activities ongoing .
- Biosecure Act/onshoring: Increasing number of discussions tied to Biosecure; later-phase candidates more sensitive; supportive for U.S.-based capacity .
- Margins outlook: Drop-through of 40–60% on incremental revenue remains a framework; depreciation increases could temper EBITDA .
Note: Avid did not host a Q2 FY2025 earnings call; highlights above reflect Q1 FY2025 Q&A .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus (Revenue/EPS) for Q2 FY2025 was unavailable due to a CIQ mapping issue; comparisons to Street estimates could not be made at this time (Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable).
- Company-disclosed transaction metrics referenced “~6.3x multiple to consensus FY2025E revenue” for the $1.1B EV deal, implying Street expectations were embedded in the valuation discussion .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term trading is dominated by the pending $12.50/share all-cash takeout; shareholder approval secured and closing expected imminently .
- Operationally, backlog remains strong ($220M) with anticipated recognition over the next five fiscal quarters, supporting multi-quarter revenue visibility even without formal guidance .
- Margin rebuild is contingent on capacity utilization and execution; Q2 showed cost pressure despite topline growth, and SG&A elevation (legal fees) is likely transaction-related .
- Strategic mix continues to skew toward later-stage programs (PPQ/commercial), which should aid utilization and margins in future periods as campaigns convert .
- Macro tailwinds (onshoring/Biosecure Act) appear supportive for U.S. CDMOs; Avid’s mammalian demand remains ahead of CGT, which is lagging but with improving dialogues .
- Liquidity is steady but watch the expiration of the revolving line of credit; cash held at $33.4M at Q2 end .
- Post-close, public-market catalysts will give way to private ownership dynamics; the operational thesis centers on backlog conversion, late-stage program execution, and margin normalization .
Other Relevant Q2 Materials
- Acquisition announcement and merger agreement details (Nov 6, 2024); transaction not subject to financing condition; standard HSR/approval processes described .
- Special meeting results and closing timing update (Jan 30, 2025) .