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CG Oncology, Inc. (CGON)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 revenue was $1.666M, far above Wall Street consensus of $0.073M*, while EPS of ($0.57) modestly missed consensus of ($0.565)*; operating loss widened on higher G&A tied to legal/professional fees and headcount .
  • Initiated rolling BLA submission for cretostimogene in HR BCG‑unresponsive NMIBC; completed enrollment of PIVOT‑006 ~10 months early, reinforcing clinical momentum and potential near-term regulatory catalysts .
  • Durability data in BOND‑003 Cohort C showed 24‑month CR of 41.8% and 90% of 12‑month responders remaining disease‑free at 24 months, with consistent safety and no ≥Grade 3 TRAEs .
  • Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were $680.3M, including ~$48.7M ATM proceeds, providing runway into 1H 2028 and funding key data/filing milestones .
  • Shares rose ~8.6% on the update as investors focused on BLA initiation and strong durability; Nasdaq recorded the close at $41.01, up 8.61% on Nov 14, 2025 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Rolling BLA submission initiated for cretostimogene in HR BCG‑unresponsive NMIBC, aligning execution with prior guidance and accelerating the regulatory path (“With cretostimogene’s unique profile…positioning cretostimogene as a potential backbone therapy…” — Arthur Kuan, CEO) .
  • BOND‑003 Cohort C durability: 24‑month CR of 41.8%; 90% of 12‑month responders sustained to 24 months; safety consistent with no ≥Grade 3 TRAEs or deaths .
  • PIVOT‑006 enrollment completed ~10 months early across 90+ sites, highlighting physician/patient interest and unmet IR NMIBC need .

What Went Wrong

  • Net loss widened to ($43.8M) and EPS to ($0.57) vs ($20.4M) and ($0.30) YoY, driven by higher R&D and a sharp increase in G&A (legal/professional fees, personnel) .
  • G&A rose to $23.3M from $8.7M YoY; R&D remained elevated at $27.9M as trials scale and headcount grows .
  • Revenue remains small/variable and heavily dependent on commercial/development plus collaboration items; despite a strong Q3, the revenue base is not yet a sustainable driver against rising OpEx .

Financial Results

Core P&L and Balance Sheet Trends

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.052 $0.111 $1.666
EPS ($USD)($0.45) ($0.54) ($0.57)
Net Loss ($USD Millions)($34.452) ($41.426) ($43.808)
Loss from Operations ($USD Millions)($42.204) ($48.741) ($51.129)
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$42.256 $48.741 $52.795
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Marketable Securities ($USD Millions)$688.4 $661.052 $680.263
Total Assets ($USD Millions)$728.181 $701.445 $729.913
Total Stockholders’ Equity ($USD Millions)$704.758 $670.358 $687.643

Operating Expense Breakdown

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
R&D ($USD Millions)$27.467 $31.331 $27.884
G&A ($USD Millions)$14.789 $17.410 $23.334

Revenue Composition

Revenue Component ($USD Millions)Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Commercial & Development Revenue$1.508
License & Collaboration Revenue$0.052 $0.111 $0.158
Total Revenues$0.052 $0.111 $1.666

Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue Actual ($USD Millions)$0.052 $0.111 $1.666
Revenue Estimate ($USD Millions)$0.124*$0.109*$0.073*
EPS Actual ($USD)($0.45) ($0.54) ($0.57)
EPS Estimate ($USD)($0.411)*($0.482)*($0.565)*

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash RunwayMulti‑year“Sufficient to fund operations into 1H 2028” (Q1/Q2) “Sufficient to fund operations into 1H 2028” (Q3) Maintained
BLA Submission (cretostimogene, HR BCG‑unresponsive NMIBC)2H’25 initiation“Initiation in 4Q’25” Rolling BLA initiated in Nov 2025; full submission expected in 2026 Achieved (timing maintained)
PIVOT‑006 Enrollment Completion (IR NMIBC)3Q’25“Completion in 3Q’25” Completed in Sept 2025, ~10 months early Achieved
BOND‑003 Cohort P topline4Q’25“Topline data in 4Q’25” “Topline data in 4Q’25” reiterated Maintained
CORE‑008 Cohort A first results4Q’25“Topline data in 4Q’25” “First results in 4Q’25” reiterated Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: A Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was not located in our document set or via public sources; analysis below tracks themes across quarterly releases [Search yielded no transcript in our catalog; 0 documents returned].

