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Robert Aspbury

President, Certara Predictive Technologies at CertaraCertara
Executive

About Robert Aspbury

Robert A. Aspbury, Ph.D., 53, is President of Certara Predictive Technologies (Simcyp/software) and has served in this role since January 2020 after joining Certara in April 2019 as Simcyp’s COO. He is a qualified chartered accountant with prior operating and P&L leadership roles at Covance/Labcorp across biosimilars and global clinical pharmacology, bringing a blend of scientific software, services, and finance expertise . Company performance context: 2024 revenue was $385.1 million (+9% YoY) with company-wide adjusted EBITDA achievement of $122.0 million; cumulative TSR since 12/31/2020 implies a $100 investment was worth $27.97 at 12/31/2024, underscoring mixed shareholder returns vs improving operations .

Past Roles

OrganizationRoleYearsStrategic Impact
Certara (Simcyp)Chief Operating OfficerApr 2019–Dec 2019Operational leadership for Simcyp prior to elevation to division President .
Covance (Labcorp)VP, Strategic Solutions, BiosimilarsSep 2016–Mar 2019Commercial/strategy role in biosimilars within a global CRO platform .
Covance (Labcorp)VP & General Manager, Global Clinical PharmacologyNov 2011–Aug 2016P&L/operations leadership across clinical pharmacology services .

External Roles

OrganizationRoleYearsStrategic Impact
No public company directorships or disclosed external board rolesNone disclosed in proxy .

Fixed Compensation

Item20232024YoY ChangeNotes
Base Salary (USD)$337,649 $378,167 +12.0% Merit and market adjustment; paid in GBP, shown in USD at payment-date FX .
Target Annual Bonus (% of salary)55% 55% AIB Plan targets unchanged from 2023 .

Performance Compensation

Annual Incentive Bonus (AIB) – 2024

  • Plan metrics and weights: Adjusted EBITDA (80%), Revenue (20%); for division leaders, 80% of multiplier tied to division performance and 20% to company-wide results (Division Rate) .
  • Payout: Aspbury’s applicable multiplier was 93.0% on a 55% target, producing $193,432 .
MetricWeightTargetActualPayout MechanicsResult for Aspbury
Adjusted EBITDA80% Not disclosedCompany-wide achievement >90% threshold; business-unit tiering applied Tiered scale; zero payout if <90% of target; blended in Division Rate 93.0% multiplier applied (overall)
Revenue20% Not disclosedConsidered in blended Division Rate Tiered scale; blended with EBITDA Included in 93.0% multiplier
Total Bonus55% of $378,167 = $207,992 Target × Multiplier$193,432

Long-Term Incentives (granted 2024)

  • Structure: 60% PSUs, 40% RSUs; RSUs vest 1/3 annually over 3 years; PSUs over FY24–FY26 with revenue and adjusted EBITDA tranches, averaged annually, then modified ±20% by relative TSR; all PSUs forfeited if average adjusted EBITDA margin <20% over first two years .
Grant DateInstrumentTarget/UnitsVestingPerformance Metrics
Apr 1, 2024RSUs30,381 1/3 on Apr 1 of 2025, 2026, 2027, subject to service Time-based only.
Apr 1, 2024PSUs (target)45,571 Earned/distributed after FY24–FY26 performance period Two tranches: annual Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA; average “Weighted %” over period; rTSR modifier (±20%) vs peer group; forfeiture guardrail on <20% avg adj. EBITDA margin in first two years .

Multi-year Compensation (NEO Summary – Aspbury)

YearSalary ($)Equity Awards ($)Non-Equity Incentive Plan ($)All Other ($)Total ($)
2024$378,167 $1,415,897 $193,432 $29,770 (UK pension) $2,017,266
2023$337,649 $1,532,907 $187,564 $27,012 $2,085,132
2022$305,496 $1,154,286 $185,382 $27,209 $1,672,373

Equity Ownership & Alignment

  • Beneficial ownership: 323,022 shares (<1% of outstanding) as of March 28, 2025; includes shares acquirable within 60 days (26,626 RSUs; 7,082 PSUs) and 31,069 unvested restricted shares; shares outstanding 161,475,707 .
  • Stock ownership guidelines: NEOs must hold 2× base salary; as of Feb 1, 2025, all covered persons, including NEOs, were in compliance .
  • 2024 vesting activity: 114,682 shares vested (restricted stock, PSUs, RSUs), indicating meaningful equity realization during the year .
  • Hedging/pledging: Hedging and short sales prohibited; pledging prohibited absent GC pre-clearance; no pledges disclosed for Aspbury .

Outstanding and Unvested Equity (as of Dec 31, 2024)

InstrumentUnitsMarket/Payout Value ($)
Restricted Stock (time-based)31,069 $330,885
RSUs (time-based)54,732 $582,896
PSUs (target, performance-based)80,905 $861,638

Notes on vesting schedules:

  • Restricted stock from Aug 31, 2020 grant vests in 5 equal installments; final 31,069 shares vest Aug 31, 2025 (subject to service/terms) .
  • RSUs from 2023 and 2024 grants vest 1/3 on April 1 of 2025, 2026, and 2027 (subject to service/terms) .
  • PSUs from 2022–2024 grants settle after their respective 3-year performance periods; 2022 PSU cycle paid at a 27.3% weighted factor (Aspbury earned 7,082 shares) .

