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Cadre Holdings, Inc. (CDRE)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered solid top-line growth with net sales up 9% year-over-year to $157.1M and gross margin up 30 bps to 40.9%, while diluted EPS was $0.30 and Adjusted EBITDA was $27.0M .
  • Against S&P Global consensus, CDRE beat on revenue ($157.1M vs $153.2M*) and EPS ($0.30 vs $0.26*), while EBITDA under-ran S&P’s definition; on company basis, Adj. EBITDA was $27.0M (vs ~$27.2M* consensus) .
  • FY25 guidance tightened: net sales $624–$630M (prior $618–$648M), Adj. EBITDA $112–$116M (prior $112–$122M), capex $7–$8M; ranges exclude newly announced tariffs effective August and assume USMCA remains in place .
  • Stock reaction catalysts: clearer order timing narrative (Q3 expected flat sequentially; stronger H2 on armor/EOD timing), tariff mitigation confidence, and nuclear acquisition integration progress .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Strong demand across core markets; net sales +9% y/y and gross profit +10% y/y. “We delivered strong revenue growth and profitability… best-in-class safety products across our law enforcement, first responder, military and nuclear categories.” — CEO Warren Kanders .
    • Pricing execution: pricing growth exceeded target, aiding gross margin expansion; Q2 gross margin up 30 bps y/y on pricing, mix, absence of inventory step-up, and FX favorability .
    • Nuclear vertical scaled via acquisition; management highlighted long-term tailwinds in environmental cleanup, national defense, and nuclear energy, with cash of $137M and $175M undrawn revolver to pursue organic/inorganic growth .
  • What Went Wrong

    • EBITDA margin compression y/y (17.2% vs 19.6%); Adjusted EBITDA down y/y (Q2: $27.0M vs $28.3M) on acquisition-related costs and mix shift .
    • Higher debt from acquisition financing: total debt rose to ~$315.2M; net debt to $177.7M .
    • Timing shifts in large opportunities increased uncertainty intra-year; management narrowed guidance midpoints and indicated Q3 to be flat sequentially, pushing some higher-margin projects into late 2025/2026 .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$176.0 $130.1 $157.1
Gross Margin %43.9% 43.1% 40.9%
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$29.4 $13.6 $14.7
Net Income ($USD Millions)$13.0 $9.2 $12.2
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.32 $0.23 $0.30
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$38.5 $20.5 $27.0
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %21.9% 15.8% 17.2%

Segment breakdown (Net Sales and Gross Profit):

Segment MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Product Net Sales ($USD Millions)$128.4 $112.7 $140.1
Distribution Net Sales ($USD Millions)$25.6 $27.9 $25.5
Total Net Sales ($USD Millions)$144.3 $130.1 $157.1
Product Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$52.8 $50.1 $58.4
Distribution Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$5.9 $6.0 $5.9
Total Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$58.7 $56.1 $64.2

KPIs and balance sheet:

KPIQ2 2025
Cash And Equivalents ($USD Millions)$137.5
Total Debt ($USD Millions)$315.2
Net Debt ($USD Millions)$177.7
Capital Expenditure ($USD Millions)$1.3 (Q2)
LTM Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$99.5

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Sales ($USD Millions)FY 2025$618–$648 (Q1 guide) $624–$630 Narrowed; midpoint lowered
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2025$112–$122 (Q1 guide) $112–$116 Narrowed; midpoint lowered
Capital Expenditures ($USD Millions)FY 2025$8–$10 (Q1 guide) $7–$8 Lowered range
Dividend (per share)Quarterly$0.095 (declared Apr) $0.095 (declared Jul) Maintained
Implied Adj. EBITDA Margin %FY 2025~18% (from prior ranges) ~18.2% (CFO commentary) Maintained trajectory
Tariff AssumptionsFY 2025Tariffs in place incorporated; mitigations assumed New tariffs announced July 31 not incorporated; assumes USMCA remains More conservative stance

