Costamare - Q3 2023

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Thank you for standing by, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Costamare Inc. Conference Call on the Third Quarter 2023 Financial Results. We have with us Mr. Gregory Zikos, Chief Financial Officer of the company. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. There will be a presentation followed by a question-and-answer session, at which time, if you wish to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. I must advise you that this conference is being recorded today, Wednesday, November 1, 2023. We would like to remind you that this conference call contains forward-looking statements. Please take a moment to read slide number 2 of the presentation, which contains the forward-looking statements. I will now pass the floor to your speaker today, Mr. Zikos. Please go ahead, sir.

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Thank you, and good morning, ladies and gentlemen. During the third quarter of the year, the company generated net income of about $53 million. As of quarter end, liquidity was close to $1 billion. In the container ship sector, larger ships continue to enjoy a tight market, while smaller vessels experience deteriorating conditions. Overall, the market outlook looks uncertain due to the large order book and the insufficient demolition.

On the dry bulk side, as part of our strategy to renew the fleet and increase its average size, we acquired two Capesize and one Ultramax vessel, and at the same time, we disposed of two older Supramax ships. Our own dry bulk vessels continue to trade on a spot basis, while the trading platform has grown to a fleet of 59 vessels. Having invested $200 million in the dry bulk operating platform, we are long-term committed to the sector, whose fundamentals we view positively. Regarding Neptune Maritime Leasing, the platform has been steadily growing on a prudent basis, having concluded leasing transactions for 17 ships in total, which are complemented by a healthy pipeline extending over the coming quarters.

Finally, during the quarter, we continued our share repurchase program, and we bought $10 million worth of common shares, highlighting our strong belief that the share price is heavily undervalued, considering both the company's performance and prospects. Moving now to the slide presentation. On slide 3, you can see our third quarter results. Net income for the quarter was roughly $53 million, or $0.45 per share. Adjusted net income was around $54 million, or $0.46 per share. Our liquidity stands at roughly $1 billion.

Slide 4, you can see an update on our share repurchase program. Since our Q2 earnings release, we purchased approximately 900,000 common shares for $10 million worth. In addition, we continue to have a long, uninterrupted dividend track record, boosted by strong sponsor support. Slide 5. Regarding CBI, we have chartered in 59 period vessels, with the majority of the fleet being on index-linked chartering agreements. On our leasing platform, we have already invested around $74 million. Since inception, NML has financed 17 vessels through sale and leaseback transactions and has a very healthy pipeline. Turning to slide 6, we have acquired two Capesize and one Ultramax dry bulk vessel, while we have agreed to sell 2 Supramax dry bulk ships.

In addition, we have concluded the sale of a 2000 build containership, along with the sale of our 49% equity interest on another 1998 build containership vessel. Slide seven. During the quarter, we have financed the acquisition of two dry bulk vessels through an existing hunting license facility, while we have roughly available $144 million for the financing of vessel acquisitions. We continue to charter all our dry bulk vessels in the spot market, having entered into more than 50 chartering agreements since our last earnings release. On the containership side, our revenue days are essentially 100% fixed for this year, 87% for 2024 and 73% for 2025, while our contracted revenues are $2.7 billion, with a TEU weighted remaining time duration of 3.7 years. Slide eight.

Our liquidity stands at roughly $1 billion. This liquidity gives us the ability to look for opportunities to grow the company on a prudent basis. Slide 9. Charter rates in the container ship market have softened, mainly for the smaller sizes, remaining, though, at above pre-COVID levels. The idle capacity remains at low levels of 1.7%. On slide 10, you can see the recent dry bulk market trends in the spot and forward markets. Charter rates have strengthened since Q2, although remaining volatile. The order book is at 8.1% of the total fleet. With that, we can conclude our presentation, and we can now take questions. Thank you. Operator, we can take questions now.

Operator (participant)

Thank you very much. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star two. That's star one to ask a question. Pardon me. And your first question comes from the line of Chris Wetherbee from Citigroup. Please go ahead.

