Curtiss-Wright - Q2 2024
August 8, 2024
Transcript
Operator (participant)
Welcome to the Curtiss-Wright second quarter 2024 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants have been placed in a listen-only mode, and the floor will be open for your questions following the presentation. If you would like to ask a question at that time, please press the star and one on your telephone keypad. If at any point your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star and two. So others can hear your questions clearly, we ask that you pick up your handset for best sound quality. Lastly, if you should require operator assistance, please press star and zero. I would now like to turn the call over to Jim Ryan, Vice President of Investor Relations.
Jim Ryan (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Curtiss-Wright's second quarter 2024 earnings conference call. Joining me on the call today are Chair and Chief Executive Officer, Lynn Bamford, and Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Chris Farkas. Our call today is being webcast and the press release, as well as a copy of today's financial presentation, is available for download through the investor relations section of our company website at curtisswright.com. A replay of this webcast also can be found on the website. Please note that today's discussion will include certain projections and statements that are forward-looking, as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are not guarantees of future performance. We detail those risks and uncertainties associated with our forward-looking statements and our public filings with the SEC.
As a reminder, the company's results include an adjusted non-GAAP view that excludes certain costs in order to provide greater transparency into Curtiss-Wright's ongoing operating and financial performance. Any references to organic growth are on an adjusted basis and exclude foreign currency translation, acquisitions, divestitures, and restructuring, unless otherwise noted. GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliations for current and prior year periods are available in the earnings release and on our website. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Lynn to get things started.
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
Thank you, Jim, and good morning, everyone. Today marks our first earnings call following our May 2024 Investor Day. During the event, we provided investors with an overview of our Pivot to Growth strategy, a recap of our prior 3 years' journey, and our new 3-year financial targets. We appreciated the opportunity to showcase some of our critical technologies and several of our key business leaders across Curtiss-Wright. The event had a great turnout, and I value everyone's support and feedback. As you will see in our results today, we are off to a great start. Our performance emphasizes our focus on accelerating the pace of long-term organic growth across all of our end markets, along with the team's dedication to operational excellence, future margin expansion, and free cash flow generation. I am confident we are building strong momentum to compound sustained, profitable growth in the years ahead.
With that, I'll turn to today's presentation. I'll begin by covering the highlights of our second quarter performance and will provide a few comments regarding our updated 2024 financial outlook. Then I'll turn the call over to Chris to provide a more in-depth review of our financials. Finally, I'll wrap up by discussing the recently announced acquisition of Ultra Energy and some closing remarks before we move to Q&A. Starting with the highlights of our second quarter 2024 performance, sales of $785 million increased 11% year-over-year, driven by better-than-expected performance in the Defense Electronics Naval and Power segment. underscoring this performance, we achieved strong mid- to high-teens growth across all our aerospace and defense markets.
Operating income increased 16% year-over-year, exceeding our sales growth and resulted in 60 basis points of overall operating margin expansion. Diluted earnings per share of $2.67 increased 24% year-over-year and also exceeded our expectations, primarily due to the higher sales. Free cash flow was strong at $100 million and in line with the prior year, reflecting nearly 100% conversion. Regarding our order book, we continue to experience strong growth, particularly within our A and D markets, driving overall new orders up 18% year-over-year to nearly $1 billion or 1.3 times book-to-bill in the second quarter.
This strong demand enabled us to once again reach a record level of backlog, now in excess of $3.2 billion, which provides us with great visibility for the second half of 2024 and supports our long-term outlook. Within our A and D order book, we experienced robust demand in our Naval Defense businesses, supporting aircraft carrier and submarine programs, as well as increased aircraft handling equipment orders from both the U.S. and direct foreign military customers. We are also seeing positive order trends within our commercial markets. The most notable increases in demand were in our industrial businesses, and more specifically, industrial vehicles, where orders improved and have now essentially stabilized year-over-year. Next is some highlights of our full 2024 guidance.
Our strong first half performance, along with our growing order book, provided confidence to increase our overall guidance for the majority of our key metrics. We now expect overall sales to increase 6% to 8%, and we continue to target operating margin expansion while making significant incremental investments in both internally and externally funded research and development. This puts us on track to firmly deliver double-digit growth in diluted EPS this year. In addition, we increased our already strong free cash flow guide to reflect higher confidence in the full year outlook. Overall, we are well-positioned to deliver exceptional results in 2024. Finally, we launched a corporate-wide restructuring program and several cost-saving initiatives in the second quarter to support our future growth and improve our overall operational efficiency. We expect these actions to affect all three segments, but mainly impact the A&I segment.
We anticipate approximately $15 million in restructuring costs in 2024, and approximately $10 million in annualized savings through operating income in 2025. In addition, we expect to recognize a portion of these savings this year in the A&I segment, which is embedded within our updated guidance. Additionally, we completed the consolidation of our U.K. legal entity structure, which Chris had initially discussed at Investor Day. He'll provide some more additional color on the specific benefits of this program later in our prepared remarks.
Overall, the savings generated by these two initiatives support our ongoing pursuit of operating margin expansion and EPS growth, and will generate additional funding to reinvest back into the business. We also expect them to contribute to our already strong free cash flow position. In summary, Curtiss-Wright continues to build momentum through the execution of our Pivot to Growth strategy, and we remain confident in our ability to deliver long-term shareholder value. Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Chris to continue with our prepared remarks.
Chris Farkas (VP and CFO)
Thank you, Lynn. On slide four, I'll review the key drivers of our second quarter 2024 performance by segment. I'll begin in Aerospace and Industrial, where overall sales growth of 3% was in line with our expectations. Within the segment's Commercial Aerospace market, we experienced strong low teens OEM sales growth, supporting the continued ramp-up in production across narrow body and wide body platforms. Within Aerospace Defense market, we experienced solid sales growth in both sensors and actuation equipment due to the timing of production on various programs. Those increases were partially offset by reduced sales in General Industrial market, principally due to the timing of industrial vehicle orders. And turning to the segment's profitability, our results reflect favorable absorption on higher sales, as well as a small contribution from our newly launched 2024 restructuring actions.
