Sign in
CG

Cronos Group Inc. (CRON)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 revenue of $33.5M grew 21% year over year and ~4% sequentially; gross margin expanded to 43% from 23% YoY, with Adjusted EBITDA positive at $1.7M . International and Israel demand plus GrowCo consolidation drove mix/price and margin gains .
  • EPS missed consensus as a large unrealized FX loss on USD cash held in Canada drove a net loss of $(38.5)M (diluted EPS $(0.10)); management cited CAD strength vs USD as the driver .
  • S&P Global consensus had Q2 revenue at ~$33.53M and EPS at ~$(0.02); actual revenue was roughly in-line while EPS was a larger loss than expected* [GetEstimates].
  • Strategic highlights: record international/Israel revenue; Spinach maintained strong share in Canada despite flower supply constraints; GrowCo expansion complete with sales expected to begin in Fall 2025, positioning 2H25 acceleration .
  • Balance sheet remains a differentiator with $834M cash and short-term investments and no debt, offering flexibility for global expansion and brand investments .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Revenue growth and margin expansion: Net revenue up 21% YoY to $33.5M; gross margin rose to 43% (from 23% YoY); Adjusted EBITDA improved to $1.7M .
  • International momentum: Highest-ever international and Israel revenue; PEACE NATURALS retained #1 brand in Israel and expanded to Australia, Malta, and (post quarter-end) Switzerland .
  • Brand strength in Canada despite constraints: Spinach #2 brand (4.7% share), #3 in flower (4.9%); vapes #4 overall (6.5%) and #2 in cartridges (8.4%); gummies held ~19.9% share; Lord Jones #3 chocolate (10.2%) and #1 in hash-infused pre-rolls (28.5%) .
  • CEO commentary: “record sales from Cronos Israel and continued momentum in international markets” and “our debt-free balance sheet and $834 million in cash…provide superior flexibility to execute our strategy” .

What Went Wrong

  • FX-driven earnings pressure: Net loss widened to $(38.5)M due to a $(39.5)M unrealized FX loss on USD cash/short-term investments held in Canada as CAD strengthened vs USD; overshadowed operating improvements .
  • Canada softness/sequencing: Canada revenue declined 3% YoY in Q2 ($19.15M vs $19.84M) amid ongoing flower supply constraints that capped growth .
  • Limited external estimate coverage: Only one estimate for Q2 (EPS/Revenue), implying higher uncertainty; actual EPS loss was larger than expected* [GetEstimates].

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($M)$30.301 $32.262 $33.455
Gross Margin (%)36% 43% 43%
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)30% 44% 43%
Diluted EPS ($)$0.11 $0.02 $(0.10)
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$(7.203) $2.289 $1.688

Segment/product breakdown (Revenue, $M)

ProductQ1 2025Q2 2025
Cannabis Flower$23.344 $25.025
Cannabis Extracts$8.608 $8.360
Other$0.310 $0.070

Geographic breakdown (Revenue, $M)

GeographyQ1 2025Q2 2025
Canada$20.130 $19.150
Israel$9.229 $9.376
Other Countries$2.903 $4.929

KPIs and operating metrics

KPIQ2 2025Source
Cash & Equivalents$794.4M 8-K press release
Short-term Investments$40.0M 8-K press release
Total Cash + ST Investments$834.4M 8-K press release
Adjusted EBITDA$1.688M 8-K press release
Gross Margin43% 8-K press release
Cronos GrowCo revenue contribution$2.211M 8-K press release
Capex (Q2 / YTD)$3.838M / $19.194M 8-K press release
Spinach market shares (Canada): Brand 4.7%, Flower 4.9%, Vape 6.5% (Cartridges 8.4%), Gummies 19.9% Q2 release
Lord Jones shares: Chocolate 10.2%, Hash-infused pre-rolls 28.5% Q2 release
PEACE NATURALS Israel position#1 brand; record revenue/volume Q2 release

Notes: Net loss was principally driven by $(39.5)M FX loss on USD cash/ST investments held in Canada as CAD appreciated .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Operating ExpensesFY 2025Flat YoY, with quarterly OpEx higher than Q1 but flat vs 2024 “OpEx to be relatively flat on a year-over-year basis for 2025” Maintained
GrowCo Expansion Timing2H 2025First harvests & sales in H2 2025 Sales from expansion expected in Fall 2025 Narrowed timing window
Capital Allocation: Share RepurchaseMay 2025–May 2026$50M program authorized (up to 5% shares) Program remains in place (no new update in Q2 filings) Maintained

No formal revenue/EPS/margin quantitative guidance ranges provided.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24 and Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Supply constraints & GrowCo rampSpinach demand > supply; GrowCo expansion to enable growth; H2’25 first sales Expansion complete; sales expected Fall 2025; constraints persist near term Improving from 2H’25
International expansionGermany/U.K. traction; Israel record volumes; borderless products strategy Record Israel & international revenue; launches in Australia, Malta, and Switzerland (post-Q2) Strengthening
Regulatory/legal (Israel)Proposed anti-dumping duty vetoed by Finance Minister; risk persisted Ministry of Justice validated veto; duty blocked; company “pleased” Risk reduced
Product performance (Canada)Spinach #1 brand FY’24; strong edibles/vapes Spinach retains strong shares; vapes/gummies leadership; Lord Jones leadership in niches Stable leadership
OpEx/marginsAdjusted GM ~44% in Q1; OpEx discipline; FY OpEx flat YoY GM 43%; reiterates FY OpEx flat YoY; adjusted EBITDA positive Sustained
Balance sheet/capital allocation$859M cash YE’24; positive FCF in FY’24 $834M cash+ST investments; $18.5M investment in High Tide in July Strong/liquid

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus: “Our strength abroad has been instrumental in driving meaningful margin improvement, underscoring the benefits of our global strategy…Our debt-free balance sheet and $834 million in cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments provide superior flexibility to execute our strategy” – Mike Gorenstein, CEO .
  • Brand leadership in Canada: “Spinach…#2 cannabis brand in Canada (4.7% share)…#3 in flower (4.9%) despite ongoing supply constraints…vape #4 (6.5%) and #2 in cartridges (8.4%); gummies maintained ~20% share” – Prepared remarks .
  • Financial posture and outlook: “Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter was $1.7M…we expect OpEx to be relatively flat on a year-over-year basis for 2025” – CFO Anna Shlimak .
  • Israel update: “We are incredibly pleased with the decision to veto the proposed duty” – on anti-dumping duty being blocked; PEACE NATURALS remained #1 and posted record results .

Q&A Highlights

  • Q2 2025: No analyst questions were recorded during the call .
  • Prior quarter context (Q1 2025): Topics included flower shortages (driven by “shortage of good product” industry-wide) and margin trajectory (GrowCo expansion expected to be neutral-to-accretive to margins over time) .

Estimates Context

Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus:

MetricConsensusActualΔNotes
Revenue ($M)$33.53*$33.46 $(0.07)In-line/slight miss*
Primary EPS ($)$(0.0205)*$(0.10) $(0.0795)Larger loss than expected*
EBITDA ($M)$(3.16)*$4.65*+$7.81S&P EBITDA definition may differ from company Adjusted EBITDA ($1.69M) *

Coverage note: Only 1 estimate in S&P for Q2 EPS/Revenue, implying limited external coverage and higher uncertainty*.

Forward consensus (select):

  • Q3 2025 Revenue est: ~$36.84M*; EPS est: ~$0.00*; EBITDA est: ~$5.53M*
  • Q4 2025 Revenue est: ~$41.26M*; EPS est: ~$0.01*; EBITDA est: ~$3.91M*
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Implication: Revenue roughly in-line should limit top-line estimate changes; EPS miss driven by FX could lead analysts to adjust FX assumptions rather than core operating estimates.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core operations improving: 21% YoY revenue growth, 43% gross margin, and positive Adjusted EBITDA signal fundamental progress driven by international mix and GrowCo consolidation .
  • EPS pressure was non-operational: Large unrealized FX losses on USD cash (CAD strength) drove the EPS miss; core profitability metrics improved .
  • Near-term catalyst: GrowCo expansion sales expected to begin in Fall 2025; resolution of Canadian supply constraints should support 2H25 acceleration, particularly in flower .
  • International optionality: Record Israel results and new country launches (Australia, Malta, Switzerland) broaden revenue base and reduce excise burden; monitor Germany/UK ramp .
  • Brand leadership durable: Spinach and Lord Jones continued category leadership provides pricing power and shelf presence; watch continued innovation in vapes, edibles, and premium pre-rolls .
  • Balance sheet strength: $834M cash/ST investments and no debt enable sustained investment and opportunistic capital deployment (e.g., High Tide convertible loan) .
  • Watch FX and estimates: Limited external estimate coverage means prints can appear more volatile; expect EPS variability with FX while margins/Adjusted EBITDA track operational progress* [GetEstimates].

Appendix: Additional Detail

Selected P&L drivers and commentary

  • YoY revenue growth primarily from higher cannabis flower sales in Israel and other countries (no excise) and higher extracts in Canada; GrowCo added $2.2M in Q2 .
  • Gross profit up $8.2M YoY to $14.5M; drivers included GrowCo consolidation, mix shift to international, higher volumes, and production efficiencies .
  • Net loss increased due to $(39.5)M FX loss on USD-denominated cash/ST investments held in Canada, partially offset by higher gross profit and lower OpEx .
  • Operating expenses down 9% YoY to $19.8M; efficiency and lower G&A contributed to improvement .

Capital and cash flow

  • Cash from operations roughly breakeven in H1 ($0.7M provided), with higher capex ($19.1M) and share repurchase/non-controlling interest distributions driving cash use; ending cash $794.4M .
  • Q2 capex $3.8M; YTD $19.2M, predominantly for GrowCo and operational enhancements .

Regulatory and legal

  • Israel anti-dumping duty veto upheld in July; company continues to advocate for equitable market structure; reduces risk to Israel imports .

Investor relations events and releases (Q2 window)

  • Q2 earnings call announcement (July 25) .
  • Switzerland medical launch (July 2) .
  • AGM results (June 23) .
  • TD Cowen conference participation (June 2) .

Values retrieved from S&P Global where marked with *.