Copa Holdings - Earnings Call - Q2 2020

Transcript

Speaker 0

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to Copa Holdings Second Quarter Earnings Call. During the presentation, all participants will be on a listen only mode. Afterwards, we will conduct a question and answer session. At that time, if you have a question, you will have to press star one on your touch phone. As a reminder, this call is being webcast and recorded on 08/06/2020.

Now I will turn the conference call over to Raul Pasquale, Director of Investor Relations. Sir, you may begin.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Lawrence, and welcome, everyone, to our second quarter earnings call. Joining us today are Pedro Hebron, CEO of Copa Holdings and Jose Montero, our CFO. First, Pedro will start by going over the actions the company has taken to mitigate the impact of the COVID nineteen crisis, followed by Jose, who will discuss our financial results. Immediately after, we will open the call for questions from analysts. Copa Holdings financial reports have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards.

In today's call, we will discuss non IFRS financial measures. A reconciliation of the non IFRS to IFRS financial measures can be found in our earnings release, which has been posted on the company's website, copa.com. Our discussion today will also contain forward looking statements, not limited to historical facts, that reflect the company's current beliefs, expectations, and or intentions regarding future events and results. These forward looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially and are based on assumptions subject to change. Many of these are discussed in our annual report filed with the SEC.

Now I'd like to turn the call over to our CEO, Mr. Pedro Hebron.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Raul. Good morning to all, and thanks for participating in our second quarter earnings call.

Speaker 3

I hope that all

Speaker 2

of you and your families are doing well and staying safe. Before we begin, I'd like to thank all of our coworkers for their commitment to the company and recognize their efforts and many sacrifices during these very difficult times. To them, my utmost respect and admiration. Over the last several months, many countries, including Panama, extended air travel restrictions. We have not been able to provide scheduled commercial operations since March 22 and remains subject to the eventual easing of air travel restrictions in the region.

During the second quarter, we completed a total of 86 humanitarian and charter operations, which although only provided a marginal revenue contribution, allowed us to demonstrate our readiness and ability to operate flights with effective biosafety measures. This has been the most challenging quarter in our history. The current demand environment and operating restrictions have had a significant impact on our financial results. We recorded a net loss of $386,000,000 including significant noncash and nonrecurring charges, which Jose will explain in detail. Excluding special items, we would have reported a net loss of $114,600,000 our first quarterly loss on an underlying basis in twenty years.

During this period, we have obtained new credit facilities, once again demonstrated our ability to control costs and kept our cash burn below our original expectation. We closed the quarter with 1,300,000,000 in cash and undrawn committed credit lines. Our very strong liquidity position and great cost discipline, we believe, makes us one of the best prepared airlines to withstand the crisis. Assuming there are no further extensions to the air travel restrictions in Panama, we will restart our commercial operations on September 4. They scaled down schedule equivalent to less than 10% of our September 2019 capacity.

In the meantime, for the month of August, we have obtained approval to operate a limited number of humanitarian flights. Initially, we will serve 10 cities for passengers departing and connecting via Panama, while arrivals in Panama will be subject to specific approvals by the Panamanian government. Subject to the easing of travel restrictions in the region and the demand environment, our plan is to gradually spool up our network so that by December 2020, we're at approximately 30% to 40% of December 2019 capacity. To adjust to this reduced demand and capacity expectations, we continue making changes for our fleet. We finalized the sale of all our Embraer aircraft, engines and spare parts and have agreed to deliver these assets during the next twelve months.

We're also marketing for sale our Boeing seven thirty seven seven hundred fleet and plan to operate a simplified fleet of Boeing seven thirty seven-eight 100 and Mach nine. And in order to retain flexibility, we plan to keep several aircraft in long term storage to be able to accelerate our capacity plans if needed. Last, we have proven and very strong business model, which is based on operating the best and most convenient network for intra Latin America travel from our top of The Americas, making a best rapid position with the region's lowest unit cost, best on time performance, and strongest balance sheet. Going forward, we expect that our hub of The Americas will be an even more valuable source of strategic advantage, especially fewer intra Latin American markets are able to sustain direct point to point service. We believe the help of The Americas will be the best positioned to serve this market.

