Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

CO

Contango ORE, Inc. (CTGO)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2024 showed a larger net loss driven primarily by a non-cash mark-to-market loss on gold hedges; the company remains pre-revenue as Manh Choh advances toward first production in early Q3 2024 .
  • Net loss was $(20.5)M, or $(2.14) per share; the quarter included a $(15.6)M non-cash loss on derivative contracts and higher interest expense tied to drawdowns on the secured facility .
  • Execution milestones and near-term catalysts are clear: ore mining/hauling are underway, and the first gold pour at Fort Knox was scheduled for July 8, 2024 (early Q3) .
  • Balance sheet/liquidity: cash was $7.6M with $22.5M of unused borrowing commitments remaining on the facility; current debt portion rose to $21.7M as the build nears completion .
  • Strategic actions: announced acquisition of HighGold (shareholder approval subsequently obtained) and completed a $15M underwritten offering to support exploration and corporate needs .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Manh Choh project execution on track: ore mining/hauling are ongoing; mill tie-ins and site work remained on plan; production targeted for early Q3 2024 .
    • Near-term production milestone: “the first gold pour for the Manh Choh mine will take place at the Fort Knox mill facility on July 8, 2024” .
    • Strategic growth: agreed to acquire HighGold; CEO: “the combination of HighGold and Contango makes a tremendous amount of strategic sense… increases Contango’s currently outlined resources three-fold…” (June 28 PR) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Significant P&L volatility from hedges: Q1 recognized a non-cash $(15.6)M loss on derivative contracts as forward gold prices exceeded hedge prices .
    • Higher interest burden: interest expense rose to $(2.03)M vs $(0.45)M YoY as debt balances increased with project funding .
    • Regulatory/legal overhang: ongoing litigation by a community group seeking to enjoin the ore haul plan (preliminary injunction motion pending as of the filing) .

Financial Results

  • Income statement highlights (no revenue yet; pre-production)
MetricQ1 2023Q3 2023Q1 2024
Revenue ($USD)$0 (pre-revenue) $0 (pre-revenue) $0 (pre-revenue)
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(7.93) $(13.15) $(20.50)
Diluted EPS ($)$(1.09) $(1.47) $(2.14)
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$1.98 $2.77 $2.47
Interest Expense ($USD Millions)$0.45 $0.85 $2.03
Loss from Equity Inv. in Peak Gold JV ($USD Millions)$(5.09) $(5.61) $(0.14)
Unrealized Loss on Derivatives ($USD Millions)$0.00 $(2.73) $(15.63)
  • Liquidity and leverage snapshot
MetricDec 31, 2023Mar 31, 2024
Cash ($USD)$15.50M $7.62M
Restricted Cash ($USD)$0.23M $0.23M
Total Debt, net ($USD)$44.68M $57.08M
Current Portion of Debt ($USD)$7.90M $21.70M
Derivative Liability – Current ($USD)$2.68M $9.49M
Derivative Liability – Noncurrent ($USD)$20.74M $29.55M
Unused Borrowing Commitments ($USD)N/A$22.5M
  • Cash flow
MetricQ1 2023Q1 2024
Cash from Operations ($USD)$(3.03)M $(4.41)M
Cash Invested in Peak Gold JV ($USD)$(5.09)M $(15.45)M
Debt Proceeds ($USD)$0.00 $12.50M
  • Additional context (Transition period)
Metric6M Ended Dec 31, 20226M Ended Dec 31, 2023
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(21.4) $(40.8)
EPS ($)$(3.15) $(4.44)
  • KPIs (development and hedging)
KPI202420252026
Hedged Gold Ounces (oz)21,100 62,400 41,100
Weighted Avg Hedge Price ($/oz)$2,025 $2,025 $2,025

Other operational KPIs and segment detail are not applicable as the company is pre-revenue and does not provide segment reporting .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Manh Choh Production Start2024“Second half of 2024” (Q3 2023 filing) “Early Q3 2024” (Q1 2024 10-Q) Raised specificity/earlier window
First Gold PourJuly 2024Not specified previouslyJuly 8, 2024 at Fort Knox New specific date
2024 JV Capital Calls (CORE 30% share)2024N/A$27.2M expected; $15.5M funded by Mar 31 New disclosure
Unused Facility AvailabilityAs of period-end$45M unused (Sep 30, 2023) $22.5M unused (Mar 31, 2024) Lower availability as draws increased
HighGold Acquisition2024Not applicableSigned May 1, 2024; expected close July 2024 New transaction announced; later approved by HighGold holders

