Caesarstone - Q4 2022

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Greetings. Welcome to the Caesarstone Ltd. fourth quarter 2022 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press * zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Brad Cray from ICR. Thank you, Brad. You may begin.

Brad Cray (Investor Relations)

Thank you, operator, and good morning to everyone on the line. I am joined by Yuval Dagim, Caesarstone's Chief Executive Officer, and Nahum Trost, Caesarstone's Chief Financial Officer. Certain statements in today's conference call and responses to various questions may constitute forward-looking statements. We caution you that such statements reflect only the company's current expectations and that actual events or results may differ materially. For more information, please refer to the risk factors contained in the company's most recent annual report on Form 20-F and subsequent filings with the SEC. On this call, the company will make reference to certain non-GAAP financial measures including adjusted net income, adjusted net income per share, adjusted gross profit, adjusted EBITDA, and constant currency.

The reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in the company's fourth quarter 2022 earnings release, which is posted on the company's investor relations website. Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Yuval. Please go ahead.

Yuval Dagim (CEO)

Thank you, Brad. Good morning, everyone. I'm proud of the entire Caesarstone team's efforts as we finish 2022 with a record full year revenue of approximately $691 million. During the year, we focused diligently on executing our multi-pronged growth strategy as we navigated through a challenging demand environment that softened during the second half of 2022. Increasing interest rates and inflation pressured housing starts and remodeling expenses, particularly impacting our U.S. and the Israeli business in Q4 2022. In addition, certain customers are lowering their inventory levels, therefore we adjusted our production and are balancing SKUs as necessary. Our fourth quarter results were below our expectations given these evolving market conditions.

While we expect our pricing initiatives to help offset lower market volumes during 2023, we continue to believe long-term renovation and remodel fundamentals in our key markets remain strong. With this in mind, we are focused on optimizing our global structure during 2023 to operate more efficiently and improve our scalability for new growth opportunities. In order to do so effectively, we are focused on leveraging our projects within our Global Growth Acceleration Plan to rationalize our costs, more efficiently manage our working capital, intensify our marketing efforts, and expand our U.S. distribution footprint. I would like now to discuss a few of the actions that we have underway to improve our results as we head into 2023. We are temporarily reducing the effective capacity of our manufacturing facilities to meet the current demand, which should provide improved working capital.

Second, we took actions during the second half of 2022 to reduce our headcount globally by approximately 9% across all business units and functions. We expect to continue to monitor our SG&A costs through spending hold on non-essential expenses and administrative functions during 2023. Third, we are carefully evaluating our global supply chain for additional bottlenecks we can take out as necessary this year. As we said in the past, in recent years, we have expanded our relationship with OEM manufacturers, primarily based out of Asia. This has allowed us to not only diversify our supply chain, but also serve an increasing amount of the market at various price points.

As a result, this has increased the portion of our products that are manufactured via OEM in low-cost countries, which has allowed to better capture demand in new construction activity, which tends to favor more entry-level product. Fourth, we remain committed to our technological and digital investments such as our innovative CS Connect platform, which continues to be a bright spot and is accelerating our ability to improve customer experience and engagement throughout our business. Lastly, we plan to increase our marketing efforts in the U.S. and expand our distribution footprint in attractive and economically sound markets. We are funding these marketing investments by reinvesting a portion of the savings from our headcount and working capital reductions and other cost mitigation actions.

In addition to these actions, we have also increased selling prices during Q1 of 2023 in our main markets to mitigate the impact of higher costs in our margins. I would like also to reiterate that our multi-material product pipeline, including Caesarstone-branded porcelain slabs, provides us with encouraging growth prospect as we look forward. We are excited to introduce our Caesarstone-branded global porcelain collection to North America during the first half of 2023, following a launch in the U.K., Israel, and Australian markets during the second half of 2022. Over the next several years, we expect that porcelain will become a primary driver for our revenue growth in our key markets. Through our successful penetration into big box, our acquisition of strategic distributors such as Omicron, and our ongoing organic expansion of Caesarstone distribution centers, we have significantly diversified our sales channels.

We estimate that in the U.S. business, approximately a quarter of our sales are through independent distributors today, compared to approximately half just a few years ago. We believe our broader channel exposure has allowed us to outperform the market and will continue to help us accelerate the success of new product introductions and our expanded multi-material offerings such as porcelain. I'd like to take a moment to comment on recent developments in Australia in regards to increasing government attention on the engineered stone market. Various Australian federal and state authorities are exploring ways to mitigate the risks associated with fabrication of engineered stone, such as more rigorous licensing standards for fabricators, as well as limiting the sale of engineered stone with high level of silica.

