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CI

CaliberCos Inc. (CWD)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Platform revenue grew 98.9% year over year to $7.4M, driving a return to positive Platform earnings ($0.01 diluted per share) and Platform Adjusted EBITDA of $2.4M; consolidated GAAP diluted EPS was $0.01 as deconsolidation of hospitality entities reshaped reported revenue mix .
  • Consolidated revenue was $11.3M, down 33.6% YoY due to deconsolidation effects; however, underlying asset management and fee income accelerated materially on the Platform .
  • KPIs strengthened: FV AUM rose to $806.96M and Managed Capital to $485.27M, reflecting acquisitions, construction activity and Opportunity Zone fund roll-up initiatives .
  • Strategic catalysts: Qualified Opportunity Zone Fund Roll-Up (+$14M managed capital) and the definitive agreement to contribute seven hotels to Caliber Hospitality Trust (expected +$120M AUM), positioning incremental fee streams and potential performance allocations .
  • Estimates context: Wall Street consensus via S&P Global was unavailable at the time of query; we cannot assess beats/misses versus consensus for Q3 2024.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Rapid fee-income growth: “We delivered strong third quarter results with a 98.9% increase nearly doubling Platform revenue, primarily driven by higher fee income from loan placements and offerings” .
  • Cost actions gaining traction: Management highlighted “impact of our recent cost-reduction initiatives” enabling positive Platform Adjusted EBITDA and Platform earnings ahead of the Q4 target .
  • Asset base expansion: FV AUM increased to $806.96M (+8.9% vs 12/31/23) and Managed Capital to $485.27M (+10.9%), supported by acquisitions (West Ridge, Canyon Corporate Plaza) and development progress .

What Went Wrong

  • Reported GAAP revenue declined YoY due to deconsolidation of hospitality entities; Q3 consolidated revenue fell to $11.3M from $17.0M YoY, complicating comparability .
  • Fundraising and CRE environment remained volatile, with management explicitly citing macro challenges as a headwind they are navigating .
  • Prior quarters reflected losses: Q2 consolidated net loss was $(4.73)M with diluted EPS of $(0.22), and Q1 consolidated net loss was $(3.81)M with diluted EPS of $(0.18), highlighting the transition phase through the deconsolidation and cost reset .

Financial Results

Consolidated Revenue and EPS vs prior year and prior quarters

MetricQ3 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Total Revenues ($USD Thousands)$17,025 $22,951 $8,179 $11,302
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.16) $(0.18) $(0.22) $0.01

Consolidated profitability and margins

MetricQ3 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Net Income attributable to Caliber ($USD Thousands)$(3,409) $(3,805) $(4,730) $146
Net Income Margin (%)(20.0%) (16.6%) (57.8%) 1.3%
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Thousands)$(3,157) $2,187 $(966) $4,248
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)(18.6%) 9.5% (11.8%) 37.6%

Note: Margins are derived from cited revenue and earnings metrics.

Platform revenue detail by quarter (unconsolidated Platform view)

Metric ($USD Thousands)Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Fund set-up fees$7 $665 $831
Fund management fees$2,562 $2,665 $2,744
Financing fees$73 $80 $464
Development & construction fees$1,654 $328 $3,084
Brokerage fees$259 $441 $119
Total Asset Management$4,555 $4,179 $7,242
Performance allocations$171 $33 $174
Total Platform Revenue$4,726 $4,212 $7,416

Consolidated revenue mix by quarter

Metric ($USD Thousands)Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Asset management revenues$3,170 $3,226 $6,530
Performance allocations$166 $16 $175
Consolidated funds – hospitality revenues$18,145 $2,894 $2,494
Consolidated funds – other revenues$1,470 $2,043 $2,103
Total revenues$22,951 $8,179 $11,302

KPIs

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
FV AUM ($USD Thousands)$766,738 $773,213 $806,961
Managed Capital ($USD Thousands)$453,905 $469,800 $485,272

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDA (Platform/Caliber)Q4 2024 target“Expect to generate positive adjusted EBITDA by the fourth quarter of 2024” Achieved positive Platform Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024, “ahead of our fourth-quarter 2024 target” Timing accelerated (achieved earlier)
Net ProfitFY 2025“Expect… positive net profit for the full year 2025” Reiterated trajectory via Q3 profitability on Platform; no change to FY 2025 net profit expectation Maintained
Annualized Cost SavingsFY 2024–2025“Identified more than $6 million in annualized savings… reduce annual operating costs to approximately $15 million” “On track to achieve the $6.5 million in annualized cost savings” Raised to $6.5M
Capital Formation InitiativesOngoingN/A (no numeric guidance)QOZ Fund Roll-Up completed first merger (+$14M managed capital); Satori contribution to CHT definitive agreement (expected +$120M AUM) New initiatives disclosed

No explicit guidance provided on tax rate, OpEx run-rate beyond cost-savings commentary, OI&E, or dividends in these documents.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2024)Previous Mentions (Q2 2024)Current Period (Q3 2024)Trend
Fundraising environmentBuilding wholesale channels; 26 selling agreements, $3.4B accessible AUM Continued fundraising; originations $38.0M, redemptions $5.9M “Fundraising… remain volatile,” but progress clear Mixed; still volatile but improving execution
Cost structure/efficiency>$6M annualized savings identified; operating costs to ~$15M On track for $6.5M annualized savings Cost actions helped deliver positive Platform earnings Improving operating leverage
Hospitality platform (CHT)L.T.D. hotel contribution boosted FV AUM Targeting first $1B of assets in planned roll-up Satori Collective definitive agreement to contribute 7 hotels (+~$120M AUM expected) Scaling via roll-up strategy
Development pipelineActive pipeline: 2,240 MF units; 2,386 SF units; 2.6M sqft commercial; 1.0M sqft office/retail Jordan’s Lofts completed; 96% leased 1,796 MF; 697 SF; 3.7M sqft commercial/industrial; 3.5M sqft office/retail Broadening scope; active execution
Opportunity Zone strategyNot highlighted as roll-upNo roll-up mentionLaunched QOZ Fund Roll-Up; first merger (+$14M managed capital) New growth vector
Macro/CRE marketsNot emphasizedFocus on profitability despite environment CRE volatility acknowledged; strategy progressing Cautious tone; operational focus

Note: No Q3 transcript was available in our document catalog; trend assessment reflects press releases and supplemental data .

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered strong third quarter results with a 98.9% increase… primarily driven by higher fee income from loan placements and offerings… this top-line growth, paired with the impact of our recent cost-reduction initiatives… resulting in positive Platform adjusted EBITDA and Platform earnings during the third quarter, ahead of our fourth-quarter 2024 target.” — Chris Loeffler, CEO .
  • “While fundraising and commercial real estate remain volatile… our strategic and tactical progress towards consistent, profitable growth is clear.” — Chris Loeffler, CEO .
  • Q2 framing of near-term priorities: “Provide more single-asset investment offerings” and “develop projects in our pipeline related to existing Caliber properties” alongside the CHT roll-up objective .

Q&A Highlights

  • The company hosted a Q3 conference call on November 12, 2024 at 5:00 p.m. ET; however, a transcript was not available in our document set. A webcast replay is accessible via the investor relations section of the company’s website .
  • Without a transcript, Q&A themes and any guidance clarifications cannot be validated.

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 2024 EPS/revenue/EBITDA was unavailable at the time of query; as a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus consensus. This limits cross-sectional comparison and estimate revision analysis for this quarter.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Platform momentum: Fee-based revenues nearly doubled YoY, delivering positive Platform earnings and Adjusted EBITDA ahead of schedule; this validates cost actions and the fee-centric strategy .
  • GAAP comparability is noisy: Deconsolidation masks underlying improvements; focus on Platform metrics and KPIs (FV AUM, Managed Capital) for economic value to shareholders .
  • Hospitality roll-up is a near-term catalyst: The Satori contribution and broader CHT strategy can expand AUM and fee streams; execution risk remains but trajectory is positive .
  • Opportunity Zone roll-up accelerates capital formation: First merger added $14M managed capital; expect incremental fund management fees and potential performance allocations over time .
  • Development engine remains active: Expanded pipeline breadth across residential and commercial/industrial supports forward fee and performance opportunities as projects progress .
  • Trading view: With consensus unavailable, trade the narrative—early achievement of profitability milestones and visible catalysts (CHT, QOZ roll-up) could drive sentiment; monitor subsequent disclosures for numeric guidance and sell-side estimates.
  • Medium-term thesis: Continued scaling of Platform revenues, disciplined costs, and asset monetizations/performance allocations are key to delivering sustainable profitability through FY 2025 amid CRE volatility .