CI
CSP INC /MA/ (CSPI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue increased 18% year over year to $15.45M, with product revenue up 29% and services roughly flat; gross margin compressed to 29% from 34% as mix shifted toward product and component costs remained elevated .
- Diluted EPS was $(0.03) versus $(0.02) last year and $(0.01) in Q2; operating loss widened to $(1.22)M on higher SG&A tied to AZT Protect go-to-market investments .
- Management highlighted strong momentum in Technology Solutions (cloud and managed services) and AZT Protect channel build-out (Rockwell resellers, South Africa cell towers), pointing to potential top- and bottom-line growth for FY25; Board declared a $0.03 dividend .
- No formal quantitative guidance was issued; sequential revenue rose sharply, but margins softened—near-term stock narrative likely hinges on AZT pipeline conversion pace versus sustained cost/mix headwinds .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Technology Solutions revenue grew 20% y/y, with strong cloud demand, including a secured Microsoft Azure project for a Florida-based healthcare provider; “we generated significant momentum” and “high interest across our business segments” .
- AZT Protect progressed via reseller strategy with new steel, concrete, lumber wins and international expansion (South African cell tower deployments); CEO: “we are confident in our ability to maximize our returns from AZT Protect” .
- TS cloud projects scaled to “over 20 active projects” across industries; maritime demand robust, adding personnel to meet current demand .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin fell to 29% from 34% y/y due to mix shift (higher product revenue) and higher component costs; gross profit dipped to $4.45M from $4.58M y/y .
- Operating loss increased to $(1.22)M vs $(0.72)M y/y on elevated SG&A (sales/marketing for AZT) and R&D consulting spend to support product enhancements .
- Cash declined sequentially to $26.31M from $29.50M, reflecting share repurchases and operating loss; services revenue was only slightly higher y/y, limiting mix benefits .
Financial Results
Segment/Revenue Mix
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Guidance Changes
Note: The company did not issue quantitative revenue/EPS guidance ranges. Management provided directional commentary regarding demand momentum and pipeline conversion .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “In addition to 18% total revenue growth… we generated significant momentum throughout the quarter for our differentiated AZT PROTECT offering… the cloud-based business continues to exceed our projections… Furthermore, our Maritime business is robust and has required added personnel resources to meet current demand.” — Victor Dellovo, CEO .
- “We settled on a land and expand sales approach… in the steel industry… already has seen success in stopping an unintentional update that could have taken down the mill’s production.” — Victor Dellovo .
- “We finished the quarter with more than $26,000,000 in cash and cash equivalent… the Board of Directors authorized another $0.03 per share quarterly cash dividend.” — Victor Dellovo .
- “Gross profit… was $4,500,000 or 29% of sales… due to our sales mix and reflects higher component costs in the product side of the business… SG&A… up… largely due to increased sales and marketing expenses related to AZT Protect.” — Gary Levine, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- R&D consulting: Additional engineers engaged for high-level testing of AZT improvements; expected to continue for “another quarter” .
- Land-and-expand strategy: Entered concrete plants via resellers; targeting multi-site rollouts with endpoints ranging from tens to hundreds per site to accelerate deployment versus 18-month mega-deals .
- AZT feature evolution: From 1 countermeasure at launch to 14; now Windows and Linux (XP to 2025), ARM core support, USB lockdown, microsegmentation, SIEM integrations—reflecting customer-driven enhancements .
- South Africa opportunity: Integration work to enable gold image deployments; potential to roll out to “tens of thousands of cell towers over the next twelve to eighteen months” via partner ORIX .
- Other resellers: Progress with water facility-focused reseller under NDA; management expects “real success in 2026” .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q3 2025 were unavailable; actual reported revenue was $15.45M and EBITDA was $(1.16)M, limiting beat/miss analysis on estimates.*
- Limited analyst coverage and absence of target price consensus suggest Street models may need to incorporate AZT pipeline ramp, investment-driven SG&A, and mix-driven margin dynamics going forward.*
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue growth is healthy and broad-based, driven by TS cloud/managed services and early AZT Protect traction; watch for conversion of reseller pipelines into 6- and 7-figure contracts over the next 12–24 months .
- Margin compression reflects mix and component costs; near-term operating leverage depends on services growth and AZT pricing/mix as SG&A remains elevated to support channel build-out .
- Capital return remains steady with $0.03 quarterly dividend and ongoing buybacks, supported by strong cash, though cash has declined sequentially as investments and repurchases continue .
- The Russell 3000 inclusion improves institutional visibility, which could aid liquidity and coverage over time—especially if AZT wins scale with major resellers .
- Tactical: Near-term catalysts include additional AZT reseller-driven wins (steel, concrete, lumber), South Africa tower rollouts, and continued TS cloud wins; risks include extended sales cycles and persistent component cost headwinds .
- Medium-term: Thesis rests on AZT’s differentiation (14 countermeasures, Linux/ARM support) and repeatable land-and-expand deployments across industrial IoT/OT environments via major distributors .
- With no formal guidance and limited Street coverage, monitor Q4 commentary (management indicated strong momentum) for evidence of bottom-line inflection versus continued investment phase .
Additional Context
- Industry backdrop: Telecom networks face rising stealth intrusions and faster, more powerful DDoS attacks; AI-driven analytics adoption is increasing. This aligns with CSPi’s security narrative around AZT Protect and ARIA solutions .