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Cadre Holdings, Inc. (CDRE)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered above-expectations execution: net sales $130.1M, GAAP diluted EPS $0.23, gross margin 43.1%, and adjusted EBITDA $20.5M; gross margin expanded 130 bps year-over-year supported by pricing, mix, and absence of inventory step-up amortization .
- Revenue and EPS beat Wall Street: consensus revenue $121.5M* vs actual $130.1M and consensus EPS $0.12* vs actual $0.23; adjusted EBITDA also exceeded consensus ($16.2M* vs $18.7M actual on SPGI Primary EBITDA) as pricing actions and faster shipments in Armor/EOD aided performance .
- Guidance raised post Carr’s Engineering acquisition: FY25 net sales to $618–$648M and adjusted EBITDA to $112–$122M, with ~$46M net sales and ~$6.5M EBITDA contribution expected from the Engineering Division; capex guided to $8–$10M .
- Catalysts: raised FY25 outlook, backlog up $22.4M driven by EOD and Cyalume, and nuclear platform expansion (remote handling/robotics) enhancing medium-term growth visibility .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Gross margin expanded 130 bps YoY to 43.1% on favorable pricing/mix and absence of inventory step-up; management noted ~60 bps of the lift was from the lack of step-up amortization, with the rest from price/productivity .
- Backlog increased $22.4M in the quarter, primarily from EOD and Cyalume demand; Armor and EOD shipments executed faster than expected, lifting revenue vs internal plan .
- Strategic M&A: closed Carr’s Engineering Division (£75M EV), deepening nuclear exposure and expanding international footprint; management highlighted remote handling/robotics capabilities positioning Cadre uniquely in nuclear markets .
Quote: “We are pleased to have delivered another quarter of financial results above expectations, highlighted by gross margins that increased 130 basis points year-over-year.” – Warren Kanders, CEO
What Went Wrong
- Net sales declined 5.6% YoY on shipment timing in EOD and armor, partly reflecting tough comps (large Q1 2024 Armor shipment) and project timing lumpiness inherent in these categories .
- Adjusted EBITDA margin compressed to 15.8% from 17.8% YoY, reflecting lower volumes and mix (Alpha Safety/EOD) despite price/productivity offsets .
- Distribution segment gross margin declined to 21.6% (from 23.5%) on mix; management also flagged broader consumer market softness (consumer channel ~7% of contract sales post-acquisition) .
Financial Results
Core Metrics vs Prior Year, Prior Quarter, and Estimates
Q1 2025 Actual vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Note: Estimates and SPGI “actual” primary EBITDA marked with * are values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown (Net Sales and Gross Profit)
Segment gross margin: Product 44.4% in Q1 2025 vs 43.0% in Q1 2024; Distribution 21.6% vs 23.5% .
KPIs and Balance Sheet Highlights
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and outlook: “Cadre’s performance has been resilient through economic, political, geopolitical and other cycles… another quarter of financial results above expectations, highlighted by gross margins that increased 130 basis points year-over-year.” – Warren Kanders .
- Nuclear expansion: “Addition of the Engineering division represents a critical next step… remote handling and robotics uniquely position Cadre to deliver unparalleled capabilities to a global customer base.” – Warren Kanders .
- Backlog/pricing: “Orders backlog increased $22.4M… achieved pricing growth that exceeded target.” – Brad Williams .
- Tariff mitigation: “With the current exemption, the anticipated impact… is significantly less… we can fully offset any pressure generated by tariffs that are in place today.” – Blaine Browers .
Q&A Highlights
- Pricing/tariffs: Annual pricing implemented; countermeasures offset China tariffs; USMCA exemptions reduced initial impact; company expects full offset of tariffs in place today .
- Carr’s integration/margins: Near-term adjusted gross margins ~40% ex D&A, slightly dilutive initially; expect gross margin-led improvement via operating model; limited SG&A stripping as businesses are well-run .
- Shipment timing: Q2 revenue expected up ~17% sequentially with adj. EBITDA margin ~17%; Q4 likely biggest quarter driven by Armor/EOD project timing .
- Production footprint: Optionality to shift product lines across facilities (e.g., bomb suits in US/Canada) and productivity acceleration projects; happy with nuclear facility placements in UK/Germany .
- Nuclear demand: Multi-silo tailwinds (environmental safety, national security, commercial nuclear); tech companies’ AI power needs driving nuclear power support .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 beats: Revenue $130.1M vs $121.5M consensus* and EPS $0.23 vs $0.12 consensus*; EBITDA beat consensus ($18.7M actual per SPGI primary EBITDA*/$20.5M adj.) aided by pricing and faster Armor/EOD shipments .
- FY25 outlook raised with Carr’s contribution, suggesting upward estimate revisions for revenue, EBITDA, and capex; guidance incorporates tariff assumptions and mitigation .
- Commentary implies H2 stronger than H1; Q4 largest quarter, supporting back-half weighted revenue/EBITDA expectations .
Note: All consensus values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q1 quality beat: revenue/EPS/gross margin beat driven by pricing discipline and earlier-than-planned Armor/EOD shipments; margin expansion sustainable via price/productivity .
- FY25 raised guide post-acquisition: net sales $618–$648M and adjusted EBITDA $112–$122M, with Carr’s
$46M sales/$6.5M EBITDA contribution; capex $8–$10M . - Nuclear vertical is a multiyear growth driver: remote handling/robotics capabilities and international footprint broaden TAM; expect gross margin improvement as operating model scales .
- Tariff risk contained (for now): USMCA exemptions and countermeasures in place; current tariffs expected to be fully offset, but policy remains fluid—monitor continuation/expansion risk .
- Backlog strength and project timing imply back-half skew: Q2 up sequentially; Q4 likely peak quarter, aiding trading setups around EOD/Armor shipment windows .
- Balance sheet flexibility: net debt $87.1M, LTM adj. EBITDA ~$100.8M, net leverage <1.75x pro forma—capacity to pursue disciplined M&A while maintaining dividends .
- Watch consumer softness and distribution margins: mix pressures persist; maintain focus on price/productivity levers and product innovation (Axon integration) to protect profitability .