AC
AMERICAS CARMART INC (CRMT)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- CRMT printed a soft Q1 FY26: total revenue $341.3M (-1.9% YoY) and diluted EPS of -$0.69 as unit volumes fell 5.7% amid inventory capacity constraints and a ~$500/unit procurement cost headwind tied to tariffs; gross margin expanded 160 bps to 36.6% on pricing, ancillary attachment, lower repair severity, and wholesale retention .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, CRMT posted a large miss: EPS -$0.69 vs +$0.83 estimate, revenue $339.6M vs $359.2M estimate, and EBITDA $11.8M vs $28.2M estimate; shortfall was driven by lower units, elevated provision for credit losses (+8% YoY), and higher SG&A from accelerated tech investments, partly offset by lower interest expense and margin gains [functions.GetEstimates]*.
- Strategic execution advanced: LOS V2 (risk-based pricing) went live chainwide and “Pay Your Way” collections upgrade nearly doubled recurring payment enrollments, improving cash flow predictability; securitization costs continued to decline (Aug ABS coupon 5.46%, -81 bps vs May), supporting lower financing costs over time .
- Key near-term watch items: unlocking inventory capacity (30% advance rate, $30M cap on inventory borrowing base), wholesale price/tariff normalization (management expects back-half seasonal relief), and SG&A cadence (about half of Q1 increase to unwind in 2H; ~5% annual savings from collections modernization longer-term) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Gross margin expanded to 36.6% (+160 bps YoY; +20 bps QoQ) on pricing discipline, ancillary attachment, fewer repairs, and better wholesale retention .
- Collections healthy: total collections +6.2% YoY to $183.6M; average collection per active customer rose to $585/month (from $562) .
- Tech and capital progress: LOS V2 deployed (more predictive scorecard and embedded risk-based pricing); Pay Your Way upgrade nearly doubled recurring enrollment; ABS coupon improved to 5.46% with strong oversubscription, indicating growing capital efficiency .
- Management quote: “The new scorecard is delivering exactly what we designed it to do… shifting mix towards our highest ranked customers… [driving] lower loss frequency and severity, faster breakeven, [and] stronger returns” .
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What Went Wrong
- Volume decline: retail units fell 5.7% to 13,568, as higher procurement costs (~+$500/unit) and a tight ABL inventory advance/cap constrained inventory and sales despite strong application growth .
- Credit costs/provision: Provision for credit losses increased 8% YoY; NCOs ticked to 6.6% (from 6.4%) as softer sales reduced the denominator and legacy pools saw higher frequency/severity; 30+ DQ was 3.8% (+30 bps YoY), albeit trending lower post-quarter .
- Expense pressure: SG&A rose 10.1% YoY to $51.4M on payroll and accelerated tech rollouts (LOS V2 and Pay Your Way); management expects ~50% of the increase to unwind after Q2 completion, but Q1 burden weighed on EPS .
Financial Results
Headline financials – trend (oldest → newest)
Q1 FY26 vs prior year and vs estimates (S&P Global)
Note: Reported Q1 FY26 total revenue was $341.3M, while S&P’s “Revenue” actual for estimate comparison is $339.6M due to definitional differences; we anchor beats/misses to S&P [functions.GetEstimates].
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Revenue composition (oldest → newest)
Key operating KPIs (oldest → newest)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “With LOS V2 now live… embedded risk based pricing is now better aligning expected returns with customer profiles… 15% more of our volume came from ranks five through seven” .
- “Since the upgrade of Pay Your Way… we have nearly doubled the number of customers enrolled in recurring payments, creating more predictable cash flows, and reducing collection costs” .
- “We saw a knock on effect from tariffs, which drove a $500 per unit increase in the procurement costs during the quarter… pricing [has] since smoothed out” .
- “We… completed a $172 million [ABS]… 5.46%… fourth consecutive improvement… reduced our weighted average spread by 308 basis points since our 2024-1 transaction” .
