CG
Canopy Growth Corp (CGC)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2025 was mixed: net revenue fell 11% year-over-year to $65.0MM CAD with gross margin compressing to 16%, while adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $(9.25)MM, helped by cost controls; Canada medical grew 13% y/y, but Storz & Bickel (S&B) and international declined .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, CGC missed on revenue and EPS but beat on EBITDA: Revenue $45.24MM USD vs $49.10MM USD*, EPS $(0.92) vs $(0.38), EBITDA $5.23MM vs $(2.18)MM, with EPS pressured by “other expense” and margin headwinds, while EBITDA benefitted from cost actions [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
- Strategy reset under new CEO: unified global medical business, streamlined Canada adult-use (SKU rationalization, focus on pre-rolls/vapes/high-THC), centralized global operations, and new $20MM annualized cost-reduction program; total debt reduced by $293MM in FY2025 to $304MM .
- Outlook: management targets positive adjusted EBITDA “near term” but no specific timing; expects Canada margin improvement in FY2026, S&B softness in 1H FY2026 with a new device in fall, and ~C$38MM FY2026 interest expense—key catalysts alongside improving Germany supply, Canada adult-use execution, and progress on Canopy USA/Acreage issues .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Canada medical momentum: Q4 Canada medical revenue rose 13% y/y to $20.0MM CAD on larger average order size; Canada total cannabis +4% y/y to $40.4MM CAD .
- Cost discipline and EBITDA trajectory: Q4 adjusted EBITDA loss improved 39% y/y to $(9.25)MM; FY2025 adjusted EBITDA loss improved 60% to $(23.50)MM .
- Strategic focus and execution improvements: CEO emphasized simplification and “executional excellence,” unifying global medical, tightening Canada adult-use focus, and centralizing global ops; “we’re on track to reduce operating expenses… by at least $20 million over the next 12 to 18 months” .
What Went Wrong
- S&B and international headwinds: Q4 S&B revenue fell 23% y/y to $17.1MM CAD on softer device demand; international cannabis declined 35% y/y to $7.5MM CAD, impacted by Poland online prescription ban and Australia competition .
- Canada margin pressure: Q4 Canada adjusted gross margin was 11%; margin hit by initial higher costs for Claybourne infused pre-rolls and inventory write-downs tied to portfolio streamlining .
- Large “other expense” drove wider net loss: Q4 net loss from continuing ops was $(221.5)MM CAD, including $(202.9)MM “other expense”; free cash outflow of $(36.24)MM increased y/y on working capital .
Financial Results
Headline metrics (CAD, reported)
Segment revenue (CAD)
KPIs and balance sheet (CAD)
Results vs Wall Street consensus (USD, S&P Global)
Note: Asterisks denote values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
No formal revenue/EPS guidance was issued; management provided qualitative priorities and operational targets .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Since taking over as CEO in January, we took decisive actions to accelerate growth and profitability… unifying our medical cannabis businesses globally… and streamlining our product portfolio.” — Luc Mongeau, CEO .
- “We demonstrated marked year-over-year improvement in Adjusted EBITDA and cash flow in FY2025, while fortifying our balance sheet. We are committed to achieving positive Adjusted EBITDA in the near-term and positive Free Cash Flow over time…” — Judy Hong, CFO .
- “We’re on track to reduce operating expenses on an annual basis by at least $20 million over the next 12 to 18 months… at the end of the fourth quarter, we made an additional USD 100 million early prepayment [of our term loan], reducing annual interest expense by approximately USD 13 million.” — Luc Mongeau, CEO .
- “For fiscal ’26, we expect to achieve significant improvement in free cash flow driven by interest expenses of approximately $38 million for the full year… improvement in working capital… lower restructuring and capex.” — Judy Hong, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Path to positive adjusted EBITDA: Near-term target driven by ≥$20MM cost reductions and growth in global medical and focused Canada adult-use; emphasis on execution and portfolio focus (Claybourne traction) .
- Differentiation vs prior cost programs: Management restructuring to “fighting business units,” fewer layers, faster decision-making; not just cost-cutting but cultural/operating model change .
- International supply consistency: Centralized S&OP and supply allocation to ensure consistent EU-GMP supply, reducing “false starts” in Germany; no major capex needed near term .
- Canada medical market: Outperforming a mid-single-digit declining market; CGC believes #2 share with 16% growth FY2025 in Canada medical, aided by Spectrum online store experience .
- Acreage underperformance: Ohio adult-use rollout delays and liquidity constraints hurt Acreage and broader Canopy USA fair values; default forbearance through June 1, 2025 under discussion .
Estimates Context
- Q4 FY2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus (USD): Revenue $45.24MM vs $49.10MM (miss ~7.9%); EPS $(0.92) vs $(0.38) (miss); EBITDA $5.23MM vs $(2.18)MM (beat). Street likely revises down on top-line/earnings pressure from S&B softness and Poland, partially offset by stronger cost delivery underpinning EBITDA [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
- Estimate depth: 6 revenue and 4 EPS estimates contributed to consensus, indicating moderate coverage [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term: Mixed print with revenue/EPS misses but EBITDA beat; tactical focus on cost savings (≥$20MM) and interest reduction supports EBITDA trajectory even as S&B and Poland weigh on top line near term .
- Canada medical is CGC’s growth/margin anchor; execution improvements and unified global medical structure should stabilize EU supply and support Germany growth in FY2026 .
- Canada adult-use reset (SKUs, pre-rolls/vapes/high-THC) is the right playbook; watch for margin rebuild as Claybourne costs normalize and inventory discipline tightens .
- S&B is cyclical and macro-sensitive; management telegraphed 1H FY2026 weakness and a new device in fall—2H FY2026 recovery is a key catalyst to monitor .
- Balance sheet risk improved but not eliminated: debt down to $304MM; cash $114MM; continued access to ATM ($173MM remaining) provides flexibility, but dilution risk exists .
- Canopy USA/Acreage is an overhang: fair value markdowns and Acreage default forbearance inject uncertainty; Ohio/New Jersey ramp and liquidity solutions are critical .
- Setup: Trading stance depends on confidence in cost/CF delivery vs top-line headwinds; near-term trades may hinge on S&B demand inflection and Germany medical traction.
Citations:
- Q4 FY2025 press release and financials .
- Q4 FY2025 Form 8-K with exhibits and detailed schedules .
- Q4 FY2025 earnings call transcript .
- Q3 FY2025 press release .
- Q2 FY2025 press release .
- Germany Tweed brand expansion .
Note: S&P Global consensus comparisons and actuals in USD marked with asterisks are Values retrieved from S&P Global.