CP
CUMBERLAND PHARMACEUTICALS INC (CPIX)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue was $8.29M, down 23.5% q/q ($10.84M in Q2) and down 8.7% y/y ($9.09M in Q3’24); diluted EPS was $(0.13) vs $(0.05) in Q2 and $(0.11) in Q3’24 .
- No formal guidance; management emphasized seasonality with Q4 typically strongest and that performance is best evaluated annually .
- Strategic catalysts: Talicia co-commercialization (Cumberland records sales; 50/50 net revenue share; $4M investment; Talicia 2024 sales $8M), Vibativ added to Premier GPO, Vizient starter pack availability, and Mexico approval for injectable ibuprofen; Saudi launch of Vibativ .
- Cash flow from operations YTD improved to $4.93M; total assets $66.0M and cash $15.2M; total debt reduced by ~$10M since 12/31/24, supporting liquidity into Q4 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- International expansion and access: Vibativ launch in Saudi Arabia; Vizient 4‑vial starter pack; Premier GPO addition; Mexico approval for ibuprofen injection broadened geographic and hospital channel reach .
- Pipeline and non-GAAP earnings: Ifetroban Phase II DMD showed significant 5.4% improvement in cardiac function vs natural history controls; YTD adjusted EPS $0.13 with positive YTD CFO of $4.93M .
- Portfolio addition: “We are very pleased to add an established, FDA approved brand to our commercial portfolio,” on Talicia, with Cumberland recording sales and sharing net revenue equally .
What Went Wrong
- Shipment delays and generics: Management cited Q3 softness from delayed Kristalose and Caldolor shipments and increased Kristalose generic substitution, pressuring revenue and EPS .
- Revenue and earnings compression: Q3 revenue fell to $8.29M (from $10.84M in Q2 and $9.09M in Q3’24) and diluted EPS declined to $(0.13) (vs $(0.05) in Q2 and $(0.11) in Q3’24) .
- Operating loss widened: Operating loss was $(1.97)M vs $(0.75)M in Q2 and $(1.69)M y/y; net loss $(1.94)M vs $(0.74)M in Q2 and $(1.54)M y/y .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance vs Prior Year and Prior Quarter
Notes: Gross margin calculated as (Revenue − COGS)/Revenue using cited figures; Net margin as Net income/Revenue using cited figures.
Product Revenue Mix
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are very pleased to add an established, FDA approved brand to our commercial portfolio.” — A.J. Kazimi (CEO) on Talicia addition .
- “The fourth quarter is often our strongest… we continue to believe our financial performance is best evaluated on an annual basis.” — A.J. Kazimi (CEO) .
- “We’re pleased to expand the availability of Vibativ through Premier’s extensive network.” — A.J. Kazimi (CEO) .
- CFO noted total debt reduction by ~$10M since year‑end 2024 and highlighted positive cash flow from operations YTD .
Q&A Highlights
- No analyst Q&A conducted on the call; the company invited shareholders to schedule private discussions post‑call .
- No guidance clarifications beyond reiteration of Q4 seasonality and annual evaluation emphasis .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates were not available for Q3 2025 EPS and revenue for CPIX; the S&P tool returned actual revenue only (no consensus) and no EPS estimates, so a beat/miss assessment vs Street is not possible at this time [Values retrieved from S&P Global]*.
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q3 softness appears transitory, driven by shipment timing and Kristalose generic substitution; management expects a stronger seasonal Q4 and emphasizes annual performance evaluation .
- Strategic optionality improves: Talicia addition (Cumberland records sales; equal net revenue share) should add GI revenue streams; monitor early execution and incremental OpEx commitments ($4M investment, marketing support) .
- Hospital channel access for Vibativ expanded via Vizient and Premier, potentially supporting HABP/VABP and cSSSI demand; watch U.S. and Saudi traction and China commercialization developments .
- Liquidity and balance sheet stable with $15.2M cash and positive YTD CFO ($4.93M); debt reduced by ~$10M since YE’24 improves flexibility into Q4 .
- Non‑GAAP trend: YTD adjusted EPS $0.13, but Q3 adjusted EPS $(0.06); a Q4 seasonal uplift and Talicia onboarding are key to sustaining full‑year non‑GAAP profitability .
- With Street estimates unavailable, near‑term stock reaction should hinge on operational catalysts (Talicia, GPO access, international approvals) and Q4 delivery vs management’s seasonality commentary .
- Risk watch: Kristalose generic substitution, Vaprisol GMP certification timing, and shipment execution remain operational headwinds to monitor .