CONNS INC (CONN)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY24 results were generally in line with internal expectations but reflected ongoing macro headwinds: total revenues fell 16.3% YoY to $284.6M and the company posted a net loss of $35.4M (−$1.47 diluted EPS) versus +$0.25 a year ago .
- Retail trends were soft: same-store sales declined 20.1%, while retail gross margin contracted 100 bps to 33.5% on deleverage and higher freight; however, eCommerce delivered a 24.6% increase to a Q1 record $22.7M, and credit applications rose 9.7% YoY, the first growth in 16 months .
- Credit remained a pressure point with provision for bad debts up to $28.9M on higher net charge-offs; credit revenues declined 8.2% YoY to $61.8M and the credit segment posted a slight operating loss .
- Management launched an in-house lease-to-own (LTO) offering and highlighted improving sales trends in in-house and LTO segments; carrying value of re‑aged accounts decreased to $155.1M from $167.1M, indicating early portfolio stabilization efforts .
- No formal guidance was provided. Near-term stock reaction catalysts include traction from in-house LTO, stabilization in delinquency/charge-offs, and sustained eCommerce growth versus continued discretionary demand weakness and funding costs .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- eCommerce outperformed: sales rose 24.6% to a Q1 record $22.7M, aided by last year’s platform conversion and application process enhancements .
- Demand funnel improving: credit applications increased 9.7% YoY—first growth in 16 months—supporting future sales capacity; management said these efforts “are improving sales trends within our in-house and lease-to-own segments” .
- Credit quality actions: carrying value of re‑aged accounts declined to $155.1M (from $167.1M), and carrying value of re‑aged >6 months dropped to $29.7M vs. $42.2M YoY, reflecting portfolio cleanup efforts .
- What Went Wrong
- Core top-line softness: same-store sales fell 20.1% and total retail revenues declined 17.8% YoY on lower discretionary spend for home-related products .
- Margin deleverage: retail gross margin fell 100 bps to 33.5% on fixed distribution cost deleverage and higher freight, partially offset by mix; retail segment operating loss widened to $19.7M .
- Credit headwinds: provision for bad debts doubled YoY to $28.9M due to higher net charge-offs; the credit segment swung to a small operating loss as credit revenues fell 8.2% .
Financial Results
Notes: Management also reported the carrying value of re‑aged accounts declined to $155.1M from $167.1M YoY .
Guidance Changes
No explicit revenue, margin, OpEx, OI&E, tax rate, or segment guidance ranges were included in the Q1 FY24 materials .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: We attempted to retrieve the Q1 FY24 earnings call transcript but it was inaccessible due to a source database inconsistency, so themes are drawn from management’s prepared remarks within press releases for Q3–Q1. Q&A details unavailable.
Management Commentary
- “Our first quarter results were generally in-line with our expectations and reflect a challenging macroeconomic environment.”
- “eCommerce sales increased 24.6% during the first quarter. We also launched our new in-house lease-to-own offering... [which] gives us increasing confidence that the strategies we are pursuing will return the Company to growth and profitability.”
- On strategic priorities in prior quarters: “Refocusing our efforts on serving our core credit constrained customers” and “launch of an in-house lease-to-own offering” .
Q&A Highlights
We attempted to read the full Q1 FY24 earnings call transcript (two indexed entries), but the source returned a database error, and the transcript could not be retrieved. As a result, Q&A highlights and any call-time guidance clarifications are unavailable from our document set at this time. We will update this section if the transcript becomes accessible.
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 FY24 revenue and EPS could not be retrieved due to a missing mapping for CONN in the S&P Global integration, so we cannot quantify beats/misses relative to consensus at this time. If needed, we can refresh once the mapping is available.
- Reported results: revenues $284.6M and diluted EPS −$1.47; adjusted EPS −$1.52 .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Demand remains weak in home-related categories, but sequential comp pressure is easing and eCommerce momentum is notable (+24.6%); monitor whether application growth (+9.7%) converts to improved ticket and traffic into 2H FY24 .
- Credit normalization continues to weigh on profitability (provision $28.9M), but delinquency and re‑aged metrics show signs of stabilization; sustained declines in re‑aged balances would be a constructive signal .
- In-house LTO is an important swing factor: early traction could broaden approval/penetration and support revenue recapture without outsized portfolio risk if underwriting and collections discipline hold .
- Margin upside depends on volume recovery to re-leverage fixed distribution costs and continued freight normalization; track retail gross margin progression from 33.5% as a key indicator .
- Funding costs are rising (interest expense $16.4M in Q1), so capital structure and ABS market access remain critical; watch liquidity headroom and term loan covenants .
- Near-term trading setup hinges on evidence of comp stabilization, improved credit loss trends, and LTO scaling; absence of formal guidance elevates the importance of monthly KPIs and intra-quarter commentary .
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