Next, in the Defense Electronics segment, strong sales growth of 16% was modestly ahead of our expectations, as this business continues to benefit from the conversion of its healthy backlog. This performance was driven by better-than-expected growth within Ground Defense market, due in part to the timing of tactical communication equipment revenues and deliveries accelerated into the second quarter. Across this market, we continue to benefit from an increase in demand from both domestic and direct foreign military customers. Within Aerospace Defense, we once again experienced strong growth in embedded computing sales across a number of C5ISR programs, including the Black Hawk and Seahawk helicopter programs, to name a few.
Regarding the segment's operating performance, we delivered a strong 25.7% operating margin, up 390 basis points year-over-year, principally reflecting absorption on higher revenues and a shift in mix towards higher-margin C5ISR programs and tactical Naval and Power segment, sales growth of 15% exceeded our expectations. This is partly due to the strength and timing of Naval Defense revenues and production ramps on a few key platforms, including the CVN-81 aircraft carrier. In addition, our results reflected higher submarine revenues, including production on the Columbia-class and Virginia-class programs, as well as development on the SSN(X) program. Within Aerospace Defense market, our results reflected increased sales of aircraft arresting systems equipment, principally supporting U.S. military bases.
In the Power and Process market, our results reflected continued strong demand in the Commercial Nuclear market, supporting the ongoing maintenance of U.S. operating reactors, along with modest growth in the process market, including higher subsea pump development revenues. As indicated in our recent July twenty-ninth press release, our subsea pump development efforts are proceeding well. We recently achieved a significant development milestone with Saipem for technological readiness, and we continue to pursue the pathway towards commercialization. Turning to the segment's operating performance, and as expected, our results reflected both unfavorable mix and an increased concentration of development programs across our Naval Defense, commercial, nuclear, and process markets. To sum up our Curtiss-Wright's second quarter, overall, we generated solid absorption on stronger-than-expected top-line performance, resulting in 60 basis points in year-over-year operating margin expansion. Next, turning to our full-year 2024 guidance.
I'll begin on slide five with our end market sales outlook, where we now expect organic sales to grow 5% to 7%, with total sales growth of 6% to 8%, driven by an upward revision across most of our A&D markets. Starting in Aerospace Defense, we now expect full-year sales growth of 7% to 9%, driven by an improved outlook for sensors and actuation equipment sales supporting various fighter jet programs, including the F-35. In addition, we continue to expect strong embedded computing equipment revenues supporting various C5ISR programs and are projecting a sequential ramp in these revenues over the remainder of the year. Within Ground Defense, our outlook for 10% to 12% sales growth remains unchanged.
In this market, we demonstrated very strong growth in the first half of the year, partly due to timing, and continue to experience overall solid demand for our tactical communications equipment. In Naval Defense, we now expect full-year sales to grow 5% to 7% based on the strong volume of orders received in the second quarter. This updated guidance includes our expectation for increased sales of aircraft handling systems, mainly supporting foreign military customers, as well as higher revenues for aftermarket fleet services as we look to the second half of this year. Turning to Commercial Aerospace, a strong first half performance, particularly for our surface treatment services, provides us with confidence to raise our full-year sales growth to a new range of 13% to 15%.
We continue to expect higher OEM production on narrow body and wide body aircraft, while maintaining a conservative view, specifically as it relates to the 737 MAX program. Wrapping up our aerospace and defense markets, we now expect total sales to increase 8% to 10% in 2024. Moving on to our commercial markets. In the Power and Process market, our outlook for 4% to 6% sales growth remains unchanged. Within our Commercial Nuclear market, we continue to expect a high single-digit full-year growth rate, principally driven by strong aftermarket revenues, while in the process market, we expect a low single-digit full-year growth rate, driven by higher subsea pump development revenues. In General Industrial market, based on weaker first half industrial vehicle sales serving the on and off-highway markets, we've reduced our full-year expectations to flat for this market.
However, looking to the remainder of the year, the generally positive trends in our shorter cycle surface treatment services, along with the improved order activity that Lynn highlighted earlier, provides us with confidence for an improved second half performance in this market. Wrapping up our total commercial markets, we are now targeting full-year sales growth of 1% to 3%. Moving on to our full-year outlook by segment on slide 6, I'll begin in aerospace and industrial, where we are increasing our revenue guidance to 4% to 6%. This is principally driven by the strong first half sales growth and outlook in Commercial Aerospace, along with improved expectations within our Aerospace Defense market.
Regarding the segment's profitability, we now expect operating income growth of 8%-11% and operating margin expansion of 50 to 70 basis points to a new range of 16.9% to 17.1%, which is 30 basis points above our prior expectations. For your modeling purposes, we expect third quarter sales and operating income to be largely on par with the second quarter results due to the timing of sales within our European operations. We then expect the segment to deliver a strong finish to the year, reflecting favorable absorption and mix, along with the benefits of our ongoing margin improvement initiatives. Next, in Defense Electronics, we continue to expect sales to grow 8% to 10%, driven by a strong order book and demand across our A&D markets, and anticipate the remaining sales to be evenly split over the back half of the year.
Regarding the segment's profitability, we continue to project operating income growth of 11%-13% and operating margin to increase 50 to 70 basis points in range from 24% to 24.2%. As a reminder, this segment's profitability also includes an incremental $5 million or 50 basis point headwind in internally funded R&D investments, the bulk of which are expected to impact our second half results. In Naval and Power, following the strong first half growth in revenues and robust order activity in Naval Defense, we have raised our expectations for revenue growth to a new range of 5% to 7%. Regarding the segment's profitability, we raised our operating income guidance slightly to a new range of flat to down 2%.
