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Canopy Growth Corp (CGC)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 FY2025 was mixed: net revenue fell 11% year-over-year to $65.0MM CAD with gross margin compressing to 16%, while adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $(9.25)MM, helped by cost controls; Canada medical grew 13% y/y, but Storz & Bickel (S&B) and international declined .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, CGC missed on revenue and EPS but beat on EBITDA: Revenue $45.24MM USD vs $49.10MM USD*, EPS $(0.92) vs $(0.38), EBITDA $5.23MM vs $(2.18)MM, with EPS pressured by “other expense” and margin headwinds, while EBITDA benefitted from cost actions [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
  • Strategy reset under new CEO: unified global medical business, streamlined Canada adult-use (SKU rationalization, focus on pre-rolls/vapes/high-THC), centralized global operations, and new $20MM annualized cost-reduction program; total debt reduced by $293MM in FY2025 to $304MM .
  • Outlook: management targets positive adjusted EBITDA “near term” but no specific timing; expects Canada margin improvement in FY2026, S&B softness in 1H FY2026 with a new device in fall, and ~C$38MM FY2026 interest expense—key catalysts alongside improving Germany supply, Canada adult-use execution, and progress on Canopy USA/Acreage issues .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Canada medical momentum: Q4 Canada medical revenue rose 13% y/y to $20.0MM CAD on larger average order size; Canada total cannabis +4% y/y to $40.4MM CAD .
  • Cost discipline and EBITDA trajectory: Q4 adjusted EBITDA loss improved 39% y/y to $(9.25)MM; FY2025 adjusted EBITDA loss improved 60% to $(23.50)MM .
  • Strategic focus and execution improvements: CEO emphasized simplification and “executional excellence,” unifying global medical, tightening Canada adult-use focus, and centralizing global ops; “we’re on track to reduce operating expenses… by at least $20 million over the next 12 to 18 months” .

What Went Wrong

  • S&B and international headwinds: Q4 S&B revenue fell 23% y/y to $17.1MM CAD on softer device demand; international cannabis declined 35% y/y to $7.5MM CAD, impacted by Poland online prescription ban and Australia competition .
  • Canada margin pressure: Q4 Canada adjusted gross margin was 11%; margin hit by initial higher costs for Claybourne infused pre-rolls and inventory write-downs tied to portfolio streamlining .
  • Large “other expense” drove wider net loss: Q4 net loss from continuing ops was $(221.5)MM CAD, including $(202.9)MM “other expense”; free cash outflow of $(36.24)MM increased y/y on working capital .

Financial Results

Headline metrics (CAD, reported)

MetricQ2 FY2025Q3 FY2025Q4 FY2025
Net Revenue ($CAD MM)$63.0 $74.761 $65.031
Gross Margin (%)35% 32% 16%
Net Loss from Continuing Ops ($CAD MM)$(131.6) $(121.896) $(221.501)
Adjusted EBITDA ($CAD MM)$(5.5) $(3.469) $(9.248)
Free Cash Flow ($CAD MM)$(56.441) $(28.181) $(36.241)
EPS (Basic & Diluted, Continuing, $CAD)$(1.52) $(1.11) $(1.43)

Segment revenue (CAD)

Segment ($CAD MM)Q4 FY2024Q3 FY2025Q4 FY2025
Canadian adult-use cannabis$21.0 $21.2 $20.4
Canadian medical cannabis$17.7 $19.6 $20.0
International markets cannabis$11.6 $12.0 $7.5
Storz & Bickel$22.2 $22.0 $17.1
Net Revenue$72.8 $74.8 $65.0

KPIs and balance sheet (CAD)

KPIQ4 FY2025
Canada cannabis adjusted gross margin (%)11%
Storz & Bickel gross margin (%)37%
Total Debt (period-end) ($CAD MM)$304
Cash & Equivalents (period-end) ($CAD MM)$113.811
Cost savings identified (annualized)≥$20MM over 12–18 months
Fill rates“mid-90s” in Mar/Apr (improved S&OP)

Results vs Wall Street consensus (USD, S&P Global)

MetricQ4 FY2025 ConsensusQ4 FY2025 ActualDelta
Revenue ($USD MM)$49.10*$45.24*Miss ~($3.86)MM (~7.9%)*
Primary EPS ($USD)$(0.381)*$(0.921)*Miss (~$0.54)*
EBITDA ($USD MM)$(2.18)*$5.23*Beat ~$7.41MM*
EPS – # of Estimates4*
Revenue – # of Estimates6*

Note: Asterisks denote values retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDAFY2026 (timing)Not provided“Committed to achieving positive Adjusted EBITDA in the near-term,” no specific date Qualitative only
Free Cash Flow driversFY2026Not providedExpect significant FCF improvement via lower interest (~$38MM FY2026), better working capital, lower restructuring and capex Qualitative only
Interest expenseFY2026Not provided~C$38MM for full year New outlook
Canada gross marginFY2026Not providedExpect improvement over FY2026 Qualitative only
Storz & Bickel revenue cadenceFY2026Not providedDecline in 1H; improvement in 2H with new device in fall Qualitative only
Cost reductionsNext 12–18 monthsNot provided≥$20MM annualized savings underway New program