Chris Wetherbee (Managing Director and Lead Analyst)

Hey, thanks, guys. Thanks for taking the question. You know, I guess maybe I wanted to start on the container side and, yeah, just get maybe a general sense of your view of, you know, I guess demand in the market for any term. So I guess I'm just trying to get the sense of, you know, we understand the weakness that's out there and obviously the capacity that is entering the market. But as you think about the opportunities for employment, can you just sort of talk us through what you're seeing in the market and what your thoughts are on activity in the rechartering side?

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Yeah, we've seen that, I mean, in general, if you compare tenure of previous fixtures a year ago and now, I think, on average, you can say that we have shorter-term fixtures for the container ships. And the charter rates have been, have been going down, which is something expected, and to some extent you can argue that it's shared because you cannot have a market going up every single year after COVID. So for example, the Panamax vessel is now at, for a year, the traditional Panamax is now at around between $17,000-$19,000 per day. Prior to that, it was between $20,000-$22,000. And also the fixtures we've seen now, they are for a year or so.

In the past, we could see fixtures at higher levels for longer periods. Especially for the smaller vessels, you can see the trend that the tenure of the charter party agreements they tend to become shorter and shorter. Having said that, however, still, I think, we need to note that the market is holding up relatively well and much better than people thought six months ago. Although we can see a downward trend, still the charter rate levels, they are very healthy levels. So they are very healthy, and we can see that especially for the larger ships market rates are still quite profitable.

So we do have a large order book that needs to be absorbed. It's highly questionable whether demand is going to be there in order to digest all the order book. And at the same time, the demolition levels are quite low. So, going forward, I think, where the market will be heading, I don't think that the supply and demand dynamics we experienced during COVID are gonna be there. Quite the opposite, I would say. We do see a downward trend, which is something expected.

At the same time, this means more opportunities, when sort of asset prices together with the charter levels and also new building prices come at, let's say, more logical levels. This is the time when, we as Costamare, we would be ready to enter the market again. As you know, we didn't put any new building orders at the peak of the market, over the last years. So we do expect, for the market, to find, its average rate levels, and then this may become more interesting.

Chris Wetherbee (Managing Director and Lead Analyst)

Okay. Okay, that's helpful. I appreciate that color. And then on the dry bulk platform, I, you know, if you could give us a sense of maybe how you think fourth quarter or maybe early first half looks in terms of, you know, vessels you plan to charter in. You know, obviously, this is a little bit of a difficult one for us to model, to get a sense of how you're thinking about your capacity in that, you know, so we can get a, you know, better sense of how revenue and profitability could look, either at the very least in the next quarter, but maybe a little bit further beyond that.

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Yes, you're right about it. This is a very difficult business to model, I would say, because it's volatile and because it's a chartering in vessels, entering into COAs, entering into vessel charters, cargo charters, and we also have an FFA book in order to complement our exposure. First of all, on the modeling side, we can have an offline discussion, then we can discuss how this can be more streamlined and how we can assist each other. Now, the company has grown quite substantially since it started beginning of the year. It's 59 ships charter in. We're going to grow depending on market conditions. We have put the whole infrastructure in place. This company runs with a zero debt.

It's 100% equity funded because it's levered by itself. And we don't need to grow this, but if we take the view that the market conditions justify growing further, we will push the accelerator. In general, to have a healthy operator, this operator needs also to have size, and I don't think that we have yet reached the desired size levels, but the timing, it will also be dictated by market conditions. So overall, we are long-term committed to that business. Our goal is to grow this further, and we will. But the timing, I'm afraid, we need to have a better view of the market, and we're gonna be evaluating on a quarter by quarter basis.

Chris Wetherbee (Managing Director and Lead Analyst)

Okay. All right. No, I appreciate we can take some of this stuff offline and get into a little bit more detail. Thanks for the time. Appreciate it.

