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Chewy, Inc. (CHWY)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Chewy delivered Q4 FY2024 (ended Feb 2, 2025) net sales of $3.247B (+14.9% y/y) and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.28, with both revenue and EPS exceeding Wall Street consensus; adjusted EBITDA was $124.5M with a 3.8% margin .
  • Autoship sales rose 21.2% y/y to $2.617B and reached 80.6% of net sales, while active customers returned to growth (+2.1% y/y to 20.5M) and NSPAC increased to $578 (+4.1% y/y) .
  • FY2025 guidance points to 6–7% net sales growth (ex-53rd week), adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.4–5.7%, and Q1 adjusted diluted EPS of $0.30–$0.35; management expects minimal tariff impact and capex of ~1.5–2% of net sales .
  • Sponsored ads scaled to ~1% of net sales and were the largest driver of gross margin improvement in 2024; first-party ad platform and offsite expansion are expected to further support margin trajectory .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Returned to active customer growth for the first time in eight quarters (20.5M, +2.1% y/y), supported by improved marketing funnel, app conversion, and internal bidding models: “we invested ~15% higher in Q4 marketing spend… cost per gross adds increased less than 2%… we added over 400,000 customers in Q4” .
  • Gross margin expanded to 28.5% (+30 bps y/y), driven primarily by sponsored ads and premium mix, and adjusted EBITDA margin reached 4.8% for FY2024 (+150 bps y/y) .
  • Autoship strength: sales +21.2% y/y in Q4, 80.6% of net sales, providing subscription-like predictability; management expects continued share gains and margin expansion in FY2025 .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP diluted EPS declined y/y to $0.05 (from $0.07) and net margin fell to 0.7% (−40 bps y/y), reflecting higher share-based compensation and taxes in the quarter .
  • Gross margin performance was “as expected” but modestly below some external expectations, with Q4 showing a slower pace vs prior quarters; management still expects 2025 expansion from similar drivers (sponsored ads, mix, OpEx leverage) .
  • Sequentially, revenue stepped down from Q4 to Q1 (seasonality), and free cash flow in Q1 was $48.7M vs $156.6M in Q4; management flagged typical quarterly margin seasonality and timing of investments in 2025 .

Financial Results

Quarterly Trend (Q4 FY2024 → Q1 FY2025 → Q2 FY2025)

MetricQ4 FY2024 (ended Feb 2, 2025)Q1 FY2025 (ended May 4, 2025)Q2 FY2025 (ended Aug 3, 2025)
Revenue ($USD Billions)$3.247 $3.116 $3.104
Gross Margin (%)28.5% 29.6% 30.4%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.05 $0.15 $0.14
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.28 $0.35 $0.33
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$124.5 $192.7 $183.3
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)3.8% 6.2% 5.9%
Net Income Margin (%)0.7% 2.0% 2.0%
Active Customers (Millions)20.514 20.756 20.906
Autoship Sales ($USD Billions)$2.617 $2.563 $2.577
Autoship % of Net Sales (%)80.6% 82.2% 83.0%

Q4 FY2024 vs Prior Year and vs Estimates

MetricPrior Year Q4 (13 weeks ended Jan 28, 2024)Q4 FY2024 (14 weeks ended Feb 2, 2025)Consensus (S&P Global)*Surprise (%)
Revenue ($USD Billions)$2.826 $3.247 $3.197*+1.6%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.07 $0.05
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.18 $0.28 $0.205*+36.9%

Footnote: *Values retrieved from S&P Global. Consensus EPS based on “Primary EPS Consensus Mean”; consensus revenue based on “Revenue Consensus Mean.” [GetEstimates]

KPIs

KPIQ4 FY2024Q1 FY2025Q2 FY2025
Active Customers (Millions)20.514 20.756 20.906
NSPAC ($)$578 $583 $591
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$156.6 $48.7 $105.9

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Sales ($USD Billions)Q1 FY2025$3.06–$3.09 Initiated
Net Sales ($USD Billions, ex-53rd week)FY2025$12.3–$12.45 Initiated
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)FY20255.4%–5.7% Initiated (implies +60–90 bps vs FY2024 4.8% )
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)Q1 FY2025$0.30–$0.35 Initiated
Share-Based Compensation ($USD Millions)FY2025~$315 Initiated
Weighted Avg Diluted Shares (Millions)FY2025~430 Initiated
Net Interest Income ($USD Millions)FY2025$25–$30 Initiated
Effective Tax Rate (%)FY202520%–22% Initiated
CapEx (% of Net Sales)FY2025~1.5%–2% Initiated
FCF Conversion (% of Adj. EBITDA)FY2025~80% Maintained
Tariff ImpactFY2025Minimal Initiated

