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Coherus BioSciences, Inc. (CHRS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 net revenue was $54.144M, down year-over-year due to biosimilar divestitures, but supported by UDENYCA ($46.278M) and LOQTORZI ($7.522M); GAAP diluted EPS was $(0.44), non-GAAP diluted EPS was $(0.28) .
- LOQTORZI revenue grew 29% quarter-over-quarter to $7.5M; NCCN guidelines upgraded LOQTORZI to Preferred across lines, positioning for sustained adoption in NPC .
- Management reiterated the UDENYCA divestiture timeline (late Q1/early Q2 2025) and projected post-close cash of ~$250M with >2-year runway, enabling pipeline execution and reducing debt overhang; headcount to be cut ~30% to ~155 .
- Near-term stock catalysts: special meeting approval and FDA packaging authorization for UDENYCA close, continued LOQTORZI uptake under NCCN Preferred status, and 1H 2025 data readouts for CHS-114 in HNSCC and NSCLC combination progress with casdozokitug .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- UDENYCA sales rebounded to $46.3M (+28% YoY) in Q4 as supply resumed in November; 97% of pre-interruption customers returned and exit share reached 22% .
- LOQTORZI revenue increased 29% QoQ to $7.5M; NCCN designated LOQTORZI as the only Preferred regimen for NPC first line (Category 1) and in later lines, driving broader account uptake (+37% new purchasing accounts in Q4) .
- Strategic transformation advancing: “We will put about $250 million in cash on the balance sheet at transaction close” (CEO) and focus investors on the oncology value proposition post-divestiture .
What Went Wrong
- Q4 COGS of $33.9M included a $12M UDENYCA inventory write-down; overall net loss widened to $(50.7M) as divestitures reduced biosimilar contributions .
- LOQTORZI share of voice was temporarily impacted by UDENYCA supply interruption and field force restructuring ahead of divestiture close, slowing near-term ramp .
- Estimates comparison unavailable from S&P Global this quarter; inability to benchmark against consensus constrains external “beat/miss” framing (see Estimates Context) (S&P Global consensus data unavailable due to access limits).
Financial Results
Segment/Product Revenue
Key KPIs
Notes: “—” indicates not disclosed in source materials for that period.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We will put about $250 million in cash on the balance sheet at transaction close to continue our development efforts through key data milestone readouts in 2025 and 2026.” – CEO Dennis Lanfear .
- “LOQTORZI… the only NCCN-preferred regimen for metastatic and recurrent NPC patients… we expect that LOQTORZI will achieve a dominant market share position in NPC valued at about $150 million to $200 million.” – SVP Sameer Goregaoker .
- “COGS of $33.9 million in the fourth quarter 2024… includes a $12 million charge for the write-down of UDENYCA inventory.” – CFO Bryan McMichael .
- “Customers who represented 97% of UDENYCA volume pre-supply interruption have returned to ordering UDENYCA… exit share of 22%.” – CCO Paul Reider .
Q&A Highlights
- UDENYCA close conditions: FDA required specific validation runs for the second packaging/labeling line; sign-off is by data review (no site visit) .
- Cash math and headcount: ~$250M post-close derived from $126M YE cash + $483M upfront proceeds less $230M converts, $48M royalties and fees; employees to ~155 with ~50 transferring .
- LOQTORZI pricing: A ~2.46% price increase was implemented .
- LOQTORZI usage: Mix across recurrent locally advanced, 1L metastatic, and some 2L; majority in earlier lines as label breadth supports .
- Off-label I-O: Awareness ~40% in community; program focused on raising NCCN guideline awareness to displace chemo-only and off-label PD‑1 usage .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue were unavailable to us this cycle due to data access limits; as a result, we cannot provide a formal “beat/miss” vs consensus comparison at this time (S&P Global consensus data unavailable due to access limits).
- Company’s preliminary slide (Jan 13) indicated expected Q4 net revenues of $49–$54M and LOQTORZI $7–$8M; reported Q4 net revenue was $54.144M and LOQTORZI $7.522M, aligning with the high end of the company’s preliminary ranges .
- Where estimates may adjust: NCCN “Preferred” status for LOQTORZI and visible Q4 new account growth could support upward revisions to LOQTORZI 2025 trajectory; divestiture close and post-close cash/debt changes may alter OIE and share count assumptions .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Divestiture milestone: With SEC/HSR/CFIUS complete and only FDA packaging/labeling authorization outstanding, UDENYCA’s sale is tracking to late Q1/early Q2 close; post-close ~$250M cash and reduced debt are meaningful de-risking catalysts .
- LOQTORZI ramp under NCCN Preferred: Strong Q4 momentum and enhanced guideline positioning should support continued patient acquisition and duration-driven revenue compounding over 3–4 years .
- Supply normalization: UDENYCA supply resumed in November with allocation removal by February; expect legacy customers to normalize ordering into 2025; watch exit share progression .
- Pipeline readouts: CHS‑114 HNSCC biomarker/safety data in 1H 2025 and casdozokitug HCC triplet study data in 1H 2026 are key clinical inflection points; NSCLC focus on squamous histology progressing .
- P&L watch items: Q4 includes $12M UDENYCA inventory write-down within COGS; non-GAAP loss narrowed vs prior year; monitor OpEx discipline post-headcount reduction .
- Trading implications: Near-term moves likely tied to UDENYCA close timing/FDA sign-off and continued LOQTORZI uptake; medium-term thesis hinges on guideline-driven LOQTORZI dominance and pipeline validation to expand toripalimab-based combinations .
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