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Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 was a record quarter on an adjusted basis: Adjusted EBITDA rose 15% YoY to $116.5M, driven by H2O and Gravity contributions and W2W dropdown, offset by lower wholesale margins and contract changes; management reaffirmed full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $480–$520M .
  • Mix improved materially: intercompany contract changes and acquisitions lifted third-party EBITDA contribution to ~80% pro forma, furthering economic separation from DK .
  • Balance sheet/liquidity stable: leverage ~4.21x; ~$444.9M revolver availability; Q1 distribution raised to $1.110/unit (49th consecutive increase) and $10M of unit buybacks executed under the DK repurchase authorization .
  • Near-term catalysts: commissioning and ramp of Libby 2 (100–120 MMcf/d) plus sour gas/AGI capabilities in the Delaware Basin; integration of H2O and Gravity enhancing the combined crude+water offering in the Midland Basin .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Strong adjusted performance: Adjusted EBITDA grew to $116.5M (+15% YoY), with Gathering & Processing Adjusted EBITDA up to $81.1M on H2O/Gravity contributions and higher Midland throughput .
    • Strategic progress on independence: intercompany transactions and acquisitions increased third-party EBITDA mix to ~80% pro forma, de-risking DK exposure; “another important milestone in our journey to be an independent company” .
    • Capacity and capability build-out: “started the commissioning of our Libby 2 gas plant” (adds 100–120 MMcf/d) and advancing sour gas treating/AGI wells—key differentiators in the Delaware Basin .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Wholesale margin pressure and rate headwinds: Wholesale Marketing & Terminalling Adjusted EBITDA fell to $17.8M (vs $25.3M YoY) on lower wholesale margins and intercompany agreement impacts; Storage & Transportation Adjusted EBITDA declined to $14.5M on decreased rates .
    • Operating cash flow down YoY: CFO fell to $31.6M (from $43.9M), reflecting working capital and timing dynamics amid rapid growth/integration .
    • Coverage ratio compressed vs prior year: DCF coverage was 1.21x (1.27x as adjusted) vs 1.35x in Q1 2024, though management expects improvement through 2025 .

Financial Results

  • Summary results vs prior quarters and estimates
MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD)$214.07M $209.86M $249.93M
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD)$264.05M*$240.04M*$211.62M*
Diluted EPS ($)$0.71 $0.68 $0.73
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($)$0.838*$0.683*$0.809*
EBITDA Margin %25.04%*29.92%*28.41%*
Net Income Margin %15.73%*16.82%*15.62%*
  • Adjusted profitability and cash flow
MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
EBITDA ($USD)$69.18M $73.84M $85.49M
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)$106.83M $107.24M $116.54M
DCF, as adjusted ($USD)$61.96M $69.46M $75.05M
  • Segment breakdown (Adjusted EBITDA)
Segment ($USD)Q1 2024Q1 2025
Gathering & Processing$57.77M $81.08M
Wholesale Marketing & Terminalling$25.27M $17.75M
Storage & Transportation$18.13M $14.47M
Investments in Pipeline JVs (income)$8.48M $10.15M
Corporate & Other$(8.15)M $(6.91)M
Total Adjusted EBITDA$101.50M $116.54M
  • Selected operating KPIs
KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
West Texas gross margin per bbl ($/bbl)$3.38 $4.35 $1.64
Terminalling throughputs (avg bpd)160,849 151,309 135,404
East Texas – Tyler refinery sales volumes (avg bpd)70,172 63,022 67,876
Plains Connection System (avg bpd)188,421 360,725 179,240
Delaware Nat Gas G&P (avg Mcfd)75,719 71,078 59,809
Delaware Water disposal & recycling (avg bpd)123,856 144,414 128,499

Estimate values and margin percentages marked with * are values retrieved from S&P Global.

Interpretation versus estimates:

  • Q1 revenue beat: $249.93M vs $211.62M consensus (benefits from sales-type lease reclass, H2O/Gravity, W2W dropdown) .
  • Q1 EPS missed: $0.73 vs $0.809 consensus, reflecting weaker wholesale margins and rate headwinds; the mix shift and accounting reclassification (sales-type leases recorded as interest income) also change P&L optics .
  • Adjusted EBITDA outperformed consensus (~$116.5M vs ~$113.4M), but note definitional differences in EBITDA across sources .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025$480–$520M (2/25/25) Reaffirmed on-track to $480–$520M Maintained
DCF CoverageFY 2025 YE~1.3x (target) On track (management reiterated outlook) Maintained
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025$220–$250M No change disclosed in Q1; Libby 2 remains on track Maintained
Distribution per UnitQ1 2025$1.105 (Q4’24 actual) $1.110 (49th consecutive increase) Raised
Third-party EBITDA mixFY 2025~70% pro forma exiting 2024 ~80% pro forma after intercompany actions Raised

