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Cadre Holdings, Inc. (CDRE)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered solid top-line growth with net sales up 9% year-over-year to $157.1M and gross margin up 30 bps to 40.9%, while diluted EPS was $0.30 and Adjusted EBITDA was $27.0M .
- Against S&P Global consensus, CDRE beat on revenue ($157.1M vs $153.2M*) and EPS ($0.30 vs $0.26*), while EBITDA under-ran S&P’s definition; on company basis, Adj. EBITDA was $27.0M (vs ~$27.2M* consensus) .
- FY25 guidance tightened: net sales $624–$630M (prior $618–$648M), Adj. EBITDA $112–$116M (prior $112–$122M), capex $7–$8M; ranges exclude newly announced tariffs effective August and assume USMCA remains in place .
- Stock reaction catalysts: clearer order timing narrative (Q3 expected flat sequentially; stronger H2 on armor/EOD timing), tariff mitigation confidence, and nuclear acquisition integration progress .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Strong demand across core markets; net sales +9% y/y and gross profit +10% y/y. “We delivered strong revenue growth and profitability… best-in-class safety products across our law enforcement, first responder, military and nuclear categories.” — CEO Warren Kanders .
- Pricing execution: pricing growth exceeded target, aiding gross margin expansion; Q2 gross margin up 30 bps y/y on pricing, mix, absence of inventory step-up, and FX favorability .
- Nuclear vertical scaled via acquisition; management highlighted long-term tailwinds in environmental cleanup, national defense, and nuclear energy, with cash of $137M and $175M undrawn revolver to pursue organic/inorganic growth .
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What Went Wrong
- EBITDA margin compression y/y (17.2% vs 19.6%); Adjusted EBITDA down y/y (Q2: $27.0M vs $28.3M) on acquisition-related costs and mix shift .
- Higher debt from acquisition financing: total debt rose to ~$315.2M; net debt to $177.7M .
- Timing shifts in large opportunities increased uncertainty intra-year; management narrowed guidance midpoints and indicated Q3 to be flat sequentially, pushing some higher-margin projects into late 2025/2026 .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown (Net Sales and Gross Profit):
KPIs and balance sheet:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered strong revenue growth and profitability… underscores the positive demand trends we continue to see for Cadre’s best-in-class safety products.” — Warren Kanders, CEO .
- “We see opportunities for core CADRE operating model tools to help unlock further efficiency and profitability” in nuclear businesses .
- “Guidance… assumes USMCA remains in place… Q3 revenue and adjusted EBITDA [to] be flat sequentially to Q2… H2 stronger… driven by ARMOR and EOD project timing.” — Blaine Browers, CFO .
- “Timing of large opportunities shift more than in prior years… we are well positioned to continue to leverage our strong brands and drive growth.” — Warren Kanders .
Q&A Highlights
- Order timing: Mix of large opportunities across armor, duty gear, nuclear, and EOD shifting; budgets intact, but some orders moved out of 2025 and into 2026, prompting guidance narrowing .
- Margins: Long-term path to mid-to-upper-40s gross margin via operating model and synergy capture; nuclear acquisitions initially dilutive to GM but targeted for improvement .
- Tariffs: Current tariffs embedded; future unknowns monitored; regionalized supply chains and multi-country production enable mitigation, though shifts take time due to certifications .
- Nuclear integration: Early-stage functional integration; identified commercial synergy areas (channels, customer relationships, manufacturing) with action plans to follow .
- Backlog: Organic backlog flat sequentially; increase largely from acquired businesses; timing-driven orders not yet in backlog .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Implications: Consensus should narrow toward management’s updated ranges; revenue midpoint modestly trimmed while Adj. EBITDA midpoint reduced, reflecting order timing and tariff caution. Near-term estimates may shift later-quarter weighting (Q4 uplift) and slightly lower H2 margin assumptions consistent with commentary .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Cadre remains a demand-driven, execution story: pricing and mix discipline sustain gross margin resilience despite macro uncertainty .
- The order timing narrative is central near term: expect Q3 flat sequentially with a stronger Q4 from armor/EOD — position for potential late-year upside catalysts .
- Nuclear platform expansion is a multi-year value lever; integration milestones and synergy disclosures are catalysts to watch (operating model, cross-selling, international channels) .
- Tariff policy remains a swing factor; Cadre’s regional supply chains and multi-site production provide mitigation, but watch for margin/price pass-through cadence .
- Balance sheet supports continued M&A and organic investment: $137.5M cash, $175M undrawn revolver; leverage manageable (Net debt / LTM Adj. EBITDA ~1.8x) .
- Estimate revisions likely modestly lower on EBITDA midpoints and tighter ranges; downside supported by diversified markets, upside tied to large-order timing clearing .
- Dividends maintained at $0.095/share, signaling confidence in cash generation amidst acquisition integration .