As a leader in this market, we continue to actively train and educate fabricators, customers, and others in the value chain on safe material handling and installation practices, as well as expedite additional development of our own low silica product offerings. It is important to note that we have been one of the most active in regards to safety throughout the entire supply chain. We will continue to do our part to bring quality solutions to all stakeholders. In conclusion, we continue to take prudent actions across the organization to drive additional efficiencies and rationalize our costs. The exciting projects we have planned for 2023 under our Global Growth Acceleration Plan, give us confidence in our ability to achieve our objectives for this year.

Looking ahead, we remain committed to strengthening our cost structure, elevating our multi-material product portfolio, and positioning our business for improved results in the quarters to come. With that, I will now turn the call to Nahum to discuss more details on our financial results and outlook.

Nahum Trost (CFO)

Thank you, Yuval. Good morning, everyone. I will start by discussing our fourth quarter results. Global revenue in the fourth quarter was $159.4 million, compared to $171.1 million in the fourth quarter of last year. On a constant currency basis, fourth quarter revenues was lower by 2.1% compared to the same period last year, as sales improvement in the APAC region was more than offset by softer performance in all other regions, given the challenging macroeconomic conditions. Looking at our fourth quarter PNL performance. Our gross margin was 19.4% for the quarter. Adjusted gross margin was 19.7% compared to 23.3% in the prior year quarter.

The year-over-year difference in gross margins predominantly reflected increased manufacturing unit costs, driven by lower fixed cost absorption, resulting from lower capacity utilization, higher raw material and shipping costs, and unfavorable foreign currency exchange rates as a result of appreciation of the U.S., dollar against all other currencies. This was partially offset by our several pricing actions. Looking ahead to 2023, we expect the unfavorable impact of foreign exchange rates, higher raw material, and shipping costs in our PNL to persist, primarily in the first half of the year, given that we started the year with higher unit costs in inventory, reflecting those previous periods of elevated material and shipping costs. In response, we have already taken actions to partially mitigate this impact through additional price increases, building upon our previously enacted price increases during 2022.

We have already taken measures to align our production and inventory levels to new conditions in the market, and we continue to take actions to reduce costs. Operating expenses in the fourth quarter were $106.1 million, compared to $36.3 million in the prior year quarter. Our operating expenses for the quarter included a one-time non-cash impairment charge of $71.3 million related to goodwill and long-lived assets. Given our current market capitalization, together with softer macroeconomic conditions, higher interest rates, and lower production utilization, a review of our goodwill and long-lived asset balances is required, which resulted in the above-mentioned impairment charges. Excluding legal settlements, loss contingencies, and impairment charges, adjusted operating expenses were 22.2% of revenues compared to 21.9% in the prior year quarter.

Adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter was $5.7 million, representing a margin of 3.6% compared to $11.5 million or a margin of 6.7% in the prior year quarter. The year-over-year difference primarily reflects the lower operating income. Now looking at our full year financial performance highlights. Sales for the full year were up 7.3%, and on a constant currency basis, sales were up by 10.8%, driven by growth in the United States and Canada. Adjusted gross margin for the year was 23.8% compared to 26.8% last year. The difference in the adjusted gross margin mainly reflects lower fixed cost absorption, higher raw material prices, unfavorable foreign currency exchange rates, and shipping price increases, which were partially offset by favorable product mix and selling price increases.

Excluding legal settlements, loss contingencies, and the non-cash impairment charges we incurred during the fourth quarter of 2022, adjusted operating expenses for the full year were 21.7% of revenue, compared to 21.9% in the prior year. Our full year 2022 adjusted EBITDA was $51.9 million, a 7.5% margin compared to $68.2 million last year or a 10.6% margin, with the year-over-year change in margin primarily reflecting the lower gross margin. Turning to our balance sheet. Caesarstone balance sheet as of December 31st, 2022 included cash equivalents, short-term bank deposits, and short and long-term marketable securities of $59.2 million, with a total debt to financial institutions of $31 million. Moving to our outlook.

Given macroeconomic environment and low ability to predict the duration, the slowdown in global construction activity, we expect revenue for the full year of 2023 to be in the same range of the 2022 revenue. For 2023, we expect lower volume to be offset by pricing initiatives. Additionally, we expect a gradual and moderate improvement in adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of sales for the full year of 2023, primarily due to pricing initiatives and cost optimization efforts, which are expected to more than offset higher raw material and shipping costs in our inventory. While spot market costs for many of our major inputs, such as raw materials and shipping, have stabilized in recent months, at year-end, our units in inventory were at a higher cost year-over-year.

