CI
CompoSecure, Inc. (CMPO)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered strong operating performance at CompoSecure Holdings: non-GAAP net sales rose 13% year over year to $120.9M and gross margin expanded to 59.0%; pro forma adjusted EBITDA increased 30% to $47.7M with momentum concentrated in U.S. programs and multiple new launches .
- Management raised FY25 guidance (revenue to ~$463M from $455M; EBITDA to ~$165–$170M from $158M) and introduced FY26 targets ($510M revenue; ~$190M EBITDA); guidance includes RHLD management fees and excludes the Husky deal impact .
- Strategic developments likely to drive stock narrative: announced business combination with Husky (20%+ EPS accretion in first full year post-close), NYSE listing transfer completed in September, and warrant redemption notice issued (cashless exercise) .
- Consensus comparisons were not available via S&P Global for Q3 2025; focus shifts to trajectory (2Q→3Q sequential uptick, YoY improvement) and to guidance raise as the primary positive surprise [GetEstimates: Q3 2025 returned no data].
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Margin execution: Gross margin expanded to 59.0% (vs. 51.7% YoY), attributed to the CompoSecure Operating System (COS), manufacturing efficiency, and mix; EBITDA rose 30% YoY to $47.7M .
- Commercial wins: New/expanded programs launched (Citi Strata Elite, Chime, Bank of America/American Airlines, Alaska Airlines, BMO, Gemini XRP), reinforcing issuer demand for premium cards and security .
- Balance sheet/capital structure milestones: Continued deleveraging at the operating unit and warrant redemption announcement (cashless exercise) simplifying the structure and potentially reducing future dilution .
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What Went Wrong
- International softness: International net sales fell 42% YoY to $15.8M due to order timing; management flagged higher variability in international given smaller scale .
- GAAP noise: Corporate-level GAAP EPS diluted was $(1.58) driven by large non-cash fair value adjustments (warrants/earnout), complicating headline comparability despite strong underlying operations .
- Estimate visibility: S&P Global consensus for revenue/EPS was unavailable for Q3 2025, limiting conventional “beat/miss” framing despite a positive guidance revision [GetEstimates: Q3 2025 returned no data].
Financial Results
Note: Given the February 28 spin-off and equity method presentation, the operating performance below reflects CompoSecure Holdings’ non-GAAP figures where indicated; GAAP EPS reflects the CMPO corporate entity.
Segment and mix (Q3 2025 vs. YoY):
- Domestic revenue: $105.1M (+31% YoY)
- International revenue: $15.8M (−42% YoY)
- Prior-year Q3 revenue baseline: $107.135M (domestic $80.033M; international $27.102M)
Additional KPIs and balance sheet highlights (operating unit, Q3 2025):
- Cash and cash equivalents: $98.247M; short-term investments: $49.727M
- Total debt: $188.431M (LT $173.431M + current $15.000M)
- Arculus contribution: “another strong net positive quarter”
Estimates versus actuals:
- S&P Global consensus for Q3 2025 (Revenue, EPS, EBITDA) was unavailable; comparisons to estimates are not provided [GetEstimates: Q3 2025 returned no data].
Guidance Changes
Notes: FY25 and FY26 guidance include RHLD management fee and exclude the impact of the Husky transaction .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic message: “The third quarter results are terrific… The combination of CompoSecure and Husky [forms] a best-in-class, diversified compounder” — David M. Cote, Executive Chairman .
- Operating execution: “Net sales increased 13% year over year to $120.9 million… Pro forma adjusted EBITDA increased 30% to $47.7 million… gross margins of 59%” — Jon Wilk, CEO .
- On COS and margins: “Putting in place that operating system… routines… culture change… driving the improvements… sustainable… opportunity ahead” — Jon Wilk .
- On synergy expectations with Husky: “We’re not pointing to nor counting on any kind of synergies… it’s the consistent application of a management operating system” — Management .
- Tone on Husky: “We are incredibly psyched… identified more than 500 bps of margin upside [for the combined company]” — David M. Cote .
- CFO transition: CompoSecure appointed Mary Holt as CFO (Honeywell pedigree), reinforcing financial leadership depth .
Q&A Highlights
- Share count for Husky pro forma: ~291M shares post-transaction context clarified in Q&A .
- Margin expansion durability: Management emphasized COS-driven, sustainable efficiency with room to reinvest in growth and R&D as needed .
- Synergies: No modeled revenue/cost synergies between CompoSecure and Husky; value creation expected from disciplined operating system deployment .
- Recurring revenue for Husky: Aftermarket parts/services (~65%) drive recurring profile; installed base (~13,500 systems) supports razor/razor-blade model .
- Guidance clarity: FY25 raise and FY26 introduction framed as momentum-based; excludes Husky impact and includes RHLD management fee .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus for Q3 2025 (Revenue, EPS, EBITDA) was not available for CMPO at the time of analysis; GetEstimates returned no data for the period. As a result, we do not present beat/miss versus Wall Street estimates for this quarter [GetEstimates: Q3 2025 returned no data].
- Given the lack of published estimates, the key surprise was the guidance raise (FY25) and the introduction of FY26 targets relative to prior guidance .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Trajectory is positive: sequential revenue uptick (Q2→Q3) and sustained margin expansion (59% GM), with EBITDA growing 30% YoY; execution under COS is the central driver .
- Guidance revision is meaningful: FY25 raised and FY26 introduced, providing multi-year visibility even after absorbing the RHLD management fee and excluding Husky, indicating confidence in core operations .
- Domestic-led growth with timing noise internationally: U.S. demand remains robust; international timing variability is the main near-term watch item for quarterly cadence .
- Strategic catalysts: Husky deal (expected 20%+ first-year EPS accretion) and NYSE listing can broaden investor base and re-rate the multiple; later-stage warrant redemption should simplify the equity stack .
- GAAP vs. non-GAAP optics: Expect continued GAAP volatility from fair value items at the holding company; use non-GAAP operating figures (revenue, GM, EBITDA, adjusted EPS) and Holdings financials for core performance assessment .
- Near-term trading implications: Positive skew from guidance raise and margin story; monitor international order timing, Husky closing milestones (target 1Q26), and the pace of warrant exercises ahead of redemption .
- Medium-term: COS-driven compounding plus platform diversification via Husky targets mid-to-high single-digit organic growth, ~100 bps annual margin expansion, and solid FCF yield at scale .
Additional Relevant Q3 Documents and Disclosures
- Q3 10-Q (equity method framework, Holdings results table, warrants/earnouts revaluation) .
- Resolute Holdings press release including consolidated/segment data for CompoSecure Holdings: Q3 net sales $120.865M, GM $71.327M (59.0%), debt and liquidity detail .
- Listing transfer to NYSE (symbol CMPO) completed on Sept 23, 2025 .
- Warrant redemption notice (cashless exercise mechanics) dated Nov 3, 2025 .
- CFO appointment (Mary Holt) press release and 8-K .