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City Office REIT, Inc. (CIO)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Rental and other revenues were $44.5M; GAAP net loss was $(2.4)M or $(0.06) per diluted share; Core FFO was $13.5M ($0.33/share); AFFO was $9.1M ($0.22/share) .
- Guidance was lowered on Core FFO per share to $1.14–$1.18 (from $1.18–$1.22) and NOI to $101.5–$103.5M (from $103.5–$105.5M), primarily reflecting expected WeWork downsizing impact of ~$1.8M or $0.04/share (with ~$0.02 non-cash straight-line rent write-off) .
- In-place occupancy ended at 83.0% (86.0% including signed not yet commenced); leasing momentum was solid with 191k sq ft executed and notable long-term deals at Bloc 83 (Raleigh) and FRP Ingenuity Drive (Orlando) .
- Management expects occupancy to trend higher through year-end as 172k–184k sq ft of signed leases commence in later quarters; catalysts include WeWork resolution and Q4 starts for major leases, plus progress on property renovations .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Executed ~191k sq ft of leasing, including 110k sq ft new leases with 9.1-year WALT at $33.33/sq ft; renewals averaged 4.2 years at $32.50/sq ft .
- Key wins: “29,000 sq ft 11-year lease with a financial tenant at Bloc 83 in Raleigh” and “43,000 sq ft 10.5-year lease with a healthcare tenant at FRP Ingenuity Drive in Orlando,” eliminating full-floor vacancy at Bloc 83 and bringing FRP Ingenuity to 100% .
- CEO tone constructive on demand: “we continue to see the return of larger tenant prospects,” and sector “trending more towards equilibrium,” citing rising tenant requirements and declining sublease additions; renovations underway to elevate assets and support leasing .
What Went Wrong
- Same Store Cash NOI decreased 1.0% YoY; NOI benefitted from ~$0.9M termination fee income, indicating some reliance on non-recurring items in the quarter .
- Guidance reduced due to expected partial WeWork space take-backs at premium assets (Terraces, Dallas; Bloc 83, Raleigh), lowering Core FFO by ~$1.8M ($0.04/share) in 2024, with ~$0.02 non-cash straight-line rent write-off .
- Debt market liquidity remains challenged; several 2024 maturities require lender cooperation; Portland market flagged as “most challenged,” with asset-level risks (Cascade Station deed-in-lieu expected in Q2; AmberGlen vacancy risk in 2025) .
Financial Results
Notes: Wall Street S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable for Q1 2024; comparison to estimates cannot be shown. Values retrieved from company documents.
Segment breakdown: Not applicable; company reports as a single portfolio .
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Context: WeWork downsizing expected to reduce 2024 Core FFO by ~$1.8M ($0.04/share), with ~$0.02 non-cash straight-line rent write-off .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The first quarter’s results tracked our expectations and we progressed renovations at several of our properties to drive incremental value” — James Farrar, CEO .
- On leasing: “we continue to see the return of larger tenant prospects... [completion] resulted in all full-floor availabilities at Bloc 83 now being leased and 100% occupancy at FRP Ingenuity Drive” .
- On WeWork adjustments: “updated our expectations to reflect taking back one floor at... Terraces... and at Bloc 83... We believe this outcome will position us to further diversify... and ultimately enhance value” .
- Macro tone: “office sector is trending more towards equilibrium… active office requirements have increased 28% nationally year-over-year” .
- Strategy: ~$9M renovation program across Scottsdale, Phoenix, St. Petersburg, Dallas to “positioned for long-term leasing success and cash flow maximization… setting ourselves up for a strong 2025 and beyond” .
Q&A Highlights
- WeWork negotiation rationale: management prefers partial take-back to diversify rent roll while keeping buildings largely full; Dallas Terraces commands top rents; tenant prospects already evaluating space .
- Asset sales: near-term market illiquidity limits dispositions; focus on positioning best assets to win leasing, prudent management of challenged assets, potential pruning when markets improve .
- Occupancy trajectory: signed leases expected to commence by year-end; WeWork floors return mid-year (Dallas) and year-end (Raleigh) without assumed lease-up in 2024; management views 2Q as occupancy floor .
- Spec suites: 2024 spend about half of 2023 ($7M last year); inventory ~100k sq ft expected to generate >$2M NOI; rents holding; pacing spend to lease current inventory .
- Market risk: Portland singled out as most challenged; AmberGlen 72k sq ft vacate expected Q1 2025; cautious approach .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global for Q1 2024 revenue and EPS were unavailable; therefore, beat/miss versus estimates cannot be determined. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable due to access limits; consensus context is not shown.
- Given the guidance reduction (Core FFO $1.14–$1.18; NOI $101.5–$103.5M), sell-side models may need to adjust downward for 2024, especially for WeWork-related impacts and timing of lease commencements skewed to late 2024/Q4 .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q1 fundamentals were steady: Core FFO/share held at $0.33; AFFO/share $0.22 covered the $0.10 dividend; leasing momentum improved with longer WALT and key full-floor wins, supporting 2H occupancy lift as commencements occur .
- Guidance trimmed on WeWork downsizing; near-term occupancy/NOI dampened, but premium assets (Dallas Terraces, Bloc 83) likely to backfill favorably, implying positive medium-term value creation .
- Balance sheet: 91.1% fixed/effectively fixed debt; multiple 2024 maturities require lender engagement; Central Fairwinds extension in process; Cascade Station transfer to lender expected Q2 reduces debt by ~$21M .
- Renovation program (~$9M) targets leasing and NOI growth across select assets; spec suites inventory (~100k sq ft) intended to add >$2M NOI, providing self-help catalysts into 2025 .
- Watch Portland exposure: management flags market as most challenged; AmberGlen 2025 vacate risk and limited near-term liquidity warrant caution on that submarket .
- Trading implications near term: clarity on WeWork amendments, debt extension milestones, and visible lease commencements in Q4 are potential catalysts; non-recurring termination fees boosted Q1 NOI, so underlying trend should be assessed ex one-offs .
- Medium-term: diversified rent rolls at top-tier assets and reduced WeWork exposure should de-risk cash flows; late-2024/2025 commencements and renovations support improving NOI/occupancy trajectory .