Given the slower market and prior supply chain inefficiencies, we also ended the year with more days of inventory on hand than is typical. We therefore expect our margins to be higher in the second half of 2023 compared to the first half as we work through higher unit costs in inventory. We believe that the outlook we are providing to you today is both achievable and appropriate given the level of uncertainty in the industry. We are well-positioned and prepared to execute on the factors that are within our control. We believe we are taking a balanced and prudent approach, set expectations, and we will fully leverage all resources available to us to mitigate risk and capitalize on the market opportunities available to us. With that, let me turn the call back to Yuval for closing comments.

Yuval Dagim (CEO)

Thank you, Nahum. Overall, as we look to 2023, we remain optimistic about our prospects for future growth as we work to transform Caesarstone into a leading premium multi-material countertop company. We have a large and addressable market opportunity in countertops, combined with solid positioning in attractive geographies. We are focused on leveraging our projects within our Global Growth Acceleration Plan

Nahum Trost (CFO)

To rationalize our costs, more efficiently manage our working capital, intensify our marketing efforts, and expand our U.S. distribution footprint. With our world-class brand, multi-material countertop offerings, innovative go-to-market initiatives, and dedicated focus on driving results, we believe we are well situated to capture market share and unlock further value in our business. I look forward to updating you again on our progress in the coming quarters. Thank you. We are now ready to open the call for questions.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. If you'd like to ask question, please press * one on your telephone keypad. Confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press * two if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the * key. One moment please, while we pull for questions. A reminder to participants, if you wish to ask a question at this time, please press * and one on your touch-tone phone now. We take our first question from the line of Reuben Garner with The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Reuben Garner (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Thank you. Good, well, good afternoon for you guys. Good morning, everyone in the U.S. Maybe to start on the gross margin line, can you walk me through the bridge to how we got to 9% from the peak? I thought some of the FX pressures would have reversed with the dollar weakening over the last several months. Maybe you could walk through that dynamic. Is that something that will start to benefit things as we move into 2023 or am I just missing something in the FX formula?

Nahum Trost (CFO)

No, I don't... Hi, Reuben. Good morning. it's Nahum. you are not, I don't think that you are missing. Although the FX environment was slightly better in Q4 compared to Q3, still the U.S., Dollar is elevated compared to all other currencies in which we operate, especially when you compare it to Q4 of last year. To add to that, in the beginning of 2023, we continue to see, even with the higher pace, the U.S., dollar getting stronger against all other currencies in which we operate. we do expect, you know, to see the same FX environment.

All in all, the FX on Q4 of 2022, when you compare it to Q4 of 2021, had a negative impact of 320 basis points. On top of that, Reuben, if we would like, you know, to complete the picture of the bridge, obviously the higher ASP and the pricing, you know, the price increases that we did along the year, had a positive impact of more than 700 basis points compared to last year, I mean. This was more than offset by the higher raw material cost, 250 basis points, higher logistics and including the landed shipping cost of 210 basis points.

Obviously, the fact that we reduced production in the second half of 2022, you know, because in order to align our inventory balances, had also a negative impact as the, there is a higher portion of unabsorbed expenses in our plants. The higher overhead in the plants reduced the gross margin by 270 basis points. This is more or less the bridge between the two periods.

Reuben Garner (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Okay. The price offset the volume declines and the logistics and the material inflation, but then you had an additional 300 or so basis points of FX pressure.

Nahum Trost (CFO)

Correct.

Reuben Garner (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

if I look at that same math for 2023, how does that look? I assume the first half looks similar, and then the second half, the FX, your anniversary, the FX impact, so you'll have more gross margin expansion in the second half?

Nahum Trost (CFO)

You're right. Those indicators that are within our control, we expect them to have a positive impact as, you know, gradually, as we said in our outlook, over 2023. Currently, our inventory balance and the cost of our inventory is elevated given the fact that they are still reflecting higher raw material cost. As we will move along 2023, the higher inventory cost will flow to the PNL, and we will begin to see a bit lower inventory cost as the prices of the raw materials over the last few months began to stabilize in the market.

Reuben Garner (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Okay. Then on the pricing side, what gives you confidence that you're gonna be able to push price or hold the pricing increases that you've announced this quarter in the face of what appears to be, you know, a suppressed volume environment?

Yuval Dagim (CEO)

Hi, Reuben. It's Yuval. First, it's fair to say that the price increases actions that we took in 2022 relatively well received in the market. We are not planning for further major increases in 2023. Our price increase for Q1 was a low single-digit price increase globally. We are moving to more annual price increases approach as other industries to mitigate some of our costs from the year before. We are not expecting further price increases during the rest of the year.

