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CTS CORP (CTS)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered a clean beat: revenue $135.3M vs $132.7M consensus*, adjusted diluted EPS $0.57 vs $0.55 consensus*, with adjusted gross margin expanding 296 bps YoY to 38.7% and adjusted EBITDA margin up 130 bps YoY to 23.0% .
  • Diversification was the engine: diversified end markets rose 13% YoY and reached 55% of revenue; transportation fell 6% YoY on China and commercial vehicle softness .
  • Cash generation accelerated: operating cash flow $28.4M and free cash flow $25.1M; capex disciplined at $3.3M; cash $99M and long‑term debt $88M support M&A capacity .
  • Guidance maintained: FY25 sales $520–$550M and adjusted diluted EPS $2.20–$2.35; tax rate assumption 19–21% excluding discrete items; management highlighted minimal tariff impact in Q2 but is monitoring USMCA/geopolitics .
  • Potential stock catalysts: sustained margin expansion and cash returns ($26M YTD) vs watch‑items (transportation softness, tariff trajectory, SyQwest seasonality into H2) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “We delivered another quarter of double-digit sales growth in the diversified end markets and achieved solid profitability with adjusted EBITDA margin expanding 130 basis points” — CEO Kieran O’Sullivan .
    • Diversified end markets up 13% YoY with industrial +6%, medical +8% (therapeutics +~60% YoY), and aerospace & defense +34% (SyQwest +$4.5M) .
    • Strong cash generation and capital allocation: $28M operating cash flow; $25.1M FCF; 412k shares repurchased (~$17M); $26M total cash returned YTD; cash $99M / debt $88M .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Transportation down 6% YoY on China softness and weaker commercial vehicle demand; management expects continued near‑term headwinds in transportation revenue .
    • Medical diagnostics bookings soft (Asia capital spend, tariffs) with management cautioning 1–2 quarters of softness despite strong therapeutics .
    • SyQwest introduces seasonality tied to US government funding; H2 expected stronger but timing risk remains .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$127.4 $125.8 $135.3
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.45 $0.44 $0.62
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.53 $0.44 $0.57
Adjusted Gross Margin %38.1% 37.0% 38.7%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %23.9% 20.5% 23.0%
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$26.0 $15.5 $28.4
MetricQ2 2024Q2 2025 ActualQ2 2025 Consensus*
Revenue ($USD Millions)$130.2 $135.3 $132.7*
Diluted/Primary EPS ($USD)$0.48 $0.57 (Adjusted) $0.55*
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$28.2 $31.1 $29.0*

Values with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025)

SegmentQ2 2025 Sales ($USD Millions)YoY Growth
Industrial$34+6%
Medical$19+8%
Aerospace & Defense$21+34% (ex‑SyQwest +6%)
Transportation$61−6%

KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q2 2025
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$19.6 $28.4
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$15.0 $25.1
Capex ($USD Millions)$4.6 $3.3
Controllable Working Capital (% of annualized sales)18.5% 17.6%
Book‑to‑Bill (2Q)1.0 1.0
Total Booked Business (Transportation)~$1B ~$1B
Cash / Long‑Term Debt ($USD Millions)$99 / $88
FX impact on gross margin ($USD Millions)+$1.0
Shares repurchased (units / $USD)412k / ~$17M

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Millions)FY 2025$520–$550M (Apr 30, 2025) $520–$550M (Jul 24, 2025) Maintained
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)FY 2025$2.20–$2.35 (Apr 30, 2025) $2.20–$2.35 (Jul 24, 2025) Maintained
Tax Rate (ex‑discrete)FY 202519–21% 19–21% Maintained
DividendNext paymentPrior quarterly cadence ($0.04 declared in Q1/Q2 statements) $0.04 per share declared Aug 14; pay Oct 24, record Sep 26 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024)Previous Mentions (Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Diversification mixDiversified >50% revenue; strong A&D; transportation weak Diversified growth +14% YoY; book‑to‑bill 1.17 Diversified 55% of revenue; +13% YoY Improving mix
Medical (diagnostics vs therapeutics)Growth; new customers/apps Wins incl. AI‑driven ultrasound; bookings strong Therapeutics +~60% YoY; diagnostics bookings soft for 1–2 quarters Mixed near term
Aerospace & Defense / SyQwestSyQwest added $14M FY; capability expansion SyQwest +$3M Q1; seasonality noted SyQwest +$4.5M Q2; H2 stronger on budget approvals Positive, seasonal
IndustrialGradual recovery; OEM/distribution improving +4% YoY; new wins +6% YoY; bookings +22% YoY Improving
Transportation−18% YoY in Q4; eBrake awards −12% YoY; China softness −6% YoY; China/commercial vehicle headwinds; pre‑buy; monitoring tariffs Weak
Tariffs / MacroMonitoring; guidance assumes challenges Minimal Q1 impact; FX +$1.1M Tariff impact “very minimal” Q2; monitoring USMCA; FX +$1.0M Stable/minimal impact
Technology/R&DeBrake, sensors roadmap AI ultrasound win COBROS position sensing; next‑gen Smart Actuator launched Advancing

