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CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered double-digit growth and a clean beat on revenue vs consensus, driven by the Care REIT UK acquisition and continued U.S. deployment; total revenues rose 63.3% year over year to $112.47M, and normalized FFO/FAD per share were $0.43 .
- Revenue beat Street by ~10% ($112.47M actual vs $102.02M consensus) while GAAP diluted EPS printed $0.35 vs $0.34 consensus; normalized EPS screens below some EPS frameworks due to REIT reporting emphasis on FFO *. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Management raised FY 2025 guidance for normalized FFO/FAD to $1.77–$1.79 and net income per share to $1.43–$1.45; component assumptions include ~$338M cash rental revenues and ~$44M interest expense, underpinned by low leverage (net debt/annualized normalized EBITDA ~2.0x) and strong liquidity .
- Strategic catalysts: successful integration of Care REIT (entry into UK care homes), reloaded ~$600M pipeline, and term loan swap fixing SOFR at 3.5% (4.63% all-in), supporting visible runway for external growth .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- UK Care REIT acquisition closed, adding ~133 care homes with inflation-linked leases and strengthening diversification; management is “chuffed” with operator relationships and sees ample UK growth opportunities .
- Revenue up 63.3% YoY and normalized FFO per share up ~19% YoY; dividend increased 15.5% YoY to $0.335 with ~78% payout, keeping a comfortable coverage .
- Balance sheet strength: net debt/annualized normalized EBITDA ~2.0x, fixed charge coverage 8.2x, and ample revolver capacity; ATM activity bolstered equity and term loan fixed rate enhances interest visibility .
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What Went Wrong
- G&A rose with integration and team buildout (including UK manager acquisition), implying near-term opex headwind before synergy realization .
- EPS optics still governed by non-GAAP-to-GAAP reconciliation and FX items (e.g., $4.41M FX gain), which can complicate comparability vs Street EPS frameworks .
- Competitive dynamics in seniors housing show wider cap rate ranges; at lower cap rates CareTrust may be less competitive, highlighting need for careful operator selection (SHOP entry remains deliberate) .
Financial Results
Estimates vs Actuals
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment/Source Breakdown (Q2 2025)
Key KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Total revenues are up 63.3% in the second quarter over the prior year quarter. Normalized FFO per share is up about 19%, and normalized FAD per share is up about 16%” .
- On UK integration: “We are chuffed with the operator relationships... and have already game plan with many of them how to grow together in the near future” .
- Investments and pipeline: “In a JV… we closed on an approximately $146 million portfolio of 10 skilled nursing assets… pipeline remains strong sitting at approximately $600 million” .
- Guidance raise & capital: “We raised guidance… to $1.77 to $1.79 for both normalized FFO and normalized FAD per share… liquidity remains strong… fixed rate debt 93%” .
- SHOP approach: “We’ll be opportunistic… it’s all about the operator… I’d be really surprised if we didn’t get something done with respect to SHOP within the next twelve months” .
Q&A Highlights
- Pipeline composition: Majority U.S. skilled nursing; remainder U.S. seniors and UK care homes; some SHOP deals under evaluation .
- Seniors housing competitiveness: Wider cap-rate ranges; CareTrust competitive where operator fit is strongest; grit to compete in select opportunities .
- SHOP strategy: Preference for de novo growth versus converting existing triple-net relationships; casting wider net for operator partners .
- Synergies: UK manager integration progressing; expected synergy run-rate ~50% of prior ~$10M run-rate, ramping largely in Q1 next year .
- Regulatory backdrop: Medicaid support appears bipartisan; monitoring potential budget pressures/sequestration risk next year .
Estimates Context
- Revenue beat: $112.47M actual vs $102.02M consensus (~10% upside) for Q2 2025; sequentially also ahead vs Q1 consensus *. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- EPS: GAAP diluted EPS $0.35 vs $0.34 consensus (small beat); note REITs emphasize FFO/FAD, and CTRE reported normalized FFO $83.09M ($0.43/sh), up YoY *. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- FY 2025 consensus frames: Revenue $416.07M and EPS $1.43, broadly aligned with raised company guidance for net income per share ($1.43–$1.45), with FFO/FAD guidance lifted beyond prior ranges *. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The print was clean with a material revenue beat and raised FY guidance; external growth and UK integration are tracking well, underpinning visible FFO/FAD per-share compounding .
- Liquidity and leverage create capacity: net debt/EBITDA ~2.0x, large revolver, and fixed-rate term loan reduce financing risk into continued deployment .
- Pipeline breadth (U.S. SNF heavy, select seniors housing, UK opportunities) provides diversified growth vectors; watch SHOP execution over next 12 months .
- Dividend sustainability strengthened: payout ~78% of normalized FAD and rising FFO trajectory suggest room to maintain or grow distributions aligned with cash flows .
- Near-term watch items: G&A normalization and synergy ramp, FX impacts from UK portfolio, and competitive dynamics in seniors housing cap rates .
- Strategic narrative: UK entry and operator-first discipline differentiate sourcing, while interest-rate hedging and investment-grade dynamics support a lower cost of capital .
- Trading lens: Raised guidance and strong beat on revenue are supportive; catalysts include UK pipeline adds, prospective SHOP entry, and further investment closures from the ~$600M pipeline .
Additional Q2 2025 Press Releases and Prior Quarters
- Q2: Closed Care REIT acquisition (UK entry) ; Fitch investment grade rating upgrade ; $500M term loan upsizing ; Pacific Northwest SNF portfolio (~$146M JV) .
- Q1 2025 results & guidance: Normalized FFO $77.85M ($0.42/sh), FAD $80.80M ($0.43/sh); guidance initially $1.69–$1.73 normalized FFO .
Notes: All non-GAAP metrics reconcile in company exhibits; FX gains and impairments are excluded in normalized presentations (see reconciliations) .