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Cadrenal Therapeutics, Inc. (CVKD)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 reflected continued pre-revenue investment: net loss of $3.67M and EPS of -$1.87, missing S&P Global consensus EPS of -$1.78 by ~$0.10; R&D declined sequentially while G&A rose year over year . EPS consensus values from S&P Global*.
- Management advanced CMC readiness (API transfer to U.S. CDMO and manufactured clinical drug product) and announced a new study plan in ESKD patients transitioning to dialysis, including those with and without AFib—expanding tecarfarin’s potential path to registration .
- Liquidity trended lower: cash and equivalents were $5.57M at 6/30/25 vs $7.34M at 3/31/25 and $10.02M at 12/31/24; shares outstanding were ~2.01M at period-end .
- Stock reaction catalysts: the ESKD-dialysis initiation plan, sustained LVAD program momentum (Abbott collaboration), and Russell index additions as of June 30, 2025, which can broaden the shareholder base .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- CMC and trial readiness materially advanced: “By successfully completing the technical transfer of tecarfarin to a U.S. site of a leading global CDMO and manufacturing tecarfarin drug product, we have achieved critical steps in CMC readiness” — Quang X. Pham, CEO .
- New clinical path in ESKD transitioning to dialysis: enrollment planned for later this year; addresses an unmet need and is framed as a step toward ESKD+AFib registration strategy .
- Index inclusion: effective June 30, 2025, CVKD was added to Russell 3000E and Russell Microcap indexes, potentially broadening institutional ownership .
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What Went Wrong
- EPS missed S&P Global consensus; Q2 2025 EPS was -$1.87 vs -$1.78 consensus (approx. $0.10 miss), reflecting higher G&A and ongoing lack of revenue . EPS consensus values from S&P Global*.
- G&A expenses rose sharply YoY to $2.66M (vs $1.21M in Q2 2024), adding pressure to operating expenses even as R&D moderated .
- Cash burn continued: cash fell to $5.57M at quarter-end from $7.34M in Q1 and $10.02M at year-end, underscoring future financing risk absent near-term revenue .
Financial Results
Notes: Company reported no revenue; gross/EBITDA margins are not applicable in the pre-revenue stage .
Vs. S&P Global consensus and actuals:
KPIs and Liquidity:
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our document set; themes reflect company 8-Ks and press releases.
Management Commentary
- “We continue to advance our goal of developing transformative therapeutics… reflected in our strategic plan to initiate a clinical trial for tecarfarin in end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) for patients transitioning to dialysis.” — Quang X. Pham, Chairman & CEO .
- “By successfully completing the technical transfer… and manufacturing tecarfarin drug product, we have achieved critical steps in CMC readiness to supply our planned clinical trial.” — Quang X. Pham .
- “There is a critical need for safe, effective anticoagulants for use in ESKD patients… we are excited to advance this program.” — Quang X. Pham .
- On organizational progress earlier in the year: appointment of a CMO, Type D FDA feedback, and Abbott collaboration supportive of TECH-LVAD design and awareness .
Q&A Highlights
- No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript or Q&A detail was found in the company’s filings/press releases; no additional clarifications beyond the press releases were available .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 EPS missed S&P Global consensus by ~$0.10: actual -$1.87 vs -$1.78 consensus; revenue remained at zero as expected for a pre-revenue biotech . EPS/revenue consensus values from S&P Global*.
- Q1 2025 EPS beat by ~$0.06 (actual -$2.09 vs -$2.15 consensus), aided by higher weighted average shares and interest income, though operating expenses rose year over year . EPS consensus values from S&P Global*.
- Given continued pre-revenue status and a broader ESKD/LVAD development plan, Street models may shift OpEx mix (G&A vs R&D timing) and timing of trial start-up costs.
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term catalyst: initiation of the ESKD dialysis-transition study (site activation/screening later 2025) can validate tecarfarin’s renal profile and support an ESKD+AFib registration path .
- Manufacturing risk reduced: U.S.-based API/drug product readiness de-risks clinical supply for upcoming studies .
- Capital needs remain a watch item: cash declined to $5.57M at Q2-end; without revenue, additional financing or partnerships may be necessary to fund multi-indication development .
- Program breadth expanding: continued pursuit of LVAD (with Abbott support) while adding ESKD-transitions study increases optionality but may elevate operating complexity .
- Index inclusion may aid liquidity/ownership diversification (Russell additions effective 6/30/25) .
- EPS variability likely to persist as G&A ramps and R&D timing shifts; model sensitivity should focus on OpEx cadence rather than revenue in the near term .
- Regulatory and design clarity (Type D feedback) and external validation (Abbott collaboration) support the medium-term thesis that tecarfarin can address patient populations underserved by warfarin/DOACs .
Citations: Q2 2025 8-K and press release ; Q1 2025 8-K and press release ; FY 2024 update ; ESKD clinical plan press release (Aug 5, 2025) .