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q1 2024 earnings call transcript was found; themes below are drawn from filings and press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2023)Previous Mentions (Transition Period to 12/31/23)Current Period (Q1 2024)Trend
Project execution (Manh Choh)Construction complete; mining commenced; production 2H24 Ramp-up toward production (six-month update) Ore and waste mining ongoing; ore haul ramping; early Q3 2024 production Positive execution; timeline specificity improved
First goldNot specifiedNot specifiedFirst gold pour July 8, 2024 (Fort Knox) New, near-term catalyst
Hedging/commodity riskHedge program put in place (124.6k oz @ $2,025/oz) N/ASignificant MTM derivative liability and P&L loss Elevated P&L volatility as hedges mark to market
Liquidity/debtFacility established; $45M unused (Sep 30) N/A$22.5M unused; current debt portion increased Draws increased; maturities approaching
Legal/regulatory (haul route)New lawsuit filed; expedited hearing denied N/AMotions pending; JV intervened; hearing awaited Ongoing legal overhang
M&A/portfolioN/AN/AHighGold acquisition agreement (expected close July) Expanding resource base

Management Commentary

  • “This is indeed a grand milestone event for the Company and its shareholders... the Manh Choh project has stood out as a very high-quality deposit… we look forward to sharing video coverage of our first gold pour on July 8th.” — Rick Van Nieuwenhuyse, CEO (First Gold Pour PR) .
  • “We are pleased to have this transaction overwhelmingly approved by the HighGold Securityholders… the combination… increases Contango’s currently outlined resources three-fold… Johnson Tract represents the third leg of the stool for solid production growth.” — Rick Van Nieuwenhuyse, CEO (HighGold PR) .
  • Q1 operational update (10-Q): ore/waste mining proceeding, haul to Fort Knox ramping, and mill modifications (road completion, conveyor tie-ins, piping/electrical) are advancing as planned .

Q&A Highlights

  • No earnings call transcript was available for Q1 2024; no Q&A disclosures were found in company documents [ListDocuments: earnings-call-transcript returned none].

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates (S&P Global) for revenue and EPS for this micro-cap were unavailable; as a result, we cannot assess beats/misses versus estimates for Q1 2024. Consensus data was not present in S&P Global for CTGO’s latest reported quarter (no published estimates found).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term production catalyst: first gold pour scheduled for July 8, 2024, with broader production ramp in early Q3 2024; this transition from developer to producer is the key stock narrative over the next quarter .
  • Expect earnings volatility from hedges: large non-cash MTM swings are likely as spot/forward gold prices move vs the fixed $2,025/oz hedge book (124.6k oz through 2026) .
  • Funding mostly in place; watch maturities: cash of $7.6M, $22.5M unused on the facility, and higher current maturities ($21.7M) warrant attention as Manh Choh cash flows begin; management expects JV distributions post-start to support liquidity, but timing is key .
  • Strategic optionality: HighGold acquisition (subsequently approved by HighGold securityholders) expands the Alaska portfolio and long-term growth pipeline (Johnson Tract), adding exploration and future development upside .
  • Legal risk to haul plan persists but has not altered the production timeline to date; monitor court rulings and any operational impacts .
  • No revenue yet and rising interest expense underscore the importance of hitting the Q3 start and ramp milestones to turn the liquidity curve and reduce financing overhang .

Notes and Sources:

  • Q1 2024 Form 10-Q (filed May 14, 2024): financial statements, liquidity, derivative and debt details, project updates .
  • 8‑K (May 14, 2024) with earnings press release: net loss/EPS and project updates .
  • Transition period 8‑K (Mar 14, 2024): six-month results and Manh Choh development progress .
  • Q3 2023 Form 10‑Q (Nov 14, 2023): prior-quarter baseline, production timeline, hedge initiation, and liquidity .
  • Press releases: First Gold Pour date (June 25, 2024) ; HighGold shareholder approval & offering closing (June 28, 2024) ; $15M offering pricing (June 11, 2024) .