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 FY2025 and Q2 FY2025)Current Period (Q4 FY2024)Trend
Sponsored Ads / Ad TechQ1: Gross margin 29.6%; adj. EBITDA margin +50 bps y/y; scaling performance . Q2: Sponsored ads largest contributor; GM 30.4% (+90 bps y/y) .First-party ads platform launched; offsite ads, video, self-serve enablement; ~1% of net sales .Expanding capabilities; supports GM and LT target (~up to 3% of net sales) .
Automation & FulfillmentQ2: Network utilization ~70–75%; Houston ramp underway .Overall automation >50% of volume; Houston and Dallas roles clarified .Rising automation share; expected to reach 70–80% near to medium term .
Customer Growth & MarketingQ1/Q2: Active customers up 3.8–4.5% y/y; Autoship 82–83% of sales .Active customers +2.1% y/y; marketing funnel rebuilt; ~400k net adds in Q4 .Sustained net adds in 2025 with balanced cadence across quarters .
Product Mix (Hard Goods)Q1/Q2: Autoship and consumables dominate; premium mix accretive .Broad-based hard goods outperformance (leashes, collars, tech, beds, toys) .Improving hard goods aided by app and new customers; mix supports margin .
Macro / Pricing / TariffsQ1/Q2: Inflation declined to low single digits; MAP protection steady .Minimal tariff impact embedded in guidance; promotional environment as expected .Normalizing inflation; pricing steady; MAP protection supports pricing .
Health Ecosystem (Pharmacy/Vet Care)Q1: Strong health categories; KPIs solid . Q2: Incremental capex for pharmacy and clinics .8 CVC openings in 2024; plan 8–10 in 2025; strong acquisition and engagement flywheel .Clinic ramp continues; ecosystem benefits to acquisition/engagement .

Management Commentary

  • “Topline growth and profitability exceeded the high-end of our guidance ranges for both the fourth quarter and full year 2024... strong active customer growth, and compelling Autoship customer loyalty.” — Sumit Singh, CEO .
  • “We expect to expand adjusted EBITDA margin once again in 2025... increasingly confident in our ability to reach our long-term adjusted EBITDA margin target of 10%.” — Sumit Singh .
  • “Sponsored ads... reached approximately 1% of net sales... largest contributor to year-over-year gross margin improvement.” — Sumit Singh .
  • “We will be providing supplemental information regarding adjusted diluted EPS expectations... Q1 2025 adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $0.30 to $0.35.” — David Reeder, CFO .
  • “First-party software [ads]... enables video, self-serve onboarding, and offsite ads; full speed ahead.” — David Reeder .

Q&A Highlights

  • Active customer drivers: Marketing funnel integration, improved bidding models, app conversion; ~15% higher Q4 marketing spend with <2% increase in cost per gross adds and ~400k net adds .
  • Gross margin expectations: Q4 played out as expected; 2025 EBITDA margin growth to mirror 2024’s drivers (sponsored ads, mix, SG&A leverage) .
  • Automation: Overall automation >50% of volume; Houston ramp progressing; target 70–80% over near to medium term .
  • Advertising & marketing: Maintain 6–7% of net sales in 2025; quarterly cadence can vary based on ROI/timing .
  • Hard goods strength: Broad-based outperformance (leashes, collars, tech, beds, toys) driven by improved site/app experiences and new customer file .
  • Capex: 1.5–2% of net sales in 2025; incremental spend towards pharmacy capacity and vet clinics; FC capacity stable .

Estimates Context

  • Q4 FY2024 (ended Feb 2, 2025) beats: Revenue $3.247B vs $3.197B consensus; Adjusted diluted EPS $0.28 vs $0.205 consensus; 14 EPS estimates and 24 revenue estimates supported consensus formation [GetEstimates].
  • Implications: Consensus likely needs to raise outer-quarter margin expectations given ad platform transition to first-party and offsite expansion, and persistent Autoship/share gains; management guided FY2025 adjusted EBITDA margin to 5.4–5.7% .

Footnote: Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Chewy beat Q4 consensus on both revenue and adjusted EPS, with gross margin expanding y/y and Autoship mix rising to 80.6% — reinforcing a durable, subscription-like revenue base [GetEstimates].
  • Active customers returned to growth, aided by improved marketing/app conversion and vet clinics, supporting sustained net adds across 2025 .
  • First-party ad platform and offsite capabilities should underpin further gross margin gains; sponsored ads are ~1% of net sales today with long-term potential up to ~3% .
  • FY2025 outlook (6–7% revenue growth ex-53rd week, 5.4–5.7% adjusted EBITDA margin, Q1 adj. diluted EPS $0.30–$0.35) suggests continued margin expansion despite seasonality and investment timing .
  • Capex focus on pharmacy and vet clinics; FCF conversion ~80% of adjusted EBITDA enables reinvestment and capital return flexibility .
  • Hard goods recovery and premium category mix accretion bolster margin narrative; minimal tariff headwinds embedded in guidance .
  • Near-term trading: Positive setup on margin trajectory and customer growth; watch quarterly ad mix/seasonality and any deviations in sponsored ads ramp or automation utilization .

Additional Relevant Press Releases for Q4 FY2024 Window

  • Conference call announcement (Mar 3, 2025) with reporting timeline and investor access links .
  • Q1 FY2025 results (Jun 11, 2025) showing continued top-line growth and margin progress .
  • Q2 FY2025 results (Sep 10, 2025) highlighting gross margin improvement and rising Autoship mix .