While we continue to anticipate favorable absorption on higher sales, we maintained our prior margin outlook, primarily due to unfavorable mix and margin pressures associated with the accelerated ramp-up in development programs across Naval and Power. Of note, and for your modeling purposes, we expect this segment's third quarter revenues to be slightly below the stronger-than-anticipated second quarter results, primarily due to the timing of Naval Defense revenues. However, over the course of the second half of the year, we anticipate improved profitability as we move past the impact of the first quarter naval contract adjustment, experience a more favorable mix, and recognize the benefits of our operational excellence initiatives.
To summarize our outlook, overall, we now expect total Curtiss-Wright operating income to grow 6% to 9% and continue to expect operating margin to range from 17.4% to 17.6%, including a year-over-year increase of more than $20 million in total engineering spending. Continuing with our financial outlook on slide seven. As Lynn mentioned earlier, and as I outlined in a case study at our May Investor Day, Curtiss-Wright has executed a targeted legal entity consolidation. This initiative, at a nominal cost, will facilitate efficient cash repatriation and have the added benefit of generating approximately $5 million in annual recurring savings, impacting both tax expense and free cash flow. This is the main driver of our 100 basis points reduction in the effective tax rate to 22.5%.
Of note, we continue to pursue opportunities to facilitate tax efficiency and are actively looking to drive additional tax savings to Curtiss-Wright in 2025 and beyond. Next, to our EPS guidance. We now expect full-year 2024 diluted EPS to range from $10.40 to $10.65, up 11% to 14%, which aligns with our Investor Day target for double-digit growth. As we look ahead to the second half of this year, we expect our third quarter 2024 EPS to be relatively on par with our second quarter results, followed by a strong finish to the year. And lastly, turning to free cash flow.
Based on our strong year-to-date performance, our projections for improved earnings, and the tax benefits from our U.K. consolidations project, we've raised our free cash flow outlook to a new range of $425 million to $445 million. This outlook reflects solid growth of 3% to 8% and a free cash flow conversion rate in excess of 105%, which is in line with our long-term targets. Now, I'd like to turn the call back over to Lynn.
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
Thank you, Chris, and turning to slide eight. I'd like to spend the next few minutes reviewing the recently announced acquisition of Ultra Energy, which is a leading supplier of neutron and radiation monitoring systems, temperature and pressure sensors, as well as complementary reactor protection and control systems. This business has a long legacy dating back to the 1950s, and today maintains 3 facilities, 2 in the U.K. and one in Texas. They're led by an experienced management team, backed by more than 90 engineers and strong customer relations, all of which make it a great fit with Curtiss-Wright. Ultra Energy is a diversified business that principally provides critical support to commercial nuclear operating reactors and other power generation plants across the globe, focused on the safe operation of the reactor from the core to the control room.
In the commercial nuclear aftermarket, it will add products and services to further advance Curtiss-Wright's support of plant life extensions and modernization projects for aging plants. In addition, the acquisition will extend our presence with the leading designers of small modular reactors, both domestically and in Europe. Ultra also serves the defense markets by providing support to the legacy U.K. nuclear submarines fleet, as well as current and next generation designs. Regarding the key financials, we paid approximately $200 million for Ultra at less than 12x next twelve months EBITDA. We expect the deal to be diluted to overall Curtiss-Wright operating margin in the first year of ownership, but have line of sight for this business to contribute to our overall profitability and long-term operating margin expansion.
The business very much aligns with Curtiss-Wright's long-term acquisition criteria, both as a strategic and a financial fit, giving it strong market position and opportunities for profitable growth. We expect this transaction to close in the third quarter and therefore are not including Ultra Energy within our guidance at this time. Overall, this is another example of the strength of Curtiss-Wright's balance sheet and an exciting acquisition that expands our global presence across our key end markets. Turning to slide nine, and to summarize our prepared remarks today, we are well positioned to deliver a strong result in 2024. We are confident in our ability to generate 6% to 8% total sales growth this year, and we anticipate a strong second-half performance.
We remain committed to delivering incremental operating margin expansion while maintaining strategic investments in research and development as we continue to accelerate our long-term organic growth. We expect to generate double-digit EPS growth yet again in 2024, and strong free cash flow with a solid conversion rate in excess of 105%. Regarding our 2024 restructuring program, we have positioned ourselves for future growth across the business, and will continue to do what has been ingrained within our culture, that is, improving the overall efficiency of Curtiss-Wright operations. Finally, I'd like to reemphasize some of the most important takeaways from our Investor Day that are driving our confidence in achieving our long-term organic growth targets. Throughout the course of today's call, we discussed a number of exciting growth opportunities and strategic investments that underpinned our second quarter and year-to-date results.
Many of these will remain key drivers of our future growth and support our outlook to grow organic sales at a greater than 5% CAGR through 2026. For example, and starting in defense, technologies are well aligned with to support the U.S. and the allies in this elevated threat environment. Of note, this includes the importance of our C5ISR and tactical communications equipment, as well as our support of the U.S. Navy's most critical shipbuilding programs. Beyond that, the current state of the naval ship construction and the need to shore up the overall industrial base affords us the opportunity to grow our aftermarket capabilities and further support our customers. Outside of the U.S., we have experienced strong international growth, driving increased direct Foreign Military Sales that have and should continue to benefit each of our defense end markets.
In Commercial Aerospace, we remain ideally situated to leverage our strong and growing backlog and support the anticipated ramp up in narrow body and wide body production. Overall, I'm pleased to note that these markets, which represent more than two-thirds of Curtiss-Wright's overall business, are well supported by strong demand that will enable us to deliver on our Investor Day targets of mid to high, single-digit A&D sales growth. Within our commercial markets, the momentum continues in commercial nuclear, with new developments such as the recent signing of the ADVANCE Act, driving continued support for the industry at large, particularly next-generation reactors. The act, which received strong bipartisan support, was the first significant piece of commercial nuclear legislation passed in almost two decades. Of note, it streamlines the regulatory approval process for new advanced reactor designs.