Now I'll turn it over to Jose, who will go over our financial results in more detail.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Pedro. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for being with us today. I'd like to join Pedro in acknowledging our COPA team. Today, under very difficult circumstances, they are showing their great spirit. For the second quarter, we reported a net loss of $386,000,000 or $9.8 per share.

As Pedro mentioned, our results include several noncash special charges. So let me begin by first agreeing. During the quarter, we made the decision to place the Boeing seven thirty seven-seven 100 fleet for sale. And given the reduced capacity plans, that we would likely not operate those aircraft again. That decision triggered a $186,800,000 noncash and nonrecurring charge, and the assets are now classified as held for sale on the balance sheet.

During the quarter, we also negotiated the sale of all of our remaining 14 Embraer 190 aircraft, six spare engines and the spare parts inventory. This transaction was concluded last week. You might remember those assets were already booked as held for sale since our fourth quarter twenty nineteen results. Even though the agreed sale price was lower than our original estimates, which resulted in a $50,000,000 non cash and non recurring loss, given the current market conditions, we believe this was a good deal for us. We also recorded a non cash $22,200,000 unrealized mark to market loss on the implicit derivative instrument related to the cash settlement option, the senior convertible notes issued in April 2020.

And finally, a $12,300,000 non cash reversal of unredeemed ticket revenue provisions booked during the 2020, given the uncertainty in future passenger behavior related to the COVID-nineteen crisis. Excluding these special items, our underlying net loss for the second quarter came in at $114,600,000 or a loss of $2.7 per share. Our cash burn for the second quarter came in at $232,000,000 an average of $77,000,000 per month, which is lower than our prior estimates as we mainly focused on reducing our fixed expenses and had a lower number of cash ticket refunds than forecasted. This figure only excludes proceeds and payments from extraordinary financing activities. In terms of capacity for the remainder of the year, our operating plan for the month of September represents less than 10% of 2019 capacity for the month and could build up to a range of 30% to 40% of twenty nineteen ASM levels by December.

Assuming this gradual restart of operations, we should be able to further reduce our average monthly cash outflow to around $66,000,000 for the second half of twenty twenty. This figure assumes that our leased aircraft and debt commitments are paid in full and that we stay current in all of our obligations. The improvement in our cash burn estimate for the remainder of the year is a function of our sharp focus in the reduction of our cost base as well as a gradual restart of our operations. I'm going to spend some time now discussing our balance sheet and liquidity. So at the end of the second quarter, assets totaled $4,100,000,000 Owner's equity was almost $1,700,000,000 Our debt plus our lease liabilities totaled $1,600,000,000 Our lease liability adjusted net debt to EBITDA ratio came in at point nine times, and our debt to equity ratio ended the quarter at 1.1 times.

We closed the quarter with approximately 1,300,000,000 in debt, more than 78% of which is fixed with a blended rate including fixed and floating rate debt of approximately 3%. This debt balance includes $50,000,000 in revolving short term credit lines, which we drew on during the month of March, as well as the convertible notes issued in April. During the quarter, we also repaid $95,000,000 of our short term credit facilities. As to cash, short and long term investments, we closed the quarter with $1,140,000,000 As previously reported, during the second quarter, the company took aggressive actions to further bolster its liquidity position, including raising $343,000,000 in cash net of expenses through a senior unsecured convertible note offering maturing in 2025 and adding new committed credit facilities for an aggregate amount of $150,000,000 taking our total available liquidity up to almost $1,300,000,000 at the end of the quarter. Furthermore, during the month of July, we closed a secured revolving credit facility for an initial aggregate amount of $105,000,000 Including this facility, we now have an aggregate amount of $255,000,000 in unutilized committed credit facilities.

