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CI

CuriosityStream Inc. (CURI)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered strong execution: revenue rose 53% year-over-year to $19.0M, sequentially up 26%, with record net income of $0.8M and record adjusted EBITDA of ~$3.0M, both above guidance .
  • AI data/video licensing was the key driver: licensing revenue reached $9.3M, “significant new business” from AI partners; subscription revenue was also $9.3M, down YoY but up sequentially with new wholesale deals and Prime Video/DIRECTV expansions .
  • Balance sheet remains solid: $30.7M cash/restricted/HTM securities and no debt; ordinary and special dividends in Q2 totaled $10.4M, and the Board declared a $0.08/share Q3 dividend .
  • Guidance: Q3 2025 revenue range $15–$18M and FY 2025 adjusted free cash flow $11–$13M; Q2 results exceeded prior Q2 guidance ($16–$17M revenue; $2–$3M adjusted FCF) .
  • Potential stock narrative catalysts: accelerating AI licensing with repeat hyperscale partners, expanding distribution (Prime Video AU/NZ; DIRECTV SVOD/FAST), and management’s confidence in being a leading licensor of premium video for AI training .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • AI licensing scaled materially for the third consecutive quarter, powering record profitability: “Adjusted EBITDA grew by over $4M YoY… to positive $3.1M” and licensing revenue reached $9.3M, up >$8M YoY .
  • Distribution footprint expanded: new/expanded multiyear wholesale agreements in Asia/LatAm; Prime Video add-on launches across Europe earlier and AU/NZ in August; DIRECTV multi-tier deal in the U.S. (SVOD + FAST) .
  • Management tone and strategic conviction: CEO reiterated intent to be among dominant licensors of video for AI training, citing a curated million+ hours corpus and superior data structuring capability (clipping/indexing/labeling/annotating at scale) .

Quote: “We will be the or among the dominant licensors of video for AI model training.”

What Went Wrong

  • Subscription revenue declined YoY by $1.7M, highlighting continued pressure in core D2C/partner distribution even as it improved sequentially .
  • Cash cost of revenue increased due to revenue-share content licensing growth and storage, modestly offsetting content amortization reductions; gross margin improved only ~80bps YoY to 53.4% .
  • Operating expense discipline continued, but ad/marketing + G&A still totaled $9.7M in Q2, reinforcing a need to maintain cost rationalization while scaling AI licensing and distribution initiatives .

Financial Results

Quarter-over-Quarter Comparison (oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$15.090 $19.012
Net Income ($USD Millions)$0.319 $0.784
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.01 $0.01
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$8.0 $10.1
Gross Margin %53.1% 53.4%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$1.102 $3.022
Net Cash from Operating Activities ($USD Millions)$1.922 $2.789
Adjusted Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$2.005 $2.861

Year-over-Year Highlights (Q2)

MetricQ2 2024Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$12.395 $19.012
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(2.031) $0.784
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$6.4 $10.1
Gross Margin %51.6% 53.4%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(1.005) $3.022
Adjusted Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$2.462 $2.861

Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025)

SegmentQ2 2025 ($USD Millions)
Licensing$9.3
Subscription (D2C, partner direct, bundled)$9.3

KPIs (operational/financial)

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025
Cash, restricted cash & HTM securities ($USD Millions)$39.1 $30.7
Debt$0 $0
Ordinary Dividend Paid ($USD Millions)$2.277 $4.6
Special Dividend Paid ($USD Millions)$5.8
Total Ad & Marketing + G&A ($USD Millions)$7.9 $9.7

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueQ2 2025$16–$17M Actual: $19.0M Raised/Beat
Adjusted Free Cash FlowQ2 2025$2.0–$3.0M Actual: $2.861M Met/High end
RevenueQ3 2025N/A$15–$18M New
Adjusted Free Cash FlowFY 2025N/A$11–$13M New
Quarterly DividendQ3 2025$0.08/share (from Q2 board decision) Declared $0.08/share Maintained