This is one of many ongoing developments that are expected to help strengthen the nation's efforts to restore its competitive nuclear energy advantage and further support Curtiss-Wright's growth in this end market. We are also intently focused on managing Curtiss-Wright's consolidated portfolio as we navigate the changing market dynamics impacting some of our industrial and process businesses. In addition to addressing the opportunities that are driving our business today, we're also investing for Curtiss-Wright's future to proactively capture the medium and long-term secular growth trends that we discussed at Investor Day. We have committed to spending more than $20 million in incremental R&D this year to support critical initiatives such as subsea pumps, small modular reactors, or the future SSN(X) submarine.
They represent but a few of the many development projects underway with the potential to drive hundreds of millions of dollars in additional growth through the end of this decade and well into the future. Lastly, we are an agile and flexible business with a strong track record of proactively addressing business efficiency and successfully navigating challenging market conditions. This has enabled us to drive continued margin expansion and returns for our shareholders. In closing, we're off to a great start, and the momentum continues.
Our technologies, expertise, and portfolio of solutions are incredibly well aligned with our customer and industry needs, as well as the growth trends in our core markets. We are well positioned to deliver strong, profitable growth in 2024, and we remain confident in our ability to deliver on our long-term guidance. Thank you, and at this time, I would like to open up today's conference call for questions.
Operator (participant)
Absolutely. The floor is now open for your questions. At this time, if you have a question, please press the star and one on your telephone keypad. If at any point your question is answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star and two. Again, we ask that you pick up your handset when posing your question to provide optimal sound quality. Thank you. Our first question is coming from Kristine Liwag with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Kristine Liwag (Executive Director and Head of Aerospace & Defense Equity Research)
Hey, good morning. Lynn and Chris, you know, supply chain had been a headwind for Defense Electronics, in the past few quarters, but with the acceleration of sales that we're seeing now, it seems like supply chain constraints have been easing. Can you provide more color on where you are now on material receipts and where you are in shortages, and when you'd expect catch-up deliveries to level set?
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
Sure. So it is true that I would say, you know, we haven't taken our eye off of supply chain, but largely the major disruptions are definitely behind us, and we see good stability, you know, across our supply chain. And, you know, some of the best practices we put in place back in 2022 around, you know, various tools to manage our supply chain and different ways of engaging with the supply base continue on. So where there are little pockets of issues, you know, we've improved our processes and how we engage, and those continue to prove to be successful.
I would say that, you know, broadly, lead times have come down across a variety of components, but older components, which, you know, we build a lot of legacy products, specifically in the Defense Electronics, you know, those lead times seem to have, you know, come down from the over 52 weeks to maybe more in the lines of 40 weeks. And that seems to be just, you know, where they're stuck, and we don't really anticipate, you know, any real notable change, you know, in that area going forward, and I think that is just the new norm, for those. I will say I'm pleased to say prices have been, you know, very stable in the supply chain. We really started seeing that at the end of 2022, you know, but for sure in 2023, and that continues.
It doesn't mean there's no price increases, but they're just, you know, traditional, you know, incremental, you know, minor incremental price increases. So that's very good. As we look at, you know, destocking, I guess, you know, the two places we, you know, are most conscious of this is, you know, across our industrial businesses, where we think we're level set in producing with our customers at this point in time. And, you know, we watch it, we work very closely with our customers, but we, you know, things are broadly good there. And, you know, the other place where people tend to ask about that is around Commercial Aerospace. And, you know, we can talk a lot about our orders.
Chris added some color to, you know, what we're watching and taking some caution around how we, you know, view things, you know, specifically tied with the 737 MAX, that, you know, Boeing is producing at 25 per month, which I think is, you know, broadly known. We think our content ranges anywhere from 25 to 35 a month, given the wide variety of things we do. But something that we, you know, we use as one of the litmus tests for how we analyze this is we don't just look in the current quarter or even the past 12 months, but we look over a several-year period and track our production rates compared to, Boeing and Airbus.
And they're largely in line, slightly behind those multi-year production rates, which leads us to believe we're not, you know, really in an overstocking situation. And if you really also, you know, layer in, you know, some price increases and some spares type of work that gets mixed in with that, you know, it makes us feel comfortable with where we are and how we're producing in those markets.... hopefully, that answered the things you were wondering about.
Kristine Liwag (Executive Director and Head of Aerospace & Defense Equity Research)
Yeah, that's really great color on the supply chain. Thank you. And switching gears to margins, I mean, Lynn, the margins are at record levels, a testament to the strong operating performance of the team. Can you talk about the rationale to implement restructuring plans now? And can you provide more details on exactly what your initiatives entail, and, you know, where margins could potentially peak? Because it seems like you're not done.
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
So, you know, you know, obviously, we committed to growing OI faster than sales again in our 2024 Investor Day, so we don't believe we're done. And, you know, we're a broad, diverse business, and as much as we're proud of the overall performance, and we are really proud, and the teams are doing a great job to achieve that, it doesn't mean that we don't continue to analyze and look inside of the businesses to see areas where we can drive efficiency in the business. And we'll tackle those, you know, regardless of how we're performing, you know, at the current time. But I'd also note that some of the restructuring that we're doing is to support volume increases, and it's to, you know, better align ourselves and have our businesses prepared for that long-term profitable growth.
