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Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered outsized non-GAAP results driven by EPA Small Refinery Exemptions (SREs) and EOP execution: adjusted EPS $7.13 (ex-SRE $1.52) and adjusted EBITDA $759.6M; GAAP diluted EPS was $2.93 .
  • Revenue was $2.887B, modestly above S&P Global consensus ($2.835B*) and adjusted EPS far exceeded consensus ($0.18*); ex-SRE adjusted EPS of $1.52 still beat notably as EOP contributed ~$60M and crack spreads strengthened .
  • Guidance raised: EOP run-rate increased to at least $180M (from $130–$170M) and DKL FY EBITDA lifted to $500–$520M (from $480–$520M) .
  • Near-term catalysts: clarity and monetization of historical SREs (~$400M in 6–9 months), strong distillate cracks into Q4, and increasing economic separation/value realization at DKL .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Material regulatory tailwind: EPA granted Delek full/partial SREs across 2019–2024; valid RINs reduced cost of materials by ~$280.8M in Q3 and DK expects ~$400M cash proceeds from monetizing granted RINs over 6–9 months .
  • Enterprise Optimization Plan exceeding targets: run-rate cash flow improvement raised to at least $180M; ~$60M recognized in Q3, with wholesale and supply/marketing delivering structural uplift .
  • Strong operational execution and margin capture: benchmark Gulf Coast crack spreads up 46.8% YoY; record throughput at Krotz Springs; distillate yields and refinery margin per bbl strengthened across assets .

Quote: “Our EOP efforts, which are exceeding previous guidance, and clarity on SREs, significantly improve DK's free cash flow generation in the short and the long term.” — Avigal Soreq, CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Working capital drag and cash conversion timing: cash flow from operations was $44M with a ~$106M working capital outflow tied to SRE grants, though CFO ex-WC was ~$150M .
  • Non-recurring costs and restructuring: recorded $34.1M in restructuring costs and $16.3M impairment (software development) in Q3 .
  • Corporate costs edged up: Corporate & Other adjusted EBITDA more negative vs prior period (−$68.4M in Q3), reflecting ramp costs and ongoing transformation expenses .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance vs. Prior Periods

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Revenues ($USD Billions)$3.042 $2.765 $2.887
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$(1.20) $(1.76) $2.93
Adjusted EPS ($USD)$(1.45) $(0.56) $7.13; ex-SRE $1.52
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$70.6 $170.2 $759.6

Notes: Q3 2025 adjusted figures include (1) ~$280.8M historical SRE benefit, (2) recognition of 50% 2025 RVO exemption ($160.2M) in non-GAAP metrics, and (3) other inventory impacts ($67.5M) .

Actual vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions) Actual vs Consensus$3.042 vs $2.850* $2.765 vs $2.684* $2.887 vs $2.835*
Adjusted/Primary EPS ($USD) Actual vs Consensus$(1.45) vs $(1.70)* $(0.56) vs $(0.83)* $7.13 (ex-SRE $1.52) vs $0.18*

Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Adjusted EBITDA Breakdown

Segment ($USD Millions)Q3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Refining$10.2 $113.6 $696.9
Logistics$106.1 $120.2 $131.5
Corporate, Other & Eliminations$(53.9) $(62.6) $(68.4)
Discontinued Operations (Retail)$8.2 $(1.0) $(0.4)
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA$62.4 $171.2 $760.0

KPIs: Throughput and Margin per bbl

Refinery KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Total System Throughput (avg bpd)307,595 316,325 314,161
Tyler: Margin per bbl ($)$11.03 FY ref.; Q3 2024 $7.48 $9.95 $11.32
El Dorado: Margin per bbl ($)$0.66 $5.21 $7.43
Big Spring: Margin per bbl ($)$6.82 $9.65 $10.99
Krotz Springs: Margin per bbl ($)$4.80 $7.59 $9.01

