CI
CURIS INC (CRIS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered a clear clinical/regulatory inflection: FDA and EMA provided supportive feedback that the ongoing single‑arm TakeAim Lymphoma study could support Accelerated Approval (US) / Conditional Marketing Authorization (EU) in PCNSL; Curis plans to enroll 30–40 additional patients over 12–18 months to file .
- Results beat Wall Street revenue consensus and were essentially in line on EPS: revenue $3.35m vs $2.04m consensus (beat); GAAP EPS −$1.25 vs −$1.24 consensus (−$0.01 miss). Consensus from S&P Global estimates; see Estimates Context section for details and disclaimer .
- Operating discipline continued: R&D and G&A declined y/y; net loss improved y/y/q/q; cash and equivalents ended Q4 at $20.0m; with March 2025 financing, runway extended into Q4’25, though management still flags the need for additional capital .
- Catalysts: regulatory clarity in PCNSL, durable responses in BTKi‑experienced/naïve patients, AML signals (FLT3 monotherapy and frontline triplet), and ongoing partnering discussions highlighted on the call .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Regulatory path: FDA/EMA indicated the ongoing single‑arm PCNSL study could support AA/CMA; agencies aligned on ORR as primary endpoint and contribution‑of‑effect analyses; current Phase 1/2 now effectively registrational in US/EU .
- Clinical efficacy: In PCNSL (data cutoff Jan 2, 2025), BTKi‑experienced cohort showed 6 objective responses (4 CR, 2 PR; 3/4 CRs >6 months) among 13 evaluable; BTKi‑naïve cohort showed 5 objective responses (1 CR, 4 PR) among 6 evaluable .
- Financial execution: Revenue rose to $3.35m in Q4 (Erivedge royalties), net loss narrowed to $9.6m; R&D and G&A both down y/y; October 2024 and March 2025 financings extended runway into Q4’25 .
- Notable quote: “The development time line for emavusertib just got accelerated. Our current Phase I/II study is now registrational for both the U.S. and Europe.” — CEO James Dentzer .
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What Went Wrong
- Funding overhang persists: Despite runway extension, Curis states it lacks sufficient cash to support operations for 12 months without additional funding and will require substantial capital to advance emavusertib through approval .
- EPS modestly missed consensus by $0.01 (S&P Global consensus −$1.24 vs GAAP −$1.25), and “Other expense, net” swung to a −$0.6m headwind in Q4 vs +$0.5m in Q4’23 .
- Regulatory requirements add work: FDA/EMA expect contribution‑of‑effect analyses (emavusertib, ibrutinib, and combo; dose analyses at 100mg vs 200mg), and total patient numbers remain a review issue, which could extend timelines if enrollment lags .
Financial Results
Quarterly trend (chronological: Q2 → Q3 → Q4 2024)
YoY comparison (Q4 2023 vs Q4 2024)
Vs. Estimates (S&P Global)
Values marked with * are from S&P Global consensus; Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment breakdown: Not applicable (revenue consists of royalties from Genentech/Roche’s Erivedge) .
KPIs and balance sheet
Guidance Changes
No revenue, margin, tax, or OpEx numeric guidance was provided beyond the above.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The development time line for emavusertib just got accelerated. Our current Phase I/II study is now registrational for both the U.S. and Europe.” — CEO James Dentzer, prepared remarks .
- “Over the next 12–18 months, we will be focused on enrolling 30–40 additional patients to support the regulatory filing for accelerated approval.” — CEO James Dentzer, press release .
- “As long as we are probably north of 25% ORR [in PCNSL], [we] should have positive momentum with both agencies.” — CDO Jonathan Zung during Q&A .
- “We’ve previously guided that our burn is about $10 million a quarter… [financings] extend our cash runway from mid‑’24 to the fourth quarter of ’25.” — CFO Diantha Duvall .
Q&A Highlights
- Cash burn/runway: ~$10m quarterly burn; October 2024 and March 2025 financings extend runway into Q4’25 .
- Partnering: Management expects ongoing discussions and anticipates partnering with a major player in NHL or AML at some point .
- FDA component contribution: Plan to analyze 100mg vs 200mg dosing and contributions of emavusertib, ibrutinib, and the combination in BTKi‑naïve population; 13 PCNSL patients dosed at 100mg so far .
- EMA/FDA efficacy bar: Agencies supportive given lack of approved PCNSL treatments; aiming to maintain compelling, consistent responses; “north of 25% ORR” seen as supportive .
- AML roadmap: Triplet moving through dose durations; potential FLT3 monotherapy pivotal considered; timing/data updates to be clarified as year progresses .
Estimates Context
- Revenue: Q4 revenue of $3.345m beat S&P Global consensus of $2.04m (beat of $1.305m). Consensus values from S&P Global; actuals from company reported financials .
- EPS: GAAP EPS of $(1.25) missed S&P Global consensus of $(1.24) by $0.01. Consensus values from S&P Global; actuals from company reported financials .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Where estimates may adjust: Consensus revenue likely moves higher given Erivedge royalty strength; EPS sensitivity tied to operating expense cadence and “Other income/expense” volatility, and to the pace/cost of PCNSL enrollment and manufacturing .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The PCNSL program is now effectively on a registrational footing in both US/EU, materially de‑risking the path to first approval if response durability holds and contribution‑of‑effect requirements are satisfied .
- Clinical efficacy signals (including in BTKi‑experienced PCNSL and salvage FLT3 AML) support emavusertib’s dual‑mechanism thesis and underpin medium‑term value creation across indications .
- Q4’24 showed continued operating discipline and a strong royalty‑driven revenue beat; however, the company still anticipates needing additional capital to reach approval/commercialization .
- Near‑term catalysts: ongoing PCNSL enrollment updates, FDA/EMA alignment on confirmatory design, AML triplet safety escalation and potential Day‑1 triplet dosing, and partnering developments .
- Risk factors: enrollment pace, regulatory review issues (patient numbers, contribution‑of‑effect), royalty variability (Erivedge), and financing risk remain prominent .
- Trading lens: Regulatory clarity and clinical durability are supportive; funding and dilution risk remain the principal overhangs until a partnering event or additional financing is secured .
Sources
- Q4 2024 press release (furnished via 8‑K): financials and business update and standalone press release .
- Q4 2024 earnings call transcript: strategy, regulatory feedback, Q&A .
- 8‑K (Mar 28, 2025) with Item 2.02, financing terms, regulatory details, and cash runway commentary .
- Prior quarters for trend: Q3 2024 press release ; Q2 2024 press release .
- October 29, 2024 financing press release .