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025 and Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Regulatory: BLA for cretostimogenePlan to initiate BLA in 2H/Q4’25 Rolling BLA initiated; completion expected 2026 Positive (execution on timeline)
Clinical Durability (BOND‑003 Cohort C)AUA data with K‑M 24‑mo CR ~42.3%, robust DOR, high MIBC‑free rates 24‑mo landmark CR 41.8%; 90% 12‑mo responders disease‑free at 24 mo; safety consistent Reinforced durability/safety
IR NMIBC Development (PIVOT‑006)Enrollment completion targeted 3Q’25 Enrollment completed ~10 months early Accelerating execution
Legal/CorporateANI verdict removes future royalty liability No new legal items; focus on filings/data Risk reduced; clean focus
Capital & RunwayCash $688.4M (Q1), $661.1M (Q2), runway into 1H 2028 Cash $680.3M; ATM proceeds ~$48.7M; runway into 1H 2028 Stable liquidity, opportunistic raise

Management Commentary

  • “I am proud of the meaningful progress we have made…With cretostimogene’s unique profile, we remain committed to advancing a robust clinical, regulatory, and technical strategy designed to support an optimized label and expansion into additional indications—positioning cretostimogene as a potential backbone therapy for a broad range of NMIBC patients.” — Arthur Kuan, Chairman & CEO .
  • “We look forward to sharing additional data from BOND‑003 Cohort P and CORE‑008 Cohort A before year‑end.” — Arthur Kuan .

Q&A Highlights

  • A Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was not available in our document catalog nor located via public sources; no Q&A highlights could be verified [Search returned no earnings-call-transcript; 0 documents found].
  • Guidance clarifications came via the press release: rolling BLA initiation; timeline to completion in 2026; 4Q’25 data events reiterated .

Estimates Context

  • Revenue beat: $1.666M vs $0.073M*, reflecting higher “commercial and development” revenue plus collaboration revenue; this was a significant positive surprise versus a historically low revenue base .
  • EPS slight miss: ($0.57) vs ($0.565)*, driven by higher G&A and continued R&D investment; interest income provided a partial offset .
  • Prior quarters show a similar dynamic: low revenue vs rising OpEx as trials scale; consensus revenue for Q1–Q2 was $0.124M*/$0.109M* and EPS ($0.411)/($0.482), while actuals were $0.052M/$0.111M and ($0.45)/($0.54) respectively .
    *Values retrieved from S&P Global.

KPIs and Clinical/Operational Indicators

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
BOND‑003 Cohort C 24‑mo CR~42.3% (K‑M at AUA) Reinforced at AUA; DOR median 28 mo 41.8% landmark CR; 90% 12‑mo responders disease‑free; no ≥Grade 3 TRAEs
PIVOT‑006 EnrollmentOngoing; completion expected 2H’25 Target 3Q’25 completion Completed ~10 months early
Cash RunwayInto 1H 2028 Into 1H 2028 Into 1H 2028
ATM Proceeds~$48.7M; 1,515,151 shares sold

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Regulatory execution de‑risking: rolling BLA initiation for cretostimogene in HR BCG‑unresponsive NMIBC aligns to plan; completion targeted 2026 — a pivotal catalyst path .
  • Clinical durability continues to impress: 24‑mo CR 41.8% and 90% 12‑mo responders disease‑free with consistent safety; supports backbone therapy positioning and potential label breadth .
  • Revenue upside vs consensus was meaningful, but OpEx growth (especially G&A) drove a wider net loss; expect continued investment into filings, CMC, and commercialization build .
  • Liquidity remains strong with $680.3M and runway into 1H 2028; opportunistic ATM adds flexibility ahead of potential launch .
  • Near‑term catalysts: BOND‑003 Cohort P topline and CORE‑008 Cohort A first results in 4Q’25; potential for valuation re‑rating if data are positive and BLA progresses smoothly .
  • Stock responded positively to the update (+8.61% on Nov 14), indicating investor focus on regulatory momentum and durability; pullbacks likely tied to OpEx/earnings optics rather than clinical risk .
  • Medium‑term thesis: success in HR NMIBC plus expansion into IR NMIBC (PIVOT‑006) could broaden addressable market; monitor payor dynamics, manufacturing scale-up, and post‑approval uptake in urology practices .