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Sure. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from Omar Nokta with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Omar Nokta (Managing Director and Lead Shipping Research Analyst)

Thank you. Hi, Greg. Good afternoon.

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Hi, good afternoon. Morning.

Omar Nokta (Managing Director and Lead Shipping Research Analyst)

Thank you. Yeah, morning. I just wanted to follow up on Chris's question, just about the dry bulk platform. And it sounds like you may be in your response here just now, it was kind of talking about maybe the CBI portion of it.

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Correct.

Omar Nokta (Managing Director and Lead Shipping Research Analyst)

Wanted, yeah, wanted to just ask, obviously, you have the nearly $1 billion of liquidity, you have the $2.7 billion backlog. You did or you continue to build out the fleet, the own fleet, with the latest case in the Ultramax? I wanted to ask, how do you see that going forward? Are you looking to continue building it out from here, you know, the actual asset ownership side? And is it case that you would be focused on further, or is it just simply you're looking to renew, you know, bringing in some bigger ships and selling some of the older, smaller ones? Kinda how do we think about the fleet expansion from here?

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Sure. Like, our strategy now is, first of all, to grow the dry bulk own platform. What we have been doing, we have been selling smaller and on average, older ships. The last one we sold they were 2006 built. We have been buying larger vessels, Capes and one Ultramax, younger vessels, let's say 2011 built. So going forward, of course, assuming that this makes sense and that the numbers work out well, our strategy would be to increase the average size of the dry bulk owned fleet first, and also bring down the average age. It's those two things, and we have started with buying those Capes and selling the smaller vessels.

Going forward, assuming that we find transactions that make sense, this is what we're gonna be doing. So the goal, ideally, would be to, in a reasonable amount of time, to dispose off the smaller Handies and replace them with younger and larger ships as, mostly, Ultramax and Capes. Of course, again, I have to put a caveat here, depending on market conditions and depending on asset prices.

Omar Nokta (Managing Director and Lead Shipping Research Analyst)

Got it. Thanks for that. And just in sort of, you know, thinking about that and how you look to build out the own fleet, you know, how do you see that business working with the trading platform? I think I may have asked you this in the past, but, you know, are they complementing each other at the moment, or are they still kinda completely separate businesses?

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

First, I mean, they are, they are, you know, being run by different management teams, which something that makes sense. So there are two standalone businesses, all, both under the Costamare Inc. umbrella, who is a shareholder. At the same time, you can argue that they complement each other a lot. But they are being run by different people, different management teams. In the first business, we are 100% owners. In the CBI, in the platform, we are charterers, we also do FFAs. We do COAs, we have an FFA book. It's a different business, but they definitely complement each other. Now, what's gonna be happening in the future, I cannot predict.

Again, it depends on market conditions, but for the time being, I think it works out relatively well. So we leave it as it is, and there are a lot of synergies and compliments. Correct.

Omar Nokta (Managing Director and Lead Shipping Research Analyst)

Got it. Okay. And then maybe just one final one, and I know you mentioned in the release you committed the $200 million to CBI. You know, if I recall, the business was loss-making in the first half, just the trading side of it. You mentioned that rates of order, we've obviously seen this, you know, quarter to date average in the fourth quarter relative to what we've seen this year. But just in general, any color you can give on how the platform performed in the third quarter and maybe how it's sort of looking here in the fourth?

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Yeah. Look, the platform, the fixed, the first 6 months, there have been a lot of initial set up costs, and it is a company that started operating from zero, reaching 60 vessels within a short amount of time, in order to put all the systems in place, hire people, and have the whole, you know, infrastructure supporting the business. So it's something normal to be sort of losing money the first 6 months, and we didn't expect to enter into this business and, within the first months or like a year, to be highly profitable. So and I think this is more or less the case in all similar platforms.