No formal revenue/EPS guidance was issued; management provided qualitative priorities and operational targets .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 FY2025 (Q-2)Q3 FY2025 (Q-1)Q4 FY2025 (Current)Trend
Global medical supply/expansionEU cultivator agreements to boost EU medical supply Poland/Germany growth; int’l margin +100 bps to 41% Unified global medical under one unit; Germany portfolio expansion; Poland prescriptions hit by online ban Mixed: structural fix, but Poland headwind
Canada adult-use executionPipeline: Wana reintroduction; focus on vapes/pre-rolls/concentrates Claybourne launch, #3 infused pre-roll in BC/ON; adult-use +15% q/q SKU rationalization (~1/3 cut), focus on high-THC flower/pre-rolls/vapes; CCELL AIO vapes; adult-use −3% y/y Improving focus; near-term margin pressure
S&B macro/device demand+32% y/y in Q2 +19% y/y in Q3 −23% y/y; DTC down >50% on 4/20; 1H FY26 weakness; new device in fall Turning down; potential 2H catalyst
Cost actions/EBITDAAdj. EBITDA −$5.5MM; cost discipline Best Adj. EBITDA to date (−$3.47MM) ≥$20MM savings identified/executing; interest reduced via prepayment Strengthening
Canopy USA/AcreageWana/Jetty progress; Acreage closing plan FV declines; Acreage default forbearance to June 1, 2025; run-rate ~USD $210MM vs prior $300MM Deteriorated
Regulatory/legalPoland online prescription ban hit prescriptions; Germany expansion Headwind (Poland), tailwind (Germany)

Management Commentary

  • “Since taking over as CEO in January, we took decisive actions to accelerate growth and profitability… unifying our medical cannabis businesses globally… and streamlining our product portfolio.” — Luc Mongeau, CEO .
  • “We demonstrated marked year-over-year improvement in Adjusted EBITDA and cash flow in FY2025, while fortifying our balance sheet. We are committed to achieving positive Adjusted EBITDA in the near-term and positive Free Cash Flow over time…” — Judy Hong, CFO .
  • “We’re on track to reduce operating expenses on an annual basis by at least $20 million over the next 12 to 18 months… at the end of the fourth quarter, we made an additional USD 100 million early prepayment [of our term loan], reducing annual interest expense by approximately USD 13 million.” — Luc Mongeau, CEO .
  • “For fiscal ’26, we expect to achieve significant improvement in free cash flow driven by interest expenses of approximately $38 million for the full year… improvement in working capital… lower restructuring and capex.” — Judy Hong, CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Path to positive adjusted EBITDA: Near-term target driven by ≥$20MM cost reductions and growth in global medical and focused Canada adult-use; emphasis on execution and portfolio focus (Claybourne traction) .
  • Differentiation vs prior cost programs: Management restructuring to “fighting business units,” fewer layers, faster decision-making; not just cost-cutting but cultural/operating model change .
  • International supply consistency: Centralized S&OP and supply allocation to ensure consistent EU-GMP supply, reducing “false starts” in Germany; no major capex needed near term .
  • Canada medical market: Outperforming a mid-single-digit declining market; CGC believes #2 share with 16% growth FY2025 in Canada medical, aided by Spectrum online store experience .
  • Acreage underperformance: Ohio adult-use rollout delays and liquidity constraints hurt Acreage and broader Canopy USA fair values; default forbearance through June 1, 2025 under discussion .

Estimates Context

  • Q4 FY2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus (USD): Revenue $45.24MM vs $49.10MM (miss ~7.9%); EPS $(0.92) vs $(0.38) (miss); EBITDA $5.23MM vs $(2.18)MM (beat). Street likely revises down on top-line/earnings pressure from S&B softness and Poland, partially offset by stronger cost delivery underpinning EBITDA [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
  • Estimate depth: 6 revenue and 4 EPS estimates contributed to consensus, indicating moderate coverage [Values retrieved from S&P Global].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term: Mixed print with revenue/EPS misses but EBITDA beat; tactical focus on cost savings (≥$20MM) and interest reduction supports EBITDA trajectory even as S&B and Poland weigh on top line near term .
  • Canada medical is CGC’s growth/margin anchor; execution improvements and unified global medical structure should stabilize EU supply and support Germany growth in FY2026 .
  • Canada adult-use reset (SKUs, pre-rolls/vapes/high-THC) is the right playbook; watch for margin rebuild as Claybourne costs normalize and inventory discipline tightens .
  • S&B is cyclical and macro-sensitive; management telegraphed 1H FY2026 weakness and a new device in fall—2H FY2026 recovery is a key catalyst to monitor .
  • Balance sheet risk improved but not eliminated: debt down to $304MM; cash $114MM; continued access to ATM ($173MM remaining) provides flexibility, but dilution risk exists .
  • Canopy USA/Acreage is an overhang: fair value markdowns and Acreage default forbearance inject uncertainty; Ohio/New Jersey ramp and liquidity solutions are critical .
  • Setup: Trading stance depends on confidence in cost/CF delivery vs top-line headwinds; near-term trades may hinge on S&B demand inflection and Germany medical traction.

Citations:

  • Q4 FY2025 press release and financials .
  • Q4 FY2025 Form 8-K with exhibits and detailed schedules .
  • Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcript .
  • Q3 FY2025 press release .
  • Q2 FY2025 press release .
  • Germany Tweed brand expansion .

Note: S&P Global consensus comparisons and actuals in USD marked with asterisks are Values retrieved from S&P Global.