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CONTRAFECT Corp (CFRX)·Q2 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2023 reflected materially lower operating spend and net loss versus the prior year, supported by restructuring actions; net loss was $7.6M and diluted EPS was -$1.94, down from $18.1M and -$36.79 in Q2 2022 .
  • Liquidity improved: cash and equivalents were $14.4M at quarter-end (vs. $8.9M at FY22), aided by $9.6M of June warrant exercises; however, management disclosed substantial doubt about going concern absent additional financing .
  • Pipeline execution advanced: CF-370 IND targeted for Q3 2023 and exebacase Phase 1b/2 PJI trial enrollment ongoing in France; multiple supportive preclinical and translational datasets were presented at ASM Microbe .
  • Nasdaq compliance risk remains an overhang; the company regained compliance in July but expects potential non-compliance, raising delisting risk and financing headwinds .
  • Near-term stock reaction catalysts: CF-370 IND filing and any interim PJI data; financing updates could also drive volatility given going-concern disclosures .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Warrant-induced capital raise brought in $9.6M to support CF-370 IND and PJI trial, strengthening near-term liquidity and funding key milestones .
  • R&D expense fell sharply year-over-year (Q2 2023: $4.9M vs. $16.8M), reflecting disciplined CMC and CRO reductions post-Phase 3 closure; other operating lines were held relatively stable .
  • Management reiterated advancing CF-370 into the clinic and ongoing exebacase enrollment; “We remain on track to file an IND for our second program, CF-370…in the third quarter,” said CEO Roger Pomerantz .

What Went Wrong

  • No revenue and continued losses; Q2 net loss was $7.6M and diluted EPS -$1.94, and the company disclosed substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern without additional funding .
  • Nasdaq listing risk persists; although compliance was regained in July, the company expects potential non-compliance following this 10-Q, which can constrain financing optionality .
  • S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable for CFRX; thus, investors lack a benchmark for “beat/miss” framing this quarter (see Estimates Context).

Financial Results

Income Statement Comparison (Quarterly)

MetricQ4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$9.839 $1.371 $7.568
Diluted EPS ($USD)-$16.14 -$0.69 -$1.94
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$4.438 $5.295 $4.870
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$2.265 $3.563 $3.105
Other Income (Expense), net ($USD Millions)-$3.136 $7.487 $0.407

Balance Sheet Snapshot (Quarterly)

MetricQ4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Cash and Equivalents ($USD Millions)$8.907 $11.866 $14.422
Total Assets ($USD Millions)$20.679 $20.552 $19.252
Current Liabilities ($USD Millions)$20.840 $19.652 $16.473
Warrant Liabilities ($USD Millions)$9.299 $1.899 $1.861
Stockholders’ Deficit ($USD Millions)$(11.852) $(3.137) $(1.108)

Year-over-Year (Q2 2023 vs. Q2 2022)

MetricQ2 2022Q2 2023
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$18.089 $7.568
Diluted EPS ($USD)-$36.79 -$1.94
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$16.760 $4.870
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$3.266 $3.105

Segment and KPI breakdowns are not applicable given no commercial revenues; operating KPIs focus on R&D, G&A, liquidity, warrant liabilities, and Nasdaq status .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
CF-370 IND filingQ3 2023“around the middle of this year” (mid-2023) “third quarter” Clarified timing to Q3 (maintained trajectory)
Exebacase Phase 1b/2 PJI trial2023Expected to begin dosing in Q1 2023 Began dosing April 2023; enrollment ongoing Achieved initiation; continuing enrollment
Liquidity / Cash runwayNext 12 monthsNot sufficient without additional funding (Company has relied on external financing) Substantial doubt about going concern; pursuing financing/strategic alternatives Maintained caution; reiterated funding need
Nasdaq listing2023Ongoing compliance processRegained compliance (July), but potential non-compliance expected post-10-Q Elevated delisting risk persists

No financial guidance on revenue, margins, OpEx ranges, OI&E, or tax rate was provided .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q2 2023 earnings call transcript was available; themes drawn from press releases and 10-Q disclosures.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2022 and Q1 2023)Current Period (Q2 2023)Trend
CF-370 programGLP tox completed; IND expected by end of Q1 2023 IND targeted for Q3; ASM Microbe data supported efficacy and PK target setting Slightly extended timing; continued execution
Exebacase PJI trialCTA approved; dosing expected Q1 2023 Dosing began April; enrollment continuing On track; clinical progress
R&D spend disciplineRestructuring lowered CMC/CRO costs R&D down sharply YoY; detailed drivers Sustained cost control
Government/non-dilutive fundingBARDA support modified after Phase 3 closure BARDA reductions; contract ended July 31, 2023 Lower non-dilutive support
Capital markets activity$7M Dec’22 offering; $10M Mar’23 offering $9.6M warrant exercise proceeds in June Continued dilution; improved liquidity
Listing/complianceNot prominentRegained compliance; risk of non-compliance post-10-Q Elevated listing risk

Management Commentary

  • “We remain on track to file an IND for our second program, CF-370…in the third quarter…we have the potential to significantly improve clinical outcomes and save lives,” said CEO Roger J. Pomerantz, highlighting Gram-negative targets and ongoing exebacase enrollment .
  • Q2 operational update emphasized multiple ASM Microbe presentations showing CF-370 combination superiority in in vivo models and PK-efficacy linkage to guide clinical dosing .
  • Q1 commentary underscored initial dosing in the PJI trial and mid-year CF-370 IND plans, reinforcing the dual clinical-path strategy .

Q&A Highlights

No Q2 2023 earnings call transcript was found; therefore, no Q&A highlights, clarifications, or tone comparisons are available this quarter.

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus estimates for CFRX were unavailable; therefore, comparisons versus Wall Street consensus could not be provided this quarter.
  • As a pre-revenue biotech with limited analyst coverage and significant capital structure changes, estimate visibility appears constrained (going-concern and listing risks noted) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Liquidity improved to $14.4M with $9.6M warrant exercise proceeds, but the 10-Q explicitly states substantial doubt about going concern without near-term financing; expect continued capital markets activity and potential dilution .
  • Near-term catalysts: CF-370 IND submission in Q3 and any interim PJI data could be stock-moving events; preclinical data support CF-370’s clinical path alongside SOC antibiotics .
  • Operating discipline is evident: R&D down materially YoY as late-stage exebacase activities wound down; monitor whether spend re-accelerates with CF-370 entering Phase 1 .
  • Nasdaq listing risk persists and can constrain financing options; management disclosed potential non-compliance post-10-Q, raising delisting and liquidity risks .
  • Non-dilutive support (BARDA) has tapered; strategic partnerships or asset transactions may be increasingly important to bridge funding and advance programs .
  • With no revenue and limited coverage, trade the name on execution milestones, funding developments, and listing updates rather than quarterly P&L “beats/misses” (consensus unavailable); risk/reward is tied to clinical progress and balance-sheet durability .

Citations: Q2 2023 8-K press release and exhibits ; Q1 2023 8-K ; Q4 2022 8-K ; Q3 2022 8-K ; Q2 2023 10-Q -.