- “Currently, we face both a low advance rate of 30% and a cap of $30 million on our inventory advances… putting ongoing pressure on our ability to expand retail sales… exploring alternative financing solutions” .
Q&A Highlights
- Inventory/procurement costs and demand: Management cited tariff-driven ~$500/unit procurement increase and noted strong application growth sustained into August/September; procurement pricing has “smoothed out,” but inventory capacity constrained sales .
- Credit normalization: With LOS-originated contracts now ~72% of portfolio, management expects more “normal” seasonal NCO cadence; Q1 DQ uptick partly tied to Pay Your Way transition, with DQ later normalized and August ending at 2.8% .
- SG&A cadence: Q2 similar to Q1, then ~half of the increase to unwind in 2H; longer-term ~5% SG&A savings from collections modernization, targeting mid-16% SG&A of sales .
- Used car pricing outlook: Expect typical back-half seasonal decline as tariff effects normalize; affordability remains focus alongside margin discipline .
- Capital structure details: ABL constraints (30% advance, $30M cap on inventory) reduce flexibility to season receivables for ABS execution; company evaluating financing alternatives to unlock capacity .
Estimates Context
- Q1 FY26 vs S&P Global consensus: EPS -$0.69 vs $0.83; Revenue $339.6M vs $359.2M; EBITDA $11.8M vs $28.2M — a broad-based miss led by lower unit volume (-5.7% YoY), elevated provision (+8% YoY), and higher SG&A from accelerated tech investments, partly offset by lower interest expense and 160 bps gross margin expansion [functions.GetEstimates].
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution improving but capacity-constrained: Strong application trends and better-risk mix from LOS V2 are positives, yet ABL inventory constraints currently limit unit growth; financing solutions are a key near-term catalyst .
- Cost of capital continues to fall: Another ABS coupon step-down to 5.46% with heavy oversubscription signals structural funding improvements (spreads -308 bps since 2024-1) .
- Margin durability: Gross margin gains (36.6%) reflect pricing, ancillary attachment, and lower repair intensity; management intends to remain disciplined even as ASPs rise .
- Credit stable with improved portfolio quality: NCOs at 6.6% and allowance at 23.35% (vs 25.00% YoY) with LOS-originated contracts ~72% of the portfolio; DQ normalized post-quarter .
- SG&A inflection setup: Q2 similar to Q1, then ~50% unwind of the increase in 2H; longer-term ~5% SG&A savings from collections modernization; target mid-16% SG&A/sales .
- Watch tariff/wholesale normalization and ASP trajectory: Management expects seasonal relief and ASP to positively impact revenue, but will prioritize affordability and portfolio quality .
- Stock-reaction catalyst: The quarter’s significant EPS/revenue/EBITDA miss vs Street sets up estimate cuts near-term; unlocking inventory capacity and continued ABS improvement are the narrative shifts to watch for multiple support [functions.GetEstimates] .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Additional Detail and Cross-References
- Q1 FY26 headline figures: Total revenue $341.3M (-1.9% YoY), units 13,568 (-5.7%), interest income +7.5%, gross margin 36.6% (+160 bps YoY), EPS -$0.69; collections $183.6M (+6.2%) .
- YoY drivers: Fewer retail units due to fewer units available for sale and higher procurement costs; partial offset from margin improvement and higher interest income .
- Balance sheet/leverage: Debt/finance receivables 51.1%; debt net of cash/finance receivables 43.1% (vs 53.4% and 46.7% YoY); finance receivables principal $1.516B; inventory $112.5M .
- Financing actions: Aug 28 ABS $172M, 5.46% coupon (-81 bps vs May); May 29 ABS $216M, 6.27% coupon; strong investor demand .
- Controls/Disclosure: 10-K filed Aug 8 with enhanced contract modification disclosures; remediation of related material weakness underway .
Footnote: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*