Alternus Clean Energy, Inc. (CLIN)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2024 revenue was $3.847M, down 36% year over year due to lower Romanian power prices, deferred sale of green certificates, and the December 2023 sale of Italian assets; sequentially, revenue rose from $2.180M in Q1 2024 as seasonality improved .
- Gross margin compressed to 59% from 83% YoY as Romanian contracted energy costs spiked; net loss from continuing operations widened to $6.837M vs $2.890M in Q2 2023; EPS (continuing) was -$0.10 vs -$0.05 YoY and -$0.13 in Q1 2024 .
- Balance sheet deleveraging progressed: H1 bond debt reduced by ~$80M to ~$86.6M via disposals (Italy, Poland, Netherlands), but Solis bonds remain in covenant breach with monthly waivers through late 2024 and late interest paid; going concern risk persists .
- Strategic pivot to microgrids: binding heads of terms with Hover Energy; three additional Hawaii Wind‑Powered Microgrid projects (total 1MW, ~1.3GWh/year) contracted, ~$3–$4M total value, installations targeted for Q4 2024 with revenues “immediately thereafter” — a key near‑term catalyst .
- S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable for CLIN in our data access; therefore beats/misses vs Street cannot be assessed and estimates likely need refresh post asset sales and JV updates (values unavailable via S&P Global due to mapping limitations).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Debt reduction and portfolio rationalization: ~$80M bond repayment in H1 2024 from asset sales (Italy, Poland, Netherlands) lowered Solis bond balance to ~$86.6M, reducing interest burden and improving flexibility .
- Production growth despite headwinds: Q2 operating assets delivered ~18.3 GWh clean energy; US power production up 156% period‑over‑period on parks coming online; Romania production up 8.6% PoP .
- Microgrid strategy momentum: “Microgrids…should provide faster time to revenues and cashflows and require less equity to deploy,” CEO said, highlighting joint venture with Hover and Hawaii orders, a complementary segment to utility solar .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue and margin compression: Revenues fell 36% YoY to $3.847M and gross margin dropped to 59% (from 83%) due to lower Romanian electricity prices, deferred green certificate sales, and higher energy acquisition costs under contracts below prevailing market rates .
- Operating losses widened: Net loss from continuing ops increased to $6.837M (vs $2.890M YoY) on lower gross profit, higher SG&A (+72% YoY) associated with Nasdaq listing costs, and losses tied to debt issuance/fair value movements .
- Financing and execution risks: Solis bond covenant breaches continue with only month‑to‑month waivers; unpaid interest incurs penalties; several US/European project loans are in default/renegotiation; the 80MW US acquisition did not close as sellers failed conditions .
Financial Results
Segment revenue breakdown:
Revenue by product/offtake type (continuing ops):
KPIs:
Portfolio snapshot (as of June 30, 2024, press release table):
Non‑GAAP note: EBITDA/segment EBITDA are management non‑GAAP measures; see segment disclosures and reconciliation in 10‑Q .
Guidance Changes
No explicit quantitative revenue/EPS guidance ranges were provided in Q2 materials; management emphasized cost reductions, deleveraging, and microgrid JV execution .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q2 2024 earnings call transcript was found after comprehensive search; themes below reflect 10‑Q MD&A and press releases for Q2 and Q1.
Management Commentary
- “Microgrids are a rapidly growing segment…should provide faster time to revenues and cashflows and require less equity to deploy…support business operations while we wait for the utility projects to come on stream” — Vincent Browne, CEO .
- “Revenues and gross margins both dropped significantly as a result of market forces, such as energy rates…we have increased [Nasdaq] costs…Despite this we have made good progress in business development” — CEO .
- On Hawaii microgrids: “Installations…begin in Q4 2024…revenues following immediately thereafter…total contract value…between $3–$4 million” .
Q&A Highlights
No Q2 2024 earnings call transcript or Q&A was located after document search; therefore, no Q&A themes or clarifications can be provided for this quarter.
Search summary: We listed and read all available Q2 filings and press releases (8‑K with Exhibits, 10‑Q). No earnings call transcript was found for Q2 2024 in the document catalog .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue estimates for CLIN were unavailable via our access due to a missing company mapping; consequently, we cannot provide a beat/miss assessment vs Street at this time. Values unavailable via S&P Global (mapping limitation).
- Actuals: EPS (continuing) -$0.10; revenue $3.847M for Q2 2024; any estimate comparisons should be updated once S&P coverage reflects the post‑SPAC structure and asset sales .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Deleveraging is real but incomplete: ~$80M bond repayment reduces interest drag, yet covenant breaches and late interest penalties keep financing risk elevated; month‑to‑month waivers through late 2024 underscore headline risk .
- Fundamentals under pressure: YoY revenue/margin declines are concentrated in Romania price dynamics and contract mix; watch optimization of offtake contracts and timing of green certificate sales to stabilize gross margins .
- Microgrids as near‑term bridge: Hawaii deployments in Q4 2024 can create earlier cash inflows, diversify revenue, and lower equity intensity vs utility solar — a potential stock reaction catalyst on execution newsflow .
- Execution watch‑items: Defaulted/extended project loans, Nasdaq compliance path (bid/MVLS), and the uncertain timing of the 80MW US acquisition remain swing factors on sentiment and valuation .
- Non‑GAAP indicators deteriorated: Q2 consolidated EBITDA swung to -$1.059M vs $6.078M YoY; segments show US drag offsetting Europe; focus on SG&A control and cost rationalization benefits in H2 .
- Seasonal lift vs Q1 visible: Sequential revenue improved with Q2 seasonality; monitor Q3 for continued production benefits and contract repricing progress .
- Re‑rating hinges on financing clarity: A structured resolution of Solis bonds (refinance, waivers into maturity, or asset transfer impacts) and visible microgrid/utility project milestones are key to reducing going‑concern overhang .
Sources: Q2 2024 8‑K press release and Exhibit 99.2 ; Q2 2024 10‑Q ; Q1 2024 10‑Q .