Now, going forward, regarding Q3, we're gonna be releasing the numbers with our 6-K filings pretty soon. For year end, I don't know how the platform is gonna be performing, but I can tell you that this is not a short-term or even a medium-term deal here. We talk about a long-term commitment to the sector, which is complementing, as we mentioned, the dry bulk owned fleet. So, we're not gonna be taking, as you know, a short-sighted view that that it is doing well in the first half of the year, or that after the company was set up the first year or, or like the first six months, it has not been highly profitable.

We take a long-term view, and I think this is how it should be viewed, because we need to have a minimum size. We need to have a minimum size of the book, in terms of cargo book as well. And based on that, we're gonna be trading. So, the long-term view, this remains to be seen, but the company has been very well capitalized. We are supporting it, and we will continue supporting it. And as I mentioned earlier, it has no debt, so it's all equity, in order to make sure that it's gonna be operating freely of any debt restrictions.

Omar Nokta (Managing Director and Lead Shipping Research Analyst)

Perfect. Okay, thanks, Greg. Very, very, very helpful. I'll turn it over.

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

All right, thanks, Ryan. Thanks.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from Ben Nolan with Stifel. Please go ahead.

Ben Nolan (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Thanks. So just to follow up on the CBI stuff, I'm just as I'm trying to get my head around what causes things to move, Greg, maybe if you could in September and in the first part of October, we saw a real sharp turn up in the Capesize rates that have subsequently come down. Can you maybe frame in what that kind of a move does to the profitability, if anything, or just trying to see where the sensitivities are with respect to rate movements and profitability?

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Look, it's difficult to say. I mean, it's, there's also some commercial restrictions here. We have an FFA book on Capes, and we also have forward voyages on Capes as well. So since we charter in, then we enter into a voyage charters. So regarding the volatility in Capes, we do try to take advantage of it both with the FFA book and with the positioning of the vessels, and it's 37 of those. I'm afraid I cannot get into more detail on that because it's like telling you how, like, we run our Capes business during Q4, which it's difficult for me to explain now in an open call.

But I can tell you that the first, like, priority is to monitor our downside and then opportunistically capitalize on this Capes volatility, especially the last 2-3 weeks. Charter rates in the Capes market has been very volatile, and the same applies for the FFAs, and we try to take advantage of it. The Panamax market, at the same time, it's much more stable. So it doesn't offer a lot of volatility-driven opportunities, but I'm afraid I cannot get into more detail on that. It's like revealing what we do and what our long or short position on Capes and to Panamax is now. It's difficult for me to enter into.

Ben Nolan (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Okay. Well, I appreciate the commercial sensitivities around that. Maybe just from a broader perspective, as we're thinking about how, you know, again, what the drivers for profitability are, is it fair to assume that there'll be long periods of time where there aren't any major shifts in profitability and then small episodes of substantial upside? Is that how we should think about, you know, what the revenue and profitability format would look like?

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Yeah. Look, if you are referring to CBI, because this is the most volatile-

Ben Nolan (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, yeah.

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

You know, sort of business portfolios. I can, I can tell you that based on the backlog of our, container contracted revenues, $2.7 billion contracted revenues at sort of very healthy rates. Based on the low break-even cost of the dry bulk owned vessels, which we bought at a very good time, and they have a very low leverage. And based on the predictability and profitability, although at lower levels on, of like the Neptune Maritime Leasing, which is a very stable business, I think any sort of short-term volatility, in terms of profitability at the CBI level, can be very easily absorbed by the whole company. Otherwise, we wouldn't be doing this.

So I mean, in a nutshell, I think we can digest any short-term, downturn of the market, which is something that it's part of the business, you cannot avoid it. However, the upside, it's very substantial. So the downside, based on the rest of the business we hold, it's something manageable. So otherwise, we would enter into that business if we didn't have the container ship, backlog, et cetera. And there is a lot of upside. So this is how we look at it. At the same time, this is a business that it is complementing our dry bulk owned vessels, which makes sense for us. So it, it is, a calculated risk, if I can say that, based on the backlog of the contracted revenues, low levels at the Costamare Inc.

level, high liquidity, attractive long-term charters in the container ship sector, very stable business, the leasing business. So, I mean, this is how, this is how we view it.