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3’24, Q4’24)Current Period (Q1’25)Trend
Deconsolidation/third-party mix~70% third-party EBITDA; W2W dropdown; amended DK contracts Intercompany actions lift third-party mix to ~80% pro forma; “milestone in our journey to be an independent company” Improving independence
Libby 2 processing capacityFID on new gas plant; progressing build Commissioning started; 100–120 MMcf/d; expected full by 2H25 Execution advancing
Sour gas/AGI capabilityFID on AGI at Libby complex Spudding first AGI well “shortly”; competitive differentiator Capability build-out
Wholesale marginsSeasonal/market-driven volatility noted Q1 margins lower; West Texas margins fell to $1.64/bbl Pressure vs late-2024
Rate structure in S&TMixed, some rate increases (Q3’24) Decreased rates driving S&T down YoY Headwind
Liquidity/leverage and buybacksLeverage ~4.06x (Q4); equity raised in 2024 Leverage ~4.21x; ~$450M liquidity; $10M buyback in Q1 Comfortable/liquidity intact

Management Commentary

  • “We reported approximately $117 million in quarterly adjusted EBITDA, placing DKL on track to deliver on its full year EBITDA guidance of $480 million to $520 million.” — Avigal Soreq .
  • “Intercompany transactions… increased this economic separation, bringing third-party contribution to our cash flow… to around 80%.” — Avigal Soreq .
  • “We have started the commissioning of our Libby 2 gas plant… adding 100–120 million standard cubic feet per day of incremental capacity.” — Reuven Spiegel .
  • “DKL repurchased a total of $10 million worth of units… we currently have approximately $450 million of available liquidity.” — Robert Wright .
  • On intercompany actions: “No net material impact to our EBITDA of either entity… increased DKL’s third-party EBITDA to approximately 80% on a pro forma basis.” — Robert Wright .

Q&A Highlights

  • Intercompany agreement changes: Re-contracting shifted refining-related activities to DK and midstream activities to DKL; no net material EBITDA impact but increased third-party mix to ~80% .
  • Macro/customer activity: Stable volumes in Midland; water volumes rising; Delaware remains highly economic with significant undrilled inventory—supportive for G&P and combined crude+water offering .
  • Contracting/commodity exposure: Limited direct commodity exposure; strong counterparties on water assets .
  • Capex cadence: Heavy in 2024 and 1H 2025; lower run-rate expected in 2H 2025 as Libby 2 completes .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue beat ($249.93M vs $211.62M*), EPS miss ($0.73 vs $0.809*). Adjusted EBITDA ($116.5M) above consensus EBITDA mean ($113.4M*), though EBITDA definitions may differ .
  • Prior quarters: Q4 2024 revenue missed ($209.86M vs $240.04M*) while EPS beat ($0.68 vs $0.683*, effectively in line); Q3 2024 revenue missed ($214.07M vs $264.05M*) but EPS beat ($0.71 vs $0.838*, on non-GAAP performance and mix) .
MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue Actual ($USD)$214.07M $209.86M $249.93M
Revenue Consensus ($USD)$264.05M*$240.04M*$211.62M*
EPS Actual ($)$0.71 $0.68 $0.73
EPS Consensus ($)$0.838*$0.683*$0.809*

Estimate values marked with * are values retrieved from S&P Global.

Where estimates may adjust:

  • Revenue trajectories likely to be revised upward given the stronger reported revenue (in part reflecting sales-type lease accounting reclass to interest income and strong third-party contributions) .
  • EPS may see mixed revisions as lower wholesale margins and decreased rates in S&T persist, partially offset by G&P growth and JV income (W2W) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Adjusted EBITDA momentum continues; reaffirmed $480–$520M FY25 sets a constructive backdrop; execution on Libby 2 and AGI should support 2H ramp and medium-term growth .
  • Mix quality improving: ~80% third-party EBITDA pro forma reduces sponsor concentration risk and may support multiple expansion over time .
  • Wholesale margin volatility and S&T rate headwinds are the main near-term profit drags; watch West Texas margin normalization into the summer driving season .
  • Coverage poised to improve through 2025 as growth projects ramp and capex tapers in 2H; levered at 4.21x with ample liquidity ($445M revolver capacity) to fund near-term initiatives and distributions .
  • Continued capital return: 49th consecutive distribution increase to $1.110/unit plus targeted unit buybacks from DK provide support to unitholder returns .
  • Strategic narrative shift toward a Permian full-suite midstream (crude, gas, water) with differentiated sour gas handling—an important customer value proposition in growth areas .

Notes:

  • All estimate values and margin percentages marked with an asterisk (*) are values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Company financials, segment details, KPIs and guidance are sourced from the Q1 2025 8-K/press release and earnings call transcript .