CP
CENTRAL PACIFIC FINANCIAL CORP (CPF)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 GAAP EPS was $0.42 (net income $11.3M), impacted by a $9.9M pre-tax loss from an investment portfolio repositioning; non-GAAP adjusted EPS was $0.70 with NIM expanding 10 bps to 3.17% and core deposits +$74.2M QoQ .
- The securities repositioning is expected to add ~$2.7M to annual NII and ~4 bps to NIM with an estimated earn-back of ~3.5 years, setting up further margin improvement; December MTD NIM was 3.29% with deposit costs down to 1.14% .
- Balance sheet trends were constructive: core deposits rose to $6.04B, total deposits +$61M QoQ, and total loans decline narrowed (down 0.2% QoQ); credit stayed solid with NPAs at 0.15% of assets and ACL/loans at 1.11% .
- Capital return stepped up: dividend raised 3.8% to $0.27 and a new $30M buyback authorized for 2025; CPB also became a Federal Reserve member bank (effective Jan 24, 2025) .
- Wall Street (S&P Global) quarterly consensus for EPS and revenue was unavailable at the time of analysis (API limit), so we cannot quantify a beat/miss this quarter; qualitatively, margin and core funding trends were better than feared and are key stock catalysts into 2025 [Values retrieved from S&P Global unavailable due to access limits].
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- NIM and funding costs: NIM rose to 3.17% (+10 bps QoQ) as average deposit costs fell 11 bps to 1.21%; December MTD NIM was 3.29% and deposit cost 1.14% .
- Core deposit growth and mix: Core deposits increased $74.2M QoQ to $6.04B; total deposits +$61M QoQ with favorable DDA growth (seasonal DDA +~$40M) and lower reliance on government time deposits .
- Strategic repositioning for future earnings: Sold $106.5M of lower-yield AFS securities (2.1% yield) and reinvested at ~4.9%, expected to add ~$2.7M annual NII and ~4 bps NIM (earn-back ~3.5 years) .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP earnings optics: The $9.9M pre-tax securities loss suppressed GAAP EPS ($0.42 vs $0.70 non-GAAP), and the efficiency ratio rose to 75.65% (64.65% adjusted) .
- Modest loan contraction and asset quality normalization: Loans fell 0.2% QoQ (now $5.33B) and NPAs rose YoY to $11.0M (0.15% of assets), with NCOs at 29 bps annualized (two idiosyncratic C&I credits contributed ~$0.6M) .
- Lower noninterest income: Other operating income fell to $2.6M, driven by the securities loss; adjusted OOI would have been $12.6M without the repositioning .
Financial Results
Notes: Total revenue shown as NII + other operating income; Q2/Q3/Q4 values per CPF tables .
Non-GAAP (for context):
- Adjusted EPS: Q3 2024 $0.58; Q4 2024 $0.70 .
- Adjusted efficiency ratio: Q3 2024 65.51%; Q4 2024 64.65% .
Balance sheet and funding
Credit KPIs
Deposit mix (period-end)
Estimates versus actuals
Note: S&P Global consensus data was unavailable due to access limits at the time of analysis; beat/miss cannot be determined. Values retrieved from S&P Global unavailable due to access limits.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on 2024 and setup: “Key contributors to our success in 2024 included strong NIM expansion and core deposit growth, along with very healthy levels of liquidity, asset quality and capital.”
- CFO on repositioning: “We sold $106.5 million in securities… recognized a pretax loss of $9.9 million… projected to increase prospective annualized net interest income by $2.7 million and net interest margin by 4 basis points.”
- CFO on margin trajectory: “December month-to-date NIM was 3.29%, loan yield 4.95%, and total deposit cost… 1.14%... we’re cautiously optimistic that the margin will be higher.”
- CRO on credit: “Net charge-offs were $3.8 million or 29 basis points… increase came from losses on 2 credits in the C&I segment totaling $600,000… consumer net charge-offs trend lower.”
- CEO on growth: “We began to see loan opportunities pick up… pipeline for Q1 is very healthy… growth in commercial and commercial real estate.”
Q&A Highlights
- Loan growth pacing and mix: Management expects 2025 loan growth led by C&I and CRE as proactive banker outreach and added lenders translate into a “very healthy” Q1 pipeline .
- Deposits and funding costs: Strong execution drove core deposit growth and lower costs; seasonality aided DDA by ~$40M in Q4; management still sees further funding-side opportunities .
- Expense outlook and operating leverage: Near-term other operating expense guided to ~$42.5–$43.5M per quarter, with positive operating leverage expected in 2025 as revenues outpace expenses .
- Margin runway: Team believes prior 2.80–3.30% NIM range may be conservative after two quarters of 10 bps sequential gains; December MTD NIM 3.29% .
- Credit details: Q4 increase in NCOs partly due to two idiosyncratic C&I items; consumer credit trends improving from the 2023 peak .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue were unavailable at the time of analysis due to an access limit, so a beat/miss versus Street cannot be quantified this quarter. Values retrieved from S&P Global unavailable due to access limits.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin momentum is real and broadening: deposit costs fell 11 bps and repositioning adds ~4 bps, with December MTD NIM at 3.29%—positioning CPF to potentially exceed its prior 3.30% high-end range in 2025 .
- Core funding strength remains a differentiator: +$74.2M QoQ core deposits, total deposit cost 1.21% (Dec 1.14%) supports spread resilience versus peers in a competitive market .
- Loan growth inflecting: pipeline “very healthy” with focus on C&I and CRE; even modest net growth layered on current repricing tailwinds is accretive to NIM .
- Credit is benign and well reserved: NPAs at 0.15% of assets, ACL/loans at 1.11%, and NCOs elevated modestly by isolated C&I items—no systemic issues flagged .
- Sharper capital return profile: dividend up to $0.27 and a new $30M buyback point to confidence in earnings/capital build; Fed membership streamlines oversight .
- Near-term expense discipline: OOE run-rate ~$42.5–$43.5M provides visibility for positive operating leverage as NII grows faster than costs .
- Trading setup: With improving margin trajectory, core funding defensibility, and rising capital returns, CPF’s narrative skews positively into 2025; watch quarterly NIM progression, core DDA trends, and loan growth realization to gauge upside durability .
Additional Relevant Press Releases (Q4 window)
- Conference call details (Jan 15): earnings release and webcast logistics .
- Board addition (Jan 28): Appointment of Dr. Diane Paloma to CPF and CPB Boards .