CI
CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- CoreWeave delivered a hypergrowth quarter: revenue rose 207% YoY to $1.213B and 23.5% sequentially vs Q1’s $0.982B, with adjusted EBITDA of $753M (62% margin) and adjusted operating income of $200M (16% margin) .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, CoreWeave posted a material revenue beat ($1.213B vs $1.081B*) but a Primary EPS miss (actual −$0.269 vs −$0.204*), reflecting ramp costs ahead of revenue and higher interest expense; GAAP diluted EPS was −$0.60 *. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Backlog expanded to $30.1B (up ~$4B QoQ), active power reached ~470 MW, contracted power rose to 2.2 GW; management reiterated a “structurally supply-constrained” market and raised FY25 revenue guidance by $250M to $5.15–$5.35B while maintaining FY25 adjusted operating income and CapEx .
- Stock catalysts/risks: lock-up expiration expected after close on Aug 14, 2025 (potential supply overhang); deepening access to capital markets (unsecured notes, DDTL) reduces cost of capital and supports scale .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Hypergrowth at scale with strong non-GAAP profitability: adjusted EBITDA $753M (62% margin) and adjusted operating income $200M (16% margin) on $1.213B revenue; CEO: “platform of choice for the world’s most advanced AI workloads” .
- Demand and visibility building: backlog $30.1B (up ~$4B QoQ and ~86% YoY per CFO), active power ~470 MW, contracted power 2.2 GW; signed expansions with both hyperscalers in last 8 weeks (one included in Q2 backlog) .
- Strategic execution: Weights & Biases acquisition with immediate product integrations (Mission Control in W&B, W&B Inference, Weave Online Evaluations) and first-to-market Blackwell deployments (GB200 NVL72, GB300 NVL72; RTX PRO 6000 instances) .
Selected quotes
- CEO: “We are now on track to deliver over 900 megawatts of active power before the end of the year…backlog $30.1 billion” .
- CFO: “Since the beginning of 2024, we have secured over $25 billion of debt and equity…DDTL completed at SOFR + 400, a 900 bps decrease” .
What Went Wrong
- EPS below S&P consensus: Primary EPS actual −$0.269 vs −$0.204*; GAAP diluted EPS −$0.60 as interest expense rose to $267M amid rapid capacity build and lower capitalization of interest *. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Operating leverage temporarily pressured: GAAP operating margin 2% as large deployments drove costs ahead of revenue; CFO flagged Q3 AOI 160–190M on faster capacity ramp (near-term margin headwind) .
- Market remains supply-constrained: powered shells and grid electrons are bottlenecks; management expects structural constraints to persist, potentially pacing revenue recognition despite robust demand .
Financial Results
Income statement and profitability (US$ Millions, except per-share)
Consensus vs Actuals (S&P Global; Q2 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
KPIs and balance sheet (selected)
Note: CapEx reflects company’s definition (change in gross PP&E minus change in CIP) per CFO .
Segment breakdown
- CoreWeave reports results on a consolidated basis; no segment revenue disclosure in the Q2 2025 materials .
Guidance Changes
Management reiterated that margin pressure near-term reflects costs incurred ahead of revenue as capacity is brought online at unprecedented scale .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and scale: “We are aggressively expanding our footprint…on track to deliver over 900 megawatts of active power before the end of the year…backlog $30.1 billion” — CEO .
- Vertical integration: “Owning the infrastructure will allow CoreWeave to scale faster and more efficiently…anticipate $500,000,000 in fully ramped annual run rate cost savings by 2027” — CEO on proposed Core Scientific acquisition .
- Financing: “Closed our third delayed draw term loan…completed at SOFR + 400, a 900 basis point decrease…first fully underwritten by top-tier banks” — CFO .
- Demand profile: “We have seen…older hardware (A100/H100) recontracted for 1–3 years largely for inference” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Demand vs supply: Mix shifting toward inference; platform designed to be fungible between training and inference; most acute bottleneck is powered shells and grid electrons, not GPUs .
- Contract cadence: Backlog will move in step functions as very large negotiated deals close; one hyperscaler expansion included in Q2 backlog, another signed in Q3 .
- Economics and products: Inference vs training economics largely identical under long-term structured contracts; building on-demand/spot to seed new logos/use cases despite tight capacity .
- Near-term margins: Costs ahead of revenue during ramp (leases, deployment) pressure AOI near-term; Q3 AOI guide 160–190M reflects back-loaded power adds .
- Enterprise momentum: W&B integration adds ~1,600 clients and accelerates up-stack offerings; broad-based demand across financials, healthcare, media/VFX (e.g., Moonvalley) .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 revenue beat: $1,212.8M actual vs $1,081.4M consensus* (+12.1% surprise). Primary EPS missed: −$0.2688 actual vs −$0.2039 consensus*. Drivers: higher interest expense ($267M) and costs incurred ahead of revenue during rapid capacity ramp . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- FY25 guidance raised to $5.15–$5.35B (from $4.9–$5.1B) suggests upward revenue estimate revisions; AOI unchanged implies margin estimates may stay flat near-term while capacity ramps .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Demand remains exceptional and diversified; backlog at $30.1B with hyperscaler expansions supports multi-year growth visibility .
- Revenue momentum is outpacing estimates; near-term EPS pressured by interest and pre-revenue ramp costs, a trade-off for scaling capacity in a supply-constrained market .
- Strategic verticalization (proposed Core Scientific acquisition) and deeper capital-market access (SOFR+400 DDTL; upsized HY) should lower unit costs and enhance returns over time .
- Up-stack differentiation via W&B integration and first-to-market Blackwell deployments strengthens competitive moat and wallet-share expansion across training and inference .
- Watch near-term catalysts/risks: Q3 print (backlog update and AOI progression), Q4 capex/revenue ramp timing, lock-up expiry (Aug 14) as potential technical overhang .
- Estimate pathways: Likely upward revenue revisions; EPS revisions may lag until interest expense moderates and capacity moves from pre-revenue to in-revenue status .
Additional Q2 2025 Press Releases (context)
- W&B acquisition closed (May 5) .
- Revolving credit facility expanded to $1.5B (May 6) .
- $2.0B 9.25% senior notes due 2030 closed (May 28) .
- New W&B-integrated products launched (June 18) .
- First to deploy NVIDIA GB300 NVL72 (July 3) and first to offer RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell at scale (July 9) .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.