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered another quarter of double-digit sales growth in the diversified end markets… adjusted EBITDA margin expanding 130 basis points… strong operating cash flow” — CEO Kieran O’Sullivan .
  • “Our adjusted gross margin was 38.7%… favorable mix… minimal tariff impact… exchange rate changes had a favorable impact of $1 million on gross margin” — CFO Ashish Agrawal .
  • “Assuming the continuation of current market conditions, we are maintaining our guidance of sales in the range of $520–$550 million and adjusted diluted EPS… $2.20–$2.35” — CEO Kieran O’Sullivan .

Q&A Highlights

  • Medical mix: therapeutics strength vs diagnostics softness; diagnostics softness likely 1–2 quarters; overall medical growth expected for the year .
  • Tariffs: “very, very minimal” Q2 impact; monitoring changes, especially USMCA .
  • Transportation: China softness and commercial vehicle pressure; some pre‑buy in April/May; cautious next few quarters; sequential light vehicle improvement .
  • SyQwest: integration progressing; seasonality tied to government funding; H2 stronger with budget approval .
  • Capital allocation/M&A: $38M remaining under repurchase program; would like to execute an acquisition within 12 months; focus on diversified end markets .

Estimates Context

MetricQ4 2024 ActualQ4 2024 Consensus*Q1 2025 ActualQ1 2025 Consensus*Q2 2025 ActualQ2 2025 Consensus*
Revenue ($USD Millions)$127.4 $132.8*$125.8 $128.7*$135.3 $132.7*
Primary/Adjusted EPS ($USD)$0.53 (Adj) $0.54*$0.44 (Adj) $0.49*$0.57 (Adj) $0.55*
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$28.2 (Adj) $28.8*$25.8 (Adj) $27.1*$31.1 (Adj) $29.0*
  • FY 2025 revenue consensus ~$539.9M vs guidance range $520–$550M; consensus mid‑point aligns with guidance mid‑point . Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Implication: modest positive revisions likely to Q3/Q4 profitability given margin trajectory and H2 SyQwest, while transportation estimates may remain conservative due to ongoing macro/tariff watch .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Quality beat and margin expansion: revenue and EPS exceeded consensus*, with 296 bps YoY adjusted gross margin expansion and 130 bps YoY adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, reinforcing the margin‑accretive mix shift into diversified markets .
  • Diversification momentum: diversified end markets now 55% of revenue; continued wins across medical/industrial/A&D; SyQwest pipeline supports H2 revenue cadence .
  • Cash returns and balance sheet optionality: strong FCF, $99M cash/$88M debt, $38M buyback remaining, and a $0.04 dividend declared post‑quarter—fuel for opportunistic M&A and shareholder returns .
  • Watch transportation headwinds: China/commercial vehicle softness and tariff uncertainty keep a lid on near‑term growth; management flagged pre‑buy and a cautious outlook .
  • H2 setup: FX tailwinds, operational execution, and government budget approvals underpin stronger SyQwest contribution; expect seasonality and backlog conversion to support narrative into Q3/Q4 .
  • Trading lens: maintained guidance despite macro uncertainty suggests confidence; margin beats and cash generation are supportive; sensitivity remains to headline risk on tariffs/China and A&D funding timing .
  • Estimate drift: consensus* sits near guidance mid‑point; continued margin execution could bias EPS estimates higher if diversified mix persists and transportation stabilizes .

Values with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.