Ben Nolan (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Yeah, understood. And I was just speaking on a CBI level, on a standalone basis, just trying to think through what a normal path to profitability looks like, just sort of stable-ish at you know kind of modest levels, and then every once in a while, you see big moves. That's how you would frame it?

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

You can have like bigger moves, which does not translate into cash in the mark to market of the FFAs, like, unrealized losses or gains, which however do not have a cash impact, but it is profitability in brackets affecting EPS. There may be moves there. From the pure operation of the business, charter in, charter out, enter into voyage charters, et cetera, and settlements of FFAs, leaving aside unrealized exposure for the whole size of Costamare Bulkers, this is not something that would change the fundamentals.

Ben Nolan (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Sure.

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Of our profitability.

Ben Nolan (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Sure. Yeah, no, I appreciate that. The last question for me is just on the buybacks, obviously see the common buybacks, and curious, you know, I mean, first of all, it's been exclusive to the common and not to the preferred, so I know it can be either. Curious how you're thinking about that. And in terms of the common buybacks, I mean, is this the $10 million sort of what you think is a good run rate per quarter?

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Yeah. Look, I cannot predict the future. I cannot tell you, like, whether we're gonna be doing any more buybacks in Q4, or if we do, what's gonna be the size of it, et cetera. It depends. But we bought back common, as you rightly said, and not like preferred, because we think that the common is definitely undervalued. However you look at it in terms of NAV, in terms of stability, however you look at it. We did some buybacks of preferred in the past when it was trading at $15-$16.

Now it's trading at par or likely slightly above par. We have $150 million there to buy back, but we have been focusing on the common up to now, which does make sense. However, I cannot predict what like we're gonna be doing, the next quarters. We put back in total $60 million worth of common shares. We have a program for 30 more, but this program, but this program can be easily extended. We'll see. We take it quarter by quarter.

Ben Nolan (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Got it. All right, I appreciate it. Thank you.

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Thank you. Thank you, Ben.

Operator (participant)

The next question comes from Climent Molins with Value Investor's Edge. Please go ahead.

Climent Molins (Head of Shipping Research and Associate Research Analyst)

Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. I wanted to start by asking about the change in reporting. You previously provided a breakdown on a segment-by-segment basis, which was really helpful, but the aforementioned breakdown was not provided for this quarter. Should we expect this change to be permanent?

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

You know, the breakdown we had in the previous quarter was of no use at all, because in any case, you can find the numbers in the 6-K filing. So I'm afraid I will have to refer you to the 6-K filing, where, like, you're gonna be able to see the breakdown. It didn't provide with any value, it just made the press release longer. This is the reason we took it out.

Climent Molins (Head of Shipping Research and Associate Research Analyst)

Right. Makes sense. Chris, Ben, and Omar already asked about CBI, but could you provide some additional insight on how your own dry bulk vessels performed during the quarter? For example, the TCE you realized on that side of the fleet.

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Look, the profitability of the dry bulk vessel is gonna be again part of our 6-K filing. We have a mixed number of since we have Handys, we have now a couple of Capes, we have Panamax. I think overall based on the fleet that we have it has performed fine, it has performed well. But I don't want to go into more detail what was the TCE of the Handys, XYZ, and then what was the rating of every vessel, et cetera. Most of the vessels, or like all of them actually, with very few exceptions, they are trading on the spot market, so we do follow the index.

Climent Molins (Head of Shipping Research and Associate Research Analyst)

Makes sense. Thanks for the color. That's all from me.

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Thank you.

Climent Molins (Head of Shipping Research and Associate Research Analyst)

Thank you for taking my questions.

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Thank you.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. This concludes our question and answer session. I would now like to pass the floor to Mr. Zikos for his closing remarks.

Gregory Zikos (CFO)

Thank you very much for dialing in today's call. We are looking forward to speaking with you again in the next quarterly results call. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect your lines.