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ-2 (Q4 2024)Q-1 (Q1 2025)Current (Q2 2025)Trend
Pricing executionExceeded target; mix favorable on Duty Gear Gross margin +130 bps y/y; pricing net of material inflation Pricing exceeded target; 30 bps GM expansion y/y Positive, consistent
Tariffs/macroPlanning contingencies; guidance excluded tariffs Guidance incorporated tariffs in place; mitigations assumed New tariffs not in ranges; USMCA assumption; mitigation plans ready Elevated uncertainty; cautious
Order timing/large opsBacklog flat y/y; EOD/Armor shipped in 2024 EOD/Armor timing impacted Q1 sales Larger proportion of “large ops”; timing shifts; Q3 flat; H2 stronger Timing pushed right
Nuclear vertical/M&AAgreement to acquire Carr’s Engineering Acquisition completed; increased FY25 ranges Integration underway; leadership appointed; long-term tailwinds Scaling; integration
Consumer holstersStrong demand despite weak gun sales Continued resilience Demand held up; new Ballast holster traction Stable/positive
EOD opportunity2024 shipments; backlog offset Timing impacted early 2025 Cleanup phase not started; Q4 weighted lift expected H2 improvement expected
Regional trendsEU defense budgets rising Global tailwinds US public safety/ICE/Border Patrol investments; global conflicts Supportive

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered strong revenue growth and profitability… underscores the positive demand trends we continue to see for Cadre’s best-in-class safety products.” — Warren Kanders, CEO .
  • “We see opportunities for core CADRE operating model tools to help unlock further efficiency and profitability” in nuclear businesses .
  • “Guidance… assumes USMCA remains in place… Q3 revenue and adjusted EBITDA [to] be flat sequentially to Q2… H2 stronger… driven by ARMOR and EOD project timing.” — Blaine Browers, CFO .
  • “Timing of large opportunities shift more than in prior years… we are well positioned to continue to leverage our strong brands and drive growth.” — Warren Kanders .

Q&A Highlights

  • Order timing: Mix of large opportunities across armor, duty gear, nuclear, and EOD shifting; budgets intact, but some orders moved out of 2025 and into 2026, prompting guidance narrowing .
  • Margins: Long-term path to mid-to-upper-40s gross margin via operating model and synergy capture; nuclear acquisitions initially dilutive to GM but targeted for improvement .
  • Tariffs: Current tariffs embedded; future unknowns monitored; regionalized supply chains and multi-country production enable mitigation, though shifts take time due to certifications .
  • Nuclear integration: Early-stage functional integration; identified commercial synergy areas (channels, customer relationships, manufacturing) with action plans to follow .
  • Backlog: Organic backlog flat sequentially; increase largely from acquired businesses; timing-driven orders not yet in backlog .

Estimates Context

MetricConsensus (Q2 2025)Actual (Q2 2025)Result
Revenue ($USD Millions)$153.23*$157.11 Beat
Primary EPS ($USD)$0.26*$0.30 Beat
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$27.22*$25.48 (EBITDA) / $27.00 (Adj.) Miss (S&P EBITDA basis); near inline on Adj. EBITDA

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Implications: Consensus should narrow toward management’s updated ranges; revenue midpoint modestly trimmed while Adj. EBITDA midpoint reduced, reflecting order timing and tariff caution. Near-term estimates may shift later-quarter weighting (Q4 uplift) and slightly lower H2 margin assumptions consistent with commentary .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Cadre remains a demand-driven, execution story: pricing and mix discipline sustain gross margin resilience despite macro uncertainty .
  • The order timing narrative is central near term: expect Q3 flat sequentially with a stronger Q4 from armor/EOD — position for potential late-year upside catalysts .
  • Nuclear platform expansion is a multi-year value lever; integration milestones and synergy disclosures are catalysts to watch (operating model, cross-selling, international channels) .
  • Tariff policy remains a swing factor; Cadre’s regional supply chains and multi-site production provide mitigation, but watch for margin/price pass-through cadence .
  • Balance sheet supports continued M&A and organic investment: $137.5M cash, $175M undrawn revolver; leverage manageable (Net debt / LTM Adj. EBITDA ~1.8x) .
  • Estimate revisions likely modestly lower on EBITDA midpoints and tighter ranges; downside supported by diversified markets, upside tied to large-order timing clearing .
  • Dividends maintained at $0.095/share, signaling confidence in cash generation amidst acquisition integration .