So, you know, we tend to think of restructuring as, you know, taking out cost structures, but I'm very pleased to say some of this restructuring is also to support the, the volume increases. So, it's just, I think, part of how we manage the business. We, you know, don't look at just the overall numbers. We look down through all the business units within and, you know, order trends in those businesses and try to be proactive. And as I think, you know, the, you know, chatter of a recession surely increased this week, you know, you know, heightened back up a bit. You know, we feel good that we were proactive and have addressed this. And, you know, really, it's across all three segments, but really not you know, we're not prepared to give out any real specifics about this action or that action.
Kristine Liwag (Executive Director and Head of Aerospace & Defense Equity Research)
Great. Thank you very much.
Operator (participant)
We'll take our next question from Michael Ciarmoli with Truist Securities. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Michael Ciarmoli (Director)
Hey, morning, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. Nice results. Lynn, you may have just answered this, but no more kind of meat or substance, you can't give us anything kinda on that restructuring? Are you, you know, bringing in footprint? You know, are you cutting heads or trimming product lines? Or, you know, I know you said it was across all segments, but any detail, and is this, you know, I know you didn't give a specific margin bogey at the Investor Day, but, you know, is this ongoing restructuring necessary to kind of be in that top quartile, or is this kind of additive?
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
Maybe I'll have Chris take a shot at that and see-
Michael Ciarmoli (Director)
Sure
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
If he can put a little more color on it.
Michael Ciarmoli (Director)
I definitely can. So, you know, I appreciate the question, Mike. And, you know, I'll answer your last question first, and I think the way that we're looking at this is, you know, to just echo what Lynn had said, it's really about positioning ourselves for future growth across the business. But, you know, as we've emphasized many times in the past and spent a lot of time talking about it in Investor Day, we are constantly looking to optimize our operations. We've done all of the things that you've mentioned in the past, whether it's footprint rationalization, you know, labor efficiency moves across the organization, product line separations, you know, and we continue to look at that constantly across the organization.
So, you know, in this case, the majority of the restructuring spend and benefit is going to be across the A&I segment, and we are heavily focused on, you know, areas of both growth and achieving efficiency. I think as you look across, you know, the other segments in Defense Electronics and Naval and Power, you know, you're looking at a little bit more of movements that might be focused towards footprint rationalization and those activities that are set up to support, you know, future growth. But it is certainly growth focused across each one of the segments. So, you know, as we look at the total spend, I mean, it's important to note that it's about $12 million to $13 million of that is going to be in cash.
You know, it's expense, but it's cash, and about $2 million to $3 million of that is non-cash. And that's just, you know, when you're moving your footprint around, you do have impairments and things like that, that affect it. But we're happy that we could, you know, raise our cash flow guidance here and not remove that from the results. So it really speaks to the health of the organization and what's happening in cash.
Chris Farkas (VP and CFO)
Got it. Got it. And then just, you know, you had a really strong quarter here, especially on earnings. I know you kind of previously called out, you know, the 40%, 40, 60 split, but just anything unusual? I mean, if I look at, you know, the cadence of this year, you grew first half revenues, you know, 12%. You know, you raised, but you're really gonna see a step down in growth, you know, probably like 3%, even at the high end. And I guess specifically honing in just on defense, you know, the low end of your market guidance there for, again, just your defense, would assume revenues are down second half, first half. Is there anything, and I don't think you've ever done that before, where we'd see revenues be down.
Michael Ciarmoli (Director)
Is there any kind of nuance or anything kind of unusual this year?
Chris Farkas (VP and CFO)
Yeah, I would say across aerospace and defense, you know, Mike, we are relatively flat. I mean, we are projecting a very slight increase in the back half of the year, and you are right, this is somewhat unusual. I think Lynn and Chris kind of hit upon it, you know, some of this a little bit earlier, in that, you know, the health and improvement of the supply chain has had a pretty dramatic effect, particularly on the businesses that we have within Ground Defense market. so as we look at Ground Defense-
With our very strong first half of the year, and based upon the timing and recovery of that supply chain, and also some conservatism that we're taking in that market relative to some of the product, you know, the movement and things that we're doing to support our restructuring, we're taking a little bit of a conservative view in that regard. I mentioned on the call that, you Aerospace Defense market is still expecting a good sequential ramp, but, you know, some of the revenue here in Naval and Power, and this has really, you know, helped to contribute to our beat on the quarter, was timing, right? So you saw that slide from Q3 to Q4 into the second quarter.
You know, and we'll see how things go across the, you know, remaining half of the year. Within Commercial Aerospace, you know, we had a very, very strong first half of the year, but we continued to approach that cautiously. So, I'm hopeful that as, you know, we look at these projected ramps that both Boeing and Airbus have for 2025, that there's opportunity that lies ahead. But at this point in time, we felt it was, you know, prudent to take a conservative approach.
Michael Ciarmoli (Director)
Okay. And then, just the last one, again, nuance with the guidance. I mean, I don't know where we are, you know, in the broader macro, but it sounded, you know what? You had tougher growth in industrial, but you've got a really big 12% sequential step up in the second half to get to flat, and I think you called out the uptick in orders on the vehicle. So presumably, you've got line of sight there, and it sounds like some of those challenges, you know, you called out stabilization, and it looks like you've got pretty good visibility there.
Chris Farkas (VP and CFO)
Yeah, it's definitely an area where when we talked to you last, like in the first quarter on the call, we talked about General Industrial orders being down. And, you know, but that we were encouraged and starting to see signs that things were stabilizing through the communication that we have with our customers and, you know, the awards that we saw ahead of us. Here in the second quarter, we have actually flattened out year to date, and that's actually a very big achievement for this business because, since the highs of 2021, we have been, you know, we've had strong orders, but they've been decreasing quarter after quarter. So the stabilization that we had here is very encouraging.
Then I will say, you know, as we're monitoring this very closely, and one month doesn't make a year by any stretch, but we had our highest order month in General Industrial in the past 16 months. So, we saw signs of strength, and some of that'll convert, you know, here very late in the year. So, good question.
