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CI

Castellum, Inc. (CTM)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered the first year-over-year organic revenue growth since listing, with revenue of $11.7M, up from $10.3M in Q4 2024 and $11.3M in Q1 2024, and a narrower operating loss of $(1.1)M including non‑cash/non‑recurring charges .
  • Consensus context (S&P Global): CTM beat on revenue ($11.66M vs $10.03M est.) and posted a less negative EPS than expected (−$0.021 vs −$0.03 est.) as execution improved; estimate coverage was thin (1 estimate each) (Values retrieved from S&P Global).*
  • Liquidity strengthened: record quarter‑end cash of $13.3M vs $12.3M in Q4, supporting execution and working capital as contract wins ramp .
  • Strategic contract ramp: execution began on the five‑and‑a‑half‑year, $103.3M NAVAIR PMA‑290 MOSS award (largest in company history), a key contributor to 2025 trajectory and medium‑term visibility .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • First YoY organic revenue growth since listing, signaling an inflection in organic execution: “Posting our first year-over-year organic revenue growth is a milestone for Castellum.” – CEO Glen Ives .
    • Operating leverage improved: operating loss narrowed to $(1.1)M vs $(1.6)M in Q4 2024 and $(4.0)M in Q1 2024 as cost discipline took hold .
    • Strengthened liquidity: record cash of $13.3M at 3/31/25 (up from $12.3M at 12/31/24), enhancing capacity to support growth and ramp newly won programs .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Profitability still negative on GAAP: operating loss persisted despite improvements (Q1 2025 $(1.1)M) .
    • Gross margin mixed vs recent quarters (see table), reflecting contract mix and ramp dynamics; continued focus on mix/efficiency needed (Values retrieved from S&P Global).*
    • Macro/government funding sensitivity remains a risk: management reiterates exposure to federal budget delays, CRs/shutdowns, and DoD funding dynamics in forward‑looking statements .

Financial Results

Overall P&L, margins, and liquidity (quarters ordered oldest → newest):

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($)11,335,053 11,522,388 11,608,691 10,298,721*11,664,365
Diluted EPS – Continuing Ops ($)-0.0756 -0.0328 -0.0229 -0.0490*-0.0148
Operating Income ($)-2,671,222 -1,570,205 -1,383,097 -1,620,103*-1,486,007
Net Income ($)-4,111,722 -1,846,735 -1,280,092 -2,741,755*-1,170,047
Gross Profit Margin (%)39.84%*36.08%*42.72%*40.00%*39.05%*
EBITDA Margin (%)-18.29%*-0.71%*-7.12%*-10.91%*-9.50%*
Cash & Equivalents ($)2,250,262 14,729,948 2,742,961 12,005,048 13,289,600
  • Cells marked with * are values retrieved from S&P Global (Capital IQ) due to lack of primary-document citation; use with standard caution on non‑GAAP definitions where applicable.

Estimate comparison (S&P Global – Q1 2025):

MetricQ1 2025 ActualQ1 2025 ConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($)11,664,36510,030,400+1,633,965 (+16.3%)
Primary EPS ($)-0.021-0.030+0.009 (less negative)
# of EstimatesRev: 1EPS: 1
  • Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Context from company press materials:

  • Q1 revenue $11.7M; operating loss $(1.1)M; cash $13.3M .
  • Sequential revenue improvement vs Q4 ($10.3M) and YoY vs Q1 2024 ($11.3M) .
  • Q3 2024 and Q2 2024 revenue were $11.6M and $11.5M, respectively .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Quantitative guidanceFY/Q2/FY25None disclosedNone disclosedMaintained N/A
Qualitative outlook2025“2025 will be our year of growth” with expected YoY growth in revenue and Adjusted EBITDA (from 2024 release) Q1 commentary emphasizes organic growth inflection and PMA‑290 ramp contribution Positive narrative reiteration

Note: No explicit numerical guidance ranges (revenue, margins, EPS, tax, etc.) were provided in Q1 2025 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: A Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was not available in our document corpus; we tracked themes using recent quarterly press materials.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2–Q3 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Organic growth“Growth must come from new contract wins”; posturing for 2025 wins First YoY organic revenue growth achieved Improving
Contract wins/new businessFocus on positioning for 2025; building foundation PMA‑290 $103.3M award now executing; contributing to 2025 performance Ramping
Cost discipline/operating leverageSmaller losses sequentially in 2024 Operating loss narrows YoY and QoQ Improving
LiquidityCash rose materially into late 2024 Record cash of $13.3M at Q1 end Strengthened
Federal budget/CR risksBudget delay/CR risk cited Budget/government funding risks reiterated in forward‑looking statements Persistent

Management Commentary

  • “I’m very encouraged by the momentum in Q1… Posting our first year-over-year organic revenue growth is a milestone for Castellum. It reflects stronger execution, increased customer confidence, and a more focused approach to delivering results.” – Glen Ives, President & CEO .
  • “This five-year, $103 million contract win was a key achievement for our team and is already contributing to our 2025 performance… fortifies our rock-solid business base … and the strong and steady progress we’re making in building a more resilient, opportunity-rich business for the long term.” – Glen Ives on PMA‑290 .
  • “2025 will be our year of growth as new contract wins and continued execution on our existing contracts should lead to strong year-over-year growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA.” – Year-end 2024 release framing the 2025 setup .

Q&A Highlights

  • A Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was not available; no Q&A items or clarifications to report from a call (we searched for an earnings call transcript and found none for CTM in Q1 2025 in our document set).
  • Company’s investor news post mirrors the 8‑K press release content .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 revenue beat by ~16% ($11.66M actual vs $10.03M est.), while EPS was less negative than expected (−$0.021 actual vs −$0.03 est.); both had one covering estimate (Values retrieved from S&P Global).*
  • Given thin coverage, we expect estimate dispersion to widen as PMA‑290 revenue timing clarifies; upward revisions to revenue/EBITDA for 2025 are likely if execution sustains and contract ramps as indicated .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Organic inflection achieved: First YoY organic growth plus a revenue beat supports the 2025 growth narrative .
  • Execution leverage: Narrowing operating loss and improving operating metrics point to better cost control; watch mix and utilization to sustain margin progression .
  • Contract visibility: PMA‑290 ($103.3M) is now executing and a potential multi‑quarter catalyst as staffing ramps; monitor backlog conversion and task order cadence .
  • Liquidity runway: Record cash provides flexibility to execute and buffer working capital during contract ramps .
  • Risk skew: Federal budget/CR dynamics and DoD timing remain key exogenous risks to revenue cadence .
  • Near‑term catalysts: Q2 progress on PMA‑290 contribution, 10‑Q details on backlog/margins, any additional IDIQ/task order wins or option exercises .
  • Positioning: Constructive into 2025 on improving fundamentals and contract ramp, with sensitivity to execution and federal funding cycles.

References to primary documents:

  • Q1 2025 8‑K/Press Release with revenue/operating loss/cash and PMA‑290 ramp .
  • 2024 unaudited results and PMA‑290 award press release .
  • Q3 2024 and Q2 2024 quarterly press releases for trend .

S&P Global (Capital IQ) data used where noted for financial line items and estimates; marked with an asterisk in tables where no document citation was available.