Employment Terms

  • Agreement: Effective April 15, 2019; initial salary in GBP; initial target bonus up to 40% (company moved to AIB target 55% subsequently via program design) .
  • Restrictive covenants: Perpetual confidentiality; non-compete during employment and 1 year post-termination; non-solicit of employees/customers during employment and 1 year post-termination .
  • Severance/termination:
    • Without cause / Good reason (general): Not entitled to severance cash; entitled to 6-month notice if terminated without cause .
    • Change in Control (termination without cause or good reason, double-trigger): cash severance shown as $189,084; no pro‑rata bonus; accelerated equity vesting per award terms (see below) .

Change-in-Control (CIC) Treatment Summary (Aspbury)

ElementCIC Termination Outcome
Cash severance$189,084
Pro‑rata bonusNone
RSUsFull vesting of 2022, 2023, 2024 RSUs (aggregate value $582,896 at $10.65/share)
PSUsTreated per Committee determination for CIC year and remaining years; distribution at end of period; illustrative value shown $645,042 (target basis)
Pre-IPO restricted stockVests upon termination by the Company without cause following a CIC
Health benefitsNone specified for Aspbury

Policy overlays:

  • RSUs accelerate upon a termination other than for cause in connection with or within 12 months after a CIC (double‑trigger) .
  • PSUs: Committee determines performance for CIC and remaining periods; paid at end of performance period; rTSR modifier applies; forfeiture guardrail if avg adjusted EBITDA margin <20% over first two performance years .
  • Clawback: Dodd-Frank compliant policy adopted in 2023; 3-year lookback for restatements, applicable to incentive compensation received on/after Oct 2, 2023 .

Compensation Structure Analysis

  • Mix shifts: Equity-heavy design persists (2024 LTI value ≈374% of salary; 60% PSUs), keeping most compensation at-risk and performance-linked .
  • Cash compensation: 2024 base raised 12% on merit/market; target bonus held at 55% of salary; actual payout above target-basis due to a 93% multiplier, signaling resilient division results vs plan .
  • Governance features: No excise tax gross-ups; minimal perquisites; independent compensation consultant (Meridian, engaged Nov 15, 2024; previously Korn Ferry); strong prohibition on hedging/pledging .
  • Shareholder feedback: 2024 say‑on‑pay received 94.8% support; the committee retained the core design .

Risk Indicators & Red Flags

  • Hedging/pledging: Prohibited or tightly pre-cleared; reduces alignment risk; no pledges reported for Aspbury .
  • Option repricing: None indicated; options not currently granted under 2024 program .
  • Related party transactions: None disclosed involving Aspbury .
  • Retention risk: Limited cash severance (notice only) but substantial unvested RSUs/PSUs and an August 31, 2025 restricted stock vest likely support retention through key dates .

Equity Supply/Vesting Overhang (Potential Insider Selling Pressure)

  • 2025: Final tranche of 31,069 restricted shares vests on Aug 31, 2025; plus RSU tranches on April 1, 2025 across 2023/2024 grants (subject to award terms; 2025 portion already occurred post year-end) .
  • 2026–2027: RSU tranches vest on April 1, 2026 and April 1, 2027; PSU outcomes settle post FY26 contingent on performance and rTSR .
  • 2024 realized vesting: 114,682 shares vested to Aspbury in 2024 (restricted stock, PSUs, RSUs), illustrating periodic liquidity creation; actual sales require Form 4 review (not disclosed in proxy) .

Compensation & Ownership Tables

AIB Bonus Calculation (2024)

Base SalaryTarget Bonus %Target Bonus ($)Applicable MultiplierBonus Paid ($)
$378,167 55% $207,992 93.0% $193,432

2024 LTI Grants

InstrumentUnitsNotes
RSUs30,381 Vest 1/3 annually on Apr 1, 2025–2027 .
PSUs (target)45,571 FY24–FY26 performance; revenue and adjusted EBITDA tranches; rTSR ±20%; forfeiture guardrail on margin .

Outstanding Equity (12/31/2024)

TypeUnitsValue ($)
Restricted Stock31,069 $330,885
RSUs54,732 $582,896
PSUs (target)80,905 $861,638

Beneficial Ownership (3/28/2025)

Shares Owned% of Outstanding
323,022 <1%

Investment Implications

  • Alignment: High equity mix (RSUs/PSUs), tight hedging/pledging prohibitions, and stock ownership guideline compliance point to solid alignment; strong committee governance and a 2023 clawback reduce downside governance risk .
  • Retention: Despite limited cash severance, sizeable unvested equity with near/medium-term vesting (Apr 1 cycles; Aug 31, 2025 restricted stock) supports retention through key performance periods .
  • Incentive quality: AIB and PSUs emphasize adjusted EBITDA and revenue with an rTSR overlay and a margin guardrail; this tilts payouts to operational delivery and relative market performance, appropriate for a software-and-services P&L owner .
  • Trading signals: Periodic vesting (especially Apr 1 and Aug 31) can create technical supply; 2024 saw 114,682 vested shares for Aspbury, but actual selling (Form 4s) is not disclosed in the proxy—monitor future Form 4s around these dates for flow signals .
  • Company context: While TSR has lagged peers since 2020, fundamentals improved in 2024 (9% revenue growth; adjusted EBITDA threshold met), suggesting incentive structures are pushing toward operating improvement even amid market multiple pressure .