Michael Ciarmoli (Director)
Okay. Yeah, that's a great color. Thanks, guys. I enjoyed talking with you.
Chris Farkas (VP and CFO)
Thanks, Mike.
Operator (participant)
We'll take our next question from Nathan Jones with Stifel. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Chris Farkas (VP and CFO)
Good morning, Nathan.
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
Hey, Nathan, we're not hearing you, if you're talking.
Operator (participant)
Nathan, you may need to check the mute function on your phone. We have you opened on our end.
Nathan Jones (Managing Director of Head of Industrials Research)
My apologies, I was on mute. So good morning, everyone. Maybe I'll start with a couple of questions around the subsea pump announcement. Still in the process of commercializing it, I know you guys had that on display at the Analyst Day, and the folks there involved with that project were pretty excited about it. I think you sized that as a pretty material opportunity over the next 10 years. So maybe any commentary on the timeframe for commercializing that product and any discussion around the opportunity that you see over the next 5 to 10 years from that business?
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
Yeah. So it is an area that, you know, we're definitely, you know, as, as the visibility in the market becomes clear of what we have, we can definitely see that there's strong demand for the reliability that we can bring to this market that is just dependent on much more commercial kind of grade of products. And so we feel great about, you know, the products we're building and, you know, proud that it's another example of our crossover technology, where we take a core investment and continue to take it to, you know, first enabled in commercial nuclear and now this market. And who knows what the future holds for us? There's some other things we're even exploring.
But, you know, with that, I think we mentioned that there's a potential of $250 million in orders by the end of this decade. And I'm sure you know, we've talked about the three major customers that we, you know, have had press releases on our engagements with. Petrobras, you know, was announced back in February of 2024, you know, we signed a contract with them to develop and deploy a pump, and that project is off to a great start. We've talked about our Shell development for, you know, quite some time. It goes back a while, and, you know, we're on track to be able to deliver and be ready for deployment our first subsea pumping system by the end of this year. And so we're really pleased with that.
Then there was obviously the press release on Saipem about, you know, reaching completion of the qualification process, which is very major, and we know for sure that, you know, some potential customers, Petrobras and Total is two that have been named publicly. We're really waiting for that milestone to, you know, figure out how they're gonna work it into their operations. So just a lot of great things going on in that market. You know, we see, you know, that $250 million by the end of this decade, you know, doubling to over $500 million in orders by the middle of next decade. And I think as, you know, we continue to open the doors with more customers with the technology, you know, that number will only stand to grow as we go forward.
Nathan Jones (Managing Director of Head of Industrials Research)
Great. A question on the orders. I know you can have some lumpiness in some of the business on order rates, but the first and second quarter order rates were up significantly and very high book-to-bill. Maybe a little bit more color on where you're seeing the strength in those order rates, how, you know, how much that's increasing your confidence about, you know, the revenue profile and revenue growth as we head into 2025?
Chris Farkas (VP and CFO)
Sure, I'll take that one on, Nathan. You know, we had another very strong quarter for sales, and I think that's always relevant when you start talking about book-to-bill. But our book-to-bill overall for the second quarter was about 1.3 times. And yeah, we had a 1.4 times book-to-bill across our aerospace and defense businesses, and certainly heavily weighted towards the defense side of things. And we had a 1.0 times book-to-bill across our commercial businesses.
Yeah, as you break down the orders, we did have a large amount of orders come through this quarter, and we know it can be lumpy, but it's still a good sign for the business and what we're looking outward towards in Naval Defense. And we saw a good slug of orders just kind of continuing to support what we, you know, have as that existing business and key content on the carrier and sub platforms. But I was also really encouraged to see here in the quarter, you know, we had a number of wins across our naval handling systems businesses, you know, to direct foreign military customers, and that's good business.
So, some signs of life, we talked a little bit about that at Investor Day, that things are growing. And then beyond that, you know, we received some orders to support fleet services in the aftermarket, another thing that we talked about at Investor Day. So, starting to see some more activity in those areas, and it's encouraging.
Nathan Jones (Managing Director of Head of Industrials Research)
Great. Thanks for taking my questions.
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
Thank you.
Chris Farkas (VP and CFO)
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
We'll take our next question from Peter Arment with Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Peter Arment (Senior Analyst)
Yeah, thanks. Good morning, Lynn, Chris. Nice results. Lynn, maybe just to talk about it from maybe, you know, follow up on Nathan's question about orders. Just when you look at, like, particularly, like, Defense Electronics, your, your growth for the year, 8% to 10%, you obviously just had a really strong quarter, 16% growth. Maybe you could talk a little bit about the differences you're seeing, whether it's domestic versus FMS and kind of how sustainable it is. I know FMS is notoriously lumpy, but, you know, is there, are we still, like, in the early innings for, you know, the build-out of what they need internationally? And maybe just talk about those differences. Thanks.
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
So thanks for that question, and it is something that we're, you know, I, I would say I very actively engage with the team to try and understand if this is, you know, say, a bubble or a pull-forward or something that's not going to be sustained. And when we go through all the metrics that we look at across the board with, you know, the pipeline to total opportunities, the, the bidding activity, you know, a whole variety of things, it does not feel, you know, it feels like we're on a steady, straight growth rate. Now, whether it holds at the exact same levels, you know, we, you know, gave some guidance this, you know, at Investor Day, but, not, you know, really getting into 2025 or 2026 specific targets. But, you know, we very much do think it, it is sustainable in what we're doing.
And, the drivers, you know, specifically through Foreign Military Sales, feel like they are at early days, and I think we're starting to see actually even some of the ground vehicle programs across Europe finally start to take form and move in that scenario that, you know, I think we anticipated in 2022, we would start seeing demand from in 2023, you know, given, you know, the war activity over, you know, in Europe. It's taken a lot longer than we would have anticipated, but I think that's, you know, very early days. You know, a lot of pull across the NATO countries for our tactical communications equipment, and, I think there's a lot of, you know, tailwinds still with that.