Note: Non-GAAP definitions and reconciliation provided; adjusted FCF excludes purchases of property/equipment, restructuring, and nonrecurring license payments .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024)Previous Mentions (Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI data/video licensingLicensed >2M programs/clips; building high-volume corpus Licensed millions of programs for AI; added 210k+ hours “Third straight quarter” expanded licensing; licensing revenue $9.3M; focus on structuring metadata at scale Accelerating
Distribution partnershipsFAST expansion in 12 countries; Hispanic FAST channels Curiosity University on Roku; launches across Americas New wholesale agreements Asia/LatAm; Prime Video AU/NZ; DIRECTV SVOD + FAST; Samsung TV Plus Spain Broadening
Subscription trajectoryCost rationalization; foundation strengthened Positive margin expansion; D2C enhancement Sub revenue sequentially up; new multiyear wholesale deals to support growth Stabilizing to growing
Cost disciplineOpEx reduced 17% YoY in 2024 Ad+G&A down 11% YoY Ad+G&A $9.7M; continued rationalization; storage costs rising Improving, with mix shifts
Balance sheet/capital returnsCash/securities $39.7M; dividend to $0.16/year Dividend doubled to $0.32/year $30.7M cash/securities; paid $10.4M total Q2 dividends; declared $0.08/share Q3 Ongoing returns

Management Commentary

  • CEO on AI licensing durability and moat: “We will be… among the dominant licensors of video for AI model training… our ability to clip, index, label, and annotate at scale… makes content we supply that much more valuable” .
  • CFO on composition and margins: “Revenue led by content licensing… $9.3M… subscription revenue… $9.3M… gross margin was 53%… cash cost of revenue increased… from growth in licensing via revenue share and storage costs” .
  • Strategic positioning: “Our strong balance sheet… $31M in liquidity and no debt… our library of over 1,000,000 of video, and our $0.32 annual dividend position us as a high performance outlier amid a historical technological revolution” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Strategic rationale for staying in core media while scaling AI licensing: management emphasized three pillars (subscription, licensing, advertising) working “hand in glove” to source content and monetize across channels .
  • Cost implications of licensing pivot: incremental costs mainly storage/delivery; content acquired largely via rev-share, keeping margins attractive (~40–50% on partner content; 100% when owned) .
  • Novel data licensing: management licensed ~9M “tokens of code” alongside video/audio/scripts/study guides; underscores value of owning diverse IP for monetization as AI needs evolve .
  • Organization efficiency: “a tight company of ~42 full-time people… $1.5 to $2.0M per employee in revenue” target for 2025 .

Estimates Context

Results vs S&P Global Wall Street consensus:

  • Q2 2025 revenue: Actual $19.012M vs Consensus $16.650M* — bold beat driven by AI licensing strength and repeat customers .
  • Q2 2025 EPS: Actual $0.01 vs Consensus -$0.005* — bold beat as mix shifted to higher-margin licensing and disciplined OpEx .
  • Q1 2025 revenue: Actual $15.090M vs Consensus $14.800M* — beat .
  • Q1 2025 EPS: Actual $0.01 vs Consensus -$0.02* — beat .
MetricQ1 2025 ActualQ1 2025 Consensus*Q2 2025 ActualQ2 2025 Consensus*
Revenue ($USD Millions)$15.090 $14.800*$19.012 $16.650*
EPS ($USD)$0.01 -$0.02*$0.01 -$0.005*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Implications: Consensus likely to move higher on revenue and EPS given outperformance and sequential momentum from licensing; watch for definition differences on EBITDA (company reports adjusted EBITDA, while consensus may vary).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • AI licensing is becoming a core earnings engine, delivering record profitability and sequential growth; further scaling expected with repeat hyperscale demand and superior data structuring capabilities .
  • Subscription stabilizing with sequential improvement and meaningful wholesale deals; additional distribution via Prime Video and DIRECTV enhances reach and monetization across SVOD and FAST .
  • Q2 beat on revenue/EPS vs consensus underscores positive estimate revisions risk; monitor Q3 revenue range ($15–$18M) and FY adjusted FCF ($11–$13M) as baseline for modeling .
  • Margins improving modestly; note rising cash cost of revenue from rev-share/licensing/storage; continued OpEx discipline remains crucial to sustain profitability .
  • Capital returns continue alongside growth investments; $0.08/share dividend declared for Q3 and special dividend paid in Q2 signal confidence and balance sheet strength ($30.7M cash/securities; no debt) .
  • Strategic moat: curated million+ hours corpus, rights-cleared content, and metadata “on steroids” position CURI favorably vs large studios and peers in AI video licensing .
  • Near-term trading: AI licensing headlines and distribution wins are the likely catalysts; medium term, watch durability/recurrence of data licensing, subscription trajectory and advertising ramp for multi-pillar growth .