Let me close by stating that once this most challenging situation passes, we believe CopusHub of the Americas will remain as the best connecting point for travel in the region with a privileged location and even more efficient business model and the best team in the industry. We are working harder than ever with these goals in mind. Thank you. And with that, we'll open the call to some questions.

Speaker 0

Your first question comes from the line of Savi Syth from Raymond James. Your line is open. Excuse me, Savi. Your line is now open. You may ask your question.

Speaker 2

Disconnect.

Speaker 3

So we can go to the next one while Savi fixes her connection.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Hunter Keay. Your line is open.

Speaker 4

Thank you, everybody. Good morning.

Speaker 5

Good morning. Can you hear me?

Speaker 0

Okay,

Speaker 4

great. Hey, George, I'd be curious to hear your views on the competitive landscape given the use of The U. S. Bankruptcy process by a couple of your major competitors. I'm curious how you what you view as key for COPPA to being competitive in a backdrop where your competitors are going to come out with potentially leaner cost structures.

Yes,

Speaker 2

Hunter. So first of all, I have to say that we're very happy to be able to avoid a Chapter 11 proceeding, which we all know that one never know how it turns out, and it can be a lot more complicated than what one would think. So we're very happy to be able to stay away from that. It's good for our shareholders also, of course. We had such an advantage in terms of balance sheet strength, liquidity and unit cost that we're very confident that after we get out of this crisis, even if our competitors have a successful Chapter 11 process, we will retain maybe not the same advantage as before, the gap might close, but we will still have an advantage in that sense.

Plus, of course, our very strong intra American network, we hope that, that will also remain at an advantage. We're confident on that.

Speaker 4

Okay. And then Jose, can you elaborate a little more on the $12,000,000 revenue reversal charge? Kind of curious what were the assumptions that triggered it? And what does this mean for revenue assumptions going forward that tie to whatever issue drove it? Yes,

Speaker 3

Hunter. The revenue standard, accounting standard calls for you to make an estimation every month on on how much of your of your sales are gonna actually expire a year from the period where you sell, and then you basically perform a reconciliation once that moment passes. And you you make that accounting entry based on past behavior or or past observed behavior that that you see via, you know, mathematical formula. And so, you know, in first quarter, we're still business as usual. So we we, you know, follow the the accounting rule and and perform that entry.

But the reality is that given our changes in in policy for reaccommodating passengers, etcetera, you you cannot determine that that those tickets are going to expire a year from the first quarter. So we reverse that expiration entry. So that's the nature of that.

Speaker 4

Okay. Thank you very much.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Duane Pfennigwerth. Your line is open. You may ask your question.

Speaker 6

Hey, thanks. Just a question on fleet. You're retiring the 190s. It looks like you're exiting your 700s. Post those two moves, if you fully flexed up your capacity, what would that look like relative to 2019 levels?

Speaker 3

Duane, I think that that our capacity for the next couple of years, we we I think we still have some flexibility in terms of lease expirations, with with the remainder of the fleet. And so we are now trying to make sure that our that our that our fleet matches what could be a a demand a environment in the next couple of years. So more likely than not, we would we're expecting to return a majority of our of of the lease surplus that we have one once those contracts expire to be able to match our our fleet size to what we have. So what what we have right now, even with the ex the retirement of the seven hundreds and the e one nineties is is that we still probably see that there's further fleet moves less to match to where demand is. And so that's, I think, what we can say about that and just keeping our flexibility open.

Mean, on the downside, more anything, just simply to adapt our fleet to where demand could be.

Speaker 2

Yes. And what I'll add to that, Duane, is that we've always talked about our flexible fleet plan, and this is an occasion where that becomes very, very valuable. And we have a large order for MAX nine as we know. And we can work with deliveries. We can accelerate.