And then, you know, as Chris mentioned, you know, our aircraft handling equipment and the arresting systems that we have through the recent ESCO acquisition, that, you know, we just have ongoing engagement around those activities. So I think things just are, you know, really solid across our, you know, broadly, in Defense Electronics specifically, than even our Foreign Military Sales, that's obviously outside of Defense Electronics.
Peter Arment (Senior Analyst)
Appreciate that color. And then just as a follow-up and just switching gears on your nuclear aftermarket business, how does that get impacted by the ADVANCE Act or, you know, I know there's—we've been tracking all the plant life extensions and the permitting that's been going on. Does that allow for any pull forward, or is it just kind of in line with what you were thinking, what you laid out at the Investor Day, where this business is gonna grow substantially?
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
So the ADVANCE Act is more for new builds. You know, it's interesting, there's both the ADVANCE Act and something else that's happened since our Investor Day is DOE. The DOE has put forward a notice of an intent to fund $900 billion for Gen III+ at small modular reactors, where ADVANCE, the ADVANCE Act is broad, but it's more geared at, you know, the Gen IV advanced reactors. And so the ADVANCE Act actually had been moving through Congress for quite some time, so we were well aware of it, but it's nice to see it get signed into law. So, you know, that's definitely a great development.
I would say, broadly, in our aftermarket business, you know, of the 94 operating reactors in the U.S., now over three-fourths of them, just barely over, but over three-fourths of them have declared that they are intending to do a plant-wide extension. So, that those numbers continue to, you know, inch up, and we feel good about the low double-digit growth in our total nuclear business guide that we put forth at the Investor Day. That, things continue on our development with small modular reactors, and the aftermarket continues to grow.
Then, you know, early days, but we really are exploring some ways of broadening, you know, our footprint, and we're really excited that, you know, the Ultra acquisition, the WSC acquisitions, both give us reach to different—to new and different customers, and a European footprint where a lot of the spend for Europe, they want to do inside of Europe. So I feel really, really great about the two recent acquisitions in bringing, you know, both, you know, the simulation capability that gives us a reach to a global reach that we didn't have and a European reach that we didn't have.
And so, I feel great about our nuclear business overall, and the aftermarket business in the U.S. You know, bringing Ultra in gives us more capability, and they have some unique customer relationships, doing things that, you know, we don't necessarily have, and so, you know, everything is just building on itself.
Peter Arment (Senior Analyst)
Great. Great to hear. I'll jump back in, Kate. Nice results.
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
Thank you, Peter.
Chris Farkas (VP and CFO)
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
We'll take our next question from Miles Walton with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Greg Dahlberg (Senior Associate)
Hi, good morning, everyone. This is Greg Dahlberg on for Miles Walton. Kind of continuing on Nathan's line of questioning, I was just wondering if you'd go into more details on new orders. I guess, what are you seeing for pricing on the new orders? And, you know, as a follow-up to that, are there any LTAs that you still need to be worked through on the renegotiation side?
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
So I'll maybe just talk a little bit about the LTAs and then see if Chris can provide a little more color on the orders. So we still do have LTAs that we are negotiating. This is an ongoing activity that you know can you know be you know just a topics we have to work with our customers. You know, there's LTAs that expire at the end of this year that we're very much engaged in working with our customers to find win-win solutions. But yes, it is very much an ongoing activity. But I'll let Chris talk about pricing and any more color on the orders.
Chris Farkas (VP and CFO)
Yeah, no, I think you captured it well. I mean, we saw some opportunities that we're chasing on the LTAs, and we'll do that, and pricing is a constant exercise for us. Maybe just to touch upon a couple of the areas in orders that I didn't talk about, you know, I think as you, you know, look across the Defense Electronics business for the second quarter, I mean, they were at a 1x book-to-bill, but again, the sales for the second quarter were up 16%. So very strong volume of order activity. You know, year-over-year, we did see some impact to the Defense Electronics orders from just timing of naval orders.
I mean, they have, you know, a lot of content across these naval platforms as well, and sometimes that can be a little bit lumpy. But I think as you, you know, look to the second half of the year, with that business, we're encouraged with, you know, the continued trajectory and improvement that we're seeing. In the month of July alone, again, one month doesn't make a year, we saw a 24% increase in Defense Electronics orders in the month. So good, good things are happening. And, you know, as you step back and you look across our Power and Process markets, you know, we were at, again, at about a 1x book-to-bill.
You know, we are expecting a bigger second half of the year for both of those businesses, not dramatically, but a lot of that just has to do with the timing of turnarounds and outages and the work that's being performed within those businesses. So overall, no real signs of weakness in the order book or anything that has us concerned in the second quarter.
Greg Dahlberg (Senior Associate)
Great. Thank you. I'll keep it at one.
Operator (participant)
Once again, if you do have a question, you may press star and one on your telephone keypad at this time. We'll take our next question from Tony Bancroft with Gabelli Funds. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Tony Bancroft (Portfolio Manager)
Thank you, Lynn and Chris, great job to your team. Another fabulous quarter. You know, you've done some acquisitions that are, you know, maybe like, not specifically your core companies, but you guys ended up building these, you know, sort of other core competencies now. You know, where do we look to next? What anything transformational, you know, on the more on the nuclear side, more on the aerospace side, or defense, you know, Ground Defense? If you could just sort of, just give us your sort of view, going forward on, on where you're going to grow.
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
Sure. Thank you for that, and thanks for joining us. You know, it's I would say a bit unusual that we had two back-to-back nuclear acquisitions. There's just not a lot of potential properties out there, so we were very purposeful in these, and we did not overpay. I would like to definitely emphasize that, and so we feel great about bringing them in to the, into the portfolio of products and just broadening out the, you know, our capabilities. And, you know, we have we do, you know, have a lot of software modeling and content within the group. It doesn't get talked about quite as much, but WSC was a really nice, you know, as a software product expansion of what we do and very complementary to what we do.
