Dave Inc./DE (DAVEW)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record Q3 results: Revenue $150.8M (+63% Y/Y), GAAP net income $92.0M, Adjusted EBITDA $58.7M; management highlighted continued ARPU expansion, accelerating MTM growth, and solid credit performance within guardrails .
- Raised FY25 outlook: revenue to $544–$547M (from $505–$515M) and Adjusted EBITDA to $215–$218M (from $180–$190M); year-over-year growth raised to 57–58% for revenue and 149–152% for Adjusted EBITDA .
- Operating engine: ExtraCash originations exceeded $2.0B (+49% Y/Y), net monetization rate reached a record 4.8% (+45 bps Y/Y), and MTMs rose 17% to 2.77M; new members were 843k at $19 CAC .
- Profitability drivers and tone: CEO cited CashAI v5.5 rollout improving origination size and delinquency; CFO cited 85% flow-through to Adjusted EBITDA and ~1,200 bps margin expansion to “nearly 40%,” underscoring operating leverage .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record top-line and profitability: Revenue $150.8M (+63% Y/Y), Adjusted EBITDA $58.7M; CEO: “Revenue grew over 60% year-over-year for the second consecutive quarter and Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled for the fourth straight quarter” .
- Underwriting/AI execution: “CashAI v5.5 yielded meaningful improvements in both origination size and delinquency rates in September and thus far in Q4,” supporting ARPU expansion and higher net monetization .
- Operating leverage: CFO highlighted 85% flow-through to Adjusted EBITDA and ~1,200 bps expansion in Adjusted EBITDA margin to nearly 40% on recalibrated underwriting/acquisition and disciplined fixed costs .
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What Went Wrong
- Delinquencies higher Y/Y: Average 28-day delinquency rose to 2.33% vs. 1.78% a year ago, even as management said credit was within guardrails .
- Liquidity down Q/Q: Cash, equivalents, marketable securities, investments, and restricted cash fell to $93.6M from $104.7M (Jun 30), driven by $25M buybacks and higher ExtraCash receivables (partially offset by FCF) .
- Non-cash/one-time items complicate GAAP: Large GAAP net income benefited from non-cash fair value changes (warrants/earnout) and tax items; adjusted net income excludes these factors (e.g., -$27.4M tax benefit from valuation allowance release, -$9.1M warrant FV change) .
Financial Results
Overall results vs. prior periods
Operating detail (GAAP) – selected P&L items
KPI snapshot
Liquidity
Note: Non-GAAP reconciliations for Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income are provided; adjustments include stock-based comp, legal expenses, fair value changes (warrants/earnout), and tax items (e.g., valuation allowance release) .
Guidance Changes
Rationale: Management cited ARPU expansion, accelerating MTM growth, improved monetization net of losses, and CashAI v5.5 benefits, alongside disciplined fixed costs and underwriting/acquisition recalibration .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Transcript for Q3 2025 was referenced as to-be-posted; not available in the corpus at this time . Themes below reflect management’s press release commentary and stated multi-quarter patterns.
Management Commentary
- CEO Jason Wilk: “We delivered another record quarter… Revenue grew over 60% year-over-year for the second consecutive quarter and Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled for the fourth straight quarter… rollout of CashAI v5.5 yielded meaningful improvements in both origination size and delinquency rates… We are once again raising our 2025 guidance.”
- CFO/COO Kyle Beilman: “Net revenue per origination is up 32%… we grew originations by nearly 50%… payback periods improved nearly a month to under four months… recalibration of our underwriting and acquisition strategies… resulted in 85% flow-through to Adjusted EBITDA… ~1,200 bps expansion in Adjusted EBITDA margin to nearly 40%.”
Q&A Highlights
- The company scheduled a conference call and indicated the transcript would be posted, but the transcript was not available in the document corpus at time of analysis; Q&A highlights and any intra-call guidance clarifications are therefore unavailable and will be updated upon transcript posting .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global/Capital IQ consensus estimates for EPS, revenue, and EBITDA for Q3 2025 (and for Q1–Q2 2025) were unavailable for DAVEW at the time of retrieval; as a result, we cannot assess beats/misses vs. Wall Street consensus. Actuals reported were: Revenue $150.8M, GAAP diluted EPS $6.34, Adjusted diluted EPS $4.24, Adjusted EBITDA $58.7M .
Actuals vs. Consensus (Q3 2025)
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Guidance raise is the headline catalyst: FY25 revenue lifted to $544–$547M and Adjusted EBITDA to $215–$218M, signaling confidence in sustained monetization and scale benefits .
- Profitability quality: While GAAP net income benefited from non-cash FV and tax items, Adjusted net income ($61.6M) and Adjusted EBITDA ($58.7M) show strong underlying profitability; focus on non-GAAP trends and flow-through .
- Unit economics strengthening: Record 4.8% net monetization, 49% Y/Y originations growth to $2.0B, and improved payback to <4 months reflect durable growth engines with disciplined risk selection .
- Credit watch: Delinquency increased Y/Y to 2.33%, but management asserts credit remains within guardrails; monitor trajectory through Q4 as CashAI v5.5 effects flow through .
- Liquidity/use of capital: Cash/investments declined Q/Q, largely due to $25M buybacks and ExtraCash receivables growth; no increased draw on the credit facility—FCF helped offset outflows .
- Operating leverage in motion: 85% flow-through and ~1,200 bps margin expansion toward ~40% Adjusted EBITDA margin suggest further earnings scalability if growth and credit trends hold .
- Risk framework: Ongoing DOJ lawsuit and regulatory evolution remain overhangs; continue to track disclosures and any legal developments .
Additional Detail and Cross-Checks
- GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation: Adjustments include stock-based compensation, legal expenses, warrant/earnout fair value changes, and tax items (e.g., valuation allowance release), which materially affect GAAP vs. adjusted results .
- Revenue mix: Service-based revenue was the primary driver ($139.3M of $150.8M total), with transaction revenue at $11.5M .
- Multi-quarter growth pattern (management disclosure): Revenue up >60% Y/Y for two consecutive quarters and Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled for four straight quarters, indicating sustained momentum through Q2 and Q3 .
Sources
- Q3 2025 8-K and Press Release (Exhibit 99.1): financials, KPIs, guidance, management commentary