We can defer. And as Jose mentioned, we can return leases or renew them depending on how demand behaves going forward. So right now, we're making sure that we're protected on the downside. So if things stay low, stay weak, we will have a fleet that can adjust to that demand, that it's not very difficult for us to increase the fleet if needed given the flexibility that's embedded in our plans.

Speaker 6

That makes sense. And then if I could ask just if you have a baseline in mind as we think about 2021 and 2022 relative to 2019, how much smaller do you think the airline would be over that time frame?

Speaker 2

It's hard to tell right now. Very, very hard to tell right now because it depend on how may and and so many unknown factors. But but in terms of our of our fleet, we can our plan is to bring down our fleet to a number that's going to be in the high 70s, but some of those planes are going to be in long term storage depending on demand forecast. And we can bring them out of storage at any time if demand improves. And again, we have the leases we can renew.

We have the MAX nine deliveries. So there's plenty of flexibility there.

Speaker 6

Got it. And then just for a follow-up, in terms of reopening, which countries would you expect to reopen or which what do you think your network will look like on that first kind of 10% that you're targeting in September? And what data are you guys watching that gives you any change in confidence that this late August time frame is the right time frame? And I appreciate you taking the questions.

Speaker 2

Right. Well, the right time frame, I think no one knows that, to be very honest. So we're going by by when countries are lifting the restrictions, the the the flight restrictions. What I also mentioned at the beginning of of this earnings call is that we have been approved to start flying what we could call some sort of a mini hub starting mid August, the August 14. We're going to start serving 10 destinations, That's Miami, New York, Mexico, Ecuador I mean, in Ecuador, Guayaquil and Quito.

We're going to fly Santo Domingo. We're going to fly Santiago, Chile, Sao Paulo and I think Havana and San Jose. So we're going to fly around 10 destinations mid August. We're going to offer connections, connectivity among those destinations. And even if the date of September gets delayed, just the fact that we're already offering this mini hub starting in August, even though it's gonna be, yeah, only a few percentage points, we can add destinations as the countries list restrictions and as demand improves.

So once we're up in the air flying with a small network, it's very easy to take it from there and and just increase service as demand shows up. So that's the plan right now. Okay. Thank you.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Wayne. Thanks.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Joseph DeNardi. Your line is open.

Speaker 4

Yes. Hey, Good morning. Jose, can you talk a little bit about your expectations for nonfuel costs over the next few quarters as you bring back capacity? And then what level of capacity you think you need to get CASM ex back to 'nineteen levels? Just in the context that you'll likely emerge from this a little leaner, can you get back to twenty nineteen CASM ex with a substantially smaller ASM base?

Okay.

Speaker 2

I'll start, and then I'll let Jose complement me. Maybe I'll start with the second part of your question. Of course, for an airline, it's very difficult to bring down unit cost to pre prices level unless capacity is up at similar percent. So we're not focusing so much on unit cost on ex fuel CASM right now. We're focusing mostly on bringing down our fixed costs, renegotiating contracts, making costs more variable than fixed and, of course, with two eyes set on our cash burn and our liquidity.

So that's our focus right now. And we think we're being quite successful in doing that, which puts us leaves us in a good spot for when traffic starts recuperating, whenever that starts happening. But if I had to give you a number, we think that when we get to the 70% range of capacity, let's say, of 2019 capacity, so seven-zero, when we're in the 70% range of 2019 capacity, our unit costs are also going to be in the range of what we had before this crisis, what we had in 2019. And that's going to be a result of the efforts we're making to lower our fixed costs to renegotiate contracts and to make sure that we can have the success we had before at a smaller capacity size.

Speaker 3

Yes. And Joe, in terms of where we see these costs in the second half, I'd say our fixed as Pedro mentioned, our focus is on fixed costs. And so I think when you add all that, it's probably going to be a 40% reduction versus the baseline at very least. So and and here, we're talking about kind of trying to get shed from the baseline all the most of the the sort of unnecessary fixed costs that we might have, and we're doing a lot in renegotiating contracts with suppliers and just simply getting rid of items that we don't need under the reduced operation scenario. So I would say that's the range.