You know, we always, you know, when we ask for priorities, you know, we always list Defense Electronics as the top-of-mind priority, that, you know, we have such a great business that is well integrated, that we know we can bring properties into that team, and they can leverage, you know, many of the strengths that are within that group, whether it's their channel to market, their ruggedization expertise, their, you know, supply chain, you know, efficiencies, manufacturing footprint. There's just so many ways that it's, you know, really, we can bring businesses in and make them better as being part of Curtiss-Wright, so that's an area we're always looking. Our naval footprint is very important to us.
Again, not as many properties, you know, available to look at, but, you know, where we can, you know, have major, you know, safety and propulsion systems to build out our portfolio, that's an area where we, we always are looking. And so, you know, I mean, we, we looked across all our end markets, so I don't wanna, you know, say we would not, you know, there's no hard stops, that we would never consider something in any of our end markets. But, you know, across our defense markets, and specifically Defense Electronics, is probably the top priorities. And, you know, we always keep a keen eye for things we can continue to build out our nuclear footprint.
Tony Bancroft (Portfolio Manager)
That's great. Thank you so much. Great job.
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
Yeah, and I did really, just to add one more thing, because I didn't really specifically address the transformational aspect of your question. And so we are open to larger transactions. I think, you know, when money is expensive, the, you know, the financial winds with those, you know, the dynamics change with that. You know, and it's not something, you know, we're targeting, but we're open to it, and we'll always have an eye to the art of the possible of what we can do with the business. But, you know, we're on such a great growth trajectory. We have so many tailwinds coming with us across our end markets and the technologies that we're building.
You know, I would say we're, you know, we are mostly focused on really doing the right thing and preparing for the growth that is before us, and you have the momentum to, you know, keep growing, you know, double-digit EPS and delivering value to our shareholders with the portfolio we have.
Tony Bancroft (Portfolio Manager)
Thank you, Lynn. Appreciate it.
Operator (participant)
We'll take our next question from Louie DiPalma with William Blair. Please go ahead. The line is open.
Louie DiPalma (Equity Research Analyst)
Hi.
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
Hey, Louis.
Louie DiPalma (Equity Research Analyst)
Good morning, Lynn, Chris, and Jim. You've made significant investments from the R&D side in MOSA for your Defense Electronics, which has seemingly led to market share gains. It seems that the armed services are still in the early innings of this, like, modular MOSA transition. I think the Army last week announced a $500 million contract to implement MOSA for Future Vertical Lift. Do you see more market share gains associated with the migration to MOSA? And also, some of your competitors in Defense Electronics have struggled. Do you see market share gains associated with that as well? Thanks.
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
So we're really pleased with our position of our product portfolio, and actually, you know, a handful of products that will be coming to market even yet in the back half of this year, that, you know, have been in development, you know, for well over a year. They're, you know, gonna yet again up our breadth and the sophistication of the products we bring to market. So we believe we are very well positioned. We believe we have taken some market share over the past 12, 24 months due to various dynamics in the, you know, across the industry.
But I think that trend, you know, I've been cautious to say that, you know, it's hard for our customers to change, so they cannot just change on a dime and one day be buying from supplier X, and three months later be, you know, shipping product with supplier Y. And so there is definitely engagements going on to make transitions. We are focused on it and targeting it, but that still has potential to be a tailwind for us and allow future growth. And, you know, the other thing that's out there is a dynamic, and, you know, we've talked about this off and on over the years, but it's very much as true today as it has been for a long time. You know, we're coming into a period in the U.S. of potentially some relatively flat defense budgets.
You know, we have strategies to make that be a growth opportunity for us, and some of that's through our lifecycle maintenance programs that we touched on in the Investor Day, and being able to continue to support, you know, maintaining the same product configuration for our customers, where they're trying to control costs. And it also has the ability, if you have the right products, to drive outsourcing, as they do not have the engineering funding to do, you know, custom solutions for products. And so it's, you know, we look to assure we're doing the right things, that, you know, we latch on to growth drivers in the industry and where budgets are growing, but making sure we're doing the right things to grow when budgets are a little compressed. So, the future is really great for that team.
Louie DiPalma (Equity Research Analyst)
Okay, and so you see it as, like, a very slow transition to this modular open systems approach, but it does still benefit here, right?
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
Oh, 100%, and maybe I, you know, maybe I misspoke in some way. You know, the transition to MOSA, and we've tried to do press releases over, you know, since, you know, 2021, 2022, of where we have been designed in based on our MOSA-compliant product offering. And there's a handful of them out there that you can find on our, our website. We win a lot of things based on having the MOSA offerings. Just most frequently, we cannot talk about those wins, but it's, it's endemic in the industry now, and how customers, you know, the primes, or the, you know, the, the government itself, are looking to acquire. It is being viewed as a requirement, not a nice to have, but a gotta have, and I'm, we are really well positioned with that and winning business based on that.
Louie DiPalma (Equity Research Analyst)
Awesome. Thanks, Lynn. Thanks, Chris and Jim as well. That's it for me.
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
Thank you, Louie.
Operator (participant)
There are no further questions on the line at this time. I'll now turn the floor over to Lynn Bamford, Chair and Chief Executive Officer, for any additional or closing remarks.
Lynn Bamford (Chair and CEO)
I just want to say thank you to everybody for joining us today. We'll be on the road at some public events in Q3, that if you have the chance to join, that would be great, and if not, we'll talk to you at our Q3 earnings call. Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. This concludes today's Curtiss-Wright earnings conference call. Please disconnect your line at this time and have a wonderful day.