CI
CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- CoreWeave delivered a breakout Q1 2025 with revenue of $0.982B, up 420% YoY, and record adjusted EBITDA of $606M (62% margin); however, GAAP diluted EPS was -$1.49 as interest expense and IPO-driven stock-based comp weighed on GAAP results .
- Wall Street revenue estimates were beaten by ~14% ($0.982B actual vs ~$0.860B consensus); Primary EPS missed consensus (actual -$0.609 vs -$0.117 consensus) as vendor term changes reduced capitalized interest and increased period interest expense .
- Backlog and capacity set the near-term growth path: revenue backlog was $25.9B at Q1, rising to $30.1B in Q2 and $55.6B in Q3; active power increased from ~420MW in Q1 to ~590MW by Q3, with contracted power expanding from ~1.6GW to ~2.9GW .
- Management initiated guidance (Q2 revenue $1.06–$1.10B; FY25 revenue $4.9–$5.1B) and accelerated capex (Q2: $3.0–$3.5B; FY25: $20–$23B) to meet demand; short-term stock catalysts include continued revenue beats, backlog expansion, and GB200/Blackwell ramp, partially offset by elevated interest expense and margin dilution near-term due to capacity build .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- “Outstanding Q1 financial performance” with record revenue and adjusted operating income; CEO: “Demand for our platform is robust and accelerating… We are scaling as fast as possible to capture that demand. The future runs on CoreWeave.” .
- Strategic wins: OpenAI deal up to $11.9B (added $11.2B to backlog reported) and partnership with IBM for Granite; MLPerf benchmarks and first-mover status on NVIDIA GB200 instances bolster tech leadership .
- Revenue beat attribution: “concerted strategic effort… to build and scale and deliver compute more quickly” pulled-forward delivery against committed contracts (explains beat vs consensus) .
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What Went Wrong
- GAAP EPS miss versus consensus driven by higher interest expense from improved vendor terms (less capitalized interest) and IPO-related stock-based comp; CFO guided Q2 interest expense to remain elevated ($260–$300M) .
- Operating margin compressed to -3% GAAP (vs 9% prior-year) given heavy capacity build, with management warning near-term margins diluted by accelerated investments despite strong adjusted margins .
- Customer concentration remains a focus for analysts; management reiterated efforts to diversify with enterprises (Weights & Biases acquisition aids go-to-market), but outsized clients remain intrinsic to AI infrastructure contracts .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown: CoreWeave reports one operating segment (consolidated) .
KPIs and Capacity
Vs. Estimates (S&P Global)
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Demand for our platform is robust and accelerating… We are scaling as fast as possible to capture that demand. The future runs on CoreWeave.” .
- CEO: “We were the first to make NVIDIA’s GB200 NVL72 instances generally available and begin ramping Blackwell revenue in the first quarter.” .
- CFO: “Our revenue backlog… was $25.9 billion, up 63% year-over-year… OpenAI strategic deal… up to $11.9 billion… plus a recent $4 billion expansion signed in Q2.” .
- CFO: “Interest expense… higher than expectations due to improved vendor payment terms… lowering the amount of interest cost capitalized… expect those to continue through the year.” .
- CFO: “We expect Q2 revenue $1.06–$1.1 billion… Q2 adjusted operating income $140–$170 million… Q2 capex $3–$3.5 billion… FY25 revenue $4.9–$5.1 billion; FY25 adjusted operating income $800–$830 million; capex $20–$23 billion.” .
Q&A Highlights
- Revenue beat mechanics: Management pulled forward infrastructure delivery to contracted customers, enabling a ~14% top-line beat vs consensus .
- Backlog vs RPO accounting: OpenAI deal excluded from RPO pending final accounting; does not affect revenue timing or economics .
- Customer concentration and diversification: No single entity >50% of backlog at Q1; enterprise pipeline expanding with W&B aiding go-to-market .
- Tariffs and input costs: Observed small increases in certain components; expected immaterial P&L impact; monitoring and working with suppliers .
- Interest expense drivers: Fewer days between payment and in-service reduced capitalized interest; higher debt linked to capex build; cost of capital trending down post-IPO .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 revenue beat: Actual $0.982B vs ~$0.860B consensus (+14.2%); driven by accelerated delivery against contracted demand .
- Q1 2025 Primary EPS miss: Actual -$0.609 vs -$0.117 consensus, reflecting higher period interest and IPO-related stock-based compensation; adjusted profitability strong (Adj. EBITDA margin 62%) .
- Estimate breadth: 13 revenue and 13 EPS estimates contributed to consensus; continued coverage build post-IPO*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue growth visibility is high: multi-year contracted backlog ($25.9B at Q1; $30.1B Q2; $55.6B Q3) underpins forward revenue, with OpenAI and other hyperscaler/enterprise wins anchoring capacity ramp .
- Near-term margins likely diluted by aggressive build-out (capex $3–$3.5B in Q2; $20–$23B in FY25), but adjusted margins remain robust (Adj. operating ~16–17%; Adj. EBITDA ~61–62%) and should normalize as assets enter service .
- Interest expense is the primary GAAP headwind; watch vendor term dynamics and debt mix/cost-of-capital initiatives (revolver upsized; term loans refinanced), which can improve EPS trajectory over time .
- Technical leadership (GB200/Blackwell firsts, MLPerf records) is a competitive moat that can sustain pricing power and win rate in frontier AI workloads .
- Enterprise adoption and software stack expansion (Weights & Biases) broaden TAM, reduce concentration risk, and strengthen go-to-market leverage .
- Trading lens: Continued revenue beats and backlog expansions are likely positive catalysts; monitor quarterly interest expense and capex execution for sentiment shifts; guidance updates (Q2/FY25) provide checkpoints .
- Risk watch: Tariff/macro costs (currently immaterial), execution on rapid capacity deployment, and accounting treatment timing (e.g., RPO recognition for large deals) .
Search note: No SEC 8-K/transcript filings found for 2024 quarters; trend analysis uses Q2 and Q3 2025 filings and transcripts for trajectory comparisons.