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Cosmos Health Inc. (COSM)·Q3 2023 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue grew 6.7% year over year to $12.824M, but gross margin compressed to 9.5% vs 14.9% last year; operating loss widened on higher SG&A and R&D integration costs .
- Adjusted EBITDA fell to $(1.132)M from $0.494M in Q3 2022; net interest expense declined sharply (down ~95% YoY) after debt repayments .
- Balance sheet showed total assets at a record $71.5M and stockholders’ equity of $44.2M (>60% of assets), while cash fell to $2.36M amid heavy operating cash outflows; management disclosed “going concern” risk .
- Management reiterated long-term 2026 guidance of >$180M revenue and >$20M EBITDA, began a $3M buyback, and signaled an R&D spin-off to unlock value; subsequent event: AI platform acquisition for drug repurposing .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Revenue increased ~7% YoY to $12.8M, driven by logistics distribution expansion following the Bikas GP network acquisition .
- Net interest expense fell to $0.04M from $0.75M YoY following significant debt repayments in late 2022 and early 2023 .
- Assets and equity strengthened: property & equipment rose 467% YoY to $10.2M and equity reached $44.2M with an equity-to-assets ratio >60% .
Management quote: “Revenues increased by approximately 7% YoY to $12.8 million… total assets reaching a record $71.5 million… net interest expense… decreased by 95% YoY… we reiterate our 2026 guidance of gross annual revenue over $180 million and annual EBITDA exceeding $20 million” .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin contracted to 9.5% (from 14.9% YoY) due to sales mix shift toward lower-margin logistics distribution and discounted nutraceutical sales to reduce receivables, compressing profitability .
- Operating expenses surged: SG&A rose to $4.0M (vs $2.0M YoY) from elevated R&D costs, acquisition integration, staffing, stock comp, and tax/bad debt provisions; operating loss widened to $(3.017)M .
- Liquidity pressure and risk disclosures intensified: cash declined to $2.36M; net cash used in operations was $(16.59)M YTD; management raised substantial doubt about going concern .
Financial Results
Headline P&L metrics (USD)
Notes:
- Non-GAAP adjustments are detailed in reconciliations, including stock comp, non-recurring items, FX, and prior years’ bad debt allowances .
Segment revenue and profit (Q3 2023)
Revenue by geography (Q3 2023)
Balance sheet and liquidity KPIs
Guidance Changes
Notes:
- No near-term quarterly or FY2023 guidance was provided; management reiterated the long-term 2026 targets .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q3 2023 earnings call transcript was available in the document catalog; themes derived from Q3 press release and 10-Q, with prior-quarter context from Q2 press release [List: 0 transcripts found; documents used: [1], [2], [10]].
Management Commentary
- Strategy: Vertical integration and brand expansion, leveraging Cana manufacturing and Bikas distribution; commitment to transparency (KPMG appointed), and shareholder value initiatives (buyback, spin-off) .
- Outlook: “We reiterate our 2026 guidance of gross annual revenue over $180 million and annual EBITDA exceeding $20 million” .
- Valuation message: “Book value per share of $3.4… more than 3 times the current share price,” highlighting perceived dislocation and initiating buybacks .
Selected quotes (CEO Greg Siokas):
- “Revenues increased by approximately 7% YoY to $12.8 million… total assets reaching a record $71.5 million… net interest expense having decreased by 95% YoY…” .
- “We… reiterate our 2026 guidance… and… our commitment to spin off our R&D division into a separate standalone public company…” .
- “We commenced the implementation of our stock buyback program and are currently exploring additional ways to support and protect our shareholders” .
Q&A Highlights
- No Q3 2023 earnings call transcript was available in the document catalog; therefore, no Q&A highlights or on-call guidance clarifications can be provided from primary sources.
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global/Capital IQ) estimates for Q3 2023 revenue/EPS and coverage were not retrievable at the time of analysis due to data access limitations; as a result, estimate comparisons are unavailable.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue growth with margin compression: Q3 revenue rose to $12.824M (+6.7% YoY), but gross margin fell to 9.5% on mix shift and discounted nutraceutical sales, pressuring profitability .
- Costs elevated during integration and R&D ramp: SG&A rose to $4.0M (vs $2.0M YoY), widening operating loss to $(3.017)M; Adjusted EBITDA swung to $(1.132)M .
- Balance sheet quality vs liquidity strain: Equity-to-assets >60% and assets hit $71.5M, yet cash was $2.36M and operating cash outflows were $(16.59)M YTD; going concern risk disclosed—monitor funding plans and cost discipline .
- Capital actions and long-term guide: $5.25M capital raise closed; buyback program began; management reiterated 2026 targets (> $180M revenue, > $20M EBITDA)—potential sentiment support if execution improves .
- Segment reality: Distribution drives revenue but low margins; nutraceuticals and manufacturing posted losses in Q3—near-term earnings leverage requires margin mix improvement and brand monetization .
- Operational catalysts: Progress integrating Cana and Bikas; subsequent AI platform acquisition could augment pipeline/repurposing capabilities; R&D spin-off may unlock value if capitalized appropriately .
- Compliance and controls: Fine at SkyPharm, material weakness in controls, and ineffective disclosure controls—execution and governance improvements are key to de-risk the equity story .