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CT

CROSS TIMBERS ROYALTY TRUST (CRT)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2024 distributable income was $1.52M ($0.253542 per unit), down 38% YoY but up sequentially from Q2’s $0.224293 per unit as oil price realizations improved and Oklahoma working‑interest excess costs were recovered .
  • Net profits income fell 37% YoY to $1.70M on lower oil volumes (-23%), higher production expense (+34%), and weaker gas prices (-14%), partially offset by higher oil prices (+4%) and stronger gas volumes (+17%) .
  • Excess costs on Texas working‑interest (WI) properties increased; total remaining to be recovered (underlying) ended Q3 at $3.85M (vs $3.73M at 6/30), while Oklahoma WI excess costs were fully recovered during Q3 (underlying) .
  • No formal guidance is provided. Distribution declarations in August ($0.055175), September ($0.102230), and October ($0.064592) reflect monthly variability; September included a $24,128 net deduction for the Chieftain settlement .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Sequential improvement: per‑unit distributable income rose to $0.253542 from $0.224293 in Q2 2024, aided by higher realized oil prices and Oklahoma WI excess cost recovery .
    • Gas volumes YoY up 17% on timing dynamics; oil prices up 4% YoY to $77.54/Bbl in Q3 .
    • Oklahoma WI excess costs and accrued interest were recovered in Q3, removing a drag on near‑term net proceeds from that conveyance (underlying) .
    • Quote (Trustee’s MD&A): “This 37 percent decrease in net profits income is primarily the result of decreased oil production ($0.7 million), increased production expenses ($0.4 million), [and] lower gas prices ($0.2 million), partially offset by increased gas production ($0.2 million), and higher oil prices ($0.1 million)” .
  • What Went Wrong

    • YoY deterioration: net profits income down 37% and distributable per unit down to $0.253542 from $0.408532 on lower oil volumes and higher production costs .
    • Production expense jumped 34% YoY on higher processing, labor, field, and R&M costs (timing of receipts cited); gas price realizations fell 14% YoY .
    • Texas WI excess costs increased during Q3; total remaining to be recovered (underlying) rose to $3.85M at 9/30 from $3.73M at 6/30, sustaining a headwind to the WI component of payments .

Financial Results

Trust distributable metrics

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Net profits income ($)$1,837,741 $1,564,871 $1,697,724
Total income ($)$1,854,714 $1,580,044 $1,712,188
Administration expense ($)$361,500 $234,286 $190,936
Distributable income ($)$1,493,214 $1,345,758 $1,521,252
Distributable income per unit ($)$0.248869 $0.224293 $0.253542

Underlying revenues and costs (three months)

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Oil sales ($)$3,212,363 $3,361,489 $3,160,814
Gas sales ($)$1,159,078 $1,353,167 $1,427,583
Total revenues ($)$4,371,441 $4,714,656 $4,588,397
Taxes, transportation & other ($)$537,506 $471,097 $567,122
Production expense ($)$1,565,161 $1,689,436 $2,092,642
Development costs ($)$1,113,069 $364,014 $25,693
Excess costs (recovery) ($)$(940,783) $451,363 $(36,275)

Underlying prices and volumes (three months)

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Avg oil price ($/Bbl)$75.30 $77.24 $77.54
Avg gas price ($/Mcf)$4.57 $4.04 $3.65
Oil volumes (Underlying Bbls)42,662 43,522 40,764
Gas volumes (Underlying Mcf)253,799 335,263 391,443

YoY comparison (Q3 2024 vs Q3 2023)

MetricQ3 2023Q3 2024
Net profits income ($)$2,676,180 $1,697,724
Distributable income per unit ($)$0.408532 $0.253542
Oil sales ($)$3,956,370 $3,160,814
Gas sales ($)$1,415,946 $1,427,583
Total revenues ($)$5,372,316 $4,588,397
Taxes, transportation & other ($)$592,812 $567,122
Production expense ($)$1,565,373 $2,092,642
Development costs ($)$52,950 $25,693
Avg oil price ($/Bbl)$74.62 $77.54
Avg gas price ($/Mcf)$4.23 $3.65
Oil volumes (Underlying Bbls)53,022 40,764
Gas volumes (Underlying Mcf)334,675 391,443