Speaker 4

Super helpful. Jose, can you just update us? Sorry if I missed this in your prepared remarks, but just on unencumbered assets and kind of your appetite to raise additional liquidity going forward. Yes.

Speaker 3

We have a I think that you know, we we have around $300,000,000 in unencumbered assets in in the balance sheet right now. I think that from now, as you saw in July, we concluded our $105,000,000 revolving credit facility that we expect that has an accordion feature to it. So I think we can expect that that facility will grow as time passes. And I expect that to grow anywhere between 50,000,000 to $100,000,000 more over the next several months in terms of the availability that we will have for additional liquidity using that facility.

Speaker 4

Thank you very much.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Matthew Wisniewski. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Yes. Thanks for taking my questions. So the $66,000,000 cash burn, from my understanding, that's the average from September to December. But maybe you can share what it could look like under the 30% to 40% of capacity by the end of the year. Is it possible to hypothetically breakeven at that at that level?

Or is it is it not necessarily prudent to take that much cost out of the out of the out of the business given, you know, it impairs you going forward? Any thoughts on that?

Speaker 3

Yeah. Matthew, this is Jose here. So the just to clarify, the $66,000,000 cash burn figure monthly cash burn figure is for the second half of the year. So it's from the average from July until December this year. But we you know, again, with the estimates that we have right now, we still would be even under a 30% operational 40% range operation.

We'll still be burning a figure of cash.

Speaker 0

Okay.

Speaker 5

Okay. That's helpful. And then quickly, can you remind us where you're at with Boeing as far as delivery schedule and the MAX? Should we just assume that that's still kind of in flux and kind of being negotiated with Boeing going forward?

Speaker 2

It's still being negotiated. This is Pedro here. I should say that we have seven built but not delivered aircraft, some were in Seattle. And there's also seven, what they call, implemented aircraft, which still need to be built, but everything has been ordered. Maybe parts of it have already been manufactured by Boeing suppliers.

So it's to be expected that those 14 aircraft will be delivered, I would say, in the eighteen months after the MAX starts delivering again. So in that eighteen month period, it is expected that we could be taking delivery of 14 aircraft, even though we're still negotiating with Boeing. So that's not a given right now. We're still in the middle of those negotiations.

Speaker 5

Okay. Helpful. And if I could sneak one more in, just to understand, as you start up the operation again, should we assume that there's kind of some onetime cost to bring aircraft back into service or restarting operations? Or could there be a blip in cost as well as you as you kinda ramp things back up?

Speaker 3

Nothing really that is major in nature. And in any event, all that will be in the $66,000,000 cash burn figure. So there isn't really anything particularly significant in in the restart.

Speaker 1

Okay. Cool. Thanks for the time.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Aljintra Vannacono. Your line is open.

Speaker 7

Hello, Pedro. Can

Speaker 2

can hear you.

Speaker 7

Thank you. Good morning. Hope everyone is staying safe. We have a question regarding the travel restrictions. So I know that you have a good relation with the Panama government.

So based on your ongoing conversations, do you feel confident this time to restart operations by the Supreme Court?

Speaker 2

Well, the way we look at it right now is that this approval we just got to start operating mid August with this, you can call it a humanitarian mini hub or it doesn't really matter, but we can grow that as other countries open up, lift travel restrictions and as demand materializes. So the September 4 restart date we have is not as critical as maybe a week ago before we got approval to start operating in mid August. Again, it's in a limited and controlled way at first, but we can build on that. So it won't be that significant if the August 22 date, restart date for Panama, opening date for listing of restriction date for Panama gets extended because we will continue building on this operation. We're going to start mid August.

