CI
Chewy, Inc. (CHWY)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY2025 net sales were $3.10B (+8.6% YoY), with gross margin of 30.4%—a high for the year—and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.33; Autoship sales rose ~15% YoY to 83% of total, underscoring share gains in a low-to-mid single-digit growth category .
- Chewy raised and narrowed FY2025 net sales guidance to $12.5–$12.6B (from $12.3–$12.45B in Q1), maintained adjusted EBITDA margin outlook of 5.4–5.7%, and guided Q3 adjusted diluted EPS to $0.28–$0.33—investing to accelerate growth in H2 while keeping margin expansion midpoint at +75 bps YoY .
- Key operational drivers: Sponsored Ads and mix into premium categories drove margin expansion; hardgoods returned to double-digit growth on volume; active customers reached 20.9M (+4.5% YoY) with NSPAC at $591 (+4.6% YoY), and Chewy Plus membership accelerated to ~3% of July sales with strong incrementality .
- Capital allocation: ~$125M of repurchases (~3M shares) in Q2; remaining authorization ~$360M; cash and cash equivalents ~$592M; debt-free liquidity ~$1.4B .
- Near-term stock reaction catalysts: raised FY sales guidance and record gross margin , Chewy Plus uptake (~3% July sales) , and Q3 EPS guide ; watch for H2 spending to lean into growth (ads, membership, price investment) tempering near-term flow-through .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Share gains and subscription strength: Autoship sales grew ~15% YoY to $2.58B, reaching 83% of net sales (record); active customers rose to 20.9M (+4.5% YoY), with NSPAC at $591 (+4.6% YoY) .
- Margin expansion: Gross margin hit 30.4% (+90 bps YoY; +80 bps QoQ), driven by Sponsored Ads and premium mix; adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 5.9% (+80 bps YoY) .
- New initiatives traction: Chewy Plus reached ~3% of July sales, showing higher frequency, basket attach, Autoship adoption, and positive contribution per customer; “Get Real” fresh/frozen dog food launched with strong customer reception and national capacity through 2028 .
- Quote: “In the month of July, roughly 3% of Chewy’s total monthly sales were to Chewy Plus members…higher frequency…higher number of products…incremental Autoship adoption” .
What Went Wrong
- SG&A deleverage: SG&A (ex SBC) was $592.8M (19.1% of sales), deleveraging ~30 bps YoY, due to Houston FC ramp, Dallas shift wind-down, higher hardgoods inbound processing ($3–$5M), and modest wage/benefit increases ($2–$3M) .
- GAAP EPS optics vs prior year: Diluted EPS fell to $0.14 YoY due to a large prior-year valuation allowance release; adjusted EPS rose to $0.33 (+$0.09 YoY), highlighting non-GAAP normalization .
- H2 flow-through: Company will reinvest incremental H2 revenue (implied $175M midpoint raise) to drive Chewy Plus, Autoship, and potential selective price investments, limiting near-term incremental EBITDA conversion versus pure flow-through .
Financial Results
Core P&L and KPIs (Actuals)
Actual vs S&P Global Consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global*
Additional KPIs and Business Mix
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Q2 net sales grew by nearly 9% YoY to $3.1 billion…Autoship customer sales of $2.58 billion represented 83% of our Q2 net sales…Hardgoods grew over 15%” .
- “In July, roughly 3% of Chewy’s total monthly sales were to Chewy Plus members…buying at a higher frequency…higher number of products…incremental Autoship adoption…positive contribution profit per customer” .
- “We are raising and narrowing our full year 2025 net sales outlook to between $12.5 and $12.6 billion…maintaining full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin outlook of 5.4% to 5.7%” .
- “We expect Q3 adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $0.28 to $0.33…Q2 being the high point for [gross margin] this year” .
- “We spent about $3–$5 million in higher inbound processing costs…[and] about $2–$3 million [in] higher wages/benefits…expect SG&A costs to moderate in the back half” .
Q&A Highlights
- H2 investment cadence: Management intends to reinvest incremental revenue (midpoint raise ~$175M) into Chewy Plus, Autoship growth, and potential selective pricing to take share; flow-through held in check near term .
- SG&A puts/takes: Temporary deleverage from Houston FC ramp, Dallas shift wind-down, hardgoods inventory processing ($3–$5M), and wages/benefits ($2–$3M); expect H2 leverage and FY2025 SG&A leverage .
- Gross margin drivers: Sponsored Ads, mix to premium consumables/health, rising Autoship scale; promotional environment rational; Q2 gross margin is peak for FY2025 with healthy annual expansion expected .
- Fresh/frozen TAM and economics: TAM seen growing to $8–$12B; early customer mix ~70% existing/30% new; high NESPAC and gross profit per unit; capacity in place through 2028 .
- Advertising environment: Competitive intensity remains high; net traffic +14% and mobile app sessions +25% YoY; Sponsored Ads grew sequentially with 1–3% LT entitlement reiterated .
Estimates Context
- Q2 FY2025 actual revenue modestly above consensus and adjusted EPS above consensus; Q1 FY2025 beat on both revenue and adjusted EPS; Q2 FY2026 revenue above consensus and adjusted EPS essentially in line, supporting raised FY guidance .
- Near-term estimate revisions likely: upward for FY net sales and modest adjustments to H2 EPS given management’s explicit reinvestment to drive share gains (H2 offense) and gross margin peaking in Q2 .
Values retrieved from S&P Global*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Subscription engine remains robust: Autoship penetration increased to 83% with sustained double-digit growth—supporting revenue visibility and mix-driven margin expansion .
- Membership flywheel is working: Chewy Plus drove ~3% of July sales with tangible basket and frequency lift; expect mid-single-digit % of net sales by year-end and margin accretive contribution dollars .
- Operating leverage set to improve in H2: SG&A deleverage appears transitory; Houston FC and other ramps should support modest FY leverage; monitor fulfillment and wage/benefit normalization .
- Gross margin discipline: Sponsored Ads and premium mix drove a record 30.4% margin; management flagged Q2 as peak for FY2025—plan on quarterly volatility but annual expansion remains intact .
- Capital deployment: Continued buybacks (~$125M in Q2) with ~$360M authorization remaining and strong liquidity; signals confidence while funding growth initiatives .
- Trading setup: Raised FY sales guidance, record gross margin, and Q3 EPS guide offer upside catalysts; near-term EBIT flow-through may be capped as the company leans into growth—expect investors to weigh top-line acceleration vs. margin trajectory .
- Medium-term thesis: Emerging high-margin verticals (Sponsored Ads, health/CVC, fresh/frozen) and ecosystem programs (Autoship, Chewy Plus) support path toward LT adjusted EBITDA margin target; execution and tariff mitigation strategies reduce macro downside .