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DI

DATA I/O CORP (DAIO)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 net sales were $5.4M, flat YoY and down sequentially from $5.9M; gross margin improved to 50.7% (from 49.8% in Q2), but higher one-time expenses (~$585k) drove a wider net loss of ($1.36M), or ($0.15) EPS .
  • Bookings increased over 7% YoY to $5.1M; eight PSV7000 systems with LumenX programmers were booked across Asia and Mexico; backlog ended at $2.7M with deferred revenue ~$1.4M .
  • Management emphasized strategic progress: Unified Programming Platform, margin uplift initiatives (pricing, supply chain, labor efficiencies), and remediation of a cybersecurity incident with minimal cost; new CFO appointed and a boutique bank engaged for M&A aligned with growth strategy .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, DAIO missed revenue ($5.39M vs $5.80M*) and EPS (-$0.15 vs -$0.10*); coverage is thin (1 estimate each), suggesting estimates may need to reset lower given mix/one-time costs. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Bookings rose over 7% YoY to $5.1M; eight PSV7000 systems were booked, with three shipped in-quarter and seven remaining in backlog, supporting EV-related demand and UFS use cases .
  • Sequential gross margin improved to 50.7% on a higher-margin product mix/configuration, aided by PSV7000 demand and steady direct materials despite tariffs/trade pressures .
  • Strategic execution: launch momentum for Unified Programming Platform, multiple industry awards for LumenX-M8, cybersecurity remediation completed with process/IT strengthening; management targeting services, embedded applications, and socket manufacturing to diversify revenue . “We are well-positioned to layer on highly incremental, customer-driven product innovation in 2026 and beyond… powered by a single Unified Programming Platform” .

What Went Wrong

  • Net sales declined sequentially ($5.4M vs $5.9M), and net loss widened to ($1.36M) due to ~($585k) one-time expenses tied to cybersecurity remediation, leadership transition, and platform/IT investments .
  • Recurring revenue (consumables/services) fell to 24% of total, down sharply from 50% in Q2 and 46% in Q1, reflecting softer socket consumption amid slower unit processing at customers .
  • Macro/external headwinds: EV manufacturing reassessments, Europe capital equipment spending pressures, tariff/trade uncertainties; management highlighted rare earth supply risk leading to a customer factory shutdown for three weeks . “For right now, it’s still pretty shaky” regarding trade/macro .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD)$6.176M $5.948M $5.393M
Gross Margin %51.6% 49.8% 50.7%
Operating Expenses ($USD)$3.565M $3.804M $4.127M
Operating Income (Loss) ($USD)($0.377M) ($0.844M) ($1.393M)
Net Income (Loss) ($USD)($0.382M) ($0.742M) ($1.362M)
Diluted EPS ($)($0.04) ($0.08) ($0.15)
EBITDA ($USD, GAAP)($0.272M) ($0.687M) ($1.263M)
EBIT Margin %-6.10%*-14.19%*-25.83%*
Net Income Margin %-6.19%*-12.47%*-25.25%*

Values retrieved from S&P Global for rows marked with *.

Segment/Mix breakdown:

Mix MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Consumable Adapters & Services (% of revenue)46% 50% 24%
Capital Equipment (% of revenue)54% 50% 76%

KPIs:

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Bookings ($USD)$4.6M $5.8M $5.1M
PSV7000 Systems Booked (units)10 (order in backlog/deliveries H2-2025) 8
Backlog ($USD)$2.9M $2.8M $2.7M
Deferred Revenue ($USD)~$1.5M ~$1.3M ~$1.4M
Automotive Bookings Share (%)66% 66% 78%
Cash ($USD)$10.5M $10.0M $9.7M
Net Working Capital ($USD)>$16.0M $15.6M $14.4M
DebtNone None None

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/Q4 2025None providedNone providedMaintained: No formal numeric guidance
Gross MarginFY/Q4 2025None providedQualitative: sequential improvement over time via pricing/supply chain/labor efficienciesQualitative uplift expected
Operating ExpensesFY/Q4 2025None providedOne-time items to taper; cost optimization underway (IT savings ~$300k annualized cited in PR; ~$512k potential IT spend reduction discussed)Optimization underway
Strategic Initiatives2025–2026Product launches (manual systems, automation refresh), services entry, embedded partnerships; M&A advisor engagedExpanding scope