Speaker 7

Okay. And second question, if I may, regarding yields. So any expectations on yields once the commercial operations are already started? I mean, is it fair to expect lower yields as a demand incentive? Thank you.

Speaker 3

Yes, Alejandro. We the expectation is that yields are going to be affected once we restart operations. I mean, I think ultimately, when you look at unit revenues in the restart, there will impact both on load factor and on yields, definitely, even with the lower capacity.

Speaker 7

Do you have any kind of expectation on the magnitude of the patient's field?

Speaker 3

I I'd say that it's it's too early to tell. I mean, if there's I think the data has a still, I would say, not not too much clarity in what we're seeing. But certainly, what we are seeing is that there is a drop in and it's it's gonna be a it's a drop versus what we had been seeing prior to COVID in terms of the yield environment.

Speaker 2

And it's going to be significant. It's not going to be small numbers. But right now, there's not enough demand to know for how long and how severe. It's just very hard to predict.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Rogelio Araujo.

Speaker 8

So can you I know it's pretty difficult to talk about demand recovery at this moment. But can you speak a little bit about the mix of passengers of Copa concerning leisure, corporate travelers, transit passengers, you know, the main routes. So what are what is your thoughts so far on what is gonna be a sustainable drop in in traffic? You know, what is going to recover faster and compare this to COPPA's exposure? Again, know it's pretty difficult at this moment, but I would really appreciate if you could share your thoughts so far.

Thank you.

Speaker 2

Yes. We actually feel that the way our business and network is structured, we're in a good position to deal with what's, of course, the most difficult crisis ever for our industry. And I say this because our passenger is evenly segmented or a third leisure, a third VFR and a third business. And also our network, we have a vast, the most complete network, where also there's a combination of leisure market and business and VFR. So we expect VFR, visiting friends and relatives to recuperate faster, probably followed by leisure.

Business will reach a plateau. Maybe that won't take that much, but it's going to take maybe longer to go back to what it used to be. But I think we can balance the fact that we have such a diversified market and network to just put more emphasis and capacity where it's needed most. And in any way, we will also have to adjust total size, and we're preparing for that also.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Victor Mizusaki. Your line is open.

Speaker 9

Hi, thank you. I have two questions here. The first one is kind of a follow-up on the question related to the yields in this period of that you need to reconstruct the network. So I'd like to understand, I mean, don't know if you can comment on the going details, but if can comment about the pricing strategy. I mean, what folks at this time, if I mean, the idea is to, let's say, have a positive margin of contribution, think about cash and not necessarily on margins.

And if you can also go a little bit deeper and comment a little bit how your port bookings look like today? And my second question, which is related to your fleet, if, I mean, in this impairment with the jets and with the $7.30 seven-seven 100, is there any plan to general on how to finance the aircraft fleet? Okay.

Speaker 2

So I'll start with the first part and then I'll let Jose address the second part of your question. I won't get into pricing strategy. We think that pricing strategy is probably going to be different post crisis, at least for a while. We always strive to have the lowest cost so we can be as competitive as needed in terms of pricing and pricing reaction to our competitors. There will be lower yields, as we mentioned before, and that's going to be a way of stimulating new traffic, even though we also know there are segments that will travel because they need to and not tied to pricing.

So we'll try to make the best decisions in what will be a new way of doing business, at least for a while. In terms of future demand, it's early. We're talking about much smaller numbers than before, so it's hard to predict right now. But short term demand short term is down 90%. And if we look, let's say, five, six months ahead, it's down 75%.

That's what we're seeing right now. And of course, our capacity is going to match demand, and it's going to get adjusted accordingly.

Speaker 3

And Victor, this is Jose here. In terms of aircraft financing, as Pedro mentioned before, you know, we're currently in negotiations with Boeing for the, you know, the MAX situation. There, as Pedro mentioned, there are seven airplanes that are already manufactured. And once the return to service of the fleet starts at one point over the next eighteen months, we expect to take delivery of a certain number of aircraft. And for that, we are preparing.

We ran we're in the process of running an RFP for the financing. And so far, we've gotten good offers both on the sale leaseback side and also on The U. S. Ex I'm Bank guarantee side. So there are financing attractive financing options available still for us.

Speaker 9

Okay. Thank you.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Connor Cunningham. On

Speaker 10

the $10,000,000 cash burn improvement from 2Q through the remainder of the year, Can you say which portion of that is better revenue than what's cost in general? I would think that the majority of it's revenue related, but just curious if because it just seems like you've achieved a lot of your cost reduction stuff already.

Speaker 3

Yes. Absolutely, Connor. The majority is cost related. I would say that I would say, call it six out of 10 is probably cost related, and then you worry that there's a minor portion, four probably related to to the assumption of restarting the operation.

Speaker 10

Okay. So just a little revenue and mostly cost. Okay. Yep. And then on on the 10 markets that you're restarting in August, did did you go to the government with the list of those 10 markets saying, like, here's where we think demand is, or or did they come to you?

Just curious on how that how how those are determined,

Speaker 11

overall. And thanks for the time.

Speaker 2

Yes. It's Pedro. Hey, Conor. The markets we pick, and if the markets were, the markets that are open, of course, that's kind of rule number one, the market needs to be open and where we're seeing the most demand and need for travel, both out of Panama and connections. And we add cities to that list.

The government is not really involved with that. The government's main concern has to do with with passengers entering Panama, which they're limiting to Panamanians and residents of Panama, and that's what they will control. But, otherwise, in terms of connectivity and city, we can we have total flexibility there. And that's what I said why I said before that even if Panama extends the closure path at the August, our September 4 restart date is no longer so critical because we can grow this operation that we're going to start mid August as other countries open up and as demand materializes.

Speaker 10

Okay. Great. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Linenberg. Your line is open.

Speaker 12

Hi, this is Kate on for Mike. We were just wondering with the Avianca bankruptcy, are you reconsidering, you know, maybe your strategy in the Colombian operation and then adding on to that? Can you just give a little bit of an update on Wingo, please?

Speaker 2

I'll address the first. Wingo is Yeah. Yeah. We didn't get the second part of your question. An update on what?

Speaker 12

On Wingo, please.

Speaker 2

Oh, okay. Okay. Wingo. Yeah. Thank you.

So, you know, we we're very careful in in not assuming the weakness of others even even under a a chapter 11 procedure. We obviously have the assets. We have the aircraft. We have the team. So we can be very flexible to take advantage of opportunities, but we usually don't jump the gun.

So Wingo has the fleet and has the flexibility. Their priority is going to be to put together the network they flew before the crisis because they're not operating either. Colombia is closed until the August, so they're not operating either. But that's going to be their priority. And since that further their I mean, since their operation is only four aircraft right now, we think that by the end of this year, Wingo can be very close to pre COVID operational levels.

But if there are opportunities, if any airline drops markets or struggles more than expected, they will have the capacity and the ability to take advantage of that. But right now, we'll probably be more reactive than proactive in that sense.

Speaker 12

Okay. Thank you. And then just for my second question, when you do restart your services, can you just talk a little bit about, like, the safety measures you might be taking? Are you planning on blocking the middle seat, anything along those lines?

Speaker 2

Yes. So we've been flying humanitarian flights. We've in the quarter, we did over 80 operations, many of which had multiple stops. So so probably around 200 flight segments have been flown in the quarter using our new biosafety protocols with great success. We haven't had any reports issues with passengers or crews.

So so we're very glad of that about that. And then the measures are, there's social distancing at the airport, a extreme cleaning of the aircraft cabin, a reduced onboard service to limit the interaction between crews and passengers. Every passenger has to wear a mask inside the airplane and at our Panama hub also and then other airports depending on the own airport's regulations. But on board, 100% mask, temperature checked before boarding. The aircraft, our modern aircraft also has the HEPA filters, which are very, very effective in filtering 99.7% of particles.