Excess costs trajectory (Underlying – total remaining to be recovered)

Quarter-EndTotal ($)
Mar 31, 2024$4,099,588
Jun 30, 2024$3,731,932
Sep 30, 2024$3,847,432

Selected Q3 distribution declarations (for context)

MonthPer-unit DistributionNotes
August 2024$0.055175 TX WI excess costs partially recovered; no remaining WI proceeds that month
September 2024$0.102230 Includes $24,128 (net) deduction related to Chieftain settlement
October 2024$0.064592 TX WI excess costs increased $125,000; cumulative underlying TX WI excess costs $4.0M, incl. $1.061M interest

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
N/AN/AN/AN/AThe Trust does not issue formal financial guidance .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2024)Current Period (Q3 2024)Trend
Commodity pricesQ1: Oil $75.30/Bbl, gas $4.57/Mcf; Q2: Oil $77.24/Bbl, gas $4.04/Mcf Oil $77.54/Bbl up YoY; gas $3.65/Mcf down YoY Oil steady-high; gas softer
Natural production declineDecline cited; expected ~6–8% annually Continued 6–8% decline; timing effects on volumes Unchanged structural headwind
Excess costs (WI)Q1 total underlying to be recovered $4.10M; Q2 $3.73M (OK WI recovery) Q3 $3.85M; OK WI recovered; TX WI increased TX WI drag persists; OK WI improved
Development at Hewitt Unit (OK WI)Elevated in Q1 (+87% YoY); remained high in Q2 (+290% YoY) on timing Q3 down sharply ($25,693) on decreased recompletion activity Capex pressure eased
Chieftain settlementAllocation anticipated; arbitration settled June 18, 2024 $24,128 (net) deducted in Sept distribution; matter completed for CRT One-time headwind resolved
Operating costsQ1: lower processing; Q2: lower power/fuel; Q3: higher processing, labor, field, R&M Mix shift; higher in Q3Cost inflation/timing pressures

Note: No earnings call transcript was filed; themes are drawn from quarterly MD&A disclosures .

Management Commentary

  • Trustee’s MD&A on YoY change: “This 37 percent decrease in net profits income is primarily the result of decreased oil production ($0.7 million), increased production expenses ($0.4 million), lower gas prices ($0.2 million), partially offset by increased gas production ($0.2 million), and higher oil prices ($0.1 million)” .
  • Operating cost dynamics: “Production expense increased 34 percent for the third quarter primarily because of higher processing costs driven by timing of receipts, increased labor, field, repairs and maintenance, and miscellaneous non‑operated costs” .
  • Excess costs status: “Underlying cumulative excess costs for the Texas working interest conveyance remaining as of September 30, 2024, totaled $3.8 million ($2.9 million net to the Trust), including accrued interest of $1.0 million ($0.8 million net to the Trust)” .

Q&A Highlights

  • N/A – no earnings call transcript was filed in the period; key insights are from MD&A and monthly distribution 8‑K press releases .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus (EPS and revenue) for Q3 2024; estimates could not be retrieved due to access limits in this session. As a result, we cannot provide a comparison to Wall Street consensus for this quarter. If needed, we can refresh and pull consensus on a subsequent request.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sequential per‑unit distributable income improved in Q3 despite YoY pressure, aided by better oil realizations and OK WI excess cost recovery; however, elevated production expenses limited upside .
  • Texas WI excess costs remain the principal structural headwind; watch for recovery pace as it directly impacts monthly distributions (cumulative underlying to be recovered $3.85M at 9/30) .
  • Gas price softness persisted while oil realizations held firm; CRT’s cash flows remain highly sensitive to commodity prices and timing effects embedded in the modified cash‑basis accounting .
  • Development spending eased in Q3 following earlier Hewitt Unit activity, reducing near‑term capex burden on WI net proceeds .
  • One‑time Chieftain settlement deduction hit the September distribution but is now completed for CRT, removing an overhang on future payments .
  • Trading implications: near‑term distributions likely track oil prices and the cadence of Texas WI excess‑cost recovery; upside catalysts include sustained oil strength and faster WI cost recovery; downside risks include cost inflation and weaker gas pricing .