Reuben Garner (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Okay. If I'm hearing your outlook right for the full year, it sounds like gross margin is probably gonna be under pressure, and you're gonna get to EBITDA margin expansion by kinda tightening the belt on spending. Is that a fair way to think about it? What does that do for, you know, your growth outlook? I mean, you've ramped up the spending the last couple of years to try to drive growth in some other markets, U.S., and Europe. Are those the initiatives that maybe you put on hold because it's a tough environment or are you pulling back in other areas?

Yuval Dagim (CEO)

I think it's a fair comment as we are now trying to keep the tense between margin improvements and continue to push for the growth engines we already launched. We are not cutting marketing spends in 2023. Actually, we will be investing a bit more in the U.S. business of ours, where we are recognizing the biggest opportunity for our company. The margin improvement would be coming also from tight cost control on the rest of the markets of ours. Also, we are expecting to improve our COGS, cost of goods sell, spend as well.

Nahum Trost (CFO)

In addition, Reuben, take into consideration that the pricing actions that we completed during 2022 will have a full impact over 2023 on top of the additional price increase that we did in February. This is one positive impact. On the other hand, just as we discussed now, we are expecting gradual moderate improvement in the cost of goods sold as we go through 2023. It will come also from higher margins in gross margins as well.

Reuben Garner (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Okay. The gross margin pressures in the first half can be made up as the year progresses to get to something flatter up on the gross line?

Yuval Dagim (CEO)

Right. Correct.

Nahum Trost (CFO)

Exactly.

Reuben Garner (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Okay. Okay, I think that's all I have. I'll pass it on, guys. Thank you.

Yuval Dagim (CEO)

Thank you, Reuben.

Nahum Trost (CFO)

Thank you, Reuben.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. A reminder to participants, if you wish to ask a question, please press * one now. We take the next question from the line of Brock Cannon with Stifel. Please go ahead.

Brock Cannon (Equity Research Associate)

Hi, everyone. This is Brock Cannon filling in for Stanley Elliott today. I'm just gonna.

Yuval Dagim (CEO)

Hi. Nice voice.

Brock Cannon (Equity Research Associate)

All right. I'm gonna run two at here. Looking at your porcelain rollout in the U.S. and Canada, what kind of price point are you expecting there compared to other countertop materials? Going along with that, what kind of relative margin are you expecting?

Yuval Dagim (CEO)

Hi. Good morning. First, it's a good direction to where we are taking the company to. We are definitely becoming more and more a multi-material countertop company. We launched last year the Porcelain offering in the U.K., Australia, and Israel. Now in the second quarter of this year, we are moving to the launch in North America, U.S. and Canada. Price points will be similar to what we see in the market related to the countertop industry. I may say that as a whole, the Porcelain category in our business is margin accretive, so we are building on some gross margin and EBITDA margin improvements as we are progressing the penetration of Porcelain into the market and as part of our business.

Brock Cannon (Equity Research Associate)

Okay. Great. Thank you. Moving on here, could you provide any update on how CS Connect is going and kind of the adoption there?

Yuval Dagim (CEO)

Yeah, sure. Although still, starting from a small base, we are expecting to double, if not tripling the revenue of 2022, this year in 2023. As you remember, we launched CS Connect in our three major markets, the U.S., Canada, and Australia. The momentum that we experienced in Q4 is continuing into 2023. This is definitely acting as the growth engine, and we are looking forward to be servicing more and more customers in these three major markets of ours as the year progresses.

Brock Cannon (Equity Research Associate)

Great to hear that. Last thing here, could you possibly provide any color on how things have been trending so far in the U.S. through February, possibly anything on volumes or RNR activity?

Yuval Dagim (CEO)

although we are not providing guidance for Q1, but we continue to see the same trends in the U.S. market as we saw it in Q4. you know, after a strong H1 of 2022, we began to see the housing market decline in the second half of 2022, especially in Q4 of 2022. So far we see basically the same trend.

Brock Cannon (Equity Research Associate)

Got it. Thank you. Thank you guys for taking my questions, and good luck going forward.

Yuval Dagim (CEO)

Thank you very much.

Nahum Trost (CFO)

Thank you, Brock.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we've reached the end of the question and answer session. I'd like to turn the call back over to Yuval Dagim, CEO, for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

Yuval Dagim (CEO)

Thank you for your attention this morning. We look forward to updating you on our progress next quarter. Thank you.

Nahum Trost (CFO)

Thank you.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and thank you for your participation.