So we think we're offering quite a safe environment, flight environment. And obviously, there's still a ways to go in terms of getting passengers confident enough. But so far, I think we've done well in that regard.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Stephen Trent. Your line is open.

Speaker 11

Good morning, gentlemen, and thanks very much for taking my question. I just had a quick follow-up. You guys mentioned, you know, your conversations with Boeing that you're gonna keep some of your planes in storage and these kind of things. I'm just wondering when I look at this, are you suggesting perhaps over the long term that Copa will lean towards owning its fleet as opposed to leasing its fleet? You know, maybe given your views about the asset risk of of holding planes and the financial advantages of of owning versus leasing.

I was just curious if if I got that correctly.

Speaker 3

Steve, this is Jose here. We historically have had a mix of owned airplanes versus leased airplanes. Our historical ratio has been two thirds, one third, home versus lease. And I think that the definition or it depends on several factors in terms of what decision we make. It depends on just simply keeping the flexibility, the pricing on a particular moment in terms of the markets for financing.

And so that decision gets made, I think, in each individual sort of campaign that we perform for the financing of each individual airplane. Always keeping a balance and trying to maintain flexibility. I think that the fact that we have had portion of the fleet leased has provided flexibility in the past, and that's been okay. But at the same time, ownership of aircraft has has been much cheaper for us. So I think it's a balance.

I would say that that going forward, probably our preference is to own aircraft, but it's something that we consider depending on what market conditions are at the time.

Speaker 11

Very helpful, Jose. And if I could just squeeze in one other quick one. I know it's been, you know, since 2005 when you guys acquired, AeroRepublica. You know, just to ask again, if given the massive dislocation in the space that you see any kind of medium to longer term opportunities to, you know, to buy a competitor?

Speaker 2

Well, it's Pedro here. Stephen, good to hear good to hearing from you. And we won't comment on on on that specific question. And we've always been very comfortable with the strength of our Panama based hub model and that allows us to serve in a very effective way all over The Americas. So for that reason, we've never been in a rush to get into M and A transactions with other airlines in the region.

Colombia opportunity fifteen years ago was very unique and has been very valuable for us. But at the same time, we're always open. We're always open and willing to listen and consider. If those opportunities come along, we'll take a long and hard look at it.

Speaker 11

Very helpful, Pedro. Thanks very much, and you guys stay safe and healthy.

Speaker 3

Thank you. Thank you, Steve. Same to you.

Speaker 0

Your last question comes from the line of Matt Roberts. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Hey, good morning. Thanks for squeezing me on here. I'm filling in for Savi. I appreciate the color around the cash burn, and I apologize if I missed this. But could you talk about, what you're expecting in terms of refunds reflected in that second half cash burn as well as any differing assumptions between 3Q and 4Q?

Speaker 3

Yeah. I'll I'll stick to the second half of this year. You know, so far, we've seen the ticket reimbursements in the range of around 9 to $10,000,000. So I think that that that's that's a, fair figure for the rand or the on per month basis.

Speaker 5

Great. Thank you. And then maybe lastly, in terms of assets you mentioned, the accordion feature on that revolving credit facility, does that impact that initial number, or is that all embedded

Speaker 1

in that?

Speaker 3

Yeah. Correct. As as we if we draw on the facility, then, of course, the the number of, the level of encumbered assets would would come down on just on the on the moment where we draw on it. So so yeah.

Speaker 1

Yep. Thank you all very much.

Speaker 3

Mhmm. Thank you, Matt.

Speaker 0

Excuse me presenters, no more phone questions.

Speaker 2

Okay. Thank you. Thank you all. This concludes our earnings call. Thank you for being with us, and thank you for your continued support.

Have a great day. Thank you.

Speaker 0

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. That concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect. Have a wonderful day.