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DELCATH SYSTEMS, INC. (DCTH)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 revenue accelerated to $15.1M (vs. $11.2M in Q3 and $0.5M in Q4’23), driven by U.S. HEPZATO KIT sales; gross margin reached 86% and adjusted EBITDA turned positive at $4.6M, while net loss narrowed to $3.4M .
- Commercial execution strengthened: 16 U.S. centers active by early Q1’25 (up from 12 at Q3-end), with ~“slightly under 2” treatments/site/month and 8 additional centers accepting referrals; management targets 30 active centers by YE25 .
- Balance sheet inflected: YE cash and investments of $53.2M, no debt, and Q4 operating cash burn of ~$1.0M; warrant exercises contributed ~$41.3M during 2024 .
- 2025 outlook (qualitative): SG&A to rise ~30–40% YoY as sales coverage expands; R&D to ramp to $35–40M for new indications (mCRC/mBC) while management still expects 2025 to be cash-flow positive; gross margin could approach 90% by YE25 .
- Potential stock drivers: continued center activation and throughput, validation from CHOPIN/SCANDIUM data readouts in 2025, reimbursement progress ex-U.S., and pipeline initiation (mCRC IND cleared; trial start 2H25) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Commercial ramp: HEPZATO U.S. revenue of $13.7M in Q4 with gross margin at 86% and positive adjusted EBITDA of $4.6M; YE cash/investments $53.2M, no debt .
- Network expansion: 16 active U.S. centers by early Q1’25 (from 12 at Q3-end), with marquee academic centers in the mix; average treatments/site ~“slightly under 2” per month .
- Strategic validation: NCCN guidelines updated to include liver‑dominant disease; FDA cleared mCRC Phase 2 IND; management appointed SVP of Interventional Oncology to drive R&D .
- Quote: “In 2024, the successful launch of HEPZATO drove strong financial and operational results, including positive adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter.” — CEO Gerard Michel .
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What Went Wrong
- Profitability still GAAP-negative: Q4 GAAP net loss of $3.4M despite strong revenue and margin; full-year net loss was $26.4M .
- Operating leverage build required: SG&A to rise ~30–40% in 2025 to support expansion; R&D expected to increase to $35–40M for new trials, which could temper near-term EPS even as cash flow trends improve .
- EU revenue remains modest vs. U.S.: strategy is to run Europe near breakeven with growth hinging on market-by-market reimbursement; step-ups are “binary” and timing uncertain .
Financial Results
Income statement summary (USD, millions except per-share). Periods left→right are chronological.
Notes: Q1 and Q2 gross margin percentages are computed from reported revenue and gross profit in company statements; Q3 and Q4 gross margins are management disclosures .
Segment revenue breakdown (USD, millions)
KPIs and balance sheet
YoY highlights for Q4: Revenue $15.1M vs $0.5M in Q4’23; net loss $(3.4)M vs $(11.1)M; GM 86% vs GM implied by prior-year data; EPS $(0.11) vs $(0.48) in Q4’23 .
Guidance Changes
No formal revenue/EPS guidance was issued in the Q4 materials.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic posture: “We are well positioned to continue to grow revenue while investing in high‑impact R&D initiatives. The future for Delcath has never been brighter.” — CEO Gerard Michel .
- Commercial cadence: “In Q4, the average treatment rate per site was slightly under 2 per month, a rate expected to continue in 2025 as we bring on new centers…” — CEO Gerard Michel .
- Profitability path: “We achieved $4.6 million in positive adjusted EBITDA [in Q4]… and ended the year with $53.2 million in cash and investments with no debt.” — CEO Gerard Michel .
- Expense outlook: “SG&A… about a 30% to 40% increase [YoY] into 2025… fully staffed by midyear.” — CFO Sandra Pennell .
- Margin outlook: “We ended Q4 with 86% gross margin and we do expect that to continue into 2025 and probably could reach 90% by the end of 2025.” — CFO Sandra Pennell .
Q&A Highlights
- Treatment cycles per patient: Label allows up to 6; real‑world trajectory appears at least consistent with FOCUS’ 4.1 average; tolerability and anecdotally strong responses could support ≥4 cycles over time .
- Opex cadence: SG&A +30–40% in 2025 on sales expansion; R&D to $35–40M to fund mCRC/mBC programs and IITs .
- Pricing: HEPZATO increased to ~$187,500 in early Feb; future adjustments constrained to inflation under CMS rules .
- Network/referrals: Pareto remains (top accounts drive mix but concentration decreasing); more centers needed to reduce travel friction and capture patients locally .
- Profitability stance: Management expects to be cash‑flow positive in 2025 but will invest in high‑return R&D; no commitment to maintain CF+ beyond 2025 if opportunities warrant .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q4 2024 revenue/EPS was not available for retrieval at the time of analysis due to data access limits; therefore, we cannot provide a vs. consensus comparison for Q4 results at this time. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global if available.
- On the call, one analyst cited a 2025 revenue consensus of ~$77M; management declined to characterize it as conservative or aggressive .
- Given the inflection in revenue and GM, and the planned expansion of active centers and sales coverage, street models may need to adjust SG&A (higher) and R&D (higher) for 2025 while contemplating improving gross margins and cash‑flow positivity in 2025 .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Commercial flywheel: Sequential revenue acceleration (+35% Q/Q in Q4) with expanding center footprint and stable utilization (~<2 tx/site/month) supports continued top‑line momentum into 2025 .
- Margin power: Structural gross margin in the mid‑80s with a credible path toward ~90% by YE25 enhances operating leverage as volumes scale .
- Investment mode: Expect 2025 opex to rise (SG&A +30–40%; R&D $35–40M) to fund field expansion and new indications; cash‑flow positive in 2025 is still expected despite higher spend .
- Clinical catalysts: mCRC Phase 2 initiation (2H25); breast (4Q25); CHOPIN/SCANDIUM readouts in 2025 could accelerate adoption and shape sequencing with IO therapies .
- U.S. first, EU strategic: U.S. remains the growth engine; EU run at breakeven pending reimbursement step‑ups (UK/NL priority markets) .
- Reimbursement/Guidelines tailwinds: NCCN update to liver‑dominant mUM aligns with label and should support community referrals and broader adoption .
Appendix: Additional Relevant Press Releases for Q4 2024 Context
- Preliminary Q4 & FY 2024 results announced Jan 13, 2025: Q4 rev ~$15.1M, FY rev ~$37.2M; YE cash/investments ~$53.2M; GM 80–85% prelim .
- Q3 2024 results (Nov 8, 2024): revenue $11.2M; indicated center activations and publications; cash/investments $14.0M; warrant exercises added ~$25M proceeds .
- Q2 2024 results (Aug 5, 2024): revenue $7.8M (HEPZATO $6.6M; CHEMOSAT $1.2M); NTAP secured Aug 1; 8 active centers .
Citations
- Q4 2024 8‑K press release and financials:
- Q4 2024 earnings call transcript (full):
- Q3 2024 press release and transcript:
- Q2 2024 press release and financials:
- Q1 2024 press release and financials:
- IND clearance for mCRC Phase 2: