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COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO (COLM)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 revenue was $605.2M, up 6% year over year, and diluted EPS was -$0.19; both modestly better than Street expectations (Rev: $588.5M*, EPS: -$0.234*) driven by wholesale shipment timing and international strength .
- International regions (EMEA +26%, LAAP +13% cc) and Columbia brand (+8%) offset ongoing U.S. softness (-2%), while DTC declined 1% amid promotional normalization and site refresh efforts .
- Management reintroduced limited FY25 outlook, lowering the prior February revenue range to $3.33–$3.40B (from $3.40–$3.47B), citing tariff uncertainty; Q3 FY25 guide implies revenue $904–$922M, operating margin 7.6–9.0%, EPS $1.00–$1.20 .
- Near-term stock reaction catalysts: tariff-driven gross margin pressure (Q3 gross margin contraction of ~150 bps tied to $15–$20M tariffs), U.S. DTC recovery pace, and evidence of ACCELERATE campaign traction in the U.S. .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong international momentum: EMEA +26% and LAAP +12% constant currency in Q2; Europe Direct high-teens growth with robust DTC execution; China high-teens growth with record e-commerce during 6.18 and live-streaming success .
- Columbia brand growth: Net sales +8% on differentiated spring cooling tech (OmniFreeze Zero), PFG activations, and footwear (OmniMax Konos Featherweight) awards; elevated in-store storytelling and brand partnerships .
- Inventory quality improved and balance sheet remains strong: healthier inventory mix supported 120 bps gross margin expansion; ended Q2 with $579.0M cash/short-term investments and no borrowings .
What Went Wrong
- U.S. softness persisted: U.S. net sales -2%, DTC -1% (e-commerce down low double-digits given less promotions and site changes); management planning cautiously for H2 .
- Tariff overhang and margin headwinds: FY25 tariff impact estimated at $35–$40M, with Q3 specific $15–$20M impact driving gross margin contraction (CFO: ~150 bps) .
- Emerging brands mixed: SOREL -10% (lower spring orders, less clearance), prAna -6%, Mountain Hardwear -7% versus prior-year PFAS clearance base; stabilization expected but requires execution .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance vs Prior Periods and Estimates
Values with asterisk (*) are retrieved from S&P Global.
Street comparison detail (S&P Global):
- Q2 2025 Revenue consensus: $588.5M*; actual: $605.246M .
- Q2 2025 EPS consensus: -$0.2339*; actual: -$0.19 .
- Q1 2025 Revenue consensus: $763.2M*; actual: $778.452M .
- Q1 2025 EPS consensus: $0.6607*; actual: $0.75 .
Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025)
Geography
Brand
Product Category
Channel
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Management also flagged tariff rate assumptions embedded in guidance (10% universal; China 30%), noting further tariff increases would pressure COGS and profit .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “In the coming days, we will launch one of the most impactful components of this strategy, our new highly differentiated Columbia brand voice and marketing campaign” .
- “The apparel and footwear industry is facing increasing tariffs…we estimate the financial impact…will be approximately $35 to $40 million in 2025” .
- “We’re launching a new site redesign on columbia.com with enhanced mobile capabilities and up leveled photography” .
- “Europe is sustaining its brand momentum…immense market share opportunities in Europe” .
- “Our fortress balance sheet…gives me confidence in our ability to emerge from this period as a stronger company” .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariffs and margins: CFO indicated Q3 gross margin contraction largely aligns with $15–$20M tariff impact (~150 bps), partially offset by cleaner inventory .
- Inventory health: CFO described inventories as “exceptionally clean,” adjusted for earlier fall production and tariffs; flat to slightly down year over year on an adjusted basis .
- U.S. DTC outlook: Site refresh and marketing expected to lift .com; wholesale to be down in Q3 due to earlier shipments .
- Cost saves: Outlook includes achieved cost takeout; further savings under evaluation beyond ~$150M run-rate .
- Order book & mitigation: ~70% of U.S. fall product received by Aug 1; continued actions on pricing, vendor negotiations, SG&A efficiencies over time .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 delivered a modest beat: Revenue $605.2M vs $588.5M*, EPS -$0.19 vs -$0.2339*; beats driven by wholesale timing and international strength .
- With FY25 revenue outlook lowered to $3.33–$3.40B and explicit tariff headwinds, Street models likely need to trim H2 margin assumptions and full-year revenue at the margin; management suggests absorbing most tariff impact in FY25 (mitigation more evident in FY26) .
Values with asterisk (*) are retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- International momentum is a core offset to U.S. softness; Europe Direct and China e-commerce are strong, supporting near-term top-line resilience .
- Expect Q3 gross margin pressure from tariffs (~150 bps), with potential EPS volatility; watch tariff policy updates closely as they can change cost trajectories quickly .
- U.S. DTC reset underway (premium positioning, site redesign, fewer promotions); traction from ACCELERATE campaign is a key H2 narrative driver .
- Inventory quality and balance sheet strength reduce clearance risk and support selective chasing if demand surprises positively in H2 .
- SOREL/prAna/Mountain Hardwear stabilization requires execution; Columbia brand should continue to lead near-term growth .
- Guidance is conservative amid tariff uncertainty; FY25 revenue range lowered vs February—model for lower H2 margins and monitor mitigation levers (pricing, vendor terms, SG&A) .
- Near-term trading: position for a “show-me” quarter in Q3 given tariff COGS impacts; medium-term thesis hinges on U.S. brand re-acceleration and sustained international share gains.