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Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (DFLI)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered modest top-line growth and margin expansion: revenue $13.36M (+6.8% YoY), gross margin 29.4% (+500 bps YoY), and adjusted EBITDA $(3.65)M (vs. $(5.25)M YoY), driven by 10.8% OEM growth offset by softer DTC demand .
- Results were above pre-announced guidance and ahead of S&P Global consensus on revenue ($13.36M vs. $13.26M*) and EPS (GAAP diluted $(0.93) vs. Primary EPS consensus $(1.44)*); adjusted EBITDA also came in better than the prior $(3.8)M guide .
- Q2 2025 outlook: net sales ≈$14.8M and adjusted EBITDA ≈$(3.5)M; management continues to emphasize tariff mitigation, OEM-led growth, and operational efficiencies following debt restructuring and a preferred equity raise earlier in 2025 .
- Potential stock catalysts: continued OEM penetration, early traction of the DualFlow power pack in heavy-duty trucking, sustained gross margin improvement, and progress toward the stated objective of positive adjusted EBITDA by Q4 2025 (articulated in March) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- OEM channel strength: OEM net sales rose 10.8% YoY to $8.09M, supporting overall revenue growth despite RV market headwinds .
- Margin expansion and operational progress: gross margin improved to 29.4% (+500 bps YoY) as management highlighted manufacturing optimization that increased capacity without incremental headcount .
- Strengthened financial footing and focus: following debt restructuring and a preferred equity raise, management reiterated focus on near-term revenue opportunities and path to profitability; “we do feel that we have the cash to get us back to profitability at the end of the year” .
What Went Wrong
- DTC softness: DTC net sales declined 3.6% YoY to $5.02M on macro pressure; overall net sales mix remained more OEM-weighted, tempering margin leverage vs. a DTC-led mix .
- Higher OpEx: operating expenses increased to $9.84M (vs. $8.89M YoY) on one-time items (patent litigation and February capital raise) .
- Tariff and investment drag on near-term EBITDA: management guided Q2 adjusted EBITDA loss ≈$(3.5)M and noted sequential EBITDA improvement was muted by continued investment in near-term products and tariff impacts .
Financial Results
Trend vs. Prior Quarters (actuals)
Segment Net Sales by Customer Type (mix and trend)
Q1 2025 Actuals vs. S&P Global Consensus
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Additional Q1 2025 KPIs and Balance Sheet Items
Non-GAAP reconciliation highlights for Q1 2025 adjusted EBITDA include stock-based comp ($0.22M), preferred stock financing expenses ($0.63M), litigation/settlement ($0.54M), reverse split ($0.02M), and change in fair value of warrant liability (benefit of $3.82M) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We were pleased to report revenue growth of 6.8% in the first quarter, exceeding our guidance and representing our second consecutive quarter of year-over-year revenue growth… OEM customers [up 10.8%]…” .
- “We have increased the use of automation on our product lines… [and] increased our production capacity without the need for any additional head count” .
- On tariffs: “Our growing U.S.-based production capabilities… and onshoring of select components will help strengthen our competitive position… [we’re] negotiating favorable terms with suppliers and working with key customers regarding potential price adjustments” .
- On liquidity and profitability: “We did just complete the preferred equity deal… we do feel that we have the cash to get us back to profitability at the end of the year” .
- Heavy-duty trucking: the DualFlow power pack offers “ROI typically under one year” and is gaining traction among fleets seeking idle-reduction benefits without full APU electrification .
Q&A Highlights
- Dry electrode commercialization: development continues with commercial interest, but resources prioritized to near-term revenue and profitability; electrode scale-up underway, longer-term solid-state remains a goal .
- Liquidity and profitability path: preferred equity came in two tranches (Q1 and Q2); management believes cash is sufficient to reach year-end profitability; AP was paid down exiting Q1 .
- Q2 adjusted EBITDA guide: lack of sequential improvement reflects continued near-term product investment and tariff-related uncertainty already incorporated in outlook .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $13.36M vs. $13.26M* (beat), GAAP diluted EPS $(0.93) vs. Primary EPS consensus $(1.44)* (beat). Very small coverage universe (only 1 EPS and 1 revenue estimate in Q1), reducing statistical confidence .
- Forward look: Q2 2025 consensus revenue $14.68M* and Primary EPS $(0.95)* vs. company guidance of ≈$14.8M revenue and ≈$(3.5)M adjusted EBITDA — suggests sell-side was close on revenue, while EBITDA remains under company’s non-GAAP framework .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- OEM-led growth and two consecutive YoY revenue increases, alongside 500 bps GM expansion, indicate the optimization program is translating to better mix and execution despite DTC softness .
- Q1 revenue and EPS topped S&P consensus and beat prior company guidance; Q2 guide implies double-digit YoY growth, with tariffs already reflected in outlook .
- Heavy-duty trucking opportunity is gaining commercial traction (DualFlow ROI <1 year), a potential incremental growth driver independent of RV cyclicality .
- Balance sheet flexibility improved post-debt restructuring and preferred raise; management asserts cash runway to profitability by year-end, a key milestone for sentiment re-rating .
- Watch for continued gross margin durability near ~30% as mix, scale, and manufacturing efficiency improve; sustained margin strength would be a meaningful lever for EBITDA trajectory .
- Near-term risks: DTC demand remains macro-sensitive; tariff path remains fluid; OpEx can fluctuate with litigation/financing items and accelerated product launches .
- Setup into Q2/Q3: execution against OEM backlog and trucking pilots rolling to commercial deployments are likely the biggest narrative movers, alongside progress toward Q4 adjusted EBITDA positivity .