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Cue Biopharma, Inc. (CUE)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 collaboration revenue was $2.149M, down 35.6% YoY on contract timing; EPS was -$0.07, a narrower loss vs prior periods. Management highlighted strategic progress, including a new ImmunoScape collaboration and leadership transition to CEO Usman Azam .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, EPS beat by $0.015 (estimate -$0.085, actual -$0.07), while revenue missed by $0.140M (estimate $2.2897M, actual $2.149M). Estimates were based on a low number of covering analysts (2–3)*.
  • Operating discipline: R&D fell to $4.8M from $9.4M YoY (clinical costs and compensation), offset by G&A rising to $4.9M (one-time severance and higher professional fees) .
  • Near-term catalysts: expected $10M cash inflow in Q4 2025 from ImmunoScape upfront and a 40% equity stake in ImmunoScape; an additional $5M is scheduled for Nov 2026 .
  • No Q3 earnings call transcript was available after document and internet searches; synthesis relies on the 8‑K press release and related corporate releases .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • ImmunoScape collaboration adds non-dilutive capital and strategic optionality: $15M upfront ($10M in Q4’25; $5M in Nov’26) and 40% equity stake; supports oncology platform while pivoting focus to autoimmune assets .
  • Clinical momentum: reported new complete response and confirmed 50% ORR in the CUE‑101 + pembrolizumab Phase 1 HNSCC study; 12‑month OS of 88% and mOS of 32.7 months, strengthening the efficacy narrative for Immuno‑STATs .
  • Leadership transition: appointment of experienced cell/gene therapy executive Usman Azam as CEO to drive next-stage growth; structured compensation highlights emphasis on achieving financing milestones .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue decline YoY to $2.149M driven by collaboration timing (BI in 2025 vs Ono in 2024); highlights dependency on partner revenue recognition .
  • G&A increased to $4.9M due to one-time severance and higher professional fees, partially offsetting R&D savings and pressuring OpEx .
  • Ongoing going-concern and funding needs referenced in forward-looking statements; underscores financing risk despite recent collaboration and offering .

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L vs Prior Periods and Estimates

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD)$0.421M $2.954M $2.149M
Primary EPS (GAAP)-$0.17*-$0.09*-$0.07*
Net Income ($USD)-$12.257M*-$8.482M*-$7.448M
Loss from Operations ($USD)-$12.299M -$8.635M -$7.595M
Net Income Margin (%)N/A*-287.1%*N/A*
  • Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Actual vs S&P Global ConsensusQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue Actual ($USD)$0.421M$2.954M$2.149M
Revenue Consensus ($USD)$1.268M*$2.000M*$2.2897M*
Revenue Surprise ($USD)-$0.847M+$0.954M-$0.140M
EPS Actual (GAAP)-$0.17-$0.09-$0.07
EPS Consensus (GAAP)-$0.1533*-$0.13*-$0.085*
EPS Surprise ($)-$0.0167+$0.04+$0.015
  • Consensus estimates retrieved from S&P Global.

Operating Expense Details

Metric ($USD Millions)Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
R&D Expense$8.547 $7.910 $4.754
G&A Expense$4.173 $3.679 $4.939
Total Operating Expenses$12.720 $11.589 $9.744

Balance Sheet Snapshot

Metric ($USD Millions)Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Cash & Cash Equivalents$13.136 $27.492 $11.701
Total Assets$22.254 $40.707 $31.644
Total Liabilities$15.674 $22.548 $18.398
Stockholders’ Equity$6.580 $18.159 $13.246
Weighted Avg Shares (Basic/Diluted)74.255M 95.459M 100.869M

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY / Q4 2025None providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
EPSFY / Q4 2025None providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
R&D/OpExFY / Q4 2025None providedQualitative: lower clinical trial costs in CUE-100 series; severance impacted G&A N/A (qualitative)
Cash InflowsQ4 2025N/A$10M upfront expected from ImmunoScape New (cash inflow)
Autoimmune Program (CUE-401)IND timelinePre-IND feedback received; intends to file IND pending enabling studies Reinforced plan to advance toward clinic Maintained (program progress)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was available; themes reflect management commentary from Q3 press release and prior quarter releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 & Q1)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Autoimmune (CUE-401)Q1: Regained rights; positioning toward clinic . Q2: FDA Pre‑IND feedback reinforced IND path .Emphasized strategic focus; “lead autoimmune asset” and platform advancement .Improving clarity; momentum toward IND.
Oncology – CUE‑101 (HNSCC)Q2: 50% ORR, favorable survival metrics .New complete response; confirmed 50% ORR; 12‑mo OS 88%, mOS 32.7 months .Strengthening efficacy signal.
Partnerships/BDQ1: BI collaboration $12M upfront . Q2: Raised ~$20M offering; BI deal reiterated .ImmunoScape collaboration with $15M upfront and 40% equity stake .Expanding strategic optionality.
Leadership/OrgCEO transition to Usman Azam (cell/gene therapy background) .New leadership; potential strategic reorientation.
OpEx DisciplineQ1/Q2: R&D down YoY; G&A stable .R&D down; G&A higher due to severance/pro fees .Mixed: R&D savings, one‑time G&A headwind.
Capital/Cash RunwayQ1/Q2: funding needs, offerings .Near‑term $10M inflow in Q4’25; ongoing going‑concern disclosures .Incremental improvement; risk persists.

Management Commentary

  • “During the third quarter of 2025 and early in the fourth quarter, the Company made tremendous progress … laying the necessary groundwork for future growth.” — Usman Azam, President & CEO .
  • “We believe this strategic collaboration with ImmunoScape represents a significant development for treating solid tumors … It positions the Company to focus on our autoimmune disease programs.” — Usman Azam .
  • “Reported new complete response and confirmed 50% ORR … 12‑month OS of 88% and mOS of 32.7 months.” — Company statement on CUE‑101 .

Q&A Highlights

No Q3 earnings call transcript was found in the document catalog or via internet search; therefore, Q&A themes and clarifications are unavailable for this quarter .

Estimates Context

  • Coverage breadth was limited (2–3 estimates), increasing volatility in surprises; EPS beat by $0.015, revenue missed by $0.140M in Q3 2025 vs S&P Global consensus*.
  • Sequential trajectory: EPS improved Q1→Q3 (-$0.17 → -$0.07), paced by lower R&D and larger share base; revenue fluctuated on collaboration timing (BI vs Ono) .
  • Given stronger clinical signals and near-term cash inflow from ImmunoScape, estimates may need to adjust OpEx mix (higher G&A in Q3) and revenue timing assumptions for collaboration milestones .
  • Consensus estimates retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • CUE delivered an EPS beat and revenue miss driven by collaboration timing; operating losses narrowed on R&D reductions, though G&A rose due to one-time severance .
  • New ImmunoScape collaboration provides $10M near-term cash and strategic alignment to focus internal resources on autoimmune programs, notably CUE‑401 .
  • Clinical data for CUE‑101 continue to strengthen (50% ORR; mOS 32.7 months), enhancing partnering prospects and the Immuno‑STAT value proposition .
  • Leadership change to Usman Azam (deep cell/gene therapy background) may accelerate BD and clinical strategy; compensation tied to financing milestones aligns with capital execution .
  • Funding risk remains (going‑concern language); monitor Q4 cash receipt, future financings, and BI/other collaboration milestones for runway extension .
  • Near-term trading: potential positive bias around confirmation of the $10M receipt and additional clinical updates; watch for volatility given thin sell-side coverage*.
  • Medium-term thesis: de‑risking via autoimmune IND progress (CUE‑401), oncology partnering, and disciplined OpEx management.

References: Q3 2025 press release and 8-K ; ImmunoScape collaboration release ; Q2 2025 press release ; Q1 2025 press release ; CEO transition 8-K ; company website pressRoom .