Drivers: Gulf Coast crack spreads rose sharply YoY (+46.8%), improving margin capture across the system; record throughput at Krotz Springs .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
EOP Run-Rate Cash Flow ImprovementOngoing$130–$170M ≥$180M Raised
DKL Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025$480–$520M $500–$520M Raised (low end)
Operating Expenses ($M)Q4 2025NA$205–$220 New
G&A ($M)Q4 2025NA$52–$57 New
Depreciation & Amortization ($M)Q4 2025NA$100–$110 New
Net Interest Expense ($M)Q4 2025NA$85–$95 New
Total Crude Throughput (bpd)Q4 2025NA252,000–284,000 New
Total Throughput (bpd)Q4 2025NA271,000–303,000 New
Throughput by Refinery (bpd)Q4 2025NATyler 70–78k; El Dorado 67–75k; Big Spring 62–70k; Krotz 72–80k New
Regular DividendQ4 2025$0.255/share $0.255/share; paid Nov 17, 2025 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
EOP execution and targetsEOP run-rate ≥$120M targeted for 2H’25; structural wholesale improvements underway Raised to ≥$180M; ~$60M contribution in Q3 with strong wholesale/supply Accelerating
SRE policy/benefitNo monetization detail; framework updates; non-GAAP inclusion begins in 2025 Majority of 2019–2024 SREs granted; ~$280.8M Q3 cost reduction; ~$400M cash expected in 6–9 months Clarified; monetization imminent
DKL strategy and separationLIBI II commissioning; economic separation rising; 80% third-party pro forma DKL 2025 EBITDA raised to $500–$520M; sour gas solution ramp; stronger Permian position Strengthening
Distillate/cracks outlookLower cracks in Q1; improving into Q2 Distillate strength into Q4; strong capture expected Improving
Capital returns~12–20% LTM yield; buybacks/dividends ongoing ~$30M Q3 returns; dividend maintained; DKL distribution $1.12/unit Consistent

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus: “Our EOP efforts... and clarity on SREs, significantly improve DK's free cash flow generation in the short and the long term.” — CEO Avigal Soreq .
  • Midstream value unlock: “DKL... guidance raise to $500–$520 million. The new processing plant, ongoing AGI initiatives, and DKL's increasing economic separation from DK are getting us closer to unlocking the full value of our midstream assets.” — CEO .
  • Operational update: “Record throughput at KSR... Distillate outlook for the fourth quarter is strong.” — EVP Operations .
  • Financial clarity: CFO quantified Q3 drivers, highlighting ~$281M historical SRE recognition, ~$160M RVO exemption impact, and EOP improvements; CFO ex-WC was ~$150M .

Q&A Highlights

  • SRE outlook and magnitude: Management expects 100% of refining capacity to qualify for 2025 SREs and believes legal precedent supports durability beyond current administration .
  • SRE monetization timing: ~$400M cash proceeds expected over 6–9 months; capital allocation to remain disciplined .
  • Wholesale and supply structural gains: Structural renegotiation and market optionality reduced reliance on specific regional spreads, supporting sustained uplift .
  • Throughput and compliance: Throughput guidance reflects seasonality; management reiterated full compliance with 2025 RVO obligations .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 results beat consensus: Revenue $2.887B vs $2.835B*, and adjusted EPS $7.13 (ex-SRE $1.52) vs $0.18* .
  • Prior periods: Q2 2025 revenue $2.765B vs $2.684B* and adjusted EPS $(0.56) vs $(0.83); Q3 2024 revenue $3.042B vs $2.850B and adjusted EPS $(1.45) vs $(1.70)* .

Values marked with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The quarter’s outsized non-GAAP beat was driven by SRE-related benefits and EOP execution; ex-SRE results still show material improvement from structural initiatives .
  • Near-term cash inflow (~$400M) from SRE monetization is a tangible catalyst for capital returns and balance sheet flexibility; working capital timing effects should normalize as proceeds arrive .
  • EOP trajectory is accelerating (≥$180M run-rate), with wholesale/supply and margin capture providing durable earnings uplift into Q4 despite seasonal shifts .
  • DKL’s raised guidance and sour gas program ramp support DK’s sum-of-the-parts narrative and growing economic separation, improving optionality to unlock midstream value .
  • Watch distillate cracks and Krotz Springs throughput consistency as key operational levers for Q4 capture rates .
  • Non-GAAP adjustments (SRE, RVO and inventory impacts) were significant; investors should track underlying operational metrics (ex-SRE EPS/EBITDA) to assess core earnings quality .
  • Tactical: Results suggest positive estimate revisions and potential multiple support; monitor regulatory/legal developments on SREs and execution against Q4 cost/throughput guidance .