Management did not issue explicit revenue/EPS guidance; commentary indicates margin initiatives and product-driven bookings momentum .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Unified Programming Platform & Product RoadmapRefreshed manual programmers (LumenX-M8, FlashCORE III-M4); roadmap to be detailed; increased consultative selling Continuous innovation around LumenX; manual/automated solutions; future long-term platform; awards for LumenX-M8 Strengthening execution; external validation via awards
UFS/NVMe technology & yieldsEmphasis on complex protocols; investment in bench equipment; partnerships with semi houses Progress on UFS yields; 4.0 support validated; working to solve 3.1 yields; multi-site architecture changes; socket/contact focus Technical traction improving; expected to catalyze demand
Tariffs/macro & supply chainQ1: tariff/trade uncertainties; dual manufacturing in US/China; Europe/Americas recovery; Asia slowed Europe pressured; Asia relatively stronger; rare earth supply risk; cautious tone on macro/trade still “shaky” Headwinds persist; selective regional strength
Automotive concentration & diversificationDesire to diversify beyond automotive; consultative approach; EMS/CM focus Auto bookings 78%; diversification via services/embedded/socket; reps reporting Europe business down 50–60% Near-term auto dependence persists; diversification plans intensify
Margin managementQ2 mix pressure; activity-based costing; pricing changes; supply chain optimization Sequential gross margin improvement; initiatives to sustainably raise margins (pricing, labor, direct sales) Positive sequential trend; structural uplift targeted
Cybersecurity remediationNot highlighted in Q1/Q2Incident remediated; ~($585k) one-time expenses in Q3 Addressed; costs elevated in Q3
M&A/partnerships & servicesEarly-stage dialogues; strategic relationships with semi houses Boutique bank engaged (25 targets); embedded tech partnerships; services entry plan; sockets market adjacency ($7B) Accelerating strategic options

Management Commentary

  • “We made important strategic progress… implementing strategies to sustainably improve our gross margin profile, and advancements in programs to deliver long term growth” — William Wentworth, CEO .
  • “We are planning for a future around continuous innovation to our Lumen®X programming platform… powered by a single Unified Programming Platform” .
  • “Automotive electronics… represented 78% of third quarter 2025 bookings… eight PSV7000 systems… booked in the third quarter 2025” .
  • “We’ve begun a thorough review of gross margin enhancement strategies… likely to include pricing modifications… labor and costing efficiencies, supply chain optimization, and a focus on more direct sales” — CFO .
  • “Cybersecurity incident… resulted in an improvement in our corporate processes and strengthening of our IT systems… the cost… moderated by the annualized reduction of an estimated $300,000 in spending” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Platform evolution and adjacent markets: Management outlined next-gen platform targeting embedded tester integration (multi-billion market), services, and sockets ($7B market), aiming to broaden served market and recurring revenue profile .
  • UFS yield resolution as a demand unlock: Team is close on 3.1 yields with demonstrated 4.0 support; architecture changes (M8→M4 sites, contact/socket improvements) intended to reach 99.8–99.9% yield standards .
  • Margin levers: Higher consumables margins (~60–70%), pricing discipline on custom systems, reduced consultant/IT spend over time; management sees path back to ~55% gross margins with better rigor .
  • Macro/tariff caution: Europe remains weak; Asia/Mexico showing pockets of strength; rare earth supply shocks are a risk; tone remains cautious on trade .
  • Clarifications: One-time expenses breakdown (~$585k in Q3; ~$480k in Q2) and impact on adjusted EBITDA and cash; absent these, adjusted EBITDA would have improved meaningfully .

Estimates Context

MetricS&P Global ConsensusActual (Q3 2025)Surprise
Revenue ($USD)$5.80M*$5.393M -$0.41M (−7%)
Primary EPS ($)-$0.10*-$0.15 -$0.05 (more negative)
EBITDA ($USD)N/A (no consensus)-$1.263M N/A
Coverage (# of estimates)Revenue: 1*; EPS: 1*Thin coverage

Values retrieved from S&P Global (marked with *). Limited analyst coverage suggests estimates are less robust and may need to reset given mix, one-time costs, and macro commentary.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term print was mixed: sequential margin improvement but lower revenue and wider loss on one-time costs; expect volatile quarters until macro/tariff conditions stabilize and recurring mix normalizes .
  • Demand catalysts in H2/Q4: productronica demos (Nov 18–21) and Unified Programming Platform launch, plus growing UFS use cases, could support bookings and backlog conversion into early 2026 .
  • Track UFS yield progress: successful resolution of 3.1 yields should unlock purchasing and retrofit cycles; management signals weeks-to-quarters timeline for improvements .
  • Margin uplift thesis: pricing discipline, cost accounting, direct sales focus, and IT savings create a path to structurally higher gross margins; consumables/services carry higher margins and scale with installed base .
  • Diversification plan: entry into services, embedded applications, and socket manufacturing aims to reduce auto concentration and smooth CapEx cyclicality; M&A advisor engaged to accelerate .
  • Regional lens: Asia/Mexico pockets are stronger; Europe is pressured; monitor tariff/trade and rare earth supply headlines for order timing risk .
  • Estimates likely to drift: with only one estimate each for revenue/EPS, expect consensus to incorporate lower recurring mix and one-time costs; thin coverage amplifies surprise risk. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Overall narrative: execution on platform/yield and margin initiatives are the stock’s medium-term catalysts; near-term trading sentiment hinges on H2 bookings cadence, product launch